scholarly journals Other Determinants of Inflation in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 338-348
Author(s):  
Victor Inim ◽  
Udo Emmanuel Samuel ◽  
Abner Ishaku Prince
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Economic Growth And Development ◽  
Infrastructural Development ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Determining Factors ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Economic Reality

Inflation is a continuous macroeconomic concern that has dominated thoughts at major economic fora due to its pervasive effect on the economy. The quantity theory of money isolates money supply as the major cause of inflation. The economic reality in Nigeria contravenes the theory. The study examines other determinants of inflation in Nigeria using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method on quarterly data from January 1999- December 2018. Findings show that poor infrastructural development, exchange rate, political instability, corruption, and double taxation significantly stimulate inflation rather than just money supply. The results show a causal relationship between other determining factors and inflation. The ARDL result shows a significant long-short run relationship. The study recommends that non-monetary factors of instigating inflation should be controlled and security expenditure should be review along with-related mechanisms to achieve low inflation at single digits at most and economic growth and development. Keywords: inflation rate, money supply, Nigeria, economic indicators, ARDL Error Correction Model

scholarly journals Government Expenditure and Inflation in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. p29
Author(s):  
Chioma Chidinma George-Anokwuru ◽  
Bosco Itoro Ekpenyong
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Lag Model ◽  
The Impact

The impact of government spending on Nigeria’s inflation levels between 1999 and 2019 was x-rayed in this paper. The data for the study were sourced from CBN statistical bulletin and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model was used as the main analytical tool. A long-run relationship among this study’s variables was realized, using the ARDL Bounds test. The result also revealed a positive but insignificant relationship between government expenditure and inflation rate in the short-run. Moreover, in the long-run, government expenditure has negative and is statistically significant inflation rate. Money supply has a negative and is statistically insignificant with inflation rate in the short-run. In the long-run, money supply has a positive and significant relationship with inflation rate. Gross domestic product was negatively related to inflation rate in both short-run and long-run. Moreover, exchange rate affected inflation rate negatively and significantly in the short-run and positively and significantly in the long-run. The increasing demands of the population affected inflation rate positively and significantly in both short-run and long-run. Investment was positively related to inflation rate but not significant in the short-run but the relationship was negative and significant in the long-run. The study therefore recommended among others that government should exercise discretion in spending in order to check inflation rate. This can be done by channeling spending on productive activities that will cushion the effect of inflation rate rather than exacerbate it.

Factors determining bank deposit growth in Turkey: an empirical analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-132
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Nandom Yakubu ◽  
Aziza Hashi Abokor
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose This paper aims to examine the key factors determining bank deposit growth in Turkey for the period 2000Q1–2016Q4. Design/methodology/approach The study employs the autoregressive distributed lag approach to investigate the effect of bank-level and macroeconomic factors on deposit growth. Findings The results reveal that bank stability, banking sector efficiency, broad money supply, economic growth, and inflation are significant determinants of deposit growth in the long run. The findings further show that in the short run, only branch expansion and broad money supply are relevant for bank deposit mobilization. Originality/value This paper departs from the extant empirical studies that focus on the determinants of individual savings behaviour in Turkey. Considering the short- and long-run time dimensions, the authors distinctively examine how bank characteristics influence deposit growth, thus presenting a relatively pioneering attempt in this context.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Money Supply, Price Level and Economic Growth In Pakistan: Keynesian versus Monetarist View

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 49-64
Author(s):  
Abdul Mansoor ◽  
Quratulain Shoukat ◽  
Shagufta Bibi ◽  
Khushbakht Iqbal ◽  
Romana Saeed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Supply Price

AbstractThe objective of the study is to examine the relationship between money supply, price level and economic growth in the context of Pakistan by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, covered a period of 1980 to 2016. The results confirm the long-run relationship between the variables while using broad money supply as a response variable. However, in the price and income modeling, the variables do not support the cointegration relationship between the variables. The causality results confirmed the unidirectional relationship running from income to money supply, which implies that income do causes money supply in the short run, whereas money supply leads to inflation to support Monetarist view of inflation in a country. The results conclude that economic growth is imperative to stabilize money supply and price level through sound economic policies in a country.

