Does Hospitalization Predict the Disease Course in Ulcerative Colitis? Prevalence and Predictors of Hospitalization and Re- Hospitalization in Ulcerative Colitis in a Population-based Inception Cohort (2000-2012)

2015 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 287-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petra A. Golovics ◽  
Laszlo Lakatos ◽  
Michael D. Mandel ◽  
Barbara D. Lovasz ◽  
Zsuzsanna Vegh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Diagnostic Procedures ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Disease Course ◽  
Inception Cohort ◽  
Disease Extent ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Hospitalization Rates

Background & Aims: Limited data are available on the hospitalization rates in population-based studies. Since this is a very important outcome measure, the aim of this study was to analyze prospectively if early hospitalization is associated with the later disease course as well as to determine the prevalence and predictors of hospitalization and re-hospitalization in the population-based ulcerative colitis (UC) inception cohort in the Veszprem province database between 2000 and 2012. Methods: Data of 347 incident UC patients diagnosed between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2010 were analyzed (M/F: 200/147, median age at diagnosis: 36, IQR: 26-50 years, follow-up duration: 7, IQR 4-10 years). Both in- and outpatient records were collected and comprehensively reviewed. Results: Probabilities of first UC-related hospitalization were 28.6%, 53.7% and 66.2% and of first re-hospitalization were 23.7%, 55.8% and 74.6% after 1-, 5- and 10- years of follow-up, respectively. Main UC-related causes for first hospitalization were diagnostic procedures (26.7%), disease activity (22.4%) or UC-related surgery (4.8%), but a significant percentage was unrelated to IBD (44.8%). In Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression analysis disease extent at diagnosis (HR extensive: 1.79, p=0.02) or at last follow-up (HR: 1.56, p=0.001), need for steroids (HR: 1.98, p<0.001), azathioprine (HR: 1.55, p=0.038) and anti-TNF (HR: 2.28, p<0.001) were associated with the risk of UC-related hospitalization. Early hospitalization was not associated with a specific disease phenotype or outcome; however, 46.2% of all colectomies were performed in the year of diagnosis. Conclusion: Hospitalization and re-hospitalization rates were relatively high in this population-based UC cohort. Early hospitalization was not predictive for the later disease course.

scholarly journals P246 Long-term prognosis of ulcerative colitis and its temporal changes between 1986 and 2015 in a population-based cohort in the Songpa-Kangdong district of Seoul, Korea

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S271-S271
Author(s):  
J M Cha ◽  
S H Park ◽  
K H Rhee ◽  
S N Hong ◽  
Y H Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cumulative Risk ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Natural Course ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Mortality Ratio ◽  
Cumulative Risks

Abstract Background No population-based study has evaluated the natural course of ulcerative colitis (UC) over three decades in non-Caucasians. We aimed to assess the long-term natural course of Korean patients with UC in a population-based cohort. Methods This Korean population-based SK-IBD cohort included all patients (N = 1013) newly diagnosed with UC during 1986–2015. Disease outcomes and their predictors were evaluated. Results During the median follow-up of 105 months, the overall use of systemic corticosteroids, thiopurines, and anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) agents was 40.8%, 13.9%, and 6.5%, respectively. Over time, the cumulative risk of commencing corticosteroids decreased, whereas that of commencing thiopurines and anti-TNF agents increased. During follow-up, 28.7% of 778 patients with proctitis or left-sided colitis at diagnosis experienced proximal disease extension. A total of 28 patients (2.8%) underwent colectomy, demonstrating cumulative risks of colectomy at 1, 5, 10, 20, and 30 years after diagnosis of 1.0%, 1.9%, 2.2%, 5.1%, and 6.4%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that extensive colitis at diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 8.249, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.394–28.430), ever use of corticosteroids (HR 6.437, 95% CI 1.440–28.773), and diagnosis in the anti-TNF era (HR 0.224, 95% CI 0.057–0.886) were independent predictors of colectomy. The standardised mortality ratio in UC patients was 0.725 (95% CI 0.508–1.004). Conclusion Korean UC patients may have a better clinical course than Western patients, as indicated by a lower colectomy rate. The overall colectomy rate has continued to decrease over the past three decades.

scholarly journals Natural Disease Course of Ulcerative Colitis During the First Five Years of Follow-up in a European Population-based Inception Cohort—An Epi-IBD Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 198-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johan Burisch ◽  
Konstantinos H Katsanos ◽  
Dimitrios K Christodoulou ◽  
Luisa Barros ◽  
Fernando Magro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Population Based ◽  
European Population ◽  
Disease Course ◽  
Inception Cohort

scholarly journals Role of Disease Modifying Treatment in the Risk of Alloimmunization in Transfused Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes: A Population-Based Study

Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 4253-4253
Author(s):  
Hanne Rozema ◽  
Robby Kibbelaar ◽  
Nic Veeger ◽  
Mels Hoogendoorn ◽  
Eric van Roon
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Blood Products ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
In The Beginning ◽  
Observation Period

