scholarly journals Comparison of short-term electrical load forecasting methods for different building types

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (S3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arne Groß ◽  
Antonia Lenders ◽  
Friedhelm Schwenker ◽  
Daniel A. Braun ◽  
David Fischer

AbstractThe transformation of the energy system towards volatile renewable generation, increases the need to manage decentralized flexibilities more efficiently. For this, precise forecasting of uncontrollable electrical load is key. Although there is an abundance of studies presenting innovative individual methods for load forecasting, comprehensive comparisons of popular methods are hard to come across.In this paper, eight methods for day-ahead forecasts of supermarket, school and residential electrical load on the level of individual buildings are compared. The compared algorithms came from machine learning and statistics and a median ensemble combining the individual forecasts was used.In our examination, nearly all the studied methods improved forecasting accuracy compared to the naïve seasonal benchmark approach. The forecast error could be reduced by up to 35% compared to the benchmark. From the individual methods, the neural networks achieved the best results for the school and supermarket buildings, whereas the k-nearest-neighbor regression had the lowest forecasting error for households. The median ensemble narrowly yielded a lower forecast error than all individual methods for the residential and school category and was only outperformed by a neural network for the supermarket data. However, this slight increase in performance came at the cost of a significantly increased computation time. Overall, identifying a single best method remains a challenge specific to the forecasting task.

Forecasting ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 242-254
Author(s):  
Daniel Ramos ◽  
Mahsa Khorram ◽  
Pedro Faria ◽  
Zita Vale

Energy efficiency topics have been covered by several energy management approaches in the literature, including participation in demand response programs where the consumers provide load reduction upon request or price signals. In such approaches, it is very important to know in advance the electricity consumption for the future to adequately perform the energy management. In the present paper, a load forecasting service designed for office buildings is implemented. In the building, using several available sensors, different learning parameters and structures are tested for artificial neural networks and the K-nearest neighbor algorithm. Deep focus is given to the individual period errors. In the case study, the forecasting of one week of electricity consumption is tested. It has been concluded that it is impossible to identify a single combination of learning parameters as different parts of the day have different consumption patterns.


Author(s):  
Miguel A. Sánchez-Acevedo ◽  
Zaydi Anaí Acosta-Chi ◽  
Ma. del Rocío Morales-Salgado

Cardiovascular diseases are the main cause of mortality in the world. As more people suffer from diabetes and hypertension, the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) increases. A sedentary lifestyle, an unhealthy diet, and stressful activities are behaviors that can be changed to prevent CVD. Taking measures to prevent CVD lowers the cost of treatments and reduces mortality. Data-driven plans generate more effective results and can be applied to groups with similar characteristics. Currently, there are several databases that can be used to extract information in real time and improve decision making. This article proposes a methodology for the detection of CVD and a web tool to analyze the data more effectively. The methodology for extracting, describing, and visualizing data from a state-level case study of CVD in Mexico is presented. The data is obtained from the databases of the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) and the National Survey of Health and Nutrition (ENSANUT). A k-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithm is proposed to predict missing data.


Author(s):  
Sikha Bagui ◽  
Arup Kumar Mondal ◽  
Subhash Bagui

In this work the authors present a parallel k nearest neighbor (kNN) algorithm using locality sensitive hashing to preprocess the data before it is classified using kNN in Hadoop's MapReduce framework. This is compared with the sequential (conventional) implementation. Using locality sensitive hashing's similarity measure with kNN, the iterative procedure to classify a data object is performed within a hash bucket rather than the whole data set, greatly reducing the computation time needed for classification. Several experiments were run that showed that the parallel implementation performed better than the sequential implementation on very large datasets. The study also experimented with a few map and reduce side optimization features for the parallel implementation and presented some optimum map and reduce side parameters. Among the map side parameters, the block size and input split size were varied, and among the reduce side parameters, the number of planes were varied, and their effects were studied.


