New Methods to Assess Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation of Agricultural Production Systems: The experience of AgMIP Regional Integrated Assessments in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Janowiak ◽  
Daniel Dostie ◽  
Michael Wilson ◽  
Michael Kucera ◽  
Howard Skinner ◽  
...  

Changes in climate and extreme weather are already increasing challenges for agriculture nationally and globally, and many of these impacts will continue into the future. This technical bulletin contains information and resources designed to help agricultural producers, service providers, and educators in the Midwest and Northeast regions of the United States integrate climate change considerations and action-oriented decisions into existing farm and conservation plans. An Adaptation Workbook provides producers a flexible, structured process to identify and assess climate change impacts, challenges, opportunities, and farm-level adaptation tactics and continuously evaluate adaptation actions for improving responses to extreme and uncertain conditions. A synthesis of Adaptation Strategies and Approaches serves as a “menu” of potential responses organized to provide a clear rationale for making decisions by connecting planned actions to broad adaptation concepts. Responses address both short- and long-range timeframes and extend from incremental adjustments of existing practices to major alterations that transform the entire farm operation. Example adaptation tactics—prescriptive actions for agricultural production systems common in the region—for each approach guide producers, service providers, and educators to develop appropriate responses for their farms and location. Four Adaptation Examples demonstrate how these adaptation process resources are used.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 1585-1600 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivia Serdeczny ◽  
Sophie Adams ◽  
Florent Baarsch ◽  
Dim Coumou ◽  
Alexander Robinson ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 2505-2517 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Müller ◽  
Katharina Waha ◽  
Alberte Bondeau ◽  
Jens Heinke

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvia Tramberend ◽  
Günther Fischer ◽  
Harrij van Velthuizen

<p>Climate change threatens vulnerable communities in sub-Saharan Africa who face significant challenges for adaptation. Agriculture provides the livelihood for the majority of population. High-resolution assessments of the effects of climate change on crop production are urgently needed for targeted adaptation planning. In Ghana, next to food needs, agriculture plays an important role on international cocoa markets. To this end, we develop and apply a National Agro-Ecological Zoning system (NAEZ Ghana) to analyze the impacts of high-end (RCP8.5) global warming on agricultural production potentials until the end of this century. NAEZ Ghana uses an ensemble of the CORDEX Africa Regional Climate Model, a regional soil map, to assess development trends of crop production potentials for 19 main crops. Results highlight differential impacts across the country. Especially due to the significant increase in the number of days exceeding high-temperature thresholds, rain-fed production of several food and export crops could be reduced significantly compared to the historical 30-year average (1981-2010). Plantain production, an important food crop, could achieve under climate change less than half of its current potential already in the 2050s and less than 10% by the 2080s. Suitable areas for cocoa production decrease strongly resulting in only one third of production potential compared to today. Other crops with detrimental effects of climate change include oil palm, sugarcane, coffee, and rubber. Production of maize, sorghum, and millet cope well with a future warmer climate. The NAEZ Ghana database provides valuable high-resolution information to support agricultural sector development planning and climate change adaptation strategies. The expansion of irrigation development will play a central role in some areas. This requires further research on Ghana’s linkages between food, water, and energy, taking into account climate and socio-economic changes.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 120 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 313-324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Ju ◽  
Marijn van der Velde ◽  
Erda Lin ◽  
Wei Xiong ◽  
Yingchun Li

2010 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 577-589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tony Prato ◽  
Qiu Zeyuan ◽  
Gregory Pederson ◽  
Dan Fagre ◽  
Lindsey E. Bengtson ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (10) ◽  
pp. 5942-5964 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gatien N. Falconnier ◽  
Marc Corbeels ◽  
Kenneth J. Boote ◽  
François Affholder ◽  
Myriam Adam ◽  
...  

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