scholarly journals Are Energy Consumption, Population Density and Exports Causing Environmental Damage in China? Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Vector Error Correction Model Approaches

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3749
Author(s):  
Mohammad Mafizur Rahman ◽  
Xuan-Binh (Benjamin) Vu
Keyword(s):  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Environmental Damage ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This paper investigates whether energy consumption, population density, and exports are the main factors causing environmental damage in China. Using annual data from 1971–2018, unit root tests are applied for the stationarity analyses, and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds tests are used for the long-run relationships between the variables. A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Granger approach is employed to examine the causal relationships amongst the variables. Our findings show that the selected variables are cointegrated, and that energy consumption and economic growth are identified as the main reasons for CO2 emissions in both the short-run and long-run. In contrast, exports reduce CO2 emissions in the long-run. Short-run unidirectional Granger causality is found from economic growth to energy consumption, CO2 emissions and exports, and from CO2 emissions to energy consumption and exports. Moreover, long-run causal links exist between CO2 emissions and exports. Five policy recommendations are made following the obtained results.

scholarly journals Fiscal Policy and Sustainability of Public Debt: The Nigerian Experience

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANTHONY IMOISI
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Allocative Efficiency ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Sustainability Of Public Debt ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract This paper examines the relationship between fiscal policy and public debt sustainability in Nigeria within a multivariate framework from 1970–2019. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test is employed to determine the long run relationship among the variables. The results of the ARDL test reveal that there is a long run relationship between the variables used in this study. Specifically, the result shows that budget deficit has a positive and significant impact on public debt both in the short run and long, while interest rate, real gross domestic product and inflation rate were statistically insignificant irrespective of the period and thus had no impact on public debt. Thus, it was recommended that the budgeting procedure at the federal and state levels in Nigeria need to reassessed to make sure that allocative efficiency is achieved in the budgeting system.

scholarly journals Inflation dynamics in a dollarised economy: The case of Zimbabwe

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-117 ◽  
Author(s):  
W Kavila ◽  
P Le Roux
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Inflation Dynamics ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
The Us ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Main Determinants

This paper explores the dynamics of inflation in the dollarised Zimbabwean economy using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model with monthly data from 2009:1 to 2012:12. The main determinants of inflation were found to be the US dollar/South African rand exchange rate, international oil prices, lagged Zimbabwean inflation rate and South African inflation rate. During the local currency era, inflation dynamics in Zimbabwe were explained by excess growth in money supply, changes in import and administered prices, unit labour costs and output (Chhibber, Cottani, Firuzabadi & Walton 1989). According to Makochekanwa (2007), hyperinflation during the same era was attributed to excess money supply growth, lagged inflation and political factors. Coorey, Clausen, Funke, Munoz & Ould-Abdallah (2007) affirmed these findings by identifying excess money supply growth as a source of high inflation in Zimbabwe during the local currency era. In essence, the findings of this study point to a shift in inflation dynamics in Zimbabwe. This shift in inflation dynamics means that policies, which were used to respond to both internal and external shocks that have an impact on price formation, might not be applicable in a dollarised economy.

scholarly journals The Development of Malaysia’s Economic Growth through Youth Entrepreneurship Support System

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-140
Author(s):  
Mai Syaheera M. Shaari ◽  
Razinda Tasnim Abdul Rahim ◽  
Nur Syamilah Md Noor
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Support System ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Youth Entrepreneurship

Global economic challenges have forced the majority of youth to become self-employent. As such, being an entrepreneur is one of its branches. However, to start entrepreneurship, these young entrepreneurs need to be assisted in some areas especially financial. Regarding to this matter, the significance of this study is to examine the development of Malaysia’s economic growth through the youth entrepreneurship support system (Financial Assistance) for the period of 2010 until 2019. In addition, this study also will look at both the long run and short run effect of Financial Assistance on economic growth. This study will employ the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach for Cointegration and the Error Correction Model (ECM) for short-term relationship. All the variables will be test for the stationarity of the series at all level. Through this research, hopefully an effective model of Financial Assistance in Malaysia can be proposed in order to enhance the development of economic growth through youth entrepreneurship.

