High-Resolution Seismic Hazard Analysis in a Complex Geological Configuration: The Case of the Sulmona Basin in Central Italy

2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 1801-1824 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuela Villani ◽  
Ezio Faccioli ◽  
Mario Ordaz ◽  
Marco Stupazzini
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Near Field ◽  
Central Italy ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Spectral Element ◽  
Seismic Wave Propagation ◽  
Novel Approach

This work proposes a novel approach for probabilistic seismic hazard analyses (PSHA) in the near field of active earthquake faults, in which deterministically computed ground motion scenarios, replacing empirically predicted ground motion values, are introduced. In fact, the databases of most ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) tend to be insufficiently constrained at short distances and data may only partially account for the rupture process, seismic wave propagation and three-dimensional (3-D) complex configurations. Hence, herein, 3-D numerical simulations of a Mw = 6.4 earthquake rupture of the Sulmona fault in Central Italy, are carried out through the spectral element code GeoELSE ( f < 2.5 Hz), and the results are introduced in a PSHA, exploiting the capabilities of CRISIS2008 code. The SH results obtained highlight the combined effects of site, basin, and topographic features, and provide a “high-resolution” representation of the hazard in the Sulmona Basin, particularly at long periods. Such representation is expected to be more realistic than those based simply on a GMPE.

scholarly journals A ground motion logic tree for seismic hazard analysis in the stable cratonic region of Europe: regionalisation, model selection and development of a scaled backbone approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (14) ◽  
pp. 6119-6148
Author(s):  
Graeme Weatherill ◽  
Fabrice Cotton
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Epistemic Uncertainty ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Analysis ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Logic Tree ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Northeastern Europe

Abstract Regions of low seismicity present a particular challenge for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis when identifying suitable ground motion models (GMMs) and quantifying their epistemic uncertainty. The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model adopts a scaled backbone approach to characterise this uncertainty for shallow seismicity in Europe, incorporating region-to-region source and attenuation variability based on European strong motion data. This approach, however, may not be suited to stable cratonic region of northeastern Europe (encompassing Finland, Sweden and the Baltic countries), where exploration of various global geophysical datasets reveals that its crustal properties are distinctly different from the rest of Europe, and are instead more closely represented by those of the Central and Eastern United States. Building upon the suite of models developed by the recent NGA East project, we construct a new scaled backbone ground motion model and calibrate its corresponding epistemic uncertainties. The resulting logic tree is shown to provide comparable hazard outcomes to the epistemic uncertainty modelling strategy adopted for the Eastern United States, despite the different approaches taken. Comparison with previous GMM selections for northeastern Europe, however, highlights key differences in short period accelerations resulting from new assumptions regarding the characteristics of the reference rock and its influence on site amplification.

scholarly journals Seismic Hazard Assessment for the Tianshui Urban Area, Gansu Province, China

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenming Wang ◽  
David T. Butler ◽  
Edward W. Woolery ◽  
Lanmin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Design ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Gansu Province ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Peak Ground Velocity ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Acceleration Time Histories

A scenario seismic hazard analysis was performed for the city of Tianshui. The scenario hazard analysis utilized the best available geologic and seismological information as well as composite source model (i.e., ground motion simulation) to derive ground motion hazards in terms of acceleration time histories, peak values (e.g., peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity), and response spectra. This study confirms that Tianshui is facing significant seismic hazard, and certain mitigation measures, such as better seismic design for buildings and other structures, should be developed and implemented. This study shows that PGA of 0.3 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity VIII) should be considered for seismic design of general building and PGA of 0.4 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity IX) for seismic design of critical facility in Tianshui.

Three-Dimensional Simulations of Strong Ground Motion in the Shidian Basin

2014 ◽  
Vol 501-504 ◽  
pp. 1447-1452
Author(s):  
Yan Yan Yu ◽  
Qi Fang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Surface Wave ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Waves ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Spectral Element ◽  
Low Velocity ◽  
Computing Technique ◽  
Soil Deposits ◽  
Basin Edge ◽  
The Impact

Seismic response of the Shidian basin to moderate scenario earthquake is investigated considering 3D basin model incorporated with real topography by using the spectral-element method and parallel computing technique. The wave propagation process, the generation of surface wave, and the impact of soil deposits velocity to the basin-induced surface wave are studied in this paper. The results show that the amplification behavior of the basin is the interactions of basin geometry and low velocity soil deposits. First, locally small hollows in the basin are apt to trap seismic waves and produce much stronger ground motion, basin edge and areas with deep sediments are also characterized with large amplification. Then, basin with softer soil deposits produces stronger surface waves with lower propagation velocity and higher mode.

scholarly journals Installation Uncertainty of Field Level Calculation around a Base Station Antenna

2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 115
Author(s):  
Antonio Šarolić ◽  
Borivoj Modlic
Keyword(s):  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Near Field ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Base Station ◽  
Radiation Hazard ◽  
Specific Situation ◽  
Field Calculation ◽  
Single Antenna ◽  
Level Calculation

In the near field, the antenna pattern provided by the antenna manufacturer is generally not applicable, or shouldbe considered with caution, even for the single antenna in free space. In the real life, antenna is often surrounded by other conductive objects in the immediate vicinity. These objects tend to distort the antenna radiation pattern. Since the electromagnetic field calculation for the coverage or radiation hazard analysis depends on the three-dimensional antenna gain, this effect should be taken into account. This paper suggests the use of "installation uncertainty" that should be added to the field calculation. The amount of this quantity depends on the installation geometry and can be calculated numerically for a specific situation. This paper shows the results of numerical calculations for some typical antenna installation geometries.

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