Incidence of Diabetes in the Atomic Bomb Survivors: 1969-2015

Abstract Context Recent epidemiological studies have shown increased risk of diabetes among childhood cancer survivors who received high therapeutic doses of radiation, particularly to the total body or to the abdomen. However, the effect of low-to-moderate dose radiation (<4 Gy) on the risk of diabetes is still unknown. Objectives To investigate the radiation effect on diabetes incidence among atomic bomb (A-bomb) survivors, and whether the dose response is modified by other factors including city, sex, and age at time of bombing (ATB). Methods 9,131 participants without diabetes at baseline were observed through biennial clinical exams from 1969-2015. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) to evaluate the dose response for diabetes incidence. Results During the study period, 1,417 incident diabetes cases were identified. The overall crude incidence rate was 7.01/103 person-years. Radiation dose was significantly associated with diabetes incidence, with effect modification by city and age ATB. In Hiroshima at ages 10 and 30 ATB, the HRs at 1 Gy of pancreatic radiation dose were 1.47 (95% CI, 1.31-1.66) and 1.13 (95% CI, 0.97-1.31), respectively. However, no significant radiation dose response was observed at these ages in Nagasaki. The HR for radiation dose was higher among those who were younger ATB and decreased 1% for each additional year of age. Conclusions Among A-bomb survivors, a radiation association was suggested for incidence of diabetes. Results were inconsistent by city and age ATB, which could indicate potential confounding of the radiation association with diabetes.

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Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glaa324 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Yuko Yamaguchi ◽

Marta Zampino ◽

Toshiko Tanaka ◽

Stefania Bandinelli ◽

Yusuke Osawa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Differentiation Factor ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P<.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

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Blood eosinophils on hospital admission for COPD exacerbation do not predict the recurrence of moderate and severe relapses

ERJ Open Research ◽

10.1183/23120541.00543-2020 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. 00543-2020

Author(s):

Balázs Csoma ◽

András Bikov ◽

Ferenc Tóth ◽

György Losonczy ◽

Veronika Müller ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Forced Expiratory Volume ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Full Blood Count ◽

Rank Test ◽

Severe Exacerbation ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Exacerbation Of Copd

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.

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Abstract WP79: Choice Of Treatment And Effect On Hemorrhage Rates Of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.44.suppl_1.awp79 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

James Torner ◽

Jie Zhang ◽

David Piepgras ◽

John Huston ◽

Irene Meissner ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Intracranial Aneurysms ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Interventional Procedure ◽

Careful Consideration ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms ◽

Increased Risk

INTRODUCTION: The decision regarding whether to perform an interventional procedure as a strategy to prevent hemorrhage of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) requires careful consideration of procedural risk and the UIA natural history. No randomized trial data are available. The International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) included a prospective cohort, examining hemorrhage risk and treatment risk. Hypothesis: The purpose of this analysis was to compare the factors related to treatment selection and determination of the number of hemorrhages prevented. Methods: Patients were allocated into the initial treatment and untreated cohorts based upon observation or treatment practices in 61 centers from 1991-1998. 1691 patients were in the observational cohort, 471 were in the endovascular cohort and 1917 patients were in the surgical cohort. The cohorts were followed for a median follow-up of 9.2 years. Outcomes were determined prospectively and with central review. The data were grouped together and analyzed to determine treatment decisions. A Cox proportional hazards model predicting hemorrhage developed in the observation cohort and was applied to the surgery and endovascular cohorts across the follow-up period. Results: Significant baseline variable differences between treated and observed patients were aneurysm size, symptoms, age, prior SAH group, geographical region, treatment percentage, aneurysm daughter sacs or multiple lobes, and history of hypertension, smoking and myocardial infarction. Aneurysm site and family history were not significant. Site, size, and aspirin use were significant predictors of hemorrhage. Long-term the predicted hemorrhage rates were 6.7% at 5 years and 8.0% at 10 years in the surgery group and 8.1% and 9.6% for the endovascular group, respectively. For comparison the rates in the observed cohort were 4.1% and 4.8%, respectively. Conclusions: Decisions for treatment are influenced by patient characteristics such as age and medical history, aneurysm characteristics such as size and morphology and center and regional practices. Patients in the treated cohorts were at moderately increased risk for hemorrhage compared to those in the observed cohort.

