scholarly journals Predicting mortality in adult patients with sepsis in the emergency department by using combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems: a systematic review

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirby Tong-Minh ◽  
Iris Welten ◽  
Henrik Endeman ◽  
Tjebbe Hagenaars ◽  
Christian Ramakers ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Sepsis can be detected in an early stage in the emergency department (ED) by biomarkers and clinical scoring systems. A combination of multiple biomarkers or biomarker with clinical scoring system might result in a higher predictive value on mortality. The goal of this systematic review is to evaluate the available literature on combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems on 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED. Methods We performed a systematic search using MEDLINE, EMBASE and Google Scholar. Articles were included if they evaluated at least one biomarker combined with another biomarker or clinical scoring system and reported the prognostic accuracy on 28 or 30 day mortality by area under the curve (AUC) in patients with sepsis. We did not define biomarker cut-off values in advance. Results We included 18 articles in which a total of 35 combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems were studied, of which 33 unique combinations. In total, seven different clinical scoring systems and 21 different biomarkers were investigated. The combination of procalcitonin (PCT), lactate, interleukin-6 (IL-6) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score-2 (SAPS-2) resulted in the highest AUC on 1-month mortality. Conclusion The studies we found in this systematic review were too heterogeneous to conclude that a certain combination it should be used in the ED to predict 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis. Future studies should focus on clinical scoring systems which require a limited amount of clinical parameters, such as the qSOFA score in combination with a biomarker that is already routinely available in the ED.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirby Tong-Minh ◽  
Iris Welten ◽  
Henrik Endeman ◽  
Tjebbe Hagenaars ◽  
Christian Ramakers ◽  
...  

Abstract IntroductionSepsis can be detected in an early stage in the emergency department (ED) by biomarkers and clinical scoring systems. A combination of multiple biomarkers or biomarker with clinical scoring system might result in a higher predictive value on mortality. The goal of this systematic review is to evaluate the available literature on combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems on 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED.MethodsWe performed a systematic search using MEDLINE, EMBASE and Google Scholar. Articles were included if they evaluated at least one biomarker combined with another biomarker or clinical scoring system and reported the prognostic accuracy on 28 or 30 day mortality by area under the curve (AUC) in patients with sepsis. ResultsWe included 18 articles in which a total of 35 combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems were studied, of which 33 unique combinations. In total, seven different clinical scoring systems and 21 different biomarkers were investigated. The combination of procalcitonin (PCT), lactate, interleukin-6 (IL-6) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score-2 (SAPS-2) resulted in the highest AUC on 1-month mortality. ConclusionThe combination of PCT, IL-6, lactate and the SAPS-2 score had the highest AUC on 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED. The studies we found in this review were too heterogeneous to conclude that a certain combination it should be used in the ED to predict 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirby Tong-Minh ◽  
Iris Welten ◽  
Henrik Endeman ◽  
Tjebbe Hagenaars ◽  
Christian Ramakers ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Sepsis can be detected in an early stage in the emergency department (ED) by biomarkers and clinical scoring systems. A combination of multiple biomarkers or biomarker with clinical scoring system might result in a higher predictive value on mortality. The goal of this systematic review is to evaluate the available literature on combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems on 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED.Methods We performed a systematic search using MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE and Google Scholar. Articles were included if they evaluated at least one biomarker combined with another biomarker or clinical scoring system and reported the diagnostic accuracy on 28 or 30 day mortality by area under the curve (AUC) in patients with sepsis. Results We found 18 articles in this systematic review. In these 18 articles, a total of 35 combinations of biomarkers and clinical scoring systems were studied of which 33 unique combinations. In total, seven different clinical scoring systems and 21 different biomarkers were investigated. The combination of procalcitonin (PCT), lactate, interleukin-6 (IL-6) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score-2 (SAPS-2) resulted in the highest AUC on 1-month mortality. Conclusion In this systematic review, the combination of PCT, IL-6, lactate and the SAPS-2 score had the highest AUC on 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis in the ED. The studies we found in this review were too heterogeneous to conclude that a certain combination it should be used in the ED to predict 1-month mortality in patients with sepsis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 18-21
Author(s):  
Sameer Thapa ◽  
AR Upreti ◽  
R Bajracharya ◽  
BK Lingden

