33. Short-Term Capital Movements and the Interest-Rate Constraint Under Systems of Limited Flexibility of Exchange Rates

This article presents the first description and analysis of the exchange-traded notes (ETNs) and certificates tracking the Nordic power futures market that enable retail investors to hedge and trade on the Oslo and Stockholm Nordic stock exchanges. We investigate the impacts of the underlying front-quarter futures contract, its daily change, the roll cost, the EUR/NOK and EUR/SEK exchange rates, and the interest rate level and fees on the ETNs and certificates. An analysis of the ETNs and certificates on the Nordic stock exchanges from December 2010 to February 2015 shows continual investment activity, even though prices were in a consistent downtrend during the period. We conclude with a description of some strategies which retail investors can use.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Andres Dharma Nurhalim

The purpose of this study aims to explain the effect of electronic money on inflation and how much influence it has on the Indonesian economy. In this study the authors used a quantitative approach. The variables used are inflation, electronic money, exchange rate, money supply (M1), and BI interest rate. Result: The previous money supply (LQMprev) and the interest rate (BI Rate) were the main factors affecting inflation. In this result, e-money and exchange rates are not the main components driving inflation. Based on SPPS processing using regression, e-money and exchange rates do not have a significant effect on inflation in Indonesia, but LQMprev has a significant effect on inflation. From the results of this study it is still too early to analyze the effect of e-money on inflation because it is still relatively new in Indonesia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Bijan Bidabad ◽  
Abul Hassan

Dynamic structural behavior of depositor, bank and borrower and the role of banks in forming business cycle are investigated. We test the hypothesis that does banks behavior make oscillations in the economy through the interest rate. By dichotomizing banking activities into two markets of deposit and loan, we show that these two markets have non-synchronized structures, and this is why the money sector fluctuation starts. As a result, the fluctuation is transmitted to the real economy through saving and investment functions. Empirical results assert that in the USA, the banking system creates fluctuations in the money sector and real economy as well through short-term interest rates


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (16) ◽  
pp. 36-46
Author(s):  
Elif YÜCEL

This study aims to measure the causal relationship between the dollar and euro at exchange rates among today's investment instruments and the deposit interest rate, Gold, Bist xu100 and the index of government domestic debt securities.Dec. Dec. The data in the study are daily data between 17/08/2017-26/05/2021 and were selected from a recent time Dec. Data with CBRT evds resources investing.com retrieved from. In this way, it is possible to see how variables adapt to today's financial world and the pandemic period. The method of the study is the Granger causality test, which is often used in time series analysis. When individuals make investment choices, they choose according to the fact that macro variables such as inflation, growth rate, and Exchange Rates fluctuate during periods of crisis and recession. This often affects even the credit demands of institutional investors. Central banks want to influence macro variables with various intervention tools, but because the economies of some countries are fragile, individuals can often suffer even as a result of these optimistic policies. According to the results of this study, the dependent variable in the model where the BIST100 index of the dollar and gold values, the probability of 0.000<0.05 causal relationship is true of dollars for deposit in the model where the dependent variable is the interest rate of government securities of the index, the probability value of 0.0001 p<0.05 and Bist100 index 0.0162 probability value<0.05 and the probability for the value of the dollar 0.02<0.05 can be considered to be a causal relationship due to being towards deposit rates. The probability of the dependent variable in a model of the euro BIST100 index value 0.0001 p<0.05, gold probability value of 0.000<0.05 Euros causal relationship is true for government securities in another model where the dependent variable of 0.0040 p<0.05 probability value from deposits with interest ,0.0000 p<0.05 0.0043 Bist100 index and the probability value p<0.05 is the probability for the value of government securities under de towards causality can be said. In a model in which the Bist100 index is a dependent variable, there was a causal relationship towards the Bist100 index ,as the probability value of the euro was 0.0012<0.05, the probability value of gold was 0.0000<0.05, the probability value of government domestic debt securities was 0.0013<0.05, and the probability value of the dollar was 0.0007<0.05. Finally, the model in which gold is a dependent variable concluded that there is no causal relationship between the Euro, dollar, dibs and Bist100 index and deposit interest to gold, since the probability values of other variables are greater than 0.05.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Luiz Guilherme Carpizo ◽  
Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia

<p>Despite the fall in the interest rate observed in Brazil in recent decades, and specific regulations on the private pension segment that encourage long-term risk taking, institutions in this segment appear to be considerably sensitive to short-term factors, while avoiding exposure to long-term risk factors. With portfolio allocation data from large entities, we implemented a VAR model to evaluate the impact of interest rate changes on portfolio management decisions and performed a counterfactual analysis to define the causal effect of regulation on additional risk taking. Results indicate that interest rate increases lead to significant and persistent reduction of investment in riskier assets with longer maturities, while the implemented regulation was not able to force greater risk-taking by institutions, in addition to generating distortions in segments of the Brazilian financial market.</p>


1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 821-838
Author(s):  
Daniel Wai-Wah Cheung ◽  
Subhash Sharma ◽  
Paul Trescott

1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 821-838 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Wai-Wah Cheung ◽  
Subhash C. Sharma ◽  
Paul B. Trescott

2001 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 621-634
Author(s):  
ALEXANDER G. MUSLIMOV ◽  
NIKOLAI A. SILANT'EV

We investigate the effect of stochastic fluctuations of an interest rate on the value of a derivative. We derive the modified Black-Scholes equation that describes evolution of the value of a derivative averaged over an ensemble of stochastic fluctuations of the rate of interest and depends on the "renormalized" values of volatility and rate of interest. We present the explicit expressions for the renormalized volatility and interest rate that incorporate the corrections owing to the short-term stochastic variations of the interest rate. The stochastic component of the interest rate tends to enhance the effective volatility and reduce the effective interest rate that determine an evolution of the option pricing "smoothed out" over the stochastic variations. The results of numerical solution of the modified Black-Scholes equation with the renormalized coefficients are illustrated for an American put option on non-dividend-paying stock.


2006 ◽  
Vol 2006 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Daobai Liu

In the considered bond market, there are N zero-coupon bonds transacted continuously, which will mature at equally spaced dates. A duration of bond portfolios under stochastic interest rate model is introduced, which provides a measurement for the interest rate risk. Then we consider an optimal bond investment term-structure management problem using this duration as a performance index, and with the short-term interest rate process satisfying some stochastic differential equation. Under some technique conditions, an optimal bond portfolio process is obtained.


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