The risk of debilitating falls in Manitobans living with prostate cancer (pc).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 244-244
Author(s):  
Joel Roger Gingerich ◽  
Pascal Lambert ◽  
Malcolm Doupe ◽  
Paul Joseph Daeninck ◽  
Marshall W. Pitz ◽  
...  

244 Background: Falls and fall-related injuries are important patient safety problems. Some studies suggest that pc patients have higher fall rates, however the severity of these falls is unknown. We sought to measure if pc patients are at increased risk of a debilitating fall requiring hospitalization. Methods: This is a retrospective population-based study utilizing the Manitoba Cancer Registry and Manitoba Health administrative databases. Our cohort consists of all community-dwelling patients living in Manitoba Canada who were diagnosed with pc between 2004 and 2008. These individuals were matched by age, sex, and time of diagnosis with up to three cancer-free controls. Debilitating falls were defined as falls/fractures requiring hospitalization and were identified using ICD-9 and -10 billing codes. A competing risk model was used to compare debilitating falls between the pc and cancer-free cohorts and expressed as sub-hazard ratios. Follow-up ended December 31, 2009. Results: 2,903 pc patients were identified along with 8,686 matched controls. The mean age was 69.3 and 68.8 respectively. The median follow-up was 3.05 years. Debilitating falls were identified in 109 patients (3.8%) with pc and 345 (4%) matched controls. The cumulative incidence of debilitating falls for those with pc vs cancer-free controls were: 1.08% vs. 1.13% at 1-year and 5.25% vs. 5.96% at five years of follow-up (SHR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.77 – 1.18, p = 0.65). On univariate analysis, patients with stage IV pc were at higher risk of falls compared to matched controls. This difference was not significant on multivariate analysis though (SHR = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.74 – 1.89, p = 0.48). On multivariate analysis, patients with a Gleason score of ≤6 experienced a reduced risk of debilitating falls compared to matched controls (SHR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.27 – 0.72, p = 0.001), whereas patients with other Gleason scores did not. The analysis was similar when patients with fractures were excluded. Conclusions: In this large population-based study, the 1- and 5-year cumulative incidence of debilitating falls did not differ significantly for patients with vs without pc. In fact, compared to matched controls, low grade pc patients were less likely to experience a debilitating fall.

2011 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 990-995 ◽  
Author(s):  
J Antonio Aviña-Zubieta ◽  
Michal Abrahamowicz ◽  
Hyon K Choi ◽  
M Mushfiqur Rahman ◽  
Marie-Pierre Sylvestre ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo determine the effect of glucocorticoids (GC) on the risk of cerebrovascular accidents (CVA) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).MethodsA population-based cohort study was carried out using administrative health data on 7051 individuals with RA onset between 1997 and 2001 and no exposure to GC before RA onset. Follow-up was until 2006. GC exposure was defined in four ways: current use (yes/no), current dose (mg/day), cumulative dose (grams) and cumulative duration of use (years). All were used as time-dependent variables updated monthly. CVA were ascertained using hospitalisation and vital statistics data. Transient ischaemic attacks were not considered as CVA. Cox regression models adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular drug use, propensity scores and RA characteristics were used.ResultsThe mean age of the cohort was 56 years and 66% were women. Over 6 years' mean follow-up (43 355 person-years), 178 incident CVA cases were identified. GC current use was not associated with a significant increase in the risk of CVA (HR=1.41, 95% CI 0.84 to 2.37). Similarly, the models that accounted for daily dose (HR=1.07, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.21 for each 5 mg increase in the daily dose), cumulative duration of use (HR=1.1, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.32 for each year accumulated in the past) and total cumulative dose (HR=1.04, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.08 per gram accumulated in the past) were also not significantly associated with CVA.ConclusionsThis large population-based study indicates that GC use is not associated with an increased risk of CVA in cases with RA.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (30) ◽  
pp. 3807-3814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunkit Fung ◽  
Sophie D. Fossa ◽  
Michael T. Milano ◽  
Jan Oldenburg ◽  
Lois B. Travis