There are many clinical scoring systems that measure the severity in sepsis and septic shock. Therefore, our study aims to calculate prognostic accuracy of commonly used scoring system SOFA and qSOFA in emergency department as a predictor of mortality among sepsis patients.This was prospective observational study conducted in an emergency department for a period of seven months. 156 patients were studied and descriptive statistical analysis was done. The most common source of infection was respiratory. A positive and moderate correlation was seen between initial SOFA score and qSOFA score. The AUC of SOFA score and qSOFA for predicting the mortality were 0.978 and 0.886 with sensitivity of 96.9% and specificty of 57% for SOFA and sensitivity of 96.9% and specificity of 76.1% for qSOFA.SOFA and qSOFA both proved to be similar as a simple prognostic tool with discriminatory capacity in predicting prognosis in septic patient presenting to emergency department.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Georgios Chatzis ◽  
Birgit Markus ◽  
Styliani Syntila ◽  
Christian Waechter ◽  
Ulrich Luesebrink ◽  
...  

Background. Although scoring systems are widely used to predict outcomes in postcardiac arrest cardiogenic shock (CS) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI), data concerning the accuracy of these scores to predict mortality of patients treated with Impella in this setting are lacking. Thus, we aimed to evaluate as well as to compare the prognostic accuracy of acute physiology and chronic health II (APACHE II), simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II), sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA), the intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP), CardShock, the prediction of cardiogenic shock outcome for AMI patients salvaged by VA-ECMO (ENCOURAGE), and the survival after venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (SAVE) score in patients with OHCA refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella 2.5 or CP. Methods. Retrospective study of 65 consecutive Impella 2.5 and 32 CP patients treated in our cardiac arrest center from September 2015 until June 2020. Results. Overall survival to discharge was 44.3%. The expected mortality according to scores was SOFA 70%, SAPS II 90%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 50%, and SAVE score 70% in the 2.5 group; SOFA 70%, SAPS II 85%, IABP shock 55%, CardShock 80%, APACHE II 85%, ENCOURAGE 75%, and SAVE score 70% in the CP group. The ENCOURAGE score was the most effective predictive model of mortality outcome presenting a moderate area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79, followed by the CardShock, APACHE II, IABP, and SAPS score. These derived an AUC between 0.71 and 0.78. The SOFA and the SAVE scores failed to predict the outcome in this particular setting of refractory CS after OHCA due to an AMI. Conclusion. The available intensive care and newly developed CS scores offered only a moderate prognostic accuracy for outcomes in OHCA patients with refractory CS due to an AMI treated with Impella. A new score is needed in order to guide the therapy in these patients.


Author(s):  
Raúl López-Izquierdo ◽  
Pablo del Brio-Ibañez ◽  
Francisco Martín-Rodríguez ◽  
Alicia Mohedano-Moriano ◽  
Begoña Polonio-López ◽  
...  

The objective of this study was to analyze and compare the usefulness of quick sequential organ failure assessment score (qSOFA) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores for the detection of early (two-day) mortality in patients transported by emergency medical services (EMSs) to the emergency department (ED) (infectious and non-infectious). We performed a multicentric, prospective and blinded end-point study in adults transported with high priority by ambulance from the scene to the ED with the participation of five hospitals. For each score, the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated. We included 870 patients in the final cohort. The median age was 70 years (IQR 54–81 years), and 338 (38.8%) of the participants were women. Two-day mortality was 8.3% (73 cases), and 20.9% of cases were of an infectious pathology. For two-day mortality, the qSOFA presented an AUC of 0.812 (95% CI: 0.75–0.87; p < 0.001) globally with a sensitivity of 84.9 (95% CI: 75.0–91.4) and a specificity of 69.4 (95% CI: 66.1–72.5), and a SOFA of 0.909 (95% CI: 0.86–0.95; p < 0.001) with sensitivity of 87.7 (95% CI: 78.2–93.4) and specificity of 80.7 (95% CI: 77.4–83.3). The qSOFA score can serve as a simple initial assessment to detect high-risk patients, and the SOFA score can be used as an advanced tool to confirm organ dysfunction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophia Marie-Therese Schmitz ◽  
Andreas Kroh ◽  
Tom Florian Ulmer ◽  
Julia Andruszkow ◽  
Tom Luedde ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a frequent condition in obese patients and regularly progresses to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and subsequent cirrhosis. Histologic evaluation is the gold standard for grading and staging, but invasive biopsies are associated with obvious risks. The aim of this study was to evaluate different non-invasive tools for screening of NAFLD and fibrosis in obese patients. Methods In a prospective cohort study liver specimens of 141 patients were taken during bariatric surgery. Serological parameters and clinical data were collected and the following scores calculated: NASH clinical scoring system (NCS), aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), FIB-4 as well as NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Liver function capacity was measured preoperatively by LiMAx test (enzymatic capacity of cytochrome P450 1A2). Intraoperative liver biopsies were classified using NAFLD activity score (NAS) and steatosis, activity and fibrosis (SAF) score. Results APRI was able to differentiate between not NASH and definite NASH with a sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 67% (AUROC 0.76). LiMAx and NCS also showed significant differences between not NASH and definite NASH. No significant differences were found for NFS and Fib-4. APRI had a high sensitivity (83%) and specificity (76%) in distinguishing fibrosis from no fibrosis (AUROC = 0.81). NCS and Fib-4 also revealed high AUROCs (0.85 and 0.67), whereas LiMAx and NFS did not show statistically significant differences between fibrosis stages. Out of the patients with borderline NASH in the histologic NAS score, 48% were classified as NASH by SAF score. Conclusions APRI allows screening of NAFLD as well as fibrosis in obese patients. This score is easy to calculate and affordable, while conveniently only using routine clinical parameters. Using the NAS histologic scoring system bears the risk of underdiagnosing NASH in comparison to SAF score.


