scholarly journals Identification of Twin Pairs From Large Population-Based Samples

2006 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 496-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinand Webbink ◽  
Jaap Roeleveld ◽  
Peter M. Visscher

AbstractThe basis of most twin studies is the ascertainment of twins, often through twin registries, and determination of zygosity. The current rate of twin births in many industrialized countries implies that in the near future around 3% or more of individuals will be a twin. Hence, there are and will be a lot of twins around and many of those will not participate in twin studies. However, if large population-based samples are available that include appropriate identifiers, then twins can be detected and twin studies performed, even in the absence of zygosity information. We quantified the number of twin pairs that could be detected from a longitudinal survey in the Netherlands, which aims to answer questions about educational strategies and performance in primary education in the Netherlands. We detected 2865 twin pairs if we used a coded name identifier, date of birth, school, grade and year of survey, which is 2.01% of 284,945 pupils in five cohorts. Relaxing our selection criteria increased the number of apparent twin pairs identified, most of which are false positives due to chance matching of identification criteria. We show that the intraclass correlation on measured phenotypes can be used as a quality control measure for twin identification, and quantify the proportion of false negatives (true twin pairs not identified) due to missing data and data coding errors. We compared our estimated rate of twins in the sample to census data and estimate that with our most stringent selection criteria we detect more than 80% of all twin pairs in the sample. We conclude that the identification of twin pairs from large population-based samples is feasible, rapid and accurate if the appropriate identifiers are available, and that twin pairs from such sources are a valuable resource for studies to answer scientific question about twins versus nontwins and about genetic and environmental factors of twin resemblance.

Author(s):  
Scott A. McDonald ◽  
Fuminari Miura ◽  
Eric R. A. Vos ◽  
Michiel van Boven ◽  
Hester E. de Melker ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The proportion of SARS-CoV-2 positive persons who are asymptomatic—and whether this proportion is age-dependent—are still open research questions. Because an unknown proportion of reported symptoms among SARS-CoV-2 positives will be attributable to another infection or affliction, the observed, or 'crude' proportion without symptoms may underestimate the proportion of persons without symptoms that are caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods Based on two rounds of a large population-based serological study comprising test results on seropositivity and self-reported symptom history conducted in April/May and June/July 2020 in the Netherlands (n = 7517), we estimated the proportion of reported symptoms among those persons infected with SARS-CoV-2 that is attributable to this infection, where the set of relevant symptoms fulfills the ECDC case definition of COVID-19, using inferential methods for the attributable risk (AR). Generalised additive regression modelling was used to estimate the age-dependent relative risk (RR) of reported symptoms, and the AR and asymptomatic proportion (AP) were calculated from the fitted RR. Results Using age-aggregated data, the 'crude' AP was 37% but the model-estimated AP was 65% (95% CI 63–68%). The estimated AP varied with age, from 74% (95% CI 65–90%) for < 20 years, to 61% (95% CI 57–65%) for the 50–59 years age-group. Conclusion Whereas the 'crude' AP represents a lower bound for the proportion of persons infected with SARS-CoV-2 without COVID-19 symptoms, the AP as estimated via an attributable risk approach represents an upper bound. Age-specific AP estimates can inform the implementation of public health actions such as targetted virological testing and therefore enhance containment strategies.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 709-709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam J Olszewski ◽  
Peter Barth ◽  
John L. Reagan

