Importance of Prediction Outlier Diagnostics in Determining a Successful Inter-Vendor Multivariate Calibration Model Transfer

2007 ◽  
Vol 61 (7) ◽  
pp. 747-754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert D. Guenard ◽  
Christine M. Wehlburg ◽  
Randy J. Pell ◽  
David M. Haaland

This paper reports on the transfer of calibration models between Fourier transform near-infrared (FT-NIR) instruments from four different manufacturers. The piecewise direct standardization (PDS) method is compared with the new hybrid calibration method known as prediction augmented classical least squares/partial least squares (PACLS/PLS). The success of a calibration transfer experiment is judged by prediction error and by the number of samples that are flagged as outliers that would not have been flagged as such if a complete recalibration were performed. Prediction results must be acceptable and the outlier diagnostics capabilities must be preserved for the transfer to be deemed successful. Previous studies have measured the success of a calibration transfer method by comparing only the prediction performance (e.g., the root mean square error of prediction, RMSEP). However, our study emphasizes the need to consider outlier detection performance as well. As our study illustrates, the RMSEP values for a calibration transfer can be within acceptable range; however, statistical analysis of the spectral residuals can show that differences in outlier performance can vary significantly between competing transfer methods. There was no statistically significant difference in the prediction error between the PDS and PACLS/PLS methods when the same subset sample selection method was used for both methods. However, the PACLS/PLS method was better at preserving the outlier detection capabilities and therefore was judged to have performed better than the PDS algorithm when transferring calibrations with the use of a subset of samples to define the transfer function. The method of sample subset selection was found to make a significant difference in the calibration transfer results using the PDS algorithm, while the transfer results were less sensitive to subset selection when the PACLS/PLS method was used.

2002 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.V. Greensill ◽  
K.B. Walsh

The transfer of predictive models among photodiode array based, short wave near infrared spectrometers using the same illumination/detection optical geometry has been attempted using various chemometric techniques, including slope and bias correction (SBC), direct standardisation (DS), piecewise direct standardisation (PDS), double window PDS (DWPDS), orthogonal signal correction (OSC), finite impulse transform (FIR) and wavelet transform (WT). Additionally, an interpolation and photometric response correction method, a wavelength selection method and a model updating method were assessed. Calibration transfer was attempted across two populations of mandarin fruit. Model performance was compared in terms of root mean squared error of prediction ( RMSEP), using Fearn's significance testing, for calibration transfer (standardisation) between pairs of spectrometers from a group of four spectrometers. For example, when a calibration model (Root Mean Square Error of Cross-Validation [ RMSECV = 0.26% soluble solid content (SSC)], developed on one spectrometer, was used with spectral data collected on another spectrometer, a poor prediction resulted ( RMSEP = 2.5% SSC). A modified WT method performed significantly better (e.g. RMSEP = 0.25% SSC) than all other standardisation methods (10 of 12 cases), and almost on a par with model updating (MU) (nine cases with no significant difference, one case and two cases significantly better for WT and MU, respectively).


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heba Shaaban ◽  
Ahmed Mostafa ◽  
Zahra Almatar ◽  
Reem Alsheef ◽  
Safia Alrubh

The quality of over-the-counter (OTC) pain relievers is important to ensure the safety of the marketed products in order to maintain the overall health care of patients. In this study, the multivariate curve resolution-alternating least squares (MCR-ALS) chemometric method was developed and validated for the resolution and quantification of the most commonly consumed OTC pain relievers (acetaminophen, acetylsalicylic acid, ibuprofen, naproxen, and caffeine) in commercial drug formulations. The analytical performance of the developed chemometric methods such as root mean square error of prediction, bias, standard error of prediction, relative error of prediction, and coefficients of determination was calculated for the developed model. The obtained results are linear with concentration in the range of 0.5–7 μg/mL for acetaminophen and 0.5–3.5 and 0.5–3 μg/mL for naproxen and caffeine, respectively, while the linearity ranges for acetyl salicylic acid and ibuprofen were 1–15 μg/mL. High values of coefficients of determination ≥0.9995 reflected high predictive ability of the developed model. Good recoveries ranging from 98.0% to 99.7% were obtained for all analytes with relative standard deviations (RSDs) not higher than 1.62%. The optimized method was successfully applied for the analysis of the studied drugs either in their single or coformulated pharmaceutical products without any separation step. The optimized method was also compared with a reported HPLC method using paired t-test and F-ratio at 95% confidence level, and the results showed no significant difference regarding accuracy and precision. The developed method is eco-friendly, simple, fast, and amenable for routine analysis. It could be used as a cost-effective alternative to chromatographic techniques for the analysis of the studied drugs in commercial formulations.


