Forecasting the Transition of the Economy of the Russian Federation to the Dominance of the Fifth Techno-Economic Paradigm

Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Д. Ломовцев ◽  
D. Lomovcev ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
...  

The purpose of the work was to assess the timing of the transition of the Russian economy and the economy of individual Russian regions to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. By constructing econometric models of economic dynamics, the timing of the beginning of the dominance of the fifth technoeconomic paradigm was estimated. The transition to the domination of the fifth techno-economic paradigm in the economy of the country can expected in 2040. The economy of individual regions has already made the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. In the economy of a large part of the regions, the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm can expected in many years and decades. Estimates of the expected timeframe for the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm obtained on basis of the assumption that the trends of economic development prevailing in 2001–2015 were preserved.

Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Татьяна Аверина ◽  
Tatyana Averina ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
...  

The purpose of the work was to assess the timing of the transition of the Russian economy and the economy of individual regions of Russia to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. The contribution of the fifth technical and economic paradigm in the per capita GDP is given. Based on econometric models of economic dynamics, the time of the beginning of the domination of the fifth techno-economic paradigm in the economy of regions is estimated. The economy of individual regions has already passed to the domination of the fifth technoeconomic paradigm. In the economy of a large part of the regions, the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm can expected many years and decades hence. Estimates of the expected timeframe for the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm are received, based on the assumption of the preservation of economic development trends in 2001–2015.


2019 ◽  
pp. 62-68
Author(s):  
I.A. Kirichenko ◽  
R.R. Gumerov

The article analyzes some new requirements to the methodology of medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the framework of the «big challenges» model. The main «big challenges» of the global and Russian economy are identified, the main requirements for the medium-term forecasting of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the transition to the model of «big challenges» are considered.


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 17-21
Author(s):  
Жуков ◽  
R. Zhukov

In terms of Government action aimed at ensuring sustainable socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in 2016 22 points are devoted to the situation of small and medium enterprises. However, funding is one-sided. In this connection, the necessity of creation of the state franchise system is justified. A sequence of implementation and the effects of state franchise system on the Russian economy is considered.


Author(s):  
S.V. Radygina ◽  
V.V. Suvorova

The article considers an instrument of influence on the economic development of the Russian Federation in the form of creating special economic zones. The current state of Russian enterprises is described in terms of the theory of techno-economic paradigm. The problem of technological backwardness of Russia is revealed. In this regard, the authors consider special economic zones as an engine for the development of the Russian Federation. The principles of functioning of these zones are described, privileges for enterprises registered in the territory of special economic zones are listed. The types of zones are also characterized, among which four are distinguished by the legislation of Russia: industrial-production, technical-innovative, tourist-recreational and port. Examples are given for each type of special economic zone. The authors examined the stages of construction of these zones, and the legislation that determines their functioning. The article also provides an example of the Innopolis special economic zone: its specialization, what benefits it gives residents and what is located on its territory. The article’s conclusion provides a list of benefits that an enterprise can count on if it is registered as a resident in the territory of a special economic zone. It also proves the existence of a direct relationship between the effective functioning of special economic zones and the acceleration of the economic development of the state, which allows it to enter the next techno-economic paradigm.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3D) ◽  
pp. 342-350
Author(s):  
Irina Stanislavovna Glebova ◽  
Svetlana Sergeevna Berman ◽  
Natalia Aleksandrovna Semenоva ◽  
Ruslan R. Galiakhmetov

not considered as an object of management research; there is no system for regulating the creative sector of the economy at both federal and regional levels. The choice of methodology remains an open-ended question since there is no single approach to defining the concept and estimating creative industries. The need to fill the methodological, organizational, and managerial gaps in the sphere of the Russian creative economy proves the relevance of the chosen topic and requires its in-depth research. In the article, the researchers present the calculation of the Сomposite Сreativity Index for the regions of the Russian Federation in dynamics for a nine-year period based on the methodology developed by the authors. The purpose of the study is to test the proposed methodology and search for effective organizational and managerial tools for the creative industries development in the Russian regions to establish the programs of territories socio-economic development.


2019 ◽  
pp. 25-38
Author(s):  
Yu. V. Kuznetsov ◽  
E. M. Anokhina ◽  
E. V. Melyakova

