Validation of Mantle Cell International Prognostic Index (MIPI) in Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) in a Retrospective Single Institution Series

Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 2828-2828
Author(s):  
Annalisa Chiappella ◽  
Barbara Botto ◽  
Filippo Marmont ◽  
Ernesta Audisio ◽  
Ileana Baldi ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: The clinical course of MCL is characterized by a continuous pattern of relapse and a poor long term outcome with a median Overall Survival (OS) of four years and a 15% of long term survivors. Recently a new clinical prognostic score (MIPI), including performance status, age, LDH level and leukocyte count has been reported. This score allows a more reliable estimation of individual clinical course. We retrospectively applied the MIPI score to patients with MCL. Patients and methods: Between 1999 and 2007, 40 patients with MCL diagnosed and treated in a single institution entered into the study. Clinical characteristics were as follows: median age 56 years (range 37–81), 80% male; 82% stage IV; 78% bone marrow involvement and 15% MCL with blastoid variant. First line treatments were: high dose chemoimmunotherapy including Rituximab (R) with autologous stem cell transplantation (R-HDC) in 26 patients and Rituximab-CHOP like chemotherapy (R-CHOP) in 14. Crude Kaplan-Meier OS and progression-free survival (PFS) curves were estimated both overall and stratified by MIPI and International Prognostic Index (IPI) score. Differences between curves were tested using the 2-tailed log-rank test. In order to quantify the predictive discrimination of MIPI and IPI scores, univariate logistic models (with death and progression event as binary outcomes) were fitted and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (c index) was estimated. Results: According to MIPI score 17 patients (43%) were at low risk (LR, score 0–3), 13 patients (32%) at intermediate risk (IR, score 4–5) and 10 patients (25%) at high risk (HR, score >5). According to IPI score 14 patients (35%) were at low risk (LR), 16 patients (40%) at low-intermediate risk (LIR) and 10 patients (25%) at intermediate-high and high risk (IH-HR). At the end of the treatment, 30 patients achieved a CR, five a PR and five did not respond. Relapses occurred in 17 patients and seven of them died of lymphoma. With a median follow-up (FU) of 29 months, OS was 85% (95% CI: 66%–93%); with a median FU of 21 months, PFS was 70% (95% CI: 51%–83%). Twenty-nine months OS rates for MIPI score were: LR 100%, IR 81%, HR 66% respectively (p=.07) and for IPI score were: LR 92%, LIR 94%, IH-HR 65% respectively (p=.09). Twenty-one months PFS rates for MIPI score were: LR 92%, IR 59%, HR 45% respectively (p=.006) and for IPI score were: LR 73%, LIR 87%, IH-HR 44% respectively (p=.09). MIPI score was more predictive than IPI score for the death event and for the progression event: the c index was 74% and 73% for MIPI compared to 72% and 69% for IPI respectively. In a subgroup analysis performed on 26 R-HDC patients, OS and PFS rates stratified for MIPI were: for OS, LR 100% vs IR 80% vs HR 69% (p=.4) and for PFS, LR 91% vs IR 80% vs HR 57% (p=.04) respectively. Discussion: in our retrospective series of patients, MIPI prognostic score discriminates among patients with different PFS. Relapses remain the most important issue for all patients affected by MCL, namely in HR group according to MIPI. New therapeutic strategies are warranted to improve the prognosis of MCL.