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Associations of Endometriosis and Hormone Therapy With Risk of Hyperlipidemia

American Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1093/aje/kwaa173 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Cherry Yin-Yi Chang ◽

Chih-Hsin Muo ◽

Yi-Chun Yeh ◽

Chung-Yen Lu ◽

William Wu-Chou Lin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hormone Therapy ◽

Structural Model ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Marginal Structural Model ◽

Bilateral Oophorectomy ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Using claims data from the universal health insurance program of Taiwan, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate whether endometriosis and hormone therapy are associated with the risk of developing hyperlipidemia. We selected 9,155 women aged 20–55 years with endometriosis diagnosed during the period 2000–2013 and 212,641 women without endometriosis with a median follow-up time of 7 years. Among patients with endometriosis, 86% of cases were identified on the basis of diagnosis codes with an ultrasound claim, and 14% were defined by diagnostic laparoscopy or surgical treatments. In a Cox proportional hazards model, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.30 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19, 1.41) for all women, 1.04 (95% CI: 0.81, 1.32) for women under 35 years of age, 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.32) for women aged 35–44 years, and 1.34 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.52) for women aged 45–54 years. Hysterectomy and/or bilateral oophorectomy accounted for 46.9% of the association between endometriosis and hyperlipidemia, and hormone therapy accounted for 21.6%. Among women with endometriosis, the marginal structural model approach adjusting for time-varying hysterectomy/bilateral oophorectomy showed no association between use of hormone medications and risk of hyperlipidemia. We concluded that women with endometriosis are at increased risk of hyperlipidemia; use of hormone therapy by these women was not independently associated with the development of hyperlipidemia.

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Predictive Value of First Posttreatment Imaging Using Standardized Reporting in Head and Neck Cancer

Otolaryngology ◽

10.1177/0194599819865235 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 161 (6) ◽

pp. 978-985 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Derek Hsu ◽

Falgun H. Chokshi ◽

Patricia A. Hudgins ◽

Suprateek Kundu ◽

Jonathan J. Beitler ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Treatment Failure ◽

Head And Neck ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Strong Association ◽

Treatment Completion ◽

Tertiary Hospital ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk

Objective The Neck Imaging Reporting and Data System (NI-RADS) is a standardized numerical reporting template for surveillance of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Our aim was to analyze the accuracy of NI-RADS on the first posttreatment fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/contrast-enhanced computed tomography (PET/CECT). Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Academic tertiary hospital. Subject and Methods Patients with HNSCC with a 12-week posttreatment PET/CECT interpreted using the NI-RADS template and 9 months of clinical and radiologic follow-up starting from treatment completion between June 2014 and July 2016 were included. Treatment failure was defined as positive tumor confirmed by biopsy or Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were performed. Results This study comprised 199 patients followed for a median of 15.5 months after treatment completion (25% quartile, 11.8 months; 75% quartile, 20.2 months). The rates of treatment failure increased with each incremental increase in NI-RADS category from 1 to 3 (4.3%, 9.1%, and 42.1%, respectively). A Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated a strong association between NI-RADS categories and treatment failure at both primary and neck sites (hazard ratio [HR], 2.60 and 5.22, respectively; P < .001). In the smaller treatment subgroup analysis, increasing NI-RADS category at the primary site in surgically treated patients and treatment failure did not achieve statistically significant association (HR, 0.88; P = .82). Conclusion Increasing NI-RADS category at the baseline posttreatment PET/CECT is strongly associated with increased risk of treatment failure in patients with HNSCC.