2017 ◽  
Vol 36 (12) ◽  
pp. 2361-2369 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. González del Castillo ◽  
◽  
A. Julian-Jiménez ◽  
F. González-Martínez ◽  
J. Álvarez-Manzanares ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 511-516 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Bent ◽  
Paul S. Lee ◽  
Peter Y. Shen ◽  
Heejung Bang ◽  
Mathew Bobinski

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2277
Author(s):  
Yudai Ishikawa ◽  
Hiroshi Fukushima ◽  
Hajime Tanaka ◽  
Soichiro Yoshida ◽  
Minato Yokoyama ◽  
...  

Prognostic accuracy of the quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score for mortality may be limited in elderly patients. Using our multi-institutional database, we classified obstructive acute pyelonephritis (OAPN) patients into young and elderly groups, and evaluated predictive performance of the qSOFA score for in-hospital mortality. qSOFA score ≥ 2 was an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality, as was higher age, and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥ 2. In young patients, the area under the curve (AUC) of the qSOFA score for in-hospital mortality was 0.85, whereas it was 0.61 in elderly patients. The sensitivity and specificity of qSOFA score ≥ 2 for in-hospital mortality was 80% and 80% in young patients, and 50% and 68% in elderly patients, respectively. For elderly patients, we developed the CCI-incorporated qSOFA score, which showed higher prognostic accuracy compared with the qSOFA score (AUC, 0.66 vs. 0.61, p < 0.001). Therefore, the prognostic accuracy of the qSOFA score for in-hospital mortality was high in young OAPN patients, but modest in elderly patients. Although it can work as a screening tool to determine therapeutic management in young patients, for elderly patients, the presence of comorbidities should be considered at the initial assessment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (T3) ◽  
pp. 244-248
Author(s):  
Linda Wati ◽  
Ririe Fachrina Malisie ◽  
Juliandi Harahap

Background: Doctors must be able to quickly and accurately assess clinical condition of patients, especially in the emergency rooms. An easy scoring system but producing meaningful clinical conclusions is the reason for creating various scoring systems. Includes a scoring system for predicting the admission status of patients. Aim: To determine the diagnostic value of POPS and EWSS to predicting admission status of pediatric patients in the emergency department. Methods: Diagnostic tests for POPS and EWSS were done to predict the admission status of pediatric patients in the emergency department of Haji Adam Malik general hospital from May to October 2020. Subjects aged 1 month to 18 years were excluded if they left the emergency department prior to assessment, had trauma cases, died, inpatients due to social indications, and patients who came only to continue therapy were also excluded. POPS and EWSS assessments were carried out by the researcher and the admission status of the patients were determined by the doctor in charge in the emergency department. Results: There were 119 children meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria. POPS score ≥3 had sensitivity 82.65%, specificity 85.71%, and AUC 0.88 (p <0.001). EWSS score ≥2 had sensitivity 83.67%, specificity 71.43%, and AUC 0.83 (p <0.001). Conclusion: POPS and EWSS had good diagnostic values in predicting the admission status of pediatric patients in the emergency department. POPS has a slightly higher diagnostic value than EWSS.


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