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 483-488
Author(s):  
Olivera Simonovic ◽  
Lana Macukanovic-Golubovic ◽  
Bosko Andjelic ◽  
Darko Antic ◽  
Biljana Mihaljevic

Background/Aim. Follicular lymphoma (FL) is a B-cell tumor usually with indolent clinical course, yet in some cases the course of the disease can be very aggressive. The aim of the re-search was to determine distribution of patients into prognostic groups based on the International Prognostic Index (IPI) and Folicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI) criteria, as well as to determine the importance of classifying patients into the prognostic groups, since this could potentially have the influence on selection of the treatment modality. Methods. The retrospective study was performed on 257 patients with follicular lymphoma diagnosed between January 2000 and April 2011. Results. Based on the IPI score, 153 (59.53%) patients had low risk, 57 (22.18%) low intermediate risk, 15 (5.84%) high intermediate risk, 9 (3.50%) high risk, whereas the classification of 23 patients diagnosed with FL remained with unknown risk according to the IPI. Based on the FLIPI prognostic index, 113 (43.97%) patients had low risk, 70 (27.24%) intermediate risk and 51 (19.84%) high risk, whereas the classification of 23 (8.95%) patients remained unknown. On the basis of the FLIPI 2 prognostic index, 48 (18.68%) patients had low risk, 145 (56.42%) intermediate risk and 41 (15.95%) high risk. The classification into prognostic groups for 23 (8.95%) patients remained unknown. According to the IPI, FLIPI and FLIPI 2 there were the patients that required treatment in all the risk groups. Conclusion. The FLIPI and FLIPI 2 effectively identify patients at high risk, thus helping in treatment decision for each single patient.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (22) ◽  
pp. 5762-5771
Author(s):  
Ho-Young Yhim ◽  
Yael Eshet ◽  
Ur Metser ◽  
Chae-Hong Lim ◽  
Katherine Lajkosz ◽  
...  

Abstract There are limited data regarding the combined value of the pretransplant Deauville score (DS) from a positron emission tomography scan and clinical risk factors in patients with relapsed/refractory aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). We performed a retrospective analysis to assess the prognostic role of pretransplant DS in patients with relapsed/refractory aggressive NHL who underwent salvage chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT). We identified 174 eligible patients between January 2013 and March 2019. In multivariable analysis, pretransplant DS, B symptoms, and secondary International Prognostic Index (sIPI) were independent risk factors for event-free survival (EFS). These variables were used to derive an integrated risk score that categorized 166 patients with available information for all risk factors into 3 groups: low (n = 92; 55.4%), intermediate (n = 48; 28.9%), and high (n = 26; 15.7%). The new prognostic index showed a strong association with EFS (low-risk vs intermediate-risk hazard ratio [HR], 3.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.16-7.17; P < .001; low-risk vs high-risk HR, 10.83; 95% CI, 5.81-20.19; P < .001) and outperformed models based on clinical risk factors or DS alone. These results were validated in 60 patients from an independent external cohort (low-risk vs intermediate-risk HR, 4.04; 95% CI, 1.51-10.82; P = .005; low-risk vs high-risk HR, 10.49; 95% CI, 4.11-26.73; P < .001). We propose and validate a new prognostic index that risk-stratifies patients undergoing salvage chemotherapy followed by ASCT, thereby identifying patients at high risk for posttransplant treatment failure.


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 3745-3745 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Salek ◽  
Ingrid Vasova ◽  
Robert Pytlik ◽  
David Belada ◽  
