Improved estimation is a prerequisite for successful terminal guidance

Author(s):  
J Shinar ◽  
V Turetsky

Successful interception of manoeuvring anti-surface missiles that are expected in the future can be achieved only if the estimation errors against manoeuvring targets can be minimized. The paper raises new ideas for an improved estimation concept by separating the tasks of the estimation system and by explicit use of the time-to-go in the process. The outcome of the new approach is illustrated by results of Monte Carlo simulations in generic interception scenarios. The results indicate that if an eventual ‘jump’ in the commanded target acceleration is detected sufficiently rapidly, small estimation errors and consequently precise guidance can be obtained.

1984 ◽  
Vol 41 (12) ◽  
pp. 1843-1847 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jay Barlow

Estimates of mortality rates from age distributions are biased by imprecision in age estimation, even if age estimates are unbiased. I have derived a method for predicting the magnitude of this bias from information on the precision of age determination. Monte Carlo simulations show that bias can be accurately predicted. The commonly used Chapman–Robson mortality estimator is shown to be robust to imprecision in age determination if all age-classes are included. Errors are likely, however, if one or more age-classes are excluded or if other mortality estimators are used. Biases can be corrected if the distribution of age-estimation errors is known.


2004 ◽  
Vol 72 (10) ◽  
pp. 1294-1302 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. P. Landau ◽  
Shan-Ho Tsai ◽  
M. Exler

2019 ◽  
Vol 204 ◽  
pp. 11004 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mikhaylov ◽  
A. Kugler ◽  
V. Kushpil ◽  
O. Svoboda ◽  
P. Tlustý ◽  
...  

The Projectile Spectator Detector (PSD) of the CBM experiment at the future FAIR facility is a compensating lead-scintillator calorimeter designed to measure the energy distribution of the forward going projectile nucleons and nuclei fragments (reaction spectators) produced close to the beam rapidity. The detector performance for the centrality and reaction plane determination is reviewed based on Monte-Carlo simulations of gold-gold collisions by means of four different heavy-ion event generators. The PSD energy resolution and the linearity of the response measured at CERN PS for the PSD supermodule consisting of 9 modules are presented. Predictions of the calorimeter radiation conditions at CBM and response measurement of one PSD module equipped with neutron irradiated MPPCs used for the light read out are discussed.


2015 ◽  
Vol 724 ◽  
pp. 297-302
Author(s):  
Ling Sheng Ran ◽  
Song Hua He ◽  
Da Wei Lu

In order to measure capture performance of the seeker in the typical terminal guidance scene under HPM damage effect, the paper proposes a new method to model the dynamic capture state in different ballistic position. The proposed missile-target geometry count can be used to process multiple data generated in multiple Monte Carlo simulations under the same scene, which facilitates capture performance comparative analysis between different scenes. Simulations validate proposed counting measure, so that it can be applied for measuring the performance of missile capture.


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