Alcohol Use Disorders and Increased Risk of Adverse Birth Complications and Outcomes: An 11-Year Nationwide Cohort Study

For women who suffer from Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs), the use of alcohol before and/or during pregnancy may result in various birth complications, including miscarriage, stillbirth, or preterm delivery. Thus, this study aimed to explore whether Alcohol Use Disorders (AUDs) are associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications and outcomes. A total of 76,799 deliveries between 2003 and 2013 in the Korean National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) were analyzed. Women with an AUD diagnosis preceding delivery were identified as individuals with alcohol dependence. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio of adverse birth complications and outcomes associated with alcohol dependence. Diagnosis of an AUD was associated with increased risk of adverse birth complications (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01–1.31, p = 0.0302). This was especially the case for women whose AUD diagnosis was in the same year as their delivery (HR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.24–1.88, p < 0.0001). AUDs were associated with increased risk of adverse birth outcomes, especially when prevalent in the same year as a woman’s delivery. Our study confirms that the monitoring of expecting women with a diagnosis of alcohol-related problems may be useful in preventing adverse birth complications.

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Hemorrhage From Arteriovenous Malformations During Pregnancy

Neurosurgery ◽

10.1227/neu.0b013e318256c34b ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 71 (2) ◽

pp. 349-356 ◽

Cited By ~ 59

Author(s):

Bradley A. Gross ◽

Rose Du

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Venous Drainage ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Relative Paucity ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Risk Of Hemorrhage

Abstract BACKGROUND: Previous hemorrhage, deep venous drainage, and deep location are established risk factors for arteriovenous malformation (AVM) hemorrhage. Although pregnancy is an assumed risk factor, there is a relative paucity of data to support this neurosurgical tenet. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the hemorrhage rate of AVMs during pregnancy. METHODS: We reviewed the records of 54 women with an angiographic diagnosis of an AVM at our institution. Annual hemorrhage rates were calculated as the ratio of the number of bleeds to total number of patient-years of follow-up. Patient-years of follow-up were tallied assuming lesion presence from birth until AVM obliteration. The Cox proportional hazards model for hemorrhage with pregnancy as the time-dependent variable was used to calculate the hazard ratio. RESULTS: Five hemorrhages in 4 patients occurred over 62 pregnancies, yielding a hemorrhage rate of 8.1% per pregnancy or 10.8% per year. Over the remaining 2461.3 patient-years of follow-up, only 28 hemorrhages occurred, yielding an annual hemorrhage rate of 1.1%. The hazard ratio for hemorrhage during pregnancy was 7.91 (P = 2.23 × 10−4), increasing to 18.12 (P = 7.31 × 10−5) when limiting the analysis to patient follow-up up to age 40. CONCLUSION: Because of the increased risk of hemorrhage from AVMs during pregnancy, we recommend intervention in women who desire to bear children, particularly if the AVM has bled. If the AVM is discovered during pregnancy, we recommend early intervention if it has ruptured; if it is unruptured, we recommend comprehensive counseling, weighing risks of intervention against continuation of pregnancy without intervention.

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Effect of multiple episodes of acute kidney injury on mortality: an observational study

Clinical Kidney Journal ◽

10.1093/ckj/sfz199 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Heather Walker ◽

Nicosha De Souza ◽

Simona Hapca ◽

Miles D Witham ◽

Samira Bell

Keyword(s):

Acute Kidney Injury ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Kidney Injury ◽

Patient Characteristics ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Background Patients who survive an episode of acute kidney injury (AKI) are more likely to have further episodes of AKI. AKI is associated with increased mortality, with a further increase with recurrent episodes. It is not clear whether this is due to AKI or as a result of other patient characteristics. The aim of this study was to establish whether recurrence of AKI is an independent risk factor for mortality or if excess mortality is explained by other factors. Methods This observational cohort study included adult people from the Tayside region of Scotland, with an episode of AKI between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2009. AKI was defined using the creatinine-based Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes definition. Associations between recurrent AKI and mortality were examined using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results Survival was worse in the group identified to have recurrent AKI compared with those with a single episode of AKI [hazard ratio = 1.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37–1.63; P < 0.001]. After adjustment for comorbidities, stage of reference AKI, sex, age, medicines that predispose to renal impairment or, in the 3 months prior to the reference AKI, deprivation and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), recurrent AKI was independently associated with an increase in mortality (hazard ratio = 1.25, 95% CI 1.14–1.37; P < 0.001). Increasing stage of reference AKI, age, deprivation, baseline eGFR, male sex, previous myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease and diuretic use were all associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with recurrent AKI. Conclusions Recurrent AKI is associated with increased mortality. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the increase in mortality is independently associated with recurrent AKI and is not solely explained by other risk factors.

