scholarly journals Analisis Makro Ekonomi Sebelum dan Sesudah Penerapan Redenominasi Mata Uang

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-162
Author(s):  
Maria Febrida ◽  
Lesta Karolina Br. Sebayang

Rencana redenominasi rupiah di Indonesia menjadikan pengalaman beberapa negara yang telah menerapkan redenominasi mata uang penting untuk ditinjau dari sisi makro ekonomi saat sebelum dan sesudah redenominasi sehingga menjadi dasar pertimbangan bagi Indonesia mengambil keputusan dalam rencana penerapan redenominasi rupiah. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui ada tidaknya perbedaan kondisi inflasi, nilai tukar, ekspor, penanaman modal asing (PMA) dan pertumbuhan ekonomi 1 tahun sebelum dan 1 tahun sesudah menerapkan redenominasi pada 20 negara yang telah menerapkan redenominasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode penelitian kuantitatif dengan alat analisis uji beda dua rata-rata sampel berpasangan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa pada variabel nilai tukar terdapat perbedaan antara sebelum dan sesudah redenominasi yaitu nilai tukar semakin lemah setelah penerapan redenominasi, sedangkan pada variabel inflasi, ekspor, PMA, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi tidak terdapat perbedaan sebelum dan sesudah redenominasi.   Rupiah redenomination which planned by Indonesia make the experience of countries that have implemented the currency redenomination is important to be reviewed in terms of macroeconomic before and after the redenomination so that it becomes a basic consideration for Indonesia to take decisions in the plan of implementation rupiah redenomination. The purpose of this study is to determine whether there is difference in the conditions of inflation, exchange rate, exports, foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in the current 1 year before and 1 year after implementing the redenomination in the 20 countries that have implemented the currency redenomination. This study used a quantitative method, with analysis dependent sample t-test which showed that there is a difference between before and after redenomination in exchange rate variable is getting weaker after the implementation of the redenomination, while there is no difference before and after the redenomination in inflation, exports, FDI, and economic growth.

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Ryan Hawari ◽  
Fitri Kartiasih

Indonesia is a developing country which adopts an “open economic”. That caused Indonesia economic is strongly influenced by factors that come from outside of Indonesia. External factors in this research is referred to foreign debt, foreign direct investment, trade openness and exchange rate of rupiah with USD. The analytical method in this research used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which will focused on Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). Based on result of IRF, exchange rate had a positive effect to economic growth, while foreign debt, foreign direct investment and trade openness had a negative effect to economic growth. Based on result of FEVD, shock on economic growth in Indonesia affected by economic growth itself (43.21%), followed by foreign debt (26.30%), trade openness (14.16%), foreign direct investment (8.29%) and exchange rate (8.04%) Keywords: economic growth, trade openness, VECM, IRF, FEVD


2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1641-1653
Author(s):  
Noreen Safdar

This study is intended to find out how and to what extent FDI and trade openness affect the growth of economy in Pakistan for time span 1980-2018. To examine influence of FDI and trade openness, GDP was used by way of dependent variable whereas FDI, trade openness, exchange rate, and inflation are also taken as independent variables. The ARDL technique is employed in following study to estimate short-run and long-run results. This study concludes that TO have a positive momentous influence on GDP in both long and short run. While Foreign Direct Investment has an optimistic but irrelevant influence on GDP in Pakistan which demonstrates that TO has a more progressive influence on GDP of Pakistan than FDI. Other variables labor force and inflation harm economic growth while the exchange rate affects GDP positively. It is suggested by the study to enhance economic growth, govt should focus on liberalization of trade by reducing tariffs, customs duties, and other types of taxes on exports to enhance the economic growth of Pakistan.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-104
Author(s):  
Riris Prantika Putri ◽  
Heriberta Heriberta ◽  
Emilia Emilia