2002 ◽  
Vol 56 (7) ◽  
pp. 877-886 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine M. Wehlburg ◽  
David M. Haaland ◽  
David K. Melgaard

A new prediction-augmented classical least-squares/partial least-squares (PACLS/PLS) hybrid algorithm is ideally suited for use in transferring multivariate calibrations between spectrometers. Spectral variations such as instrument response differences can be explicitly incorporated into the algorithm through the use of subset sample spectra collected on both spectrometers. Two current calibration transfer methods, subset recalibration and piecewise direct standardization (PDS), also utilize subset sample spectra to facilitate transfer of calibration. The three methods were applied to the transfer of quantitative multivariate calibration models for near-infrared (NIR) data of organic samples containing chlorobenzene, heptane, and toluene between a primary and three secondary spectrometers that were all the same model, called intra-vendor transfer of calibration. The hybrid PACLS/PLS method outperformed subset recalibration and provided predictions equivalent to PDS with additive background correction on the two secondary spectrometers whose instrument drift appeared to be dominated by simple linear baseline variations. One of the secondary spectrometers had complex instrument drift that was captured by repeatedly measuring the spectrum of a single repeat sample. In calculating a transfer function to correct prediction spectra, PDS assumes no instrumental drift on the secondary spectrometer. Therefore, PDS was unable to directly accommodate both the subset samples and the use of a single repeat sample to transfer and maintain a calibration on that secondary instrument. In order to implement the transfer of calibration with PDS in the presence of complex instrument drift, recalibrated PLS models that included the repeat spectra from the secondary spectrometer were used to predict the spectra transformed by PDS. The importance of correcting for drift on the secondary spectrometer during calibration transfer was illustrated by the improvements in prediction for all three methods vs. using only the instrument response differences derived from the subset sample spectra. When the effects of instrument drift were complex on the secondary spectrometer, the PACLS/PLS hybrid algorithm outperformed both PDS and subset recalibration. Through the explicit incorporation of spectral variations, due to instrument response differences and drift on the secondary spectrometer, the PACLS/PLS algorithm was successful at intra-vendor transfer of calibrations between NIR spectrometers.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Xu ◽  
Si-Min Yan ◽  
Chen-Bo Cai ◽  
Xiao-Ping Yu ◽  
Jian-Hui Jiang ◽  
...  

This paper aims at developing a rapid and nondestructive method for analyzing the shelf life of preserved eggs (pidan) by near infrared (NIR) spectroscopy and nonlinear multivariate calibration. A major concern with a nonlinear model is that the noncomposition-correlated spectral variations among pidan objects of different batches and production dates would unnecessarily increase model complexity and cause overfitting and degradation of prediction. To reduce the negative influence of unwanted spectral variations, stacked least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) with an ensemble of 62 commonly used preprocessing methods is proposed to automatically optimize data preprocessing and develop the nonlinear model. The analysis results indicate that stacked LS-SVM can obtain stable calibration model, and the prediction accuracy is improved compared with models with single-preprocessing methods. Since LS-SVM is much faster than its ordinary counterparts, stacked LS-SVM with ensemble preprocessing can be performed within an acceptable computational time. When the objects and spectral variations are very complex, the proposed method can provide a useful tool for data preprocessing and nonlinear multivariate calibration.


2002 ◽  
Vol 56 (5) ◽  
pp. 605-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine M. Wehlburg ◽  
David M. Haaland ◽  
David K. Melgaard ◽  
Laura E. Martin

Our newly developed prediction-augmented classical least-squares/partial least-squares (PACLS/PLS) hybrid algorithm can correct for the presence of unmodeled sources of spectral variation such as instrument drift by explicitly incorporating known or empirically derived information about the unmodeled spectral variation. We have tested the ability of the new hybrid algorithm to maintain a multivariate calibration in the presence of instrument drift using a near-infrared (NIR) spectrometer (7500–11 000 cm−1) to quantitate dilute aqueous solutions containing glucose, ethanol, and urea. The spectral variations required to update the multivariate models for both short- and long-term drift were obtained using a single representative midpoint sample whose spectrum was repeatedly measured during collection of calibration data and during collection of separate validation sample spectra on three subsequent days. The performance of the PACLS/PLS model for maintaining a calibration was compared to PLS with subset recalibration, a method that has previously been applied to maintenance and transfer of calibration. Without drift corrections, both PACLS/PLS and PLS had poor predictive ability on sample spectra collected on subsequent days. Unlike previous maintenance of calibration studies that corrected for long-term drift only, the PACLS/PLS and PLS models demonstrated the best predictive abilities when short-term drift was also corrected. The PACLS/PLS hybrid model outperformed PLS with subset recalibration for near real-time predictions when instrument drift was determined from the repeat samples closest in time to the measurement of the unknown. Near real-time standard errors of prediction (SEPs) for the hybrid model were comparable to the cross-validated SEPs obtained with the original calibration model.


