Personal Income Tax Revenue Growth and Volatility

2016 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 458-483
Author(s):  
Gary C. Cornia ◽  
R. Bruce Johnson ◽  
Ray D. Nelson

In order to reduce the volatility of the personal income tax in Utah, review and reform efforts recommended a simple flat tax that disallowed all deductions or exemptions. Among the reasons for the recommended flat tax was the argument that it would result in a more stable year-over-year tax revenue stream. This was especially important for education financing. The tax system that was finally adopted retained exemptions and deductions through a tax credit. Using a series of simulations based on twenty-one years of tax returns, we establish that by retaining exemptions and deductions, tax reform efforts failed to appreciably reduce the volatility of personal income tax revenues. These simulations also show that the initially proposed flat income tax with no exemptions or deductions would have decreased volatility at the cost of reducing the growth rate. This study contributes insights, caveats, methodology, and potential alternatives for future individual income tax reforms by focusing on the growth and volatility of three different tax systems.

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-31
Author(s):  
Patar Simamora ◽  
Deni Suryaman

ABSTRACTTax is one source of state revenue is used to finance the household of the State and individual taxpayerswho have responsible as a taxpayer who will increase the number of admissions personal income tax, butit does not increase the acceptance of personal income tax, when in reality the level of complianceindividual taxpayers still perceived remains low during this time. The goals to be achieved is to determinethe Effect of Individual Taxpayer Compliance on the Personal Income Tax Revenue on KPP PratamaCibinong. The method I use is descriptive analysis method which defines Effect of Individual TaxpayerCompliance to the Personal Income Tax Revenue on KPP Pratama Cibinong. Based on the research thathas been done, the writer can conclude that the level of the individual taxpayer Kepatuihan effect onPersonal Income Tax Revenue In KPP Pratama Cibinong.Keywords: Level of Compliance, TIN Registered, submission of tax returns, Payment of Tax, Tax ReceiptsOP.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 86 ◽  
Author(s):  
César Pérez López ◽  
María Delgado Rodríguez ◽  
Sonia de Lucas Santos

The goal of the present research is to contribute to the detection of tax fraud concerning personal income tax returns (IRPF, in Spanish) filed in Spain, through the use of Machine Learning advanced predictive tools, by applying Multilayer Perceptron neural network (MLP) models. The possibilities springing from these techniques have been applied to a broad range of personal income return data supplied by the Institute of Fiscal Studies (IEF). The use of the neural networks enabled taxpayer segmentation as well as calculation of the probability concerning an individual taxpayer’s propensity to attempt to evade taxes. The results showed that the selected model has an efficiency rate of 84.3%, implying an improvement in relation to other models utilized in tax fraud detection. The proposal can be generalized to quantify an individual’s propensity to commit fraud with regards to other kinds of taxes. These models will support tax offices to help them arrive at the best decisions regarding action plans to combat tax fraud.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-178
Author(s):  
Dede Suleman

Personal income tax is one of the potential tax receipts in this study which will provide a percentage picture of taxpayers who do not submit SPT with the percentage of Op tax PPh revenue. it was found that the number of taxpayers who did not submit annual tax returns decreased in 2017 to only 9.4% of the taxpayers who did not submit tax returns, which meant that the public began to realize their SPT every year. tax that turns out to be known that every year there is an increase in 2017 compared to 2016 experiencing an increase of 72% and the largest revenue occurred in 2017 amounting to 89% of the set target.


Author(s):  
Michaela Moučková ◽  
Leoš Vítek

Presented paper focuses on measuring tax literacy among bachelor degree students at the University of Economics, Prague, along with analysis of the two factors that influence it. Based on the 150 collected questionnaires (63 % response rate), we measured tax literacy of students (personal income tax and VAT) and examined whether it depends on (i) previous passing of tax courses and (ii) previous practical experience with filing tax returns. More than half of the students were well to excellently-versed in tax matters, including those who have not completed any more advanced tax courses apart from the elementary tax course. For VAT, the results of statistical tests show that students’ knowledge depends on passing a more advanced course on consumption taxation. On the other hand, the link between experience with tax returns and results of tax literacy tests cannot be unambiguously confirmed or rejected. Within the first statistical test (personal income tax), it was established that students’ knowledge does not depend on previous filing of tax returns; the second test (value added tax) led to the opposite conclusion.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SAN LIO ◽  
JOHN MIRICHII

Tax is the bottom line source of revenue for the world’s governments. Taxation is the only known realistic means of collecting resources to finance public expenditure. This study aims at unraveling efficient mechanisms to be employed in Kenya to enhance income tax compliance to boost tax revenue for the current and future governments. With the new governance structure of forty seven county governments in place following the promulgation of the new constitution 2010, this exercise is timely. The study will make use of both secondary and primary sources of data in eliciting the required information necessary for the research findings.  The sample size will be made up of twenty companies drawn from different sectors of the Kenyan economy operating within the Nairobi County.The Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 20is used in the data analysis and presentation of findings.  The overall finding is that a tax system should be simple, withstraightforward rules for lay citizens to understand and at the same time guarantee that the cost of tax collection and administration is not higher than the actual tax revenue raised.The research findings lead to a conclusion that multiple rates of income tax, varied dates of making tax returns and a bulky legal tax framework make income tax compliance unforeseeable in Kenya.


SERIEs ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 407-455 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darío Serrano-Puente

AbstractIs the Spanish economy positioned at its optimal progressivity level in personal income tax? This article quantifies the aggregate, distributional, and welfare consequences of moving toward such an optimal level. A heterogeneous households general equilibrium model featuring both life cycle and dynastic elements is calibrated to replicate some characteristics of the Spanish economy and used to evaluate potential reforms of the tax system. The findings suggest that increasing progressivity would be optimal, even though it would involve an efficiency loss. The optimal reform of the tax schedule would reduce wealth and income inequality at the cost of negative effects on capital, labor, and output. Finally, these theoretical results are evaluated using tax microdata and describe a current scenario where the income-top households typically face suboptimal effective average tax rates.


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