scholarly journals The Macroeconomic Effects of a Productivity Shock in the Nontraded Goods Sector

Ekonomika ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juha Tervala
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Productivity Shocks ◽  
Interesting Insight ◽  
Nontraded Goods ◽  
Productivity Shock ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Macroeconomic Effects ◽  
Rbc Models

This paper analyses the macroeconomic effects of a productivity shock in the nontraded goods sector using a small open economy model. The paper develops a simple dynamic general equilibrium model offering intuitive explanations of how a productivity shock affects a small open economy. The model gives a surprisingly pessimistic view on the benefits of productivity shocks. For example, a productivity shock has, except for one special case, a negative effect on the output of nontraded goods in the short run. This result differs from the results of RBC models. The paper gives an interesting insight into the possible effects that the introduction of the EU (European Union) services directive or GATS (General Agreement on Trade in Services) agreement may have.

Trade Tax Reform in a Small Open Economy with Distributional Objectives and Distortionary Taxation

2002 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy Edwards
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economies ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Distortionary Taxation ◽  
Nontraded Goods ◽  
Traded Goods ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
Distortionary Taxes ◽  
The One

Abstract The paper shows that, if two conditions are satisfied, both radial contraction and concertina trade tax reforms continue to be desirable in a small open economy that differs from the one usually considered by having distributional objectives and using distortionary taxes to raise revenue. The first condition is that some optimisation in the choice of commodity taxes takes place - at a minimum, taxes on nontraded goods must be optimally chosen while taxes on traded goods keep the consumer prices of such goods constant. The second is that pure profits are absent from every household's budget constraint. These conditions mean that some care is required in arguing the case for simple trade tax reforms in small open economies.

Aid, Nontraded Goods, and the Transfer Paradox in Small Countries

1999 ◽  
Vol 89 (3) ◽  
pp. 431-449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Makoto Yano ◽  
Jeffrey B Nugent
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Small Country ◽  
Displacement Effect ◽  
Transfer Paradox ◽  
Nontraded Goods ◽  
Small Countries ◽  
Expansion Effect

This paper constructs a model of the transfer paradox for a small open economy with nontraded goods. It demonstrates that increased production of nontraded goods can change their domestic price so as to offset the otherwise beneficial effect of aid and, under certain conditions, to create a transfer paradox even in a small country. The model is estimated with time-series data for 44 aid-dependent countries for the period 1970–1990. The results support the model and show that the nontraded goods expansion effect is more likely to cause immiserization than Johnson's tariff-distorting export-displacement effect. (JEL F0, O1)

scholarly journals Currency depreciation and output nexus: Evidence from Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 183-200
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nawaz ◽  
Ejaz Ghani
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Strong Support ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run

Currency depreciation as a channel of output management has been a hot and controversial topic in both developed and developing economies. In Pakistan?s case, relevant research would require study of annual data available for the period 1972 to 2010. The stationarity of variables under consideration at different orders require the application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The findings based on open economy IS-LM framework induce a negative effect of currency depreciation on output levels. This is consistent with the long-run estimates of the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model. The short-run estimates of error-correction model (ECM) may lead to significant increment in output levels because of the depreciation of Pakistan rupee. Government spending may cause to reduce the output in the short-run, as well as, in long-run which furnishes strong support to crowding out hypothesis. The terms of trade, positive in the short-run, are negatively related to output in the long-run. However, surprise money has been insignificant in both long-run and short-run ECM. The country would need a clear long-term policy regime that inspires trust of the international community and restores the exporters? confidence.

scholarly journals COVID-19 and Emerging Markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (133) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cem Cakmakli ◽  
Selva Demiralp ◽  
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan ◽  
Sevcan Yesiltas ◽  
Muhammed Yildirim
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Credit Card ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Economic Costs ◽  
Infection Rates ◽  
Demand Shock ◽  
Supply Shocks ◽  
Initial Shock ◽  
Macroeconomic Effects

We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for a small open economy by calibrating a SIR-multi-sector-macro model. We measure sectoral supply shocks utilizing teleworking and physical job proximity, and demand shocks with credit card purchases. Both shocks are also affected from changing infection rates under different lockdown scenarios. Being an open economy amplifies the economic costs through two main channels. First, the demand shock has domestic and external components. Second, the initial shock is magnified due to domestic and international input-output linkages.

scholarly journals FISCAL AUSTERITY MEASURES: SPENDING CUTS VS. TAX INCREASES

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 501-540 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerhard Glomm ◽  
Juergen Jung ◽  
Chung Tran
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Welfare Effects ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Welfare Losses ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Fiscal Austerity

We formulate an overlapping-generations model with household heterogeneity and productive and nonproductive government programs to study the macroeconomic and intergenerational welfare effects of risk premium shocks and government debt reductions. We demonstrate that in a small open economy with a high level of debt, a small increase in the risk premium of the interest rate leads to a substantial contraction in output and negative welfare effects. We then quantify the effects of reducing the debt-to-gross-domestic-product ratio using a wide range of fiscal austerity measures. Our results indicate trade-offs between short-run contractions and long-run expansions in aggregate output. In the short run, spending-based austerity reforms are worse than tax-based reforms in terms of lost income. However, in the long run, spending-based reforms produce higher output than tax-based reforms. In addition, welfare effects vary significantly across generations, skill groups, and working sectors. The current old and middle-aged generations experience welfare losses, whereas future generations are beneficiaries of the reforms.

scholarly journals Nonexistence of Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Effect with Endogenous Time Preference in an Imperfect Capital Market

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deng-Shan Wang ◽  
Miao Jin
Keyword(s):  
Discount Rate ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Stable State ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Stable Steady State ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This paper investigates the spending and current-account effects of a permanent terms-of-trade change in a dynamic small open economy facing an imperfect world capital market, where the households’ subjective discount rate is a function of savings. Under the assumption that the bond holdings are measured in terms of home goods, it is shown that when the discount rate is a decreasing function of savings, there does not necessarily exist a stable state; however, when the discount rate is an increasing function of savings, a saddle-path stable steady state comes into existence and the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect does not exist unambiguously; that is, an unanticipated permanent terms-of-trade deterioration leads to a cut in aggregate expenditure and a current-account surplus. The short-run effects obtained by the technique by Judd (1985, 1987) and Zou (1997) are consistent with the results from the long-run analysis and diagrammatic analysis.

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