Trimming a Hazard Logic Tree with a New Model-Order-Reduction Technique

2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 857-874 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith Porter ◽  
Edward Field ◽  
Kevin Milner

The size of the logic tree within the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Version 3, Time-Dependent (UCERF3-TD) model can challenge risk analyses of large portfolios. An insurer or catastrophe risk modeler concerned with losses to a California portfolio might have to evaluate a portfolio 57,600 times to estimate risk in light of the hazard possibility space. Which branches of the logic tree matter most, and which can one ignore? We employed two model-order-reduction techniques to simplify the model. We sought a subset of parameters that must vary, and the specific fixed values for the remaining parameters, to produce approximately the same loss distribution as the original model. The techniques are (1) a tornado-diagram approach we employed previously for UCERF2, and (2) an apparently novel probabilistic sensitivity approach that seems better suited to functions of nominal random variables. The new approach produces a reduced-order model with only 60 of the original 57,600 leaves. One can use the results to reduce computational effort in loss analyses by orders of magnitude.

Author(s):  
Fabian Müller ◽  
Lucas Crampen ◽  
Thomas Henneron ◽  
Stephane Clénet ◽  
Kay Hameyer

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to use different model order reduction techniques to cope with the computational effort of solving large systems of equations. By appropriate decomposition of the electromagnetic field problem, the number of degrees of freedom (DOF) can be efficiently reduced. In this contribution, the Proper Generalized Decomposition (PGD) and the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) are used in the frame of the T-Ω-formulation, and the feasibility is elaborated. Design/methodology/approach The POD and the PGD are two methods to reduce the model order. Particularly in the context of eddy current problems, conventional time-stepping algorithms can lead to many numerical simulations of the studied problem. To simulate the transient field, the T-Ω-formulation is used which couples the magnetic scalar potential and the electric vector potential. In this paper, both methods are studied on an academic example of an induction furnace in terms of accuracy and computational effort. Findings Using the proposed reduction techniques significantly reduces the DOF and subsequently the computational effort. Further, the feasibility of the combination of both methods with the T-Ω-formulation is given, and a fundamental step toward fast simulation of eddy current problems is shown. Originality/value In this paper, the PGD is combined for the first time with the T-Ω-formulation. The application of the PGD and POD and the following comparison illustrate the great potential of these techniques in combination with the T-Ω-formulation in context of eddy current problems.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Othman M. K. Alsmadi ◽  
Zaer S. Abo-Hammour

A robust computational technique for model order reduction (MOR) of multi-time-scale discrete systems (single input single output (SISO) and multi-input multioutput (MIMO)) is presented in this paper. This work is motivated by the singular perturbation of multi-time-scale systems where some specific dynamics may not have significant influence on the overall system behavior. The new approach is proposed using genetic algorithms (GA) with the advantage of obtaining a reduced order model, maintaining the exact dominant dynamics in the reduced order, and minimizing the steady state error. The reduction process is performed by obtaining an upper triangular transformed matrix of the system state matrix defined in state space representation along with the elements ofB,C, andDmatrices. The GA computational procedure is based on maximizing the fitness function corresponding to the response deviation between the full and reduced order models. The proposed computational intelligence MOR method is compared to recently published work on MOR techniques where simulation results show the potential and advantages of the new approach.


Machines ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azhar ◽  
Zulfiqar ◽  
Liaquat ◽  
Kumar

In model order reduction and system theory, the cross-gramian is widely applicable. The cross-gramian based model order reduction techniques have the advantage over conventional balanced truncation that it is computationally less complex, while providing a unique relationship with the Hankel singular values of the original system at the same time. This basic property of cross-gramian holds true for all symmetric systems. However, for non-square and non-symmetric dynamical systems, the standard cross-gramian does not satisfy this property. Hence, alternate approaches need to be developed for its evaluation. In this paper, a generalized frequency-weighted cross-gramian-based controller reduction algorithm is presented, which is applicable to both symmetric and non-symmetric systems. The proposed algorithm is also applicable to unstable systems even if they have poles of opposite polarities and equal magnitudes. The proposed technique produces an accurate approximation of the reduced order model in the desired frequency region with a reduced computational effort. A lower order controller can be designed using the proposed technique, which ensures closed-loop stability and performance with the original full order plant. Numerical examples provide evidence of the efficacy of the proposed technique.


Geophysics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 83 (2) ◽  
pp. WB61-WB70
Author(s):  
Jörn Zimmerling ◽  
Vladimir Druskin ◽  
Mikhail Zaslavsky ◽  
Rob F. Remis

We have developed several Krylov projection-based model-order reduction techniques to simulate electromagnetic wave propagation and diffusion in unbounded domains. Such techniques can be used to efficiently approximate transfer function field responses between a given set of sources and receivers and allow for fast and memory-efficient computation of Jacobians, thereby lowering the computational burden associated with inverse scattering problems. We found how general wavefield principles such as reciprocity, passivity, and the Schwarz reflection principle translate from the analytical to the numerical domain and developed polynomial, extended, and rational Krylov model-order reduction techniques that preserve these structures. Furthermore, we found that the symmetry of the Maxwell equations allows for projection onto polynomial and extended Krylov subspaces without saving a complete basis. In particular, short-term recurrence relations can be used to construct reduced-order models that are as memory efficient as time-stepping algorithms. In addition, we evaluated the differences between Krylov reduced-order methods for the full wave and diffusive Maxwell equations and we developed numerical examples to highlight the advantages and disadvantages of the discussed methods.


2020 ◽  
pp. 108128652093704
Author(s):  
Yakubu Kasimu Galadima ◽  
Erkan Oterkus ◽  
Selda Oterkus

Static condensation is widely used as a model order reduction technique to reduce the computational effort and complexity of classical continuum-based computational models, such as finite-element models. Peridynamic theory is a nonlocal theory developed primarily to overcome the shortcoming of classical continuum-based models in handling discontinuous system responses. In this study, a model order reduction algorithm is developed based on the static condensation technique to reduce the order of peridynamic models. Numerical examples are considered to demonstrate the robustness of the proposed reduction algorithm in reproducing the static and dynamic response and the eigenresponse of the full peridynamic models.


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