scholarly journals Incremental Prognostic Value of Biomarkers beyond the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) Score and High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T in Non-ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome

2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (10) ◽  
pp. 1497-1505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Widera ◽  
Michael J Pencina ◽  
Maria Bobadilla ◽  
Ines Reimann ◽  
Anja Guba-Quint ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Guidelines recommend the use of validated risk scores and a high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assay for risk assessment in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). The incremental prognostic value of biomarkers in this context is unknown. METHODS We calculated the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score and measured the circulating concentrations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and 8 selected cardiac biomarkers on admission in 1146 patients with NSTE-ACS. We used an hs-cTnT threshold at the 99th percentile of a reference population to define increased cardiac marker in the score. The magnitude of the increase in model performance when individual biomarkers were added to GRACE was assessed by the change (Δ) in the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and category-free net reclassification improvement [NRI(>0)]. RESULTS Seventy-eight patients reached the combined end point of 6-month all-cause mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction. The GRACE score alone had an AUC of 0.749. All biomarkers were associated with the risk of the combined end point and offered statistically significant improvement in model performance when added to GRACE (likelihood ratio test P ≤ 0.015). Growth differentiation factor 15 [ΔAUC 0.039, IDI 0.049, NRI(>0) 0.554] and N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide [ΔAUC 0.024, IDI 0.027, NRI(>0) 0.438] emerged as the 2 most promising biomarkers. Improvements in model performance upon addition of a second biomarker were small in magnitude. CONCLUSIONS Biomarkers can add prognostic information to the GRACE score even in the current era of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays. The incremental information offered by individual biomarkers varies considerably, however.

2007 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 8-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Sinclair ◽  
M Paterson ◽  
S. Walker ◽  
G Beckett ◽  
K.A.A. Fox

Background Accurate risk stratification soon after admission for patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is vital in guiding management. Clinical risk scores and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) can predict mortality and re-infarction in ACS, but it is unknown whether BNP provides prognostic information over and above that of the clinical risk scores. Methods 142 unselected patients with ACS were prospectively studied. BNP was measured and patients were stratified according to BNP and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score. In-hospital and 30-day events were characterised. Results 20.4% of ACS subjects had ST-elevation myocardial infarction (MI), 14.1%, non-ST elevation MI and 65.5% unstable angina. Elevated BNP predicted inhospital and 30-day heart failure (p<0.01), and the risk of in-hospital recurrent ACS (p<0.05). Increasing GRACE score predicted in-hospital recurrent ACS (p<0.05), heart failure (p<0.001), arrhythmias (p<0.05) and angioplasty (p<0.05). GRACE score also predicted 30-day heart failure (p<0.05). In contrast, the predictive accuracy of troponin elevation was less robust. Conclusion BNP and the GRACE score predict complementary outcomes from ACS, but both predicted heart failure. BNP is a powerful indicator of heart failure in patients with ACS and provides prognostic information above and beyond conventional biomarkers and risk scores.


Author(s):  
Paul Simpson ◽  
Rosy Tirimacco ◽  
Penelope Cowley ◽  
May Siew ◽  
Narelle Berry ◽  
...  

Background The management of patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome is a significant challenge for clinicians. Guidelines for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction require a rise and/or fall of cardiac troponin, along with other criteria. Knowing what constitutes a significant delta change from baseline is still unclear and the literature is varied. Methods We compared three methods for determining cardiac troponin delta changes (relative, absolute and z-scores) for detecting acute myocardial infarction in 806 patients presenting to an emergency department with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome. Blood specimens were collected at admission and 2, 3, 4 and 6 h postadmission and tested on the Roche Elecsys high-sensitivity troponin T assay. Results A positive diagnosis for acute myocardial infarction was found in 39 (4.8%) patients. ROC AUC showed better performance for the absolute and z-score delta change (0.959–0.988 and 0.956–0.988, respectively) compared with relative delta change (0.921–0.960) at all time points in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. Optimal timing for the second sample was at 4–6 h postadmission. Conclusions Although not statistically significant, the results show a trend of absolute and z-score delta change performing better than relative delta change for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. The z-score approach allows for a single cut-off value across multiple high-sensitivity assays which could be useful in the clinical setting. Our study also highlighted the importance of interpreting cardiac troponin changes in the clinical context with a combination of the patient’s clinical history and electrocardiogram.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaona Wang ◽  
Ruihua Cao ◽  
Xu Yang ◽  
Wenkai Xiao ◽  
Yun Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The relationship between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and different cardiovascular events has been observed in several large community studies, and the results have been controversial. However, there is currently no cross-sectional or longitudinal follow-up study on hs-cTnT in the Chinese population.Methods: We analyzed the association of plasma hs-cTnT levels with major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in 1325 subjects from a longitudinal follow-up community-based population in Beijing, China.Results: In the Cox proportional hazards models analysis, the risk of MACE increased with the increase of hs-cTnT levels (HR, 1.223, 95% CI, 1.054–1.418, P = 0.008). Increased hs-cTnT levels were associated with coronary events (HR, 1.391, 95% CI, 1.106–1.749, P = 0.005) in Model 4. Cox proportional risk regression model analysis revealed that increased hs-cTnT levels were associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR, 1.763, 95% CI, 1.224–2.540, P = 0.002), even after adjusting hs-CRP and NT-proBNP. The area under the ROC curve for predicting MACE was 0.559 (95% CI, 0.523–0.595, P = 0.001). The areas under the ROC curve for predicting coronary events and mortality were 0.629 (95% CI, 0.580–0.678, P < 0.001) and 0.644 (95% CI, 0.564–0.725, P < 0.001), respectively.Conclusions: Our findings in the Chinese cohort support that hs-cTnT is a risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.


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