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Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

The Journals of Gerontology Series A ◽

10.1093/gerona/glaa324 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Yuko Yamaguchi ◽

Marta Zampino ◽

Toshiko Tanaka ◽

Stefania Bandinelli ◽

Yusuke Osawa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Differentiation Factor ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk ◽

The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P<.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

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Blood eosinophils on hospital admission for COPD exacerbation do not predict the recurrence of moderate and severe relapses

ERJ Open Research ◽

10.1183/23120541.00543-2020 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. 00543-2020

Author(s):

Balázs Csoma ◽

András Bikov ◽

Ferenc Tóth ◽

György Losonczy ◽

Veronika Müller ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Forced Expiratory Volume ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Full Blood Count ◽

Rank Test ◽

Severe Exacerbation ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Exacerbation Of Copd

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.

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Abstract WP79: Choice Of Treatment And Effect On Hemorrhage Rates Of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

Stroke ◽

10.1161/str.44.suppl_1.awp79 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

James Torner ◽

Jie Zhang ◽

David Piepgras ◽

John Huston ◽

Irene Meissner ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Intracranial Aneurysms ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Interventional Procedure ◽

Careful Consideration ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms ◽

Increased Risk

INTRODUCTION: The decision regarding whether to perform an interventional procedure as a strategy to prevent hemorrhage of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) requires careful consideration of procedural risk and the UIA natural history. No randomized trial data are available. The International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) included a prospective cohort, examining hemorrhage risk and treatment risk. Hypothesis: The purpose of this analysis was to compare the factors related to treatment selection and determination of the number of hemorrhages prevented. Methods: Patients were allocated into the initial treatment and untreated cohorts based upon observation or treatment practices in 61 centers from 1991-1998. 1691 patients were in the observational cohort, 471 were in the endovascular cohort and 1917 patients were in the surgical cohort. The cohorts were followed for a median follow-up of 9.2 years. Outcomes were determined prospectively and with central review. The data were grouped together and analyzed to determine treatment decisions. A Cox proportional hazards model predicting hemorrhage developed in the observation cohort and was applied to the surgery and endovascular cohorts across the follow-up period. Results: Significant baseline variable differences between treated and observed patients were aneurysm size, symptoms, age, prior SAH group, geographical region, treatment percentage, aneurysm daughter sacs or multiple lobes, and history of hypertension, smoking and myocardial infarction. Aneurysm site and family history were not significant. Site, size, and aspirin use were significant predictors of hemorrhage. Long-term the predicted hemorrhage rates were 6.7% at 5 years and 8.0% at 10 years in the surgery group and 8.1% and 9.6% for the endovascular group, respectively. For comparison the rates in the observed cohort were 4.1% and 4.8%, respectively. Conclusions: Decisions for treatment are influenced by patient characteristics such as age and medical history, aneurysm characteristics such as size and morphology and center and regional practices. Patients in the treated cohorts were at moderately increased risk for hemorrhage compared to those in the observed cohort.