The presented study examines the results of the assessment of the strategic sustainability of the complex of large, medium, and small enterprises in Russian regions. The specific features and parameters of the complex of enterprises in the depressed regions of the Russian Federation are identified. The hypothesis about the dependence of the economic indicators of regional development on the strategic sustainability of enterprises operating in the region is confirmed. Directions for applying the results of this study to boost the economies of the depressed Russian regions by improving the management of the complex of enterprises are proposed. Aim. The study aims to analyze the methodological approaches to assessment proposed by the authors as well as the strategic sustainability of large, medium, and small enterprises in the depressed regions of Russia.Tasks. The authors develop a methodology for analyzing the strategic sustainability of the complex of large, medium, and small enterprises in Russian regions as a crucial factor of regional economic growth; identify specific features in the development of this complex in the depressed regions of Russia by calculating an integrated index for performance assessment – index of strategic sustainability of the complex of enterprises in the region; determine the sustainability parameters of the complex of enterprises in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation based on the developed system of indicators. According to the results of the study, the authors characterize directions for improving the management of the complex of large, medium, and small enterprises.Methods. The theoretical and methodological basis of the study comprises theories and concepts of the role of enterprises and entrepreneurship in regional economic development, allowing the authors to propose definitions for the concepts of ‘strategic sustainability of the complex of enterprises in the region’ and ‘regional profit center’. This study also uses general scientific methods: analysis and synthesis, comparative and statistical analysis, systematization, calculation of an integrated index, cluster analysis, and correlation analysis. The calculations are based on the data of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Russian Federal Tax Service, and SPARK database by Interfax.Results. The study shows that the complex of enterprises in depressive regions is not strategically stable. In comparison with regions where the socio-economic development rate is higher, the depressed regions of the Russian Federation have a significantly lower proportion of large business enterprises, lower labor productivity and innovative activity of enterprises, less favorable demography of enterprises, much lower share and growth rate of corporate income taxes in the total tax revenues of the region, and other indicators pertaining to the analysis of activity of enterprises. This confirms the hypothesis of the dependence of regional economic development on the business structure of the region and makes it possible to propose ways of improving the management of strategic sustainability of enterprises in depressed regions for federal and regional authorities.Conclusions. The complex of large, medium, and small enterprises in depressed regions is characterized by low and extremely low sustainability parameters, which affects the economic and social development of the regions. Many key indicators of the development of depressed regions over the past 30 years have values below 50 % of the average level in Russia. Improvement of the management of development of depressed regions should focus on enhancing government support tools that facilitate the development of the complex of enterprises in the regions. The management of sustainability of the complex of enterprises in a region should be integrated into the strategic management system at the federal and regional level.


2021 ◽  
pp. 331-339
Author(s):  
M.P. Burov

The article describes the basic principles of planning and development of urban and rural settlements in the Russian Federation. The authors paid special attention to the functioning of a rural settlement, which should not be considered in isolation from production, but in its composition and in connection with its main means of production - land. The paper contains a brief analysis on improving the complex infrastructure by example of Moscow and Russian regions and proposes the measures to create an effective planning and administration system for the Russian economy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Пчела ◽  
A. Pchela

The article discusses management priorities of socio-economic development of the regions of Russia in accordance with the Concept «Strategy of socio-economic development of the regions of the Russian Federation». The conclusion is made about the importance of the choice of effective management priorities of socio-economic development of the country regions in implementing the strategy of socio-economic development of its regions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 09003
Author(s):  
M.N. Tolmachev ◽  
N.G. Barashov ◽  
A.V. Latkov ◽  
V.A. Markov

Currently, the priority of the Russian Federation socio-economic development is to achieve sustainable economic growth. A significant obstacle to the achievement of this goal is the unevenness and disproportionality in the socio-economic development of the Russian regions. This circumstance makes the problem of an objective and adequate assessment of Russian regions the interregional differentiation particularly relevant. The study notes that the nominal monetary income of the population does not take into account regional differences in price level. This work discusses methodological approaches of reliable determination, advantages of weighted and unweighted estimates in the interregional inequality, special attention is paid to weighing the average per capita indicators of the subject of the Russia for the proportion of the region’s population in the country’s population. To assess the purchasing power of the population at the regional level, the authors propose to use a modified cost of living index. As a result of the study, the dynamics of the variation coefficient of the average per capita monetary incomes of the population and adjusted for the modified cost-of-living index were determined, on the basis of which the regions of Russia were divided into three groups. The efficiency of the transition to the analysis of incomes comparable in purchasing power, as comparison of weighted and unweighted variation coefficients, has been proved. The trend towards smoothing interregional inequality, which is caused by the accelerated growth of real incomes of the population in the low-income group of Russian regions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Svetlana Kotenkova ◽  
Julia Varlamova ◽  
Natalia Larionova ◽  
Irina Rudaleva

In the context of the modern economic processes development at the regional level, such an aspect as regional competitiveness plays an extremely important role. To quantify the competitiveness of the regions of the Russian Federation, 10 subjects were taken. A comparative analysis was carried out on the basis of 35 indicators divided into 7 blocks depending on factor affiliation. The result of the analysis is the ranking of the considered regions of the Russian Federation in terms of competitiveness.The quantitative analysis carried out in conjunction with a qualitative assessment based on the SWOT analysis allows us to create a relatively clear picture of the competitiveness ratio of individual Russian regions, the main characteristic of which is their rather strong differentiation, due to the geoeconomic features already mentioned above. One can use the successful experience of countries such as Canada, China and Ireland in the formation of directions considered in this paper for increasing the competitiveness of regions.


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