ON AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG, COINTEGRATION AND ERROR CORRECTION MODEL: An Application to Some Nigeria Macroeconomic Variables

2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (08) ◽  
pp. 56-62
Author(s):  
Olanrewaju I. Shittu ◽  
Raphael A. Yemitan ◽  
OlaOluwa S. Yaya
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run

This paper reviews the use of the traditional ARDL and the ARDL approach to cointegration for the analysis of short-run dynamic and long run relationship when series are difference stationary (series can be integrated of different orders). The two models were used to estimate the short-run dynamics and the long run relationships between selected Nigeria’s macroeconomic series. The results compares favorably with the theory that the ARDL is equivalent to the short-run dynamics of the error correction model (the resultant model from the ARDL approach to cointegration).

scholarly journals Determinants of Inflation Sources in Iraq: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model

2019 ◽  
pp. 381-388
Author(s):  
Mohamed Khaled Al-Jafari ◽  
Hatem Hatef Abdulkadhim Altaee
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Speed Of Adjustment ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Most economists agree that the emergence of substantial inflationary pressure in Iraq was due to the monetary growth arising from large increase in the money supply by government to finance enormous budget deficit. This was true especially during the comprehensive sanction imposed on the country between 1990 till 2003. Others point out to exchange rate depreciations as another cause to inflation. Such controversy about the causes of inflation in Iraq has necessitated studying this phenomenon quantitatively. Our main contribution is to assess empirically the effects of money supply, exchange rate, and import on inflation in Iraq over the period 1995–2015. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach, we estimated the long-run effects of those variables on real inflation. In addition, we attempt to draw attention to the impact of changes in global prices on the phenomenon of inflation in Iraq. It is analyzed that money supply, exchange rate and import, changes inflation to 0.59, -0.85, and 0.11 percent points respectively by one percent rise in long-run. The Error Correction model with a negative sign remained statistically significant with the approximately 34% speed of adjustment to restore the equilibrium in the long-run, which was convergent quickly.

scholarly journals Investment Portfolio, Democratic Accountability, Poverty and Income Inequality Nexus in Pakistan: A Way to Social Sustainability

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6411
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shahid Hassan ◽  
Haider Mahmood ◽  
Muhammad Ibrahim Saeed ◽  
Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb ◽  
Noman Arshed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Income Inequality ◽  
Social Sustainability ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Democratic Accountability ◽  
Investment Portfolio ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Short Run

Institutions help to streamline the economic activity-related procedures, where government intervention might be involved. Institutions also play a significant role in social sustainability. The findings using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach to cointegration for the period from 1984–2019 reveal that investment portfolio and democratic accountability reduce poverty in Pakistan both in the long and short run. Moreover, democratic accountability helps to reduce income inequality, but the investment portfolio’s role is not significant. The literacy rate helps to reduce income inequality, and inflation increases poverty and income inequality. The remittances increase income inequality, and urbanization increases poverty. To eradicate poverty and income inequality, the governments should be accountable for their actions to the general public while they remain in power. If they do not deliver as per their manifestoes, they will not be reelected in the next election. Moreover, there is a dire need to redefine the role of an investment portfolio to reduce the risk of investment. So, investments would increase economic activities and could reduce poverty and income inequality. This study contributes to the literature by inquiring about the role of the investment portfolio and democratic accountability in social sustainability by reducing poverty and income inequality. This study only considers Pakistan’s economy due to limitations of poverty data availability in other countries. The scope could further be broadened by accessing data for a wider Asia region to test the role of the investment portfolio and democratic accountability to reduce poverty and income inequality.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document