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Arthritis Increases the Risk for Fractures — Results from the Women’s Health Initiative

The Journal of Rheumatology ◽

10.3899/jrheum.101196 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 38 (8) ◽

pp. 1680-1688 ◽

Cited By ~ 58

Author(s):

NICOLE C. WRIGHT ◽

BRIAN T. WALITT ◽

CHARLES B. EATON ◽

ZHAO CHEN ◽

Keyword(s):

Hip Fracture ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Spinal Fractures ◽

Fracture Prevention ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Clinical Fractures

Objective.To examine the relationship between arthritis and fracture.Methods.Women were classified into 3 self-reported groups at baseline: no arthritis (n = 83,295), osteoarthritis (OA; n = 63,402), and rheumatoid arthritis (RA; n = 960). Incident fractures were self-reported throughout followup. Age-adjusted fracture rates by arthritis category were generated, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the association between arthritis and fracture.Results.After an average of 7.80 years, 24,137 total fractures were reported including 2559 self-reported clinical spinal fractures and 1698 adjudicated hip fractures. For each fracture type, age-adjusted fracture rates were highest in the RA group and lowest in the nonarthritic group. After adjustment for several covariates, report of arthritis was associated with increased risk for spine, hip, and any clinical fractures. Compared to the nonarthritis group, the risk of sustaining any clinical fracture in the OA group was HR 1.09 (95% CI 1.05, 1.13; p < 0.001) and HR 1.49 (95% CI 1.26, 1.75; p < 0.001) in the RA group. The risk of sustaining a hip fracture was not statistically increased in the OA group (HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.98, 1.25; p = 0.122) compared to the nonarthritis group; however, the risk of hip fracture increased significantly (HR 3.03; 95% CI 2.03, 4.51; p < 0.001) in the RA group compared to the nonarthritis group.Conclusion.The increase in fracture risk confirms the importance of fracture prevention in patients with RA and OA.

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Survival of Captive Chimpanzees: Impact of Location and Transfers

10.1101/068858 ◽

2016 ◽

Author(s):

Michael S. Lauer

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Premature Mortality ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Random Survival Forests ◽

Survival Forests

AbstractTo inform the retirement of NIH-owned chimpanzees, we analyzed the outcomes of 764 NIH-owned chimpanzees that were located at various points in time in at least one of 4 specific locations. All chimpanzees considered were alive and at least 10 years of age on January 1, 2005; transfers to a federal sanctuary began a few months later. During a median follow-up of just over 7 years, there were 314 deaths. In a Cox proportional hazards model that accounted for age, sex, and location (which was treated as a time-dependent covariate), age and sex were strong predictors of mortality, but location was only marginally predictive. Among 273 chimpanzees who were transferred to the federal sanctuary, we found no material increased risk in mortality in the first 30 days after arrival. During a median follow-up at the sanctuary of 3.5 years, age was strongly predictive of mortality, but other variables – sex, season of arrival, and ambient temperature on the day of arrival – were not predictive. We confirmed our regression findings using random survival forests. In summary, in a large cohort of captive chimpanzees, we find no evidence of materially important associations of location of residence or recent transfer with premature mortality.

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Association of Increased Risk of Pneumonia and Using Proton Pump Inhibitors in Patients With Type II Diabetes Mellitus

Dose-Response ◽

10.1177/1559325819843383 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 17 (2) ◽

pp. 155932581984338 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Wen-Ling Lin ◽

Chin-Shin Muo ◽

Wen-Chuan Lin ◽

Yow-Wen Hsieh ◽

Chia-Hung Kao

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Proton Pump Inhibitors ◽

Proton Pump ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Defined Daily Dose ◽

Defined Daily Doses ◽

Increased Risk

Background: This study explored the possible association between the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and the increased incidence of pneumonia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: We selected 4940 patients with T2DM of whom 988 and 3952 were enrolled in PPI and propensity score-matched control cohorts, respectively. All patients were followed from the index date until admission with pneumonia, withdrawal from the National Health Insurance program or the end of 2013. The PPIs associated with risk of incident pneumonia were examined. Furthermore, we assessed the risk of pneumonia according to annual defined daily doses in the PPI cohort. Results: After a 14-year follow-up, the cumulative incidence of pneumonia in the PPI users was 11.4% higher than that in the controls (30.3% vs 18.9%). Compared to the controls, the PPI users had a 1.70-fold higher risk of pneumonia in the Cox proportional hazards model after adjustment for matched pairs. The risk of pneumonia increased with the annual PPI defined daily dose. Conclusion: The results of this population-based retrospective cohort study suggest that PPI use increased the risk of pneumonia in patients with T2DM. The effects were more prominent in patients administered higher doses of PPIs.

