Verification of T-plus staging system for colorectal cancer based on nomogram analysis of single center’s 25-year follow-up.

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 516-516
Author(s):  
Ke-Feng Ding ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Xiang-Xing Kong ◽  
Ke-Jun Tang ◽  
Di-Kai Bei ◽  
...  

516 Background: We proposed T-plus staging system which abandon the criterion to discriminate stage II/III by lymph node status and strengthens weighting of the T stage according to cluster analysis of the summary survival data of SEER. In this study, this principle of the T-plus staging system was verified with single center data by nomogram analysis. Methods: The 1,099 patients with colorectal cancer diagnosed before 2005 were analyzed to build a novel staging system based on nomogram (nomo-staging system). The remaining 981 patients diagnosed after 2005 were used to test the performance of nomo-staging system, T-plus staging system and the 7th edition TNM staging system by Akaike information criteria (AIC), Harrell’s c-index and the area under the curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic to predict 5-year overall survival. A smaller AIC, higher c-index and higher AUC indicated a better staging system. Results: The nomo-staging system and T-plus staging system were listed in Table 1. The validation found that the 7th edition TNM staging system showed the weakest performance. For AIC, both nomo-staging system and T-plus staging system showed smaller value than the 7th edition TNM staging system (3214.912 vs. 3224.643 vs. 3229.810). For Harrell’s c-index, both the T-plus staging system and nomo-staging system showed higher value than the 7th edition TNM staging system (0.6814 vs. 0.6787 vs. 0.6778). For AUC to predict 5-year OS, the T-plus staging system and nomo-staging system showed slightly higher value than the 7th edition TNM staging system (0.6944 vs. 0.6924 vs. 0.6913). Conclusions: We propose replacement of lymph node status as the criterion to discriminate colorectal cancer stage II/III with greater weighting of the T stage. [Table: see text]

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenyan Gao ◽  
Huihua Cao ◽  
Xiang Xu ◽  
Qing Wang ◽  
Yugang Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is defined as the presence of cancer cells in lymphatics or blood vessels. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of LVI in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with inadequate examination of lymph nodes (ELNs) and further combined LVI with the TNM staging system to determine the predictive efficacy for CRC prognosis. Adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) was then evaluated for stage II CRC patients with LVI positivity (LVI+). Methods In order to avoid the effects of different ACT regimens, among 409 stage II patients, we chose 121 patients who received FOLFOX regimen and the 144 patients who did not receive ACT as the object of study. LVI was examined by hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining. Kaplan-Meier analysis followed by a log-rank test was used to analyze survival rates. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate the accuracy of different systems in predicting prognosis. Results The LVI+ status was significantly associated with pT stage, degree of differentiation, tumor stage, serum CEA and CA19-9 levels, perineural invasion (PNI), tumor budding (TB), and KRAS status. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of stage II patients with < 12 ELNs and LVI+ was less than stage IIIA. Multivariate analyses showed that LVI, pT-stage, serum CEA and CA19-9 levels, PNI, TB, and KRAS status were significant prognostic factors for stage II patients with < 12 ELNs. The 8th TNM staging system combined with LVI showed a higher C-index than the 8th TNM staging system alone (C-index, 0.895 vs. 0.833). Among patients with LVI+, the ACT group had a significantly higher 5-year OS and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) than the surgery alone (SA) group (5-year OS, 66.7% vs. 40.9%, P = 0.004; 5-year DFS, 64.1% vs. 36.3%, P = 0.002). Conclusions LVI is an independent prognostic risk factor for stage II CRC patients. Combining LVI with the 8th TNM staging system improved the predictive accuracy for CRC prognosis. ACT in stage II CRC patients with LVI+ is beneficial for survival.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 31-31
Author(s):  
Shaobo Mo ◽  
Yaqi Li ◽  
Junjie Peng ◽  
SanJun Cai

31 Background: Survival outcomes are significant different in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with diverse clinicopathological features. Objective of this study is to establish a credible prognostic nomogram incorporating easily obtained parameters for stage II CRC patients. Methods: A total of 1708 stage II CRC patients at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) during 2008 to 2013 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Cases were randomly separated into training set (n = 1084) and validation set (n = 624). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors which were subsequently incorporated into a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by C-index and ROC curve to calculate the area under the curve (AUC). The clinical utility of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: In univariate and multivariate analyses, eight parameters were correlated with disease free survival (DFS), which were subsequently selected to draw prognostic nomogram based on DFS. For DFS predictions, the predicted concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram was 0.842 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.710-0.980), and 0.701 (95% CI, 0.610-0.770) for training and validation set, respectively. The AUC values of ROC predicted 1, 3 and 5-year survival of nomogram in the training and validation groups were 0.869, 0.858, 0.777 and 0.673, 0.714, 0.706, respectively. The recurrence probability calibration curve showed good consistency between actual observations and nomogram-based predictions. DCA showed better clinical application value for the nomogram compared with TNM staging system. Conclusions: A novel nomogram based on a large population study was established and validated, which is a simple-to-use tool for physicians to facilitate the postoperative personalized prognostic evaluation and determine therapeutic strategies for stage II CRC patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Purun Lei ◽  
Ying Ruan ◽  
Jianpei Liu ◽  
Qixian Zhang ◽  
Xiao Tang ◽  
...  