Molecules ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (7) ◽  
pp. 1289 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhui Zhao ◽  
Jinlong Yu ◽  
Peng Shan ◽  
Ziheng Zhao ◽  
Xueying Jiang ◽  
...  

In order to enable the calibration model to be effectively transferred among multiple instruments and correct the differences between the spectra measured by different instruments, a new feature transfer model based on partial least squares regression (PLS) subspace (PLSCT) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the PLS model of the master instrument is built, meanwhile a PLS subspace is constructed by the feature vectors. Then the master spectra and the slave spectra are projected into the PLS subspace, and the features of the spectra are also extracted at the same time. In the subspace, the pseudo predicted feature of the slave spectra is transferred by the ordinary least squares method so that it matches the predicted feature of the master spectra. Finally, a feature transfer relationship model is constructed through the feature transfer of the PLS subspace. This PLS-based subspace transfer provides an efficient method for performing calibration transfer with only a small number of standard samples. The performance of the PLSCT was compared and assessed with slope and bias correction (SBC), piecewise direct standardization (PDS), calibration transfer method based on canonical correlation analysis (CCACT), generalized least squares (GLSW), multiplicative signal correction (MSC) methods in three real datasets, statistically tested by the Wilcoxon signed rank test. The obtained experimental results indicate that PLSCT method based on the PLS subspace is more stable and can acquire more accurate prediction results.


1992 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 764-771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongdong Wang ◽  
Bruce R. Kowalski

Near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy has been widely accepted as a quantitative technique in which multivariate calibration plays an important role. The application of NIR to process analysis, however, has been largely limited by a problem identified as calibration transfer, the attempt to transfer a well-established calibration model from one instrument (e.g., located in the central laboratory) to another instrument of the same type (e.g., located on an industrial process). A calibration transfer method called piecewise direct standardization (PDS) is applied to a set of gasoline samples measured on two different NIR spectrometers. On the basis of the measurement of a small set of transfer samples on both instruments, a structured transformation matrix can be determined and applied to transform spectra between two instruments, enabling the transfer of calibration models. The effect of spectrum preprocessing on standardization is studied with the use of a set of gasoline samples. In a separate study, the day-to-day instrument variation as observed from the change in the polystyrene spectrum is related to the prediction of moisture, oil, protein, and starch content in corn samples, and then the possibility of using such generic standards to replace real samples in a transfer set is explored. In all cases, a standard error for prediction comparable to full set cross-validation is obtained through standardization.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Rady ◽  
Daniel Guyer ◽  
William Kirk ◽  
Irwin R Donis-González

The sprouting of potato tubers during storage is a significant problem that suppresses obtaining high quality seeds or fried products. In this study, the potential of fusing data obtained from visible (VIS)/near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic and hyperspectral imaging systems was investigated, to improve the prediction of primordial leaf count as a significant sign for tubers sprouting. Electronic and lab measurements were conducted on whole tubers of Frito Lay 1879 (FL1879) and Russet Norkotah (R.Norkotah) potato cultivars. The interval partial least squares (IPLS) technique was adopted to extract the most effective wavelengths for both systems. Linear regression was utilized using partial least squares regression (PLSR), and the best calibration model was chosen using four-fold cross-validation. Then the prediction models were obtained using separate test data sets. Prediction results were enhanced compared with those obtained from individual systems’ models. The values of the correlation coefficient (the ratio between performance to deviation, or r(RPD)) were 0.95(3.01) and 0.9s6(3.55) for FL1879 and R.Norkotah, respectively, which represented a feasible improvement by 6.7%(35.6%) and 24.7%(136.7%) for FL1879 and R.Norkotah, respectively. The proposed study shows the possibility of building a rapid, noninvasive, and accurate system or device that requires minimal or no sample preparation to track the sprouting activity of stored potato tubers.


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