Tomas Papajik ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: Mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) is considered to be an incurable disease with a poor prognosis, but the prognosis can be significantly different among the patients. The new prognostic index MIPI (MCL International Prognostic Index) has been proposed recently (Hoster ASH 2006, Blood 2008). Three prognostic groups with different survival (low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk) can been identified, based on four variables: WBC count, ECOG performance status, LDH and age. Aim: To validate MIPI on an independent unselected cohort of newly diagnosed patients with MCL in the Czech Lymphoma Study Group (CLSG) registry. Methods and patients: Out of 293 patients with MCL diagnosed and registered in the period 1999–2007, 149 patients had central pathology review and confirmation of MCL diagnosis and were eligible for the analysis. The age median was 65 year (24–86), 63% were male (M:F ratio 1,7:1). Most of patients were diagnosed in advanced Ann Arbor stage IV (82%), limited stages I+II formed only 10,5%. The bone marrow was involved in 75% of cases. B-symptoms were present in 45% patients, LDH level elevated in 51%, poor performance status (ECOG 2–4) in 21% and the median leukocyte count was 7,9 ×109/L. A chemotherapy was used as a first line treatment in 144 patients, the combination with rituximab (R) in 106 ones (73%). The most used regimens were hyperCVAD/MTX-HDaraC (30x), R-CHOP (30x), CHOP (19x), R-FC (13x), then R-maxiCHOP/HDaraC (12x), R-CHOP/HDaraC (9x), COP (8x) and others. A consolidation of the first remission with high-dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation was used in 12 patients, and an allogeneic transplantation in 2 patients. A first-line radiotherapy was used in 14 patients. Median follow-up is 31 months. Results: Median overall survival (OS) in the whole group of confirmed MCL patients was 58 months, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 24 months. The MIPI index can be calculated for 148 patients, 28% of them belong to low-risk (LR), 35% to intermediate-risk (IR) and 37% to high risk (HR) group. All clinical stages were included. Our comparison of survival curves according to MIPI risk groups confirms a different prognosis – the median OS in the LR group was not reached, in the IR group is the median OS 58 months, and in the HR group 25 months (p < 0,0001). The 3-year OS probability for LR, IR and HR group is 82%, 62% and 31%, resp. Similarly, median PFS in the LR, IR and HR group is 45, 24 and 13 months, resp. (p < 0,0001). The analysis of rituximab-treated subgroup was performed as well, with a significant difference between the three groups regarding to OS and PFS. The 3y OS probability for LR, IR and HR group is 82%, 63% and 37%, the median OS for LR and IR was not reached, for HR is 31 months (p<0.05). The median PFS in LR group was not reached (with 3y PFS probability 70%), in IR and HR group the median is 27 and 17 months, resp. (p<0.01). Conclusion: Our retrospective analysis confirms a validity of the MIPI prognostic model even in a non-selected population of patients with MCL. This prognostic index seems to be valid also in the era of rituximab. Figure Figure


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 5307-5307
Author(s):  
Na Li ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Hao-lan Song ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Hua-wei Weng ◽  
...  

Abstract Nasal type, extranodal natural killer (NK)/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTL) is a heterogeneous disorder with poor prognosis, requiring risk stratification in this population. We designed to investigate the prognostic significance of absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), absolute monocyte count (AMC), ALC/AMC ratio and ALC/AMC prognostic score (low risk, normal ALC and AMC; intermediate risk, low ALC or high AMC; high risk, low ALC and high AMC) and to determine whether ALC/AMC ratio or prognostic score is a better predictor of prognosis in ENKTL. A total of 264 patients with newly diagnosed ENKTL were retrospectively analyzed in present study. Receiver Operating Curve analysis showed that optimal cut-off values of ALC, AMC and ALC/AMC ratio were 1.0×109/L, 0.5×109/L and 2.85, respectively. In multivariate analysis all tested factors including ALC, AMC, ALC/AMC ratio and prognostic score were independent risk factors. After a median follow-up of 30 months (range 1-87), an estimated 3-year overall survival (OS) in the 264 patients was 75.4%. Patients with ALC/AMC ratio≥2.85 had a better OS and progression-free survival (PFS) than those with ALC/AMC ratio<2.85 at diagnosis (3-year OS rate: 83.4% versus 61.9%, P < 0.001; 3-year PFS rate: 76.5% versus 53.0%, P< 0.001). Significant difference has been noticed in the patients according to ALC/AMC prognostic score in 3-year OS (low risk vs. intermediate risk, 88.3% vs. 66.5%, p = 0.001; low risk vs. high risk, 88.3% vs. 0%, p < 0.001; intermediate risk vs. high risk, 66.5% vs. 0%, p = 0.001) and in 3-year PFS(low risk vs. intermediate risk, 80.7% vs. 58.3%, p = 0.002; low risk vs. high risk, 80.7% vs. 0%, p < 0.001; intermediate risk vs. high risk, 58.3% vs. 0%, p = 0.003) . The International Prognostic Index (IPI) and Korean Prognostic Index (KPI) were used for predicting these patients' prognosis, the result showed that the discrimination was not power. When applying ALC/AMC ratio and prognostic score to the IPI and KPI model, the latter showed a better discrimination as compared to the former. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 498-498 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Molica ◽  
Diana Giannarelli ◽  
Luciano Levato ◽  
Rosanna Mirabelli ◽  
Massimo Gentile ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND: The CLL-IPI score is a large cooperative effort in which clinical data collected from 8 randomized trials were used to develop an internationally applicable prognostic index for CLL patients. The model includes 5 independent parameters that predict for overall survival such as age, clinical stage, del(17p) and/or TP53 mutation, IGHV mutation status and β2-microglobulin (B2M) level. A potential limitation for an extensive use of CLL-IPI is represented, however, by the fact that only 20% of patients included in the full analysis set had early disease. PATIENTS: The present analysis based on an observational multicenter CLL database including 337 Binet stage A patients (O-CLL1 protocol, clinicaltrial.gov identifier NCT00917540) was designed to assess the utility of the CLL-IPI score to predict time to first treatment (TTFT) in patients with early disease. RESULTS: Patients were followed up for a total of 2038 person-years (median, 42 months; range, 1-82 months), during which 91 (26.9%) experienced disease-progression requiring therapy according to 1996 IWCLL guidelines. The CLL-IPI score enabled Binet stage A patients to be divided into three subgroups [i.e., score 0-1, low-risk (n=229); score 2-3, intermediate-risk(n=99); score 4 or higher, high-risk (n=9)] that differed with respect to TTFT (P<0.0001). A comparative performance analysis between CLL-IPI and 2007 MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) score, barely based on traditional clinical parameters (i.e., age, gender, Rai substage, absolute lymphocyte count, number of involved nodal groups and B2M), revealed that prediction of the TTFT was more accurate with the former. The c-statistic of the MDACC model was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.49-0.75) a level below than that of the CLL-IPI (c=0.70; 95% CI:0.58-0.81) and below the accepted 0.7 threshold necessary to have value at the individual patient level. These results are in keeping with the change in area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) which increased from 0.646 (95% CI: 0.578-0.714) to 0.720 (95%CI:0.658-0.783) when moving from MDACC model to CLL-IPI score. Since the CLL-IPI score was originally derived from patients with active CLL enrolled in phase 3 trials we sought for different cut-off scores that better predict for TTFT in our patient cohort of early CLL. According to the recursive partitioning (RPART) analysis, a classification tree was built that identified three subsets of patients who scored 0 (low- risk,n=139), 1(intermediate-risk, n=90) and >1 (high-risk, n=108), respectively. The probability of remaining free from therapy at 5 years was 85% in the low-risk group, 68% in the intermediate-risk group and 47% in the high-risk group (P<0.0001)(Fig 1). Our revised IPI score remained a predictor of TTFT also when analysis was limited to 262 Rai stage 0 (P<0.0001) and 99 clinical monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (cMBL) cases (P=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study confirm the utility of CLL-IPI score for predicting TTFT in a prospective cohort of community-based patients with early CLL at presentation. Our effort to adapt CLL-IPI score to patients with early disease meets the need to separate Binet stage A patients into different prognostic groups suitable for individualized follow-up programmes and possibly for early therapeutic interventions. Figure 1. Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7504-7504
Author(s):  
Peter Martin ◽  
Michael Wang ◽  
Anita Kumar ◽  
Keqin Qi ◽  
Katherine Daly ◽  
...  

