scholarly journals Assessing prognostic value of early tumor shrinkage and depth of response in first-line therapy for patients with advanced unresectable pancreatic cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojuan Yang ◽  
Xinghong Xian ◽  
Yongsheng Wang ◽  
Meng Qiu

Abstract Background The prognostic potential of early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DpR) in pancreatic cancer (PC) is unclear. Here, we recruited 90 patients with recurrent and metastatic PC (RMPC) who had received chemotherapy as first-line therapy to assess the prognostic potential of these markers. Methods ETS is characterized as a ≥ 20% depletion in the sum-of-the-longest-diameters (SLD) of measurable tumor lesions at 6–12 weeks than the baseline. DpR is the maximum shrinkage (%) from the baseline to nadir. We evaluated corrections in ETS and DpR with survival. Results Of the 63 patients in which ETS assessment was possible, 21 (33.3%) achieved ETS. We found a significant association between the incidence of ETS and an improved rate of progression-free survival (PFS; 6.5 vs. 2.2 months; p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS; 12.1 vs. 6.0 months; p = 0.014). The median value of DpR was − 23.66%. DpR was also related to improved PFS (9.3 vs. 3.1 months; p < 0.001) and OS (18.2 vs. 7.3 months; p < 0.001). Patients who had distant metastasis, not local recurrence, with ETS showed markedly better outcomes. In a multivariate model, both ETS and DpR were independent predictors of OS in the whole population. Conclusions ETS and DpR may predict favorable outcomes for RMPC patients who had received chemotherapy as first-line therapy, independent of the agents used. Further studies on the exploratory analyses of the optimum ETS cut-off value in recurrent PC patients to predict favorable clinical outcomes are required.

Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 939 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caterina Vivaldi ◽  
Lorenzo Fornaro ◽  
Carla Cappelli ◽  
Irene Pecora ◽  
Silvia Catanese ◽  
...  

Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DoR) predict favorable outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer. We aim to evaluate their prognostic role in metastatic pancreatic cancer (PC) patients treated with first-line modified-FOLFIRINOX (FOLFOXIRI) or Gemcitabine + Nab-paclitaxel (GemNab). Hence, 138 patients were tested for ETS, defined as a ≥20% reduction in the sum of target lesions’ longest diameters (SLD) after 6–8 weeks from baseline, and DoR, i.e., the maximum percentage shrinkage in the SLD from baseline. Association of ETS and DoR with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed. ETS was reached in 49 patients (39.5% in the FOLFOXIRI, 29.8% in the GemNab group; p = 0.280). In the overall population, ETS was significantly associated with better PFS (8.0 vs. 4.8 months, p < 0.001) and OS (13.2 vs. 9.7 months, p = 0.001). Median DoR was −27.5% (−29.4% with FOLFOXIRI and −21.4% with GemNab, p = 0.016): DoR was significantly associated with better PFS (9.0 vs. 6.7 months, p < 0.001) and OS (14.3 vs. 11.1 months, p = 0.031). Multivariate analysis confirmed both ETS and DoR are independently associated with PFS and OS. In conclusion, our study added evidence on the role of ETS and DoR in the prediction of outcome of PC patients treated with first-line combination chemotherapy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 631-631
Author(s):  
S.P. Somashekhar ◽  
Amit Rauthan ◽  
Ashwin K Rajgopal ◽  
Rohit Kumar C