Purpose Increased risks of solid tumors after older radiotherapy strategies for testicular cancer (TC) are well established. Few population-based studies, however, focus on solid cancer risk among survivors of TC managed with nonradiotherapy approaches. We quantified the site-specific risk of solid cancers among testicular nonseminoma patients treated in the modern era of cisplatin-based chemotherapy, without radiotherapy. Patients and Methods Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for solid tumors were calculated for 12,691 patients with testicular nonseminoma reported to the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program (1980 to 2008) and treated initially with either chemotherapy (n = 6,013) or surgery (n = 6,678) without radiotherapy. Patients accrued 116,073 person-years of follow-up. Results Two hundred ten second solid cancers were observed. No increased risk followed surgery alone (SIR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76 to 1.14; n = 99 solid cancers), whereas significantly increased 40% excesses (SIR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.73; n = 111 solid cancers) occurred after chemotherapy. Increased risks of solid cancers after chemotherapy were observed in most follow-up periods (median latency, 12.5 years), including more than 20 years after treatment (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.96 to 2.33); significantly increased three- to seven-fold risks occurred for cancers of the kidney (SIR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.79 to 5.77), thyroid (SIR, 4.40; 95% CI, 2.19 to 7.88), and soft tissue (SIR, 7.49; 95% CI, 3.59 to 13.78). Conclusion To our knowledge, this is the first large population-based series reporting significantly increased risks of solid cancers among patients with testicular nonseminoma treated in the modern era of cisplatin-based chemotherapy. Subsequent analytic studies should focus on the evaluation of dose-response relationships, types of solid cancers, latency patterns, and interactions with other possible factors, including genetic susceptibility.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Farhadnejad ◽  
Karim Parastouei ◽  
Hosein Rostami ◽  
Parvin Mirmiran ◽  
Fereidoun Azizi

Abstract Background In the current study, we aimed to investigate the association of dietary inflammation scores (DIS) and lifestyle inflammation scores (LIS) with the risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a prospective population-based study. Methods A total of 1625 participants without MetS were recruited from among participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study(2006–2008) and followed a mean of 6.1 years. Dietary data of subjects were collected using a food frequency questionnaire at baseline to determine LIS and DIS. Multivariable logistic regression models, were used to calculate the odds ratio (ORs) and 95 % confidence interval (CI) of MetS across tertiles of DIS and LIS. Results Mean ± SD age of individuals (45.8 % men) was 37.5 ± 13.4 years. Median (25–75 interquartile range) DIS and LIS for all participants was 0.80 (− 2.94, 3.64) and 0.48 (− 0.18, − 0.89), respectively. During the study follow-up, 291 (17.9 %) new cases of MetS were identified. Based on the age and sex-adjusted model, a positive association was found between LIS (OR = 7.56; 95% CI 5.10–11.22, P for trend < 0.001) and risk of MetS, however, the association of DIS and risk of MetS development was not statistically significant (OR = 1.30;95% CI 0.93–1.80, P for trend = 0.127). In the multivariable model, after adjustment for confounding variables, including age, sex, body mass index, physical activity, smoking, and energy intake, the risk of MetS is increased across tertiles of DIS (OR = 1.59; 95% CI 1.09–2.33, P for trend = 0.015) and LIS(OR = 8.38; 95% CI 5.51–12.7, P for trend < 0.001). Conclusions The findings of the current study showed that greater adherence to LIS and DIS, determined to indicate the inflammatory potential of diet and lifestyle, are associated with increased the risk of MetS.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Lonergan ◽  
Alison J Dicker ◽  
Megan L Crichton ◽  
Holly R Keir ◽  
Melissa K. Van Dyke ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Identifying patients with COPD at increased risk of poor outcomes is challenging due to disease heterogeneity. Potential biomarkers need to be readily available in real-life clinical practice. Blood eosinophil counts are widely studied but few studies have examined the prognostic value of blood neutrophil counts (BNC). Methods In a large population-based COPD registry in the East of Scotland (TARDIS: Tayside Allergic and Respiratory Disease Information System), BNC were compared to measures of disease severity and mortality over up to 15 years follow-up. Potential mechanisms of disease modification by BNC were explored in a nested microbiome substudy. Results 178120 neutrophil counts were obtained from 7220 people (mean follow up 9 years) during stable disease periods. Median BNC was 5200cells/µL (IQR 4000-7000cells/µL). Mortality rates among those 34% with elevated BNCs (defined as 6000-15000cells/µL) at the study start were 80% higher (14.0/100 person years v 7.8/100py, P<0.001) than those with BNC in the normal range (2000-6000cells/µL). People with elevated BNC were more likely to be classified as GOLD D (46% v 33% P<0.001), have more exacerbations (mean 2.3 v 1.3/year, P<0.001), and were more likely to have severe exacerbations (13% vs. 5%, P<0.001) in the following year. Eosinophil counts were much less predictive of these outcomes. In a sub-cohort (N=276), patients with elevated BNC had increased relative abundance of Proteobacteria and reduced microbiome diversity. Conclusion High BNC may provide a useful indicator of risk of exacerbations and mortality in COPD patients.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 18-19
Author(s):  
Kristin C. Marr ◽  
Jonathan Simkin ◽  
Andrea C. Lo ◽  
Joseph M. Connors ◽  
Alina S. Gerrie ◽  
...  