7504 Background: MCL is a non-Hodgkin lymphoma with heterogeneous biology and outcomes. We characterized RW tx patterns and outcomes of MCL pts to identify factors associated with outcomes in the US. Methods: This retrospective study included adult MCL pts diagnosed Jan 2011-Nov 2020 in the nationwide Flatiron Health EHR-derived deidentified database. Pt characteristics, tx patterns, time to next tx (rwTTNT, defined as start of first-line [1L] tx to subsequent tx or death) and rwOS were evaluated. Results: 3455 pts were included, 85.3% from a community oncology setting. In 2946 (85.2%) pts with documented 1L MCL tx, median age was 69.5 y (range 27.7-85.3); 9.5% had blastoid/pleomorphic MCL. 262 (39.6%) and 235 (35.6%) of 661 pts with available MCL international prognostic index (MIPI) had intermediate and high risk, respectively. 150/1253 pts (12.0%) with available ECOG PS had PS ≥ 2. Chemoimmunotherapy was the most common 1L tx, including BR in 1223 (41.5%), R-CHOP in 512 (17.4%) and cytarabine (ara-C)-containing tx in 414 (14.1%). 667 pts received R maintenance (MR). In 1036 pts < 65 y, 243 pts received 1L stem cell transplant (SCT), mainly autologous. In 1L-treated pts, with median follow-up of survivors of 45.3 mos (range 0.03-117.2), median rwTTNT was 24 mos; 36-mo rwOS was 67%. The Table shows tx received and outcomes by age and SCT status. MVA analyses showed age ≥ 65 y, ECOG PS ≥ 2, LDH/ULN ≥ 1, WBC ≥ 10 × 109/L, bulky disease (≥ 5 cm) and blastoid/pleomorphic morphology were associated with shorter rwTTNT and rwOS; MR was independently associated with longer rwTTNT and rwOS. In pts < 65 y who were alive and did not initiate subsequent tx within 6 mos of 1L tx (“SCT-eligible”), 36-mo rwTTNT and rwOS were similar between pts treated with vs without SCT: 65% vs 59% and 86% vs 85%, respectively. Conclusions: In this large RW cohort of primarily community-based US practices, median 1L rwTTNT for MCL pts was ̃ 2 y. BR was the most commonly used 1L tx. SCT was uncommon even in pts < 65 y, suggesting RW considerations may influence SCT eligibility and availability. Also, SCT was not clearly associated with rwOS. As with other reports, older age and high-risk disease features were predictive of worse outcome in RW, while MR appeared to be associated with better outcomes. Outcomes across the board appear worse than prospective trials, suggesting a need to focus on developing tx that can be delivered effectively in the community setting.[Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (15) ◽  
pp. 3486-3494
Author(s):  
Diego Villa ◽  
Laurie H. Sehn ◽  
Kerry J. Savage ◽  
Cynthia L. Toze ◽  
Kevin Song ◽  
...  

Abstract Rituximab-containing chemotherapy regimens constitute standard first-line therapy for mantle cell lymphoma (MCL). Since June 2013, 190 patients ≥18 years of age with MCL in British Columbia have been treated with bendamustine and rituximab (BR). The overall response rate to BR was 88% (54% complete response). Of these, 61 of 89 patients (69%) aged ≤65 years received autologous stem cell transplantation and 141 of 190 patients (74%) from the entire cohort received maintenance rituximab. Twenty-three patients (12%) had progressive disease, associated with high risk per the Mantle Cell Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (MIPI), Ki-67 ≥50%, and blastoid/pleomorphic histology. Outcomes were compared with a historical cohort of 248 patients treated with rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP; January 2003 to May 2013). Treatment with BR was associated with significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS), but not overall survival (OS), compared with R-CHOP in the whole cohort (3-year PFS, 66% BR vs 51% R-CHOP, P = .003; 3-year OS, 73% BR vs 66% R-CHOP, P = .054) and in those &gt;65 years of age (3-year PFS, 56% BR vs 35% R-CHOP, P = .001; 3-year OS, 64% BR vs 55% R-CHOP, P = .063). Outcomes in transplanted patients were not statistically significantly different compared with R-CHOP (3-year PFS, 85% BR vs 76% R-CHOP, P = .135; 3-year OS, 90% BR vs 88% R-CHOP, P = .305), although in multivariate analyses, treatment with BR was associated with improved PFS (hazard ratio, 0.40 [95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.94]; P = .036) but not OS. BR is an effective first-line option for most patients with MCL, however, outcomes are suboptimal for those with high-risk features and further studies integrating novel agents are warranted.