631 Background: Early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and depth of response (DoR) predict overall survival (OS) in first-line chemotherapy + anti-EGFR monoclonal antibodies in KRAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This association and the predictive accuracy of response measurements were investigated in the first-line setting for FOLFOX/FOLFIRI plus cetuximab. Methods: We performed a study of FOLFOX/FOLFIRI plus cetuximab as first-line treatment in Indian patients with KRAS wild-type mCRC. The primary endpoint was response rate (RR), and secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety. Radiologic assessments at week 8 were used to calculate the relative change in the sum of the longest diameters of the target lesions. Cox regression models analysis investigated associations between ETS and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: Sixty (78.9 %) of 76 patients had ETS, which was associated with prolonged PFS and OS. Both ETS and DoR were able to predict survival as accurately as RECIST response. Both ETS and DoR were associated with PFS and OS at the univariate analyses and in the multivariate models stratified for other prognostic variables. In the study patients, the RR, median PFS, and OS were 68.4 %, 13.1 months, and 30.6 months, respectively. Median DpR was 52%. The DpR correlated with OS as well as PFS. FOLFOX plus cetuximab was active as a first-line, with no major toxicities. Conclusions: Our prospective evaluation of chronological tumor shrinkage showed that ETS and DpR correlate with outcomes in patients with KRAS wild-type mCRC who receive cetuximab-based chemotherapy. Achieving rapid and deep tumor shrinkage consistently delays tumor progression and prolongs survival in patients treated with first-line chemotherapy plus cetuximab. ETS is a promising and valuable end point for clinical trials’ design deserving further investigation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4631-4631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktor Gruenwald ◽  
Christoph Seidel ◽  
Martin Fenner ◽  
Michael Woike ◽  
Daniel Kalanovic

4631 Background: Several novel targeted agents significantly prolong overall survival (OS) in metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) patients (pts.). Translational research, however, has not identified any prospectively validated prognostic or predictive biomarkers. Recently, progression free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR) and early tumor shrinkage were proposed as putative predictors for clinical outcome. In this study we aim to explore the potential role of treatment induced tumor remission as a prognostic or predictive parameter in mRCC. Methods: In our analyses we investigated the putative prognostic role of best response according to RECIST 1.1 criteria (complete remission (CR), partial remission (PR), stable disease (SD), progressive disease (PD)) in first line Tyrosine-kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment in n=83 pts. Responders were defined by achieving CR, PR or SD at any time during the course of treatment. Furthermore, we tested whether tumor shrinkage of 10% or more within 12 weeks of treatment qualifies as a potential cut-off-parameter to predict PFS or OS. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed using Log-rang test, Kaplan-Meier-, and Cox-regression analysis. Results: Univariate analyses revealed that first-line treatment non-responders had a significantly shorter OS than responders (p <0.0001). Tumor shrinkage of <10% or ≥10% also correlated with an OS of 14.5 vs. 29.1 mo. (p=0.001) and a PFS of 3.0 vs. 11.5 mo. (p <0.001). In multivariate analyses tumor shrinkage of ≥10% was tested with other common variables such as ECOG, MSKCC-score, histology, and metastatic sites and proved to be a significant independent prognostic (HR 0.361; 95% CI 0.156-0.833) and predictive (HR 0.306; 95% CI 0.152-0.612) parameter. Conclusions: Our results outline that sensitivity to first line treatment of mRCC is an important prognostic factor in mRCC. Hereby tumor shrinkage of ≥10% within 12 weeks of treatment reveals a novel cut-off-parameter, which showed to be a promising prognostic and predictive marker in mRCC. Further investigations are needed to validate this parameter.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 749-749
Author(s):  
Hiroshi Nakatsumi ◽  
Satoshi Yuki ◽  
Tetsuhito Muranaka ◽  
Hiraku Fukushima ◽  
Takashi Kato ◽  
...  