Author(s):  
Abdelouahad Achmamad ◽  
Abdelali Belkhou ◽  
Atman Jbari

Early diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) based on electromyography (EMG) is crucial. The processing of a non-stationary EMG signal requires powerful multi-resolution methods. Our study analyzes and classifies the EMG signals. In the present work, we introduce a novel flexible method for classification of EMG signals using tunable Q-factor wavelet transform (TQWT). Different sub-bands generated by the TQWT technique were served to extract useful information related to energy and then the calculated features were selected using a filter selection (FS) method. The effectiveness of the feature selection step resulted not only in the improvement of classification performance but also in reducing the computation time of the classification algorithm. The selected feature subsets were used as inputs to multiple classifier algorithms, namely, k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) and random forest (RF) for automated diagnosis. The experimental results show better classification measures with k-NN classifier compared with LS-SVM and RF. The robustness of the classification task was tested using a ten-fold cross-validation method. The outcomes of our proposed approach can be exploited to aid clinicians in neuromuscular disorders detection.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Muhammad Farrukh Khan ◽  
Taher M. Ghazal ◽  
Raed A. Said ◽  
Areej Fatima ◽  
Sagheer Abbas ◽  
...  

The Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) enables digital devices to gather, infer, and broadcast health data via the cloud platform. The phenomenal growth of the IoMT is fueled by many factors, including the widespread and growing availability of wearables and the ever-decreasing cost of sensor-based technology. The cost of related healthcare will rise as the global population of elderly people grows in parallel with an overall life expectancy that demands affordable healthcare services, solutions, and developments. IoMT may bring revolution in the medical sciences in terms of the quality of healthcare of elderly people while entangled with machine learning (ML) algorithms. The effectiveness of the smart healthcare (SHC) model to monitor elderly people was observed by performing tests on IoMT datasets. For evaluation, the precision, recall, fscore, accuracy, and ROC values are computed. The authors also compare the results of the SHC model with different conventional popular ML techniques, e.g., support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and decision tree (DT), to analyze the effectiveness of the result.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
I Made Aris Satia Widiatmika ◽  
I Nyoman Piarsa ◽  
Arida Ferti Syafiandini

Individual recognition using biometric technology can be utilized in creating security systems that are important in modern life. The individuals recognition in hospitals generally done by conventional system so it makes more time in taking identity. A newborn baby will proceed an identity tagging after birth process is complete. This identity using a bracelet filled with names and ink stamps on paper that will be prone to damage or crime. The solution is to store the baby's identity data digitally and carry out the baby's identification process. This system can increase safety and efficiency in storing a baby's footprint image. The implementation of baby's footprint image identification starting from the acquisition of baby's footprint image, preprocessing such as selecting ROI size baby's footprint object, feature extraction using wavelet method and classification process using K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN) method because this method has been widely used in several studies of biometric identification systems. The test data came from 30 classes with 180 images test right and left baby's footprint. The identification results using 200x500 size ROI with level 4 wavelet decomposition get recognition results with an accuracy of 99.30%, 90.17% precision, and 89.44% recall with a test computation time of 8.0370 seconds.  


In today era credit card are extensively used for day to day business as well as other transactions. Ascent within the variety of transactions through master card has junction rectifier to rise in the dishonest activities. In trendy day's fraud is one in every of the most important concern within the monetary loses not solely to the merchants however additionally to the individual purchasers. Data processing had competed a commanding role within the detection of credit card in on-line group action. Our aim is to first of all establish the categories of the fraud secondly, the techniques like K-nearest neighbor, Hidden Markov model, SVM, logistic regression, decision tree and neural network. So fraud detection systems became essential for the banks to attenuate their loses. In this paper we have research about the various detecting techniques to identify and detect the fraud through varied techniques of data mining


Author(s):  
Norsyela Muhammad Noor Mathivanan ◽  
Nor Azura Md.Ghani ◽  
Roziah Mohd Janor

<p>Online business development through e-commerce platforms is a phenomenon which change the world of promoting and selling products in this 21<sup>st</sup> century. Product title classification is an important task in assisting retailers and sellers to list a product in a suitable category. Product title classification is apart of text classification problem but the properties of product title are different from general document. This study aims to evaluate the performance of five different supervised learning models on data sets consist of e-commerce product titles with a very short description and they are incomplete sentences. The supervised learning models involve in the study are Naïve Bayes, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest. The results show KNN model is the best model with the highest accuracy and fastest computation time to classify the data used in the study. Hence, KNN model is a good approach in classifying e-commerce products.</p>


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