Abstract Background. The International Myeloma Working Group guideline recommends administration of bone-modifying agents (BMA) for all patients starting therapy for myeloma (Terpos et al, JCO 2013). In clinical trials, BMA lower the risk of skeletal-related events (SRE), and, unexpectedly, they have improved overall survival (OS, Morgan et al, Lancet 2010). The American Society of Clinical Oncology (Anderson et al, JCO 2018) recommends use of zoledronate, pamidronate, or denosumab, however adherence to this guideline in clinical practice is unknown. Our objective was to examine the use of BMA among Medicare beneficiaries treated for myeloma, associated incidence of SRE, and OS. Methods. From the linked Medicare and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER-Medicare) data base, we selected patients age ≥65 with myeloma diagnosed in 2007-2013, who had complete Medicare claims (including oral immunomodulatory anti-myeloma drugs [IMiDs]) and who received outpatient chemotherapy. We defined the "use of BMA" as administration of zoledronate, pamidronate, or denosumab within 90 days of first chemotherapy. We examined factors associated with omission of BMA in a hierarchical generalized linear model for relative risk (RR, with 95% confidence intervals, CI). To avoid guarantee-time bias and late complications, we analyzed time-to-event outcomes using time at risk between 90 days and 3 years from the start of therapy. We identified incident SRE (defined as axial or extremity fracture, or cord compression), and OS. Cumulative incidence function (CIF) of SRE was compared in a competing risk model (reporting subhazard ratio, SHR), and OS in a Cox model (reporting hazard ratio, HR). We then applied 1:1 propensity score matching to compare the average effect of BMA on SRE and OS among treated patients. We also conducted a sensitivity analysis in the subcohort of patients receiving novel agents (proteasome inhibitors and/or IMiDs) as first-line regimen. Results. Among 4,670 patients with median age 76 years (50% women), 51% received BMA (83% zoledronate, 16% pamidronate, 1% denosumab) within 90 days of the start of chemotherapy. Median number of BMA doses was 5 (interquartile range [IQR], 3-6) within 6 months, and 9 (IQR, 5-11) with 12 months from the start of chemotherapy. In a multivariable model (Table), omission of BMA was significantly more frequent (by 11-16%) among patients aged ≥80 compared with those aged <70. It also increased with the number of comorbidities, was 17% more likely among patients with chronic kidney disease, and 16% more likely in hospital-based facilities compared with physician offices. Omission of BMA was significantly less likely in patients with prior SRE (by 30%), hypercalcemia (by 25%), or use of radiation (by 30%). It was also less likely in patients treated with the combination of bortezomib and IMiD compared with other regimens. BMA use was not significantly associated with sex, race, socioeconomic or performance status, or prior use of oral bisphosphonates. We observed a weak (16.5%) intraclass correlation by treating physician. Median follow-up from start of chemotherapy was 4.6 years. SRE occurred in 729 patients, with a 3-year CIF of 13.6% (95% CI, 12.2-15.0). BMA use was associated with a lower risk of SRE in the entire analytic cohort (adjusted SHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.70-0.98), and in the propensity score-matched subcohort (N=3,152; SHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.64-0.94, Fig. A). Estimated 3-year CIF of SRE was 11.2% with BMA and 14.1% without BMA. Median OS in the entire cohort was 3.1 years (95% CI, 2.9-3.2). Receipt of BMA was associated with better OS (adjusted HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.77-0.92). Survival did not significantly differ between different BMAs (P=.73). Significantly better OS among patients receiving BMA was also observed in the propensity-score matched subcohort (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.97; Fig. B), and in the subgroup treated with novel agents (adjusted HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.96). Conclusions. Despite guidelines and benefit demonstrated in clinical trials, only about half of Medicare patients actively treated for myeloma receive the recommended BMA. In this large population-based sample, using a causal inference method, we confirmed the association between the BMA use, risk of SRE, and OS. Clinicians should strive to consistently provide BMA as an important component of quality care for myeloma. Further research should address barriers to BMA use in clinical practice. Disclosures Olszewski: TG Therapeutics: Research Funding; Genentech: Research Funding; Spectrum Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy, Research Funding. Reagan:Takeda Oncology: Research Funding; Pfizer: Research Funding; Alexion: Honoraria.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 3393-3393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suely M Rezende ◽  
Willem M. Lijfering ◽  
Frits R. Rosendaal ◽  
Suzanne C. Cannegieter