749 Background: It was reported that early tumor shrinkage (ETS) was associated with better overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) receiving cetuximab. We investigated association of ETS with progression free survival (PFS) in pts with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM) from HGCSG0802 observational cohort study in pts with mCRC treated with first-line bevacizumab (BV)-based chemotherapy. Methods: The objective of HGCSG0802 was to evaluate PFS, OS, time to treatment failure (TTF), response rate (RR), safety and so on. The key eligibility criteria were evaluable lesions, older than 20 years old, ECOG PS 0-2. In this analysis, association of ETS at 8 weeks from the start of chemotherapy with pts characteristics, PFS and TTF was evaluated. Pts characteristics were compared using Student-t test, chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test. PFS and TTF were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank test. Univariate analysis for the association of pts characteristics with PFS and TTF was performed using log-rank test, and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 108 pts (the full analysis set), 74 pts with CLM were evaluable for ETS. Forty-nine pts (66.2%) had ETS ≥20%. The pts characteristics between ETS ≥20% and <20% were well balanced. The median PFS was 7.3 months in ETS <20% versus 10.0 months in ETS ≥20% (HR 0.55; p=0.025). In multivariate analysis for PFS, there was no significant difference between ETS ≥20% and <20% (HR 0.585; p=0.066). The median TTF (ETS <20% v ≥20%) was 5,1 months vs. 7.7 months (HR 0.46; p=0.003). In multivariate analysis for TTF, there was significant difference between ETS ≥20% and <20% (HR 0.509; p=0.017). Conclusions: In this analysis, ETS ≥20% might be positive predictive marker for PFS and TTF in pts with CLM receiving first-line BV-based chemotherapy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangyun Liu ◽  
Yixuan Zhang ◽  
Miaowen Liu ◽  
Ruoxin Xu ◽  
Fengming Yi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although pembrolizumab has shown clinical benefit in patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC), its actual efficacy in combination with a conventional chemotherapy drug has not been determined. We performed this study to discern the efficacy and risk of pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy as first-line therapy in SCLC patients. Methods We systematically searched the PubMed, ScienceDirect, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases for relevant studies. The main outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Results We identified 2980 articles and included 6 studies (5 were noncomparative open-label studies and 1 was a randomized controlled trial [RCT]) involving 396 patients in our meta-analysis. The pooled median OS (mOS) was 9.6 months (95% CI, 8.0-11.2), and the pooled median PFS (mPFS) was 4.2 months (95% CI, 2.2-6.1). The 1-year overall survival rate (OSR-1y) and 6-month progression-free survival rate (PFSR-6m) were 45.1% (95% CI, 33-57.2%) and 41.6% (95% CI, 24.3-59%), respectively. The objective response rate (ORR) was 38.8% (95% CI, 11.9-65.67%), disease control rate (DCR) was 69.30% (95% CI, 51.6-87.0%), complete response (CR) was 2.20% (95% CI, 0.8-3.7%), partial response (PR) was 34.70% (95% CI, 7.8-61.5%), and stable disease (SD) was 20.90% (95% CI, 9.1-32.6%). The grade 3-4 adverse effect (AE) rate was 20.88% (95% CI, 1.22-54.85%). The most common AEs were neutropenia (90.16%), anemia (53.21%), dysphagia (41.96%), platelet count decrease (34.87%), and esophagitis (32.89%); severe AEs included neutropenia, respiratory failure, pneumonitis, acute coronary syndrome, and colitis/intestinal ischemia. Conclusions The combination of pembrolizumab with conventional chemotherapy is an effective therapeutic schedule with acceptable and manageable efficacy and toxicity in patients with SCLC. More high-quality and well-designed RCTs with large sample sizes are warranted to further validate our findings.


Author(s):  
Mikifumi Koura ◽  
Masaki Shiota ◽  
Shohei Ueda ◽  
Takashi Matsumoto ◽  
Satoshi Kobayashi ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective This study aimed to reveal the prognostic values of prior local therapy in first-line therapy using androgen receptor-axis targeting agents (abiraterone or enzalutamide) or docetaxel for castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). Methods The study included 303 patients treated with first-line therapy for non-metastatic and metastatic CRPC. The association between prior local therapy and therapeutic outcome including progression-free survival and overall survival was investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses as well as propensity score-matched analysis. Results In univariate analysis, local prior therapy was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 0.56, 95% confidence interval, 0.40–0.79; P = 0.0009). Overall survival, but not progression-free survival, was better among patients with prior local therapy compared with patients without prior local therapy even after multivariate analysis and propensity score-matched analysis. Conclusions This study robustly indicated that prior local treatment was prognostic for overall survival among patients with CRPC. This finding is useful to predict patient prognosis in CRPC.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironaga Satake ◽  
Koji Ando ◽  
Eiji Oki ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Akitaka Makiyama ◽  
...  