This study aims to analyze the development of inflation, foreign direct investment (FDI) and government expenditure to economic growth in Indonesia also to identify and analyze the effect of inflation, FDI and government expenditure to economic growth in Indonesia. The data used is secondary data in the form of time series. Based on the data obtained, the average development of economic growth in Indonesia during the period 2000-2017 was 5.29%. Based on the F test the independent variables tend to influence the dependent variable. In the t-test is known that inflation does not affect the economic growth in Indonesia, while FDI and government expenditure has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia. The R2 value is 0,594602, amounting to 59.46% means that economic growth is affected by inflation, FDI and government expenditure, 40.54% influenced by other factors that were not included in this study


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Sadia Sajjad

The present study proposes to analyze the impact of the capital flows on the economic growth. The change in the capital flows affects the money supply in the economy which in return influences the economic growth. The augmented dickey fuller test (ADF), descriptive Analysis, correlation method, and the auto regressive distribution lag are employed in this work. The ADF test is delved to examine the Stationarity of the variables and the correlation between them. The descriptive analysis is used to check the normality of the variable whether the variables is normally distributed or not. The survey bases on time series data ranging from the year 1974 to 2014. The variables as the gross domestic product (GDP), exchange rate (ER), inflation (INF), consumer price index (CPI), money supply (M2), total reserves (TR) and the foreign direct investment (FDI), price indices (PI). The research findings are Foreign direct investment, Exchange rate, Inflation rate, Consumer Price Index has the positive impact on the GDP while the Private Investment, Total reserves, and Money supply have the negative impact on the GDP. The value of the R square is 0.99874 which is very good. It means that the 99 percent variations exist in dependent variable due to independent variables. 


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iftikhar Muhammad ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir

Abstract Purpose This study intends to analyze the long-run and short-run relationships along with the identification of causal links between exports, economic growth, and exchange rate in Turkey. Data/Design: This study uses auto-regressive distributed lags (ARDL) and Granger causality over time series monthly data from the year 2010–2018. The results indicate that exports are significantly positively related to economic growth while the exchange rate is found to be negatively related to economic growth. Findings: Moreover, findings from the test of Granger causality indicate that a unidirectional causal association is found from exports to foreign direct investment and economic growth and from economic growth to foreign direct investment. The Granger causality results indicate that an increase in exports accelerates the economic growth of Turkey and a change in growth rate and exchange rate leads to a change in foreign direct investment. Originality of work: The overall findings suggest that exports should be promoted along with the liberal-investment economic policies to boost the overall economic growth in Turkey.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (02) ◽  
pp. 112-123
Author(s):  
Putri Dewi Purnama ◽  
Ming Hung Yao

The aim of this study is to find the relationship between international trade and economic growth in ASEAN countries. Three independent variables used to measure the economic growth include international trade, the exchange rate, and foreign direct investment. This study employs a pedroni panel cointegration test to examine the data from 2004 to 2015. The results show that there is a long term cointegrated relationship between international trade and economic growth in the ASEAN countries. International trade and foreign direct investment also have a long term, positive impact on economic growth. Meanwhile, the exchange rate also has a long term, negative influence on the economic growth. In addition, there is an indirect relationship and bidirectional causalities between the GDP and international trade, as well as between the GDP and the exchange rate. On the other hand, there is a direct relationship and a bidirectional causality between international trade and the exchange rate. The FDI leads GDP, international trade, and exchange rates. Our results suggest that international trade must be supported by government policies that aim to enhance the financing of new investment for economic growth.


Author(s):  
Akidi, Victor ◽  
Tubotamuno, Boma ◽  
Obayori, Joseph Bidemi

This paper empirically examined the effects of selected external sector aggregates on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2016. Time series data on Real Gross Domestic Product as proxy for economic growth, and on Imports, Exports, Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment were collected from secondary sources. The data sets were analyzed using descriptive statistics, unit root test, co-integration test and error correction technique of model estimation. The result of the analysis revealed that Imports, Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment negatively related with economic growth while Exports positively related with economic growth in Nigeria within the reviewed period. Also, except Exchange Rate all the other explanatory variables – Imports, Exports and Foreign Direct Investment did not impact significantly on economic growth in Nigeria within the period of study. Based on these findings, the study recommends that government should encourage export diversification, especially the non-oil sector exports. This can be achieved through value addition in both the agriculture and manufacturing sub-sectors output.


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