Nrf2 metagene as a prognostic biomarker across all stages of colorectal cancer (CRC).
557 Background: Keap1/Nrf2 is an important intracellular canonical stress response pathway, with Nrf2 acting as a potent transcription factor. Lung cancer is known to acquire constitutive activation of the pathway thus promoting survival, resisting chemo-radiation and dysregulating metabolism. Mechanisms of pathway activation include methylation of KEAP1, somatic mutation and direct activation by KRAS, BRAF and MYC. Its role in CRC is unknown. Due to its role as a transcription factor, activated in many ways, we hypothesise a metagene of Nrf2 regulated genes would act as a prognostic biomarker in CRC. Methods: Using a candidate gene approach and publicly available data (GSE17536), we derived and trained a 36 gene metagene to aggregate Nrf2 pathway expression, using principal component analysis and cox proportional hazard models. GSE14333 was used for validation in stage I/II/III CRC. The first line metastatic FOCUS trial was used for validation in Stage IV disease. Results: 601 patients are included in the validation analysis. Nrf2 metagene expression is associated with worse DFS outcomes in stage I/II/III disease in Cox PH model comparisons (LRT, p = 0.00175) and worse OS in stage IV disease (LRT, p = 0.00574). On multivariate analysis, Nrf2 expression remained significant when adjusted for known prognostic factors of adjuvant chemotherapy and Duke’s stage in stage I/II/III disease (ANOVA, p = 0.03), BRAF V600E and sidedness in stage IV disease (ANOVA, p = 0.00255). Using the median cut point, high expression has a HR 2.36 (C.I 1.27-4.38) in stage I/II/III disease and HR 1.39 (C.I 1.12-1.72) in metastatic disease. Conclusions: Nrf2 expression is a novel, robust prognostic biomarker of poor prognosis across all stages of colorectal cancer. Greater understanding of its mechanistic role could lead to targeted strategies to improve outcomes in CRC. [Table: see text]