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Pre-Existing Disability and Its Risk of Fragility Hip Fracture in Older Adults

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ◽

10.3390/ijerph16071237 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 16 (7) ◽

pp. 1237

Author(s):

Jayeun Kim ◽

Soong-Nang Jang ◽

Jae-Young Lim

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Hip Fracture ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Mental Disabilities ◽

Term Care ◽

Fragility Hip Fracture

Background: Hip fracture is one of the significant public concerns in terms of long-term care in aging society. We aimed to investigate the risk for the incidence of hip fracture focusing on disability among older adults. Methods: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study, focusing on adults aged 65 years or over who were included in the Korean National Health Insurance Service–National Sample from 2004 to 2013 (N = 90,802). Hazard ratios with 95% confidence interval (CIs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model according to disability adjusted for age, household income, underlying chronic diseases, and comorbidity index. Results: The incidence of hip fracture was higher among older adults with brain disability (6.3%) and mental disability (7.5%) than among those with other types of disability, as observed during the follow-up period. Risk of hip fracture was higher among those who were mildly to severely disabled (hazard ratio for severe disability = 1.59; 95% CI, 1.33–1.89; mild = 1.68; 95% CI, 1.49–1.88) compared to those who were not disabled. Older men with mental disabilities experienced an incidence of hip fracture that was almost five times higher (hazard ratio, 4.98; 95% CI, 1.86–13.31) versus those that were not disabled. Conclusions: Older adults with mental disabilities and brain disability should be closely monitored and assessed for risk of hip fracture.

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Associations of Endometriosis and Hormone Therapy With Risk of Hyperlipidemia

American Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1093/aje/kwaa173 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Cherry Yin-Yi Chang ◽

Chih-Hsin Muo ◽

Yi-Chun Yeh ◽

Chung-Yen Lu ◽

William Wu-Chou Lin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hormone Therapy ◽

Structural Model ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Marginal Structural Model ◽

Bilateral Oophorectomy ◽

Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Using claims data from the universal health insurance program of Taiwan, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate whether endometriosis and hormone therapy are associated with the risk of developing hyperlipidemia. We selected 9,155 women aged 20–55 years with endometriosis diagnosed during the period 2000–2013 and 212,641 women without endometriosis with a median follow-up time of 7 years. Among patients with endometriosis, 86% of cases were identified on the basis of diagnosis codes with an ultrasound claim, and 14% were defined by diagnostic laparoscopy or surgical treatments. In a Cox proportional hazards model, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.30 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19, 1.41) for all women, 1.04 (95% CI: 0.81, 1.32) for women under 35 years of age, 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.32) for women aged 35–44 years, and 1.34 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.52) for women aged 45–54 years. Hysterectomy and/or bilateral oophorectomy accounted for 46.9% of the association between endometriosis and hyperlipidemia, and hormone therapy accounted for 21.6%. Among women with endometriosis, the marginal structural model approach adjusting for time-varying hysterectomy/bilateral oophorectomy showed no association between use of hormone medications and risk of hyperlipidemia. We concluded that women with endometriosis are at increased risk of hyperlipidemia; use of hormone therapy by these women was not independently associated with the development of hyperlipidemia.

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Predictive Value of First Posttreatment Imaging Using Standardized Reporting in Head and Neck Cancer

Otolaryngology ◽

10.1177/0194599819865235 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 161 (6) ◽

pp. 978-985 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Derek Hsu ◽

Falgun H. Chokshi ◽

Patricia A. Hudgins ◽

Suprateek Kundu ◽

Jonathan J. Beitler ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Treatment Failure ◽

Head And Neck ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Strong Association ◽

Treatment Completion ◽

Tertiary Hospital ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Increased Risk

Objective The Neck Imaging Reporting and Data System (NI-RADS) is a standardized numerical reporting template for surveillance of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Our aim was to analyze the accuracy of NI-RADS on the first posttreatment fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/contrast-enhanced computed tomography (PET/CECT). Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Academic tertiary hospital. Subject and Methods Patients with HNSCC with a 12-week posttreatment PET/CECT interpreted using the NI-RADS template and 9 months of clinical and radiologic follow-up starting from treatment completion between June 2014 and July 2016 were included. Treatment failure was defined as positive tumor confirmed by biopsy or Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were performed. Results This study comprised 199 patients followed for a median of 15.5 months after treatment completion (25% quartile, 11.8 months; 75% quartile, 20.2 months). The rates of treatment failure increased with each incremental increase in NI-RADS category from 1 to 3 (4.3%, 9.1%, and 42.1%, respectively). A Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated a strong association between NI-RADS categories and treatment failure at both primary and neck sites (hazard ratio [HR], 2.60 and 5.22, respectively; P < .001). In the smaller treatment subgroup analysis, increasing NI-RADS category at the primary site in surgically treated patients and treatment failure did not achieve statistically significant association (HR, 0.88; P = .82). Conclusion Increasing NI-RADS category at the baseline posttreatment PET/CECT is strongly associated with increased risk of treatment failure in patients with HNSCC.