Blood ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 106 (11) ◽  
pp. 925-925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Buske ◽  
Eva Hoster ◽  
Martin Dreyling ◽  
Joerg Hasford ◽  
Michael Unterhalt ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI) has been developed to predict prognosis and to allow risk adapted treatment decisions in patients with follicular lymphoma (FL) before the widely use of Rituximab. However, the addition of Rituximab to standard induction chemotherapy with its long-term beneficial effects has profoundly changed the treatment outcome in patients with advanced stage FL and has become the new standard in the first line therapy of this disease. Therefore, we addressed the question, whether the prognostic value of the FLIPI could be reconfirmed in patients with advanced stage FL treated initially with a rituximab/chemotherapy combination. Methods: The FLIPI index was tested in patients treated with Rituximab and CHOP (Cyclophosphamide, Doxorubicin, Vincristine and Prednisone, R-CHOP) in a prospective multicenter phase 3 trial of the GLSG using the time to treatment failure (TTF) as target parameter. Results: 362 Patients treated with R-CHOP were evaluable for TTF. Of the 338 patients evaluable for all FLIPI risk factors, 14% of patients were classified as low, 41% as intermediate and 45% as high risk. After a median follow-up time of 20 months, patients with low risk and intermediate risk FLIPI had almost identical TTF (2-years TTF 92% vs 90%, 95% C.I., 83% to 100% and 84% to 96%, respectively). In contrast, the TTF was significantly shorter in the high risk FLIPI group (2-years TTF 67%, 95% C.I., 58% to 76%) as compared to the combined low/intermediate risk FLIPI group (relative risk 3.0, 95% C.I., 1.7 to 5.1; p &lt; 0.0001). In addition, responding patients with high risk FLIPI had a significantly shorter progression free survival as compared to the low/intermediate risk group (relative risk 3.3, 95% C.I., 1.8 to 6.0; p &lt; 0.0001). When postremission treatment was taken into account, the FLIPI separated the high risk group from the low/intermediate risk group in 65 patients treated with autologous stem cell transplantation (relative risk 6.0, 95% C.I., 1.4 to 25.2) as well as in 242 patients who had received IFN-α maintenance or no postremission therapy (relative risk 3.2, 95% C.I., 1.8 to 5.8). As the FLIPI was able to separate the high from the low/intermediate risk group in patients with advanced follicular lymphoma treated initially with Rituximab and CHOP we next performed a multivariate analysis to determine the impact of the individual parameters incorporated in the FLIPI on the TTF. The serum LDH level greater than the upper normal limit (relative risk 2.6, 95% C.I., 1.5 to 4.5) and the hemoglobin level below 12 g/dl (relative risk 2.5, 95% C.I., 1.4 to 4.3) were independently associated with a shorter TTF in these patients, whereas the age and the number of nodal areas were not discriminant. Conclusion: Taken together, these data indicate that the FLIPI is a valid prognostic index for identifying high-risk patients in FL, also after front-line combined immuno-chemotherapy. The index will remain an important tool to adjust treatment decisions in individual patients according their risk profile and to design clinical trials for the different risk groups in the era of antibody-based therapy.