Background. Evaluation of lymph node status is critical in colorectal carcinoma (CRC) treatment. However, as patients with node involvement may be incorrectly classified into earlier stages if the examined lymph node (ELN) number is too small and escape adjuvant therapy, especially for stage II CRC. The aims of this study were to assess the impact of the ELN on the survival of patients with stage II colorectal cancer and to determine the optimal number. Methods. Data from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database on stage II resected CRC (1988-2013) were extracted for mathematical modeling as ELN was available since 1988. Relationship between ELN count and stage migration and disease-specific survival was analyzed by using multivariable models. The series of the mean positive LNs, odds ratios (ORs), and hazard ratios (HRs) were fitted with a LOWESS (Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing) smoother, and the structural break points were determined by the Chow test. An independent cohort of cases from 2014 was retrieved for validation in 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS). Results. An increased ELN count was associated with a higher possibility of metastasis LN detection (OR 1.010, CI 1.009-1.011, p<0.001) and better DSS in LN negative patients (OR 0.976, CI 0.975-0.977, p<0.001). The cut-off point analysis showed a threshold ELN count of 21 nodes (HR 0.692, CI 0.667-0.719, p<0.001) and was validated with significantly better DSS in the SEER 2009 cohort CRC (OR 0.657, CI 0.522-0.827, p<0.001). The cut-off value of the ELN count in site-specific surgeries was analyzed as 20 nodes in the right hemicolectomy (HR 0.674, CI 0.638-0.713, p<0.001), 19 nodes in left hemicolectomy (HR 0.691, CI 0.639-0.749, p<0.001), and 20 nodes in rectal resection patients (HR 0.671, CI 0.604-0.746, p<0.001), respectively. Conclusions. A higher number of ELNs are associated with more-accurate node staging and better prognosis in stage II CRCs. We recommend that at least 21 lymph nodes be examined for accurate diagnosis of stage II colorectal cancer.


1986 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 370-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
T J Pedrick ◽  
S S Donaldson ◽  
R S Cox

Seventy-four patients with rhabdomyosarcoma were initially staged according to the Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study (IRS) grouping classification and then retrospectively using a TNM staging system based on the initial clinical extent of disease. The TNM system includes T1, tumor confined to site or organ of origin; T2, regional extension beyond the site of origin; N0, normal lymph nodes; N1, lymph nodes containing tumor; M0, no evidence of metastases; and M1, distant metastases. All patients received combination chemotherapy, and more than 90% received radiation therapy as part of their initial treatment program with curative intent. Fifty-three of 74 patients (72%) were group III according to the IRS system, indicating unresectable or gross residual tumor. A more uniform distribution was achieved using the TNM system. Freedom from relapse (FFR) was 43% and the actuarial survival rate was 47% for the entire study group at 10 years. All but one relapse occurred within 3 years of initial diagnosis, and only three of 38 relapsed patients were salvaged. All TNM stage I patients are surviving disease free. Among patients having stages II, III, and IV disease by the TNM system, FFR was 53%, 26%, and 11%, and the survival rates were 47%, 36%, and 33%, respectively. Thirty-two of 74 patients (43%) had evidence of lymph node involvement at presentation, and 28 (88%) of these had primary lesions that extended beyond the site of origin (T2 primary). Histologic subtype and primary site had little impact on outcome in a multivariate analysis, and T stage was identified as the single most significant covariate correlated with survival; a model composed of both T stage and M stage was the best one for predicting relapse. The presented data support a study using a prospectively assigned TNM staging system based on the initial clinical extent of disease for use in future therapeutic trials.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 570-570
Author(s):  
Haiping Pei ◽  
Qian Pei ◽  
Hong Zhu ◽  
Fengbo Tan

570 Background: The significance of vascular emboli (VE) in stage III colorectal cancer (CRC), the mechanism of their formation and their therapy strategy remain obscure demanding enhanced research. Methods: Data from 323 consecutive patients (192 non-VE, 131 VE) receiving radical surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy in our institution between Jan. 2009 and Nov. 2014 were retrospectively collected. The follow-up deadline was Feb. 2016. Potential prognostic risk factors were tested using univariate and multivariate survival analyses. mRNAs differentially expressed between VE and non-VE stage III CRC were analyzed using Agilent Gene Expression oligo-microarrays (Version 6.5). Patient-derived xenograft (PDX) nude mouse models were constructed to evaluate the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy plus targeted drugs (cetuximab or bevacizumab) on VE and non-VE stage III CRC. Results: VE was significantly associated with gross tumor morphology (p = 0.001), histologic type (p < 0.001), lymph node status (p < 0.001), sub-class of stage III (p =0.001), and serum CA199 level (p = 0.022). VE and lymph node status were independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001, p = 0.008) and disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.001, p = 0.007). The median OS and DFS in VE stage III CRC patients were 38 months and 24 months, respectively. Compared with pericarcinous tissue, 809 genes (396 up-, 413 down-regulated) were differently expressed in no-VE tissue, and 1513 genes (898 up-, 615 down-regulated) in VE tissue. The top ten up-regulated protein-coding genes in VE stage III CRC were ITGBL1 (p<0.001), PROCR (p<0.001), CENPW (p<0.001), ZNF485 (p<0.001), VEGFA (p<0.001), DSG3 (p<0.001), CYP24A1 (p=0.001), COL10A1 (p=0.001), HIST3H2A (p=0.001)and PSAT1 (p=0.002). Conclusions: VE appears to be an independent risk factor for the prognosis of stage III CRC patients treated with radical surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Differently regulated genes seem to be involved in the formation and progress of VE. The therapy scheme should be more individualized taking into account the VE status.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangxing Kong ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Yibo Cai ◽  
Yu Tian ◽  
Shengqiang Chi ◽  
...  

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