INTRODUCTION Adolescents and young adult (AYA) survivors of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) are potentially at increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease due to anthracycline exposure, in addition to use of mediastinal radiotherapy (RT). Although the risk has been well described in the pediatric age-group, the impact in the AYA population has been less well characterized. Capturing the incidence of these late effects is challenging given that events can occur more than a decade after therapy completion. Using population-based administrative data, we evaluated the incidence of CV disease (combined heart failure (HF) and ischemic heart disease (IHD)) in a cohort of AYA survivors treated for classical HL (cHL) using ABVD (doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, dacarbazine) or equivalent chemotherapy. METHODS Patients with cHL aged 16-39 years (y), diagnosed between 1992-2013 and treated with an ABVD or equivalent therapy, were identified in the BC Cancer Lymphoid Cancer Database. Patients must have survived to an Index Date defined as 2 y from most recent HL event (primary diagnosis or if applicable, most recent relapse) and have had a minimum follow-up of 1 y beyond their Index Date. Patients were excluded if they had history of prior malignancy or HIV positivity. Limited stage disease was defined as stage IA, IB or IIA and absence of bulky disease (≥10cm); all others had advanced stage disease. Cases were linked with population-based databases of BC Cancer Registry; BC Radiation Oncology Database; and BC Ministry of Health (MOH) Chronic Disease Registry (CDR) that captures all BC residents registered with medical service plan coverage during the study period. The outcome variables, including HF and IHD, were defined by the BC MOH CDR using Standardized Case Definitions. To focus on late onset CV complications, only events that occurred after the Index Date were included in the analysis. A 10:1 individually-matched control population was identified from the CDR based on age, sex, and health authority region on the Index Date of the matched case. Controls were excluded if they had a pre-existing malignancy, HF, or IHD prior to the study window. Individual outcomes were collected from the Index Date of the matched case until December 31, 2015 or until an individual was censored due to loss to follow-up or death. Kaplan Meier (K-M) methodology and log-rank test was used to estimate cumulative incidence. A competing risk regression analysis was used to evaluate relative risk (RR) and p-values less than 0.05 were considered significant. RESULTS With a median follow-up time of 11 y (range 3-24 y) from most recent HL event, 764 AYA 2-y survivors were identified, aged 20 to 61 y (median 38 y) at the end of study period. The proportion of limited and advanced stage disease was 34.2% and 65.6%, respectively; and 49.9% were male. Eighty-eight patients (11.5%) had relapsed disease; eighty-six (11.3%) underwent high dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation as part of their salvage therapy. In total, 268 patients (36.4%) were treated with mediastinal RT for primary therapy or for relapsed disease. Fifty-three percent received cumulative anthracycline dose ≥300 mg/m2. Survivors had a 3-fold increased risk of CV disease relative to controls (p&lt;0.0001). The onset of CV disease in survivors occurred at median of 11.7 y after most recent treatment (range 2.2-19.2 y), and at a median age of 44.3 y (range 21 - 58 y). At 15 y, the estimated cumulative incidence of CV disease was 6.3% in survivors compared to 2.3% in controls (Figure A). In the 496 survivors that received chemotherapy only, the incidence of CV disease at 15 y was 4.6% vs 2.3% in controls, and those that received anthracyclines and mediastinal RT had significantly higher incidence at 8.6% (Figure B). The increase in risk was greatest for a diagnosis of HF (RR 6.92, p&lt;0.0001): at 15 y, the cumulative incidence of HF was 2.2% vs 0.6% in controls. The RR of IHD was 2.63 (p&lt;0.0001) with incidence of 5.1% in cases compared to 1.8% in controls. CONCLUSION Similar to the pediatric population, AYA cHL survivors are at increased risk of both HF and IHD after completion of treatment. The majority of patients had received ABVD alone and had a lower incidence of CV disease at 15 y when compared to those that received treatment that included mediastinal RT. These results will inform counseling regarding risk factor modification and aid in the development of surveillance guidelines for AYA survivors. Disclosures Gerrie: Sandoz: Consultancy; Roche: Research Funding; Janssen: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AbbVie: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Astrazeneca: Consultancy, Research Funding. Villa:Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Consultancy, Honoraria; Roche: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; AZ: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Kite/Gilead: Consultancy, Honoraria; Nano String: Consultancy, Honoraria; Seattle Genetics: Consultancy, Honoraria; Sandoz Canada: Consultancy, Honoraria; Immunovaccine: Consultancy, Honoraria; Purdue Pharma: Consultancy, Honoraria. Scott:NIH: Consultancy, Other: Co-inventor on a patent related to the MCL35 assay filed at the National Institutes of Health, United States of America.; Roche/Genentech: Research Funding; Celgene: Consultancy; NanoString: Patents & Royalties: Named inventor on a patent licensed to NanoString, Research Funding; Abbvie: Consultancy; AstraZeneca: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy, Research Funding. Sehn:AstraZeneca: Consultancy, Honoraria; Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Consultancy, Honoraria; Kite: Consultancy, Honoraria; Gilead: Consultancy, Honoraria; Karyopharm: Consultancy, Honoraria; Genentech, Inc.: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Acerta: Consultancy, Honoraria; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; MorphoSys: Consultancy, Honoraria; Merck: Consultancy, Honoraria; Lundbeck: Consultancy, Honoraria; Seattle Genetics: Consultancy, Honoraria; Teva: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding; Takeda: Consultancy, Honoraria; Servier: Consultancy, Honoraria; Amgen: Consultancy, Honoraria; AbbVie: Consultancy, Honoraria; Apobiologix: Consultancy, Honoraria; Verastem Oncology: Consultancy, Honoraria; TG therapeutics: Consultancy, Honoraria; Chugai: Consultancy, Honoraria. Savage:BeiGene: Other: Steering Committee; Roche (institutional): Research Funding; Merck, BMS, Seattle Genetics, Gilead, AstraZeneca, AbbVie, Servier: Consultancy; Merck, BMS, Seattle Genetics, Gilead, AstraZeneca, AbbVie: Honoraria.