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 1784-1784
Author(s):  
Adrienne A. Phillips ◽  
Iuliana Shapira ◽  
Robert D. Willum ◽  
Jasotha Sanmugarajah ◽  
William B. Solomon ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose: Adult T-Cell Leukemia/Lymphoma (ATLL) is a rare aggressive Human T-cell Lymphotropic Virus Type-I (HTLV-I) associated peripheral T-cell neoplasm with 4 recognized clinicopathologic subtypes: acute, lymphomatous, chronic, and smoldering. Since the initial description of these variants, several studies have sought to identify additional prognostic factors. We assessed prognostic models already in use for aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphomas to develop a novel risk stratification scheme. Methods: Data regarding patients with ATLL were collected from 3 medical centers between 8/92 and 5/07. Descriptive statistics were used to assess categorical and continuous variables. Overall survival (OS) was defined as time from diagnosis to death. Survival curves for OS were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate associations between individual clinical factors and OS were evaluated using the log-rank test for categorical variables and the Cox model for continuous variables. Maximum logrank analysis was used to select the optimal cut-off for calcium. In order to develop a simple risk model and allow for interactions of factors independently associated with OS, we used recursive partitioning analysis. Results: 89 patients with ATLL were identified; 37 males (41.6%) and 52 females (58.4%) and median age 50 years (range 22 to 82). The acute subtype of ATLL predominated (68.5%), followed by lymphomatous (20.2%), chronic (6.8%) and smoldering (4.5%). Median OS for all sub-types was 24 weeks (range 0.9 to 315). According to the International Prognostic Index (IPI), 8 patients (9.1%) were classified as low risk, 11 patients (12.5 %) as low intermediate risk, 13 patients (14.8 %) as high intermediate risk, and 56 patients (63.6 %) as high risk, 1 patient could not be evaluated due to missing data. Median OS by IPI risk group was 271, 65, 31 and 16 weeks, respectively (p&lt;0.01). The Prognostic Index for PTCL-U (PIT) could be determined in 68 patients; 10 patients (14.7 %) had a score of 0–1 (group 1), 19 patients (27.9 %) had a score of 2 (group 2), 31 patients (45.6 %) had a score of 3 (group 3), and 8 patients (11.8 %) had a score of 4 (group 4). Median OS by PIT risk group was 61.1, 28, 24, and 11.3 weeks respectively (p&lt;0.01). A new risk model was developed using the variables of the IPI and PIT. In addition, calcium level at diagnosis was also included as it had independent prognostic value. Recursive partitioning of OS based on these variables gave a tree with 5 nodes, which fell into three risk categories: low risk patients with Stage I–II disease and a performance status &lt;2; the medium risk group composed of two sets of patients: those with Stage III–IV disease with an ECOG performance status &lt; 2 or those with an ECOG performance status ≥ 2 with calcium ≤ 11 mg/dL and age ≤ 60; and the high risk group (also comprising 2 sets of patients): those with a performance status ≥ 2 with calcium ≤ 11 mg/dL and age &gt; 60 or those with a performance status ≥ 2 and calcium &gt; 11 mg/dL. There were 10 patients (11.2%) in the low risk (median survival= 156.6 weeks), 31 (34.8%) in the intermediate risk (median survival = 45.4 weeks), and 48 (53.9%) in the high risk (median survival= 13 weeks) categories (p&lt;0.01). Conclusion: This retrospective series confirms a poor outcome for North American patients with HTLV-1 related ATLL. Although the IPI and PIT identified subsets of patients, these models had liabilities. We propose a new prognostic model based on recursive partitioning analysis that successfully identifies three prognostic categories based on performance status, stage, age and calcium level at diagnosis in a more robust and distinct fashion. Table 1. Comparison of Prognostic Scores and Kaplan Meier Survival Estimates (%) of patients with ATLL International Prognostic Index (IPI) (n = 88) Prognostic Index for PTCL-U (PIT) (n = 68) ATLL Prognostic Score (APS) (n= 89) Time (wks) Low n= 8 Low-Intermed n= 11 High-Intermed n= 13 High n= 56 Group 1 n= 10 Group 2 n= 19 Group 3 N= 31 Group 4 n= 8 Low n= 10 Intermed n= 31 High n= 48 13 8 (100%) 10 (100%) 9 (75.5%) 31 (53.1%) 10 (100%) 13 (68.4%) 19 (66.3%) 3 (25.0%) 9 (100%) 27 (87.1%) 23 (46.4%) 26 8 (100%) 9 (90.0%) 6 (56.6%) 17 (31.1%) 10 (100%) 9 (51.3%) 13 (45.4%) 0 (0%) 9 (100%) 23 (77.0%) 9 (19.9%) 52 6 (75.0%) 6 (60.0%) 3 (28.3%) 9 (17.6%) 5 (50%) 5 (28.5%) 8 (30.7%) 0 (0%) 8 (88.9%) 13 (46.0%) 4 (8.8%) 78 5 (75.0%) 4 (40.0%) 2 (18.9%) 2 (4.0%) 4 (40%) 3 (17.1%) 2 (7.7%) 0 (0%) 7 (88.9%) 7 (24.8%) 0 (0%) 104 3 (56.2%) 3 (30.0%) 2 (18.9%) 2 (2.0%) 2 (30%) 3 (17.1%) 2 (3.8%) 0 (0%) 4 (61.0%) 6 (17.7%) 0 (0%) Median OS (wks) 271 65 31 16 61.1 28 24 11.3 156.6 45.4 13