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Prognostic indicators of secondary progression in a paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cohort in Kuwait

Multiple Sclerosis Journal ◽

10.1177/1352458515608960 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 22 (8) ◽

pp. 1086-1093 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Saeed Akhtar ◽

Raed Alroughani ◽

Samar F Ahmed ◽

Jasem Y Al-Hashel

Keyword(s):

Multiple Sclerosis ◽

Confidence Interval ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Adjusted Hazard Ratio ◽

Secondary Progressive ◽

Hazards Model

Background: The frequency of paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) and the precise risk of secondary progression of disease are largely unknown in the Middle East. This cross-sectional cohort study assessed the risk and examined prognostic factors for time to onset of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) in a cohort of POMS patients. Methods: The Kuwait National MS Registry database was used to identify a cohort of POMS cases (diagnosed at age <18 years) from 1994 to 2013. Data were abstracted from patients’ records. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the prognostic significance of the variables considered. Results: Of 808 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients, 127 (15.7%) were POMS cases. The median age (years) at disease onset was 16.0 (range 6.5–17.9). Of 127 POMS cases, 20 (15.8%) developed SPMS. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model showed that at MS onset, brainstem involvement (adjusted hazard ratio 5.71; 95% confidence interval 1.53–21.30; P=0.010), and POMS patient age at MS onset (adjusted hazard ratio 1.38; 95% confidence interval 1.01–1.88; P=0.042) were significantly associated with the increased risk of a secondary progressive disease course. Conclusions: This study showed that POMS patients with brainstem/cerebellar presentation and a relatively higher age at MS onset had disposition for SPMS and warrant an aggressive therapeutic approach.

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ColotypeR gene signature predicts response to cetuximab in colorectal cancer metastases.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2019.37.4_suppl.599 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 599-599

Author(s):

Steven Allen Buechler ◽

Yesim Gokmen-Polar ◽

Sunil S. Badve

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽

Response To Treatment ◽

Molecular Characteristics ◽

Wild Type

599 Background: The consensus molecular subtypes (CMS1-4) partition primary colorectal cancer (CRC) into subgroups with distinct molecular characteristics. We previously reported a 20-genes ColotypeR-CMS signature that accurately defines CMS subtypes for primary CRC tumor samples. The utility of CMS subtyping in defining response to treatment of CRC metastases remains to be established. Here, we report the ability of ColotypeR scores to predict differential response to cetuximab among CMS subtypes in CRC metastases. Methods: The role of ColotypeR-CMS signature scores was assessed in CRC metastasis samples (GSE5851, N = 68, Affymetrix microarray) in predicting response to cetuximab. Progression-free survival (PFS) was the primary endpoint. The predictive significance of ColotypeR-CMS scores relative to KRAS mutation status was also studied using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Results: ColotypeR-CMS scores were computed in GSE5851 using the algorithm developed in primary tumor samples. Higher values of ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score were significantly predictive of longer PFS (p = 5 x 10-5for the score test in Cox proportional hazards model; hazard ratio 0.20 (95%CI 0.09-0.44) in CRC metastases samples (GSE5851, N = 68) treated with cetuximab. PFS was independent of CMS1,3, 4 scores. KRAS wild type tumors had significantly longer PFS (p = 0.01; hazard ratio 0.49 (95%CI 0.28-0.86). In multivariate survival analysis, ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score added to the significance of KRAS status (p = 0.012) and ColotypeR-CMS CMS2 score was predictive of longer PFS in KRAS wild type tumors (p = 0.009; hazard ratio 0.20 (95%CI 0.06-0.69)). Conclusions: We showed that in CRC metastasis samples, the ColotypeR CMS2 score was highly predictive of sensitivity to cetuximab treatment, while no increase in PFS was observed for higher values of CMS1, 3, 4 scores.

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