Minimal residual local disease predicts improved survival after chemoradiotherapy in patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus
15070 Background: Our recent analyses (JCO, in press) showed that residual nodal disease but not T-stage predicted survival after chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) and surgery for esophageal adenocarcinoma (AC). In this study, we investigated prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) after CRT. Methods: Retrospective review of patients with esophageal SCC who had CRT and esophagectomy. Data collected: demographics, CRT details, pathologic findings, and survival. Statistical methods included recursive partitioning (RP) and Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses. Results: Patients included in the study were treated between 1/1996 and 2/2006. Follow up was thru 5/06. 91 patients were appropriate for analysis. There were 56 men (61.5%) and 35 women (38.5%). 72 (79.1%) patients had clinical regional disease prior to treatment, while the rest had locally advanced disease. Median radiation dose was 5040 cGy, and 78 (85.7%) patients received cisplatin based chemotherapy. 49 (53.8%) patients had a complete local pathologic response (pCR), including 10/91 (10.9%) who had a pCR with residual nodal disease. 42 (46.2%) patients had residual local disease. RP analysis identified 3 prognostic groups: a) Group 1 (n=52), patients with minimal residual local disease (pCR & T1- regardless of nodal status), b) Group 2 (n=28), patients with residual T2 disease (N0 and N1) as well as patients with T3–4N0 disease, and c) Group 3 (n=11), patients with residual T3–4N1 disease. 3-year survival by KM analysis was 68.4% in group 1, 45.6% in group 2, and 0 % in group 3 (p<0.001). Conclusions: Unlike adenocarcinoma of the esophagus where residual nodal disease after CRT is the most significant predictor of survival, in SCC of the esophagus, the presence of minimal residual local disease after CRT, regardless of nodal status, predicts the best survival. The implications of these findings might include establishing different endpoints to assess response to treatment and prognostic criteria. No significant financial relationships to disclose.