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Left ventricular geometry and risk of incident hypertension

Heart ◽

10.1136/heartjnl-2018-314657 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 105 (18) ◽

pp. 1402-1407 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Sung Keun Park ◽

Ju Young Jung ◽

Jeong Gyu Kang ◽

Pil-Wook Chung ◽

Chang-Mo Oh

Keyword(s):

Wall Thickness ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Left Ventricular ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Left Ventricular Geometry ◽

Incident Hypertension ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Echocardiographic Parameters

ObjectiveLeft ventricular (LV) geometry change is an independent predictor for cardiovascular disease. However, data are equivocal on the association of echocardiographic parameters of LV geometry with incident hypertension. Thus, we were to investigate the risk of hypertension according to the baseline echocardiographic parameters of LV geometry.MethodsStudy participants were 12 562 Koreans without hypertension who received echocardiography as an item of health check-up. They were divided into normotensive or prehypertensive group according to baseline blood pressure. In each group, study subjects were classified by quintiles of baseline echocardiographic parameters including left ventricular mass index (LVMI), relative wall thickness (RWT), interventricular septal thickness (IVST), posterior wall thickness (PWT) and IVST plus PWT and followed up for 5 years. Cox proportional hazards model was used in calculating adjusted HRs and their 95% CI for hypertension according to each quintile group. Area under the curve (AUC) analysis (AUC [95% CI]) was performed to compare the predictability of LVMI, RWT, IVST, PWT, IVST plus PWT for hypertension.ResultsPrehypertensive group had the worse clinical and echocardiographic parameters in baseline analysis than normotensive group. The risk of hypertension significantly increased proportionally to baseline LVMI, RWT, IVST, PWI and IVST plus PWT above specific quintile levels, which was identified in both normotensive and prehypertensive group. In AUC analysis, IVST, PWT and IVST plus PWT showed a significantly increased AUC, compared with LVMI.ConclusionLV geometry change was significantly associated with the increased risk for hypertension in non-hypertensive individuals.

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Alcohol Use Disorders and Increased Risk of Adverse Birth Complications and Outcomes: An 11-Year Nationwide Cohort Study

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ◽

10.3390/ijerph17228515 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 17 (22) ◽

pp. 8515

Author(s):

Sarah Soyeon Oh ◽

Yongho Jee ◽

Eun-Cheol Park ◽

Young Ju Kim

Keyword(s):

Alcohol Use ◽

Alcohol Dependence ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Alcohol Use Disorders ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Birth Complications ◽

Increased Risk

For women who suffer from Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs), the use of alcohol before and/or during pregnancy may result in various birth complications, including miscarriage, stillbirth, or preterm delivery. Thus, this study aimed to explore whether Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs) are associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications and outcomes. A total of 76,799 deliveries between 2003 and 2013 in the Korean National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) were analyzed. Women with an AUD diagnosis preceding delivery were identified as individuals with alcohol dependence. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio of adverse birth complications and outcomes associated with alcohol dependence. Diagnosis of an AUD was associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01–1.31, p = 0.0302). This was especially the case for women whose AUD diagnosis was in the same year as their delivery (HR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.24–1.88, p < 0.0001). AUDs were associated with increased risk of adverse birth outcomes, especially when prevalent in the same year as a woman’s delivery. Our study confirms that the monitoring of expecting women with a diagnosis of alcohol-related problems may be useful in preventing adverse birth complications.

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