Abstract Abstract 3393 Background: Ethnic differences in the incidence of venous thrombosis have been appreciated for many years. However, with few exceptions, most of the studies on this subject were based on administrative databases from North America and China. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk of venous thrombosis in different first and second generation immigrant groups included in a large population-based case-control study, performed in the Netherlands. Methods: This study was performed using data from the MEGA study (Multiple Environmental and Genetic Assessment of risk factors for venous thrombosis-study), a large, population based case-control study on risk factors for venous thrombosis from the Netherlands. Inclusion criteria consisted of patients and controls whom information were available on the country of birth. For the analysis related to immigration background, patients were compared with random digit dialing (RDD) controls. First generation immigrants were classified as those who were born outside the Netherlands. Second generation immigrants were similarly defined as first generation immigrants, except that second immigrants were born in the Netherlands, while both parents were born in one of aforementioned other countries. In total, 6899 participants were included, of whom 4300 patients and 2599 RDD controls. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated as estimates of the relative risk, and were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking, hormonal factors, alcohol consumption, physical activity and malignancy by unconditional logistic regression. Results: The risk of venous thrombosis varied according to the region of birth (Table 1). When compared with the Dutch, Eastern Europeans reached the highest and East/Southeast Asians the lowest risk of venous thrombosis with OR of 2.35, (95% CI, 1.09–4.59) and 0.44 (95% CI, 0.29–0.68), respectively after multivariate adjustments. Caribeans showed an intermediate lower risk of 0.69 (95% CI, 0.36–1.30) after multivariate adjustments (Table 1). We did not observe a major difference on the risk for VT between first and second generation immigrants, although the number of second generation immigrants was small for some groups. Subgroup analysis did not show major differences according to immigration groups, except for Eastern Europeans, who had a higher risk for unprovoked event with OR of 3.79 (95% CI, 1.44–9.97) and East/Southeast Asians with higher risk for pulmonary embolism with OR of 0.60 (95% CI, 0.36–1.0) (Table 2). In comparison with Dutch controls, East/Southeast Asians controls had lower prevalence of factor V Leiden (6% and 1%, respectively) and prothrombin mutation (2% and 1%, respectively) but higher blood group non-O (54% and 62%, respectively). Risk of VT in East/Southeast Asians adjusted for age, sex, factor V Leiden and blood group non-O was 0.53 (95% CI, 0.35–0.80). Analysis of a panel of procoagulant, anticoagulant, profibrinolytic and genetic factors are underway and is expected to be available before the ASH conference of 2012. Conclusions: The risk of VT varies in different populations. The risk of VT in East/Southeast Asians was the lowest and was virtually unchanged after adjustment for several environmental and genetic known risk factors for VT. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Pain ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 132 (3) ◽  
pp. 312-320 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marieke H.J. van den Beuken-van Everdingen ◽  
Janneke M. de Rijke ◽  
Alfons G. Kessels ◽  
Harry C. Schouten ◽  
Maarten van Kleef ◽  
...  

2009 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 661-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
CH Hawkes ◽  
AJ Macgregor

Objective The classical twin study has the potential to evaluate the relative contribution of genes and environment and guide further research strategies, provided the sampling and methods of analysis are correct. We wish to review all the more informative twin studies on multiple sclerosis (MS). Methods We examined six large population-based twin studies in MS and calculated indices of heritability (h2), which is the traditional method of assessing genetic contribution to disease and to allow comparison between studies. Results This index was found to vary widely from 0.25 to 0.76 with large confidence intervals that reflect small sample size and prevent robust interpretation. Conclusion Overall the studies support a genetic contribution to disease; however, the imprecision of the heritability estimates and potential biases that they contain mean that very little inference can be drawn its exact size. Given that the magnitude of genetic effect cannot be measured because of the relative infrequency of MS; the consequent difficulty in collecting an informative sample; and in many countries, the lack of a comprehensive twin register, we suggest that further twin prevalence surveys should not be undertaken. Twin studies could be used more effectively in other ways, such as the co-twin case–control approach.


2015 ◽  
Vol 148 (4) ◽  
pp. S-471-S-472
Author(s):  
Elisabeth J. de Groof ◽  
Noortje Rossen ◽  
Bram D. van Rhijn ◽  
Evert Karregat ◽  
Kirsten Boonstra ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 144 (2) ◽  
pp. 263-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marissa C. van Maaren ◽  
Linda de Munck ◽  
Luc J.A. Strobbe ◽  
Gabe S. Sonke ◽  
Pieter J. Westenend ◽  
...  

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