The majority of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) require regular red blood cell (RBC) transfusions. Alloimmunization (AI) against blood products is an adverse event, causing time-consuming RBC compatibility testing. The reported incidence of AI in MDS patients varies greatly. Even though different studies on AI in MDS patients have been performed, there are still knowledge gaps. Current literature has not yet fully identified the risk factors and dynamics of AI in individual patients, nor has the influence of disease modifying treatment (DMT) been explored. Therefore, we performed this study to evaluate the effect of DMT on AI. An observational, population-based study, using the HemoBase registry, was performed including all newly diagnosed MDS patients between 2005 and 2017 in Friesland, a province of the Netherlands. All available information about treatment and transfusions, including transfusion dates, types, and treatment regimens, was collected from the electronic health records and laboratory systems. Follow-up occurred through March 2019. For our patient cohort, blood products were matched for AB0 and RhD, and transfused per the 'type and screen' policy (i.e. electronic matching of blood group phenotype between patient and donor). After a positive antibody screening, antibody identification and Rh/K phenotyping was performed and subsequent blood products were (cross)matched accordingly. The observation period was counted from first transfusion until last transfusion or first AI event. Univariate analyses and cumulative frequency distributions were performed to study possible risk factors and dynamics of AI. DMT was defined as hypomethylating agents, lenalidomide, chemotherapy and monoclonal antibodies. The effect of DMT as a temporary risk period on the risk of AI was estimated with incidence rates, relative risks (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) using a cox regression analysis. Follow-up was limited to 24 months for the cox regression analysis to avoid possible bias by survival differences. Statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS 24 and SAS 9.4. Out of 292 MDS patients, 236 patients received transfusions and were included in this study, covering 463 years of follow-up. AI occurred in 24 patients (10%). AI occurred mostly in the beginning of the observation period: Eighteen patients (75%) were alloimmunized after receiving 20 units of RBCs, whereas 22 patients (92%) showed AI after 45 units of RBCs (Figure 1). We found no significant risk factors for AI in MDS patients at baseline. DMT was given to 67 patients (28%) during the observation period. Patients on DMT received more RBC transfusions than patients that did not receive DMT (median of 33 (range: 3-154) and 11 (range: 0-322) RBC units respectively, p<0,001). Four AI events (6%) occurred in patients on DMT and 20 AI events (12%) occurred in patients not on DMT. Cox regression analysis of the first 24 months of follow-up showed an HR of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.07-1.31; p=0.11). The incidence rates per 100 person-years were 3.19 and 5.92 respectively. The corresponding RR was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.16-1.48; p=0.26). Based on our results, we conclude that the incidence of AI in an unselected, real world MDS population receiving RBC transfusions is 10% and predominantly occurred in the beginning of follow-up. Risk factors for AI at baseline could not be identified. Our data showed that patients on DMT received significantly more RBC transfusions but were less susceptible to AI. Therefore, extensive matching of blood products may not be necessary for patients on DMT. Larger studies are needed to confirm the protective effect of DMT on AI. Disclosures Rozema: Celgene: Other: Financial support for visiting MDS Foundation conference.

Headache as a risk factor for dementia: A prospective population-based study

Cephalalgia ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 327-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Knut Hagen ◽  
Eystein Stordal ◽  
Mattias Linde ◽  
Timothy J Steiner ◽  
John-Anker Zwart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Subsequent Development ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk

Background Headache has not been established as a risk factor for dementia. The aim of this study was to determine whether any headache was associated with subsequent development of vascular dementia (VaD), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) or other types of dementia. Methods This prospective population-based cohort study used baseline data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT 2) performed during 1995–1997 and, from the same Norwegian county, a register of cases diagnosed with dementia during 1997–2010. Participants aged ≥20 years who responded to headache questions in HUNT 2 were categorized (headache free; with any headache; with migraine; with nonmigrainous headache). Hazard ratios (HRs) for later inclusion in the dementia register were estimated using Cox regression analysis. Results Of 51,383 participants providing headache data in HUNT 2, 378 appeared in the dementia register during the follow-up period. Compared to those who were headache free, participants with any headache had increased risk of VaD ( n = 63) (multivariate-adjusted HR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.4–3.8, p = 0.002) and of mixed dementia (VaD and AD ( n = 52)) (adjusted HR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.1–3.5, p = 0.018). There was no association between any headache and later development of AD ( n = 180). Conclusion In this prospective population-based cohort study, any headache was a risk factor for development of VaD.

Prognostic Significance of Angiogenesis and Ki-67, p53, and p21 Expression: A Population-Based Endometrial Carcinoma Study

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1382-1382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helga B. Salvesen ◽  
Ole Erik Iversen ◽  
Lars A. Akslen
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Endometrial Carcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Figo Stage ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Prognostic Impact ◽  
Histologic Type ◽  
Ki 67 ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

PURPOSE: For endometrial carcinoma patients, there is a