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 404-404
Author(s):  
Guido Finazzi ◽  
Alessandra Carobbio ◽  
Paola Guglielmelli ◽  
Elisa Rumi ◽  
Silvia Salmoiraghi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background An International Prognostic Score for the risk of thrombosis (IPSET-thrombosis) in Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) was developed (Barbui et al. Blood, 2012;120:5128). Risk factors included: age >60 years (1 point), cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (1 point), previous thrombosis (2 points) and the presence of JAK2V617F mutation (2 points). Low, intermediate and high risk categories were identified by scores 0-1; 2; and ≥ 3, respectively. Mutations in the exon 9 of CALreticulin (CALR) gene were recently identified in about 50-60% of patients with JAK2V617F negative ET and associated with a reduced thrombotic risk as compared with JAK2V617F positive patients. Aim To evaluate whether the identification of CALRmutation in patients with ET has any impact on the IPSET-thrombosis score Patients and Methods Under the auspices of AGIMM (AIRC Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative), four Italian centers with recognized experience in myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. Overall, 1,150 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for ET and were molecularly characterized for JAK2V617F, MPLW515L/K and CALR exon 9 mutations were included. The JAK2 and MPL mutations were assessed by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and by high-resolution melting analysis followed by bidirectional Sanger sequencing. Mutations in exon 9 of CALRwere assessed by bidirectional sequencing or next generation sequencing. Results Presenting features of the study population were: median age 58 years (range 5th-95th percentile 27-82 years; 65% females), median hemoglobin 14.1 g/dL (range 5th-95th percentile 11.8-16.3), median leukocyte count 8.7x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 5.4-14.7), median platelet count 718x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 486-1313). CV risk factors (at least one among smoke, diabetes and hypertension) were present in 568 (49%) patients. Arterial or venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 167 (15%) patients. JAK2V17F, MPLW515L/K and CALRmutations were detected in 744 (65%), 44 (4%) and 164 (14%) patients respectively. The remaining 198 patients (17%) were wild-type for all three mutations. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years (range 0-29), 104 patients developed an arterial or venous thrombotic event, with a total incidence rate of 1.59% patients/year (pt-ys). The IPSET-thrombosis ability to discriminate the thrombotic risk was confirmed. In fact, in the low risk (reference category), the rate was 0.57% pt-ys; in the intermediate risk was 1.60% pt-ys (Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.55-6.18, p=0.001) and in the high risk group was 2.34% pts-yr (HR 4.59, 95% CI 2.41-8.77 p<0.0001). As to the impact of CALR mutation in the three categories of the IPSET-thrombosis score, we observed that CALR mutated patients were more frequently distributed in the low risk (48%) and intermediate risk (46%) than in the high risk IPSET groups (6%). In univariate analysis, patients carrying CALR mutation had a lower incidence of thrombosis than those with JAK2V617F (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.34-1.09, p=0.093). However, CALR mutated patients were significantly younger (median age 53.5 versus 60.8 years, p=0.001) and presented with less previous thrombosis (8% versus 17%, p=0.005) than JAK2V617F mutated patients. This could explain why in multivariable models, CALR mutation did not retain the association with the risk of thrombosis. This was demonstrated in the whole population (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.30-2.17, p=0.674), as well as in the low risk (HR 1.01, range 0.27-3.81, p=0.987) and intermediate risk categories (HR 1.80, range 0.57-5.72, p=0.317); the high risk category was not evaluable for the low proportion of CALRmutated patients in this group. Conclusions CALR mutation does not have a significant impact on the IPSET-thrombosis prognostic score. The score can be used as it is to predict the risk of thrombosis in molecularly-annotated, WHO-2008 diagnosed ET patients. Disclosures Vannucchi: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document