Abstract Background FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab is used as a first-line therapy for patients with unresectable or metastatic colorectal cancer. However, there are no clear recommendations for second-line therapy after FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab combination. Here, we describe our planning for the EFFORT study to investigate whether FOLFIRI plus aflibercept has efficacy following FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab for mCRC. Methods EFFORT is an open-label, multicenter, single arm phase II study to evaluate whether a FOLFIRI plus aflibercept has efficacy following FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab for mCRC. Patients with unresectable or metastatic colorectal cancer who received FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab as a first-line therapy will receive aflibercept and FOLFIRI (aflibercept 4 mg/kg, irinotecan 150 mg/m2 IV over 90 min, with levofolinate 200 mg/m2 IV over 2 h, followed by fluorouracil 400 mg/m2 bolus and fluorouracil 2400 mg/m2 continuous infusion over 46 h) every 2 weeks on day 1 of each cycle. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival (PFS). To achieve 80% power to show a significant response benefit with a one-sided alpha level of 0.10, assuming a threshold progression-free survival of 3 months and an expected value of at least 5.4 months, we estimated that 32 patients are necessary. Secondary endpoints include overall survival, overall response rate, safety, and exploratory biomarker analysis for differentiating anti-VEGF drug in 2nd-line chemotherapy for unresectable or metastatic colorectal cancer. Discussion This is the first study to investigate whether FOLFIRI plus aflibercept has efficacy following FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab for unresectable or metastatic colorectal cancer. Switching to a different type of anti-VEGF drug in second-line therapy after FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab appears to be an attractive treatment strategy when considering survival benefit. It is expected that this phase II study will prove the efficacy of this strategy and that a biomarker for drug selection will be discovered. Trial registration Japan Registry of Clinical Trials jRCTs071190003. Registered April 18, 2019.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS4681-TPS4681 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian D. Davis ◽  
Val Gebski ◽  
Mark D. Chatfield ◽  
Peter S. Grimison ◽  
George Kannourakis ◽  
...  

TPS4681 Background: Treatment of RCC has improved due to better understanding of its biology. New targeted therapies have improved time to progression and overall survival but the optimal sequencing of agents is unknown. Currently drugs are given sequentially, usually starting with sunitinib and often followed by an mTOR inhibitor or another VEGFR-targeted therapy, but resistance to both drugs eventually occurs probably due to host adaptive responses. We hypothesize that resistance might be delayed by planned alternation of treatments. Methods: EVERSUN is a single-arm, two-stage, multicenter, phase II clinical trial aiming to determine the activity and safety of an alternating regimen of two therapies with different targets (sunitinib and everolimus) in patients with advanced RCC. Key eligibility criteria: RCC with a clear cell component; metastatic or locally advanced disease not suitable for resection; ECOG performance status 0-1; low or intermediate MSKCC prognostic score. The primary endpoint is the status of being alive and progression-free (RECIST 1.1) 6 months after registration. Target accrual of 55 subjects gives 95% power and 95% confidence to distinguish between 6-month progression free survival rates of 64% or lower vs 84% or higher using a Simon 2-stage minimax design. The criteria for further evaluation come from the pivotal trial of single agent sunitinib as first line therapy for RCC, in which the 6-month progression free survival rate was 74%. Trial treatment is administered in 12-week (wk) cycles consisting of 4 wks of sunitinib (50 mg daily) followed by 2 wks rest, followed by 5 wks of everolimus (10 mg daily) followed by 1 wk rest. Disease progression is interpreted as failure of the most recent drug taken. Participants who stop one drug because of toxicity or disease progression, on or before the 6 month assessment, will continue the other drug until subsequent progression or prohibitive toxicity on the second drug. EVERSUN is an ANZUP Cancer Trials Group Ltd. trial coordinated by the NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre. Accrual commenced in September 2010 with 38/55 participants recruited as of the 31-Jan-12 from 17 Australian sites (ACTRN12609000643279).


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