Circulation ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 118 (suppl_18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tara Bharucha ◽  
Andrew M Davis ◽  
Christian Turner ◽  
Robert Justo ◽  
Terry Robertson ◽  
...  

Introduction Better data regarding the incidence and risk factors for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children with cardiomyopathy (CM) is critical in defining appropriate primary prevention strategies. Methods The National Australian Childhood Cardiomyopathy Study is a prospective cohort study, including all children in Australia with primary CM diagnosed at 0 – 10 years of age, between 1987–1997. SCD was defined as sudden and unexpected death in children who were not hospitalized and not in congestive heart failure at the time of death. Nine subjects with sudden death as presenting symptom were excluded. Indexed echocardiographic measurements at latest follow-up were compared between subjects with SCD and survivors. Results Study criteria were met by 291 children. Mean duration of follow-up was 9.2 years. The incidence of sudden death relative to each CM type, for all cases and as a proportion of deaths, is shown in the Table : Incidence of SCD by CM type. SCD incidence was significantly associated with CM type, for all cases ( p = 0.006) and when only those subjects who died were considered ( p = 0.005), with LVNC and RCM having up to 4 times the risk of other CM types. Children with familial DCM had a significantly higher rate of SCD than subjects with non-familial CM (12% vs 3%; p = 0.028), however, familial CM was not a risk factor in other CM types. DCM SCD subjects had larger LVEDd Z score than survivors (median 5.53 vs 1.16; p <0.0001) and lower FS Z score (median −9.23 vs −0.51; p = 0.0025). HCM SCD subjects had thicker LVPW dimension Z scores than survivors (median 4.63 vs 1.18; p = 0.007). Twelve subjects (2 DCM, 8 HCM and 2 LVNC) underwent ICD implantation (8/12 for primary prevention). Conclusions: This population based study defines new risk factors for sudden death in children with CM. RCM is well known to have a high incidence of SCD. In addition, children with LVNC and those with DCM who have severe dilatation, systolic dysfunction or familial DCM are at increased risk of sudden death.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S621-S621
Author(s):  
Sudha Seshadri

Abstract Apolipoprotein E is a glycoprotein mediator and regulator of lipid transport and uptake. The APOE-ε4 allele has been associated with higher risk of Alzheimer’s disease and of mortality, but the effect of the less prevalent APOE-ε2 on survival remains elusive. We aggregated data of 38,537 individuals of European ancestry (mean age 65.5 years; 55.6% women) from six large population-based cohorts to determine the association of APOE-ε2, with survival in the general population. During a mean follow-up of 11.7 years, 17,021 individuals died. Compared with homozygous APOE-ε3 carriers, APOE-ε2 carriers were at lower risk of death (hazard ratio,95% confidence interval: 0.94,0.90-0.99; P=1.1*10-2), whereas APOE-ε4 carriers were at increased risk (HR 1.17,1.12-1.21; P=2.8*10-16). Risk was lowest for homozygous APOE-ε2 (HR 0.89,0.74-1.08), and highest for homozygous APOE-ε4 (HR 1.52,1.37-1.70). Results did not differ by sex. The association was unaltered after adjustment for baseline LDL or cardiovascular disease. Larger, multiethnic collaborations are ongoing.


Cephalalgia ◽  
1996 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 431-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
MB Russell ◽  
J Olesen

Migrainous disorder was analysed in a large population-based study of 4000 forty-year-old males and females. All interviews were conducted by one physician and the diagnostic criteria of the International Headache Society were used. Of the 48 people with migrainous disorder, 40 had migrainous disorder without aura and 9 had migrainous disorder with aura One person had co-occurrence of migrainous disorder with and without aura. The lifetime prevalence of migrainous disorder was 2.5% with a male: female ratio of 1:1.2. The first-degree relatives of probands with migrainous disorder were blindly interviewed. Compared with the general population, first-degree relatives of probands with migrainous disorder without aura had a slightly but less increased risk of migraine without aura than first-degree relatives of probands with migraine without aura. First-degree relatives of probands with migrainous disorder with aura had no increased risk of migraine with aura. We conclude that migrainous disorder without aura in some people is a type of migraine without aura and in other people not. Migrainous disorder with aura may be unrelated to migraine with aura. œ


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 928-936 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maha Saada Jawad ◽  
Daniel K. Fahim ◽  
Peter C. Gerszten ◽  
John C. Flickinger ◽  
Arjun Sahgal ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to identify factors contributing to an increased risk for vertebral compression fracture (VCF) following stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for spinal tumors. METHODS A total of 594 tumors were treated with spinal SBRT as primary treatment or re-irradiation at 8 different institutions as part of a multi-institutional research consortium. Patients underwent LINAC-based, image-guided SBRT to a median dose of 20 Gy (range 8–40 Gy) in a median of 1 fraction (range 1–5 fractions). Median patient age was 62 years. Seventy-one percent of tumors were osteolytic, and a preexisting vertebral compression fracture (VCF) was present in 24% of cases. Toxicity was assessed following treatment. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using a logistic regression method to determine parameters predictive for post-SBRT VCF. RESULTS At a median follow-up of 10.1 months (range 0.03–57 months), 80% of patients had local tumor control. At the time of last imaging follow-up, at a median of 8.8 months after SBRT, 3% had a new VCF, and 2.7% had a progressive VCF. For development of any (new or progressive) VCF following SBRT, the following factors were predictive for VCF on univariate analysis: short interval from primary diagnosis to SBRT (less than 36.8 days), solitary metastasis, no additional bone metastases, no prior chemotherapy, preexisting VCF, no MRI used for target delineation, tumor volume of 37.3 cm3 or larger, equivalent 2-Gy-dose (EQD2) tumor of 41.8 Gy or more, and EQD2 spinal cord Dmax of 46.1 Gy or more. Preexisting VCF, solitary metastasis, and prescription dose of 38.4 Gy or more were predictive on multivariate analysis. The following factors were predictive of a new VCF on univariate analysis: solitary metastasis, no additional bone metastases, and no MRI used for target delineation. Presence of a solitary metastasis and lack of MRI for target delineation remained significant on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS A VCF following SBRT is more likely to occur following treatment for a solitary spinal metastasis, reflecting a more aggressive treatment approach in patients with adequately controlled systemic disease. Higher prescription dose and a preexisting VCF also put patients at increased risk for post-SBRT VCF. In these patients, pre-SBRT cement augmentation could be considered to decrease the risk of subsequent VCF.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 5444-5444
Author(s):  
Sæmundur Rögnvaldsson ◽  
Ingemar Turesson ◽  
Magnus Björkholm ◽  
Ola Landgren ◽  
Sigurður Yngvi Kristinsson

Introduction Peripheral neuropathy (PN) is a common disorder that can be caused by amyloid light-chain amyloidosis (AL). AL is a rare disorder caused by the deposition of amyloid fibers, originating from malignant plasma cells. Amyloid deposition in peripheral nerves causes PN and is present in 35% of patients with newly diagnosed AL. Diagnosis of AL can be difficult, leading to under-recognition, diagnostic delay, and delayed treatment. Virtually all instances of AL are preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). MGUS is relatively common with a reported prevalence of 4.2% in the general Caucasian population over the age of 50 years. Although MGUS is usually considered asymptomatic, a significant proportion of affected individuals develop PN. However, we are not aware of any studies assessing how PN affects risk of MGUS progression to AL. We were therefore motivated to conduct a large population-based study including 15,351 Swedish individuals with MGUS diagnosed 1986-2013. Methods Participants diagnosed with MGUS between 1986-2013 were recruited from a registry of a nationwide network of hematology- and oncology centers and the Swedish Patient Registry. We then cross-linked data on recorded diagnoses of AL and PN from the Swedish Patient Registry, diagnoses of lymphoproliferative disorders form the Swedish Cancer Registry, and dates of death from the Cause of Death Registry to our study cohort. Individuals with a previous history of other lymphoproliferative disorders were excluded from the study. A multi-state survival model was created. At inclusion, participants started providing person time into the PN or the non-PN states depending on whether they had a previous diagnosis of PN. Those with MGUS who developed PN after inclusion were included into the PN state at the time of PN diagnosis and provided person time in the PN state after that. We then created a Cox proportional hazard regression model with AL as the endpoint. Participants were censored at diagnosis of other lymphoproliferative disorders. We adjusted for sex, age, and year of MGUS diagnosis. Results We included 15,351 participants with MGUS. Of those, 996 participants provided person-time with PN (6.5%). About half of those had PN at MGUS diagnosis (55%). A total of 174 cases of AL were recorded, with AL being more common among those who had PN (2.1% vs 1.0% p=0.002). Those who had PN had a 2.3-fold increased risk of AL as compared to those who did not have PN (hazard ratio (HR): 2.3; 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.5-3.7; p<0.001). The results were similar for those who had PN at MGUS diagnosis and those who did not. More than half of AL cases (53%) were diagnosed within one year after MGUS diagnosis. The rate was even higher among those with PN, with 82% of AL cases among those who presented with PN being diagnosed within one year after MGUS diagnosis. In the first year after inclusion, the incidence of AL was 15.2 and 6.1 per 1000 person-years for participants with and without PN respectively (HR: 1.8; 95% CI:1.0-3.4; p=0.04). Participants with PN continued to have an increased risk of progression to AL after the first year with an incidence of AL of 2.6 per 1000 person-years as compared to 1.1 per 1000 person-years among participants who did not have PN (HR:2.4; 95% CI: 1.1-5.0; p=0.02) (Figure). Discussion In this large population-based study, including 15,351 individuals with MGUS, we found that individuals with MGUS who develop PN have an increased risk of progression to AL. In fact, individuals with MGUS who have PN at MGUS diagnosis might already have AL. This risk of AL was highest during the first year after MGUS diagnosis with participants with PN having a higher risk than those who did not have PN. PN continued to be associated with a higher risk of MGUS progression to AL throughout the study period. This is the largest study that we are aware of assessing the association of PN and MGUS progression to AL. Since this is a registry-based study based on recorded diagnoses, some clinical data, including MGUS isotype, is not available. These findings suggest that increased awareness of PN as a feature of MGUS might decrease diagnostic delay and improve outcomes for patients with AL. Figure Disclosures Landgren: Takeda: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Sanofi: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Amgen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Theradex: Other: IDMC; Adaptive: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Merck: Other: IDMC; Abbvie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Janssen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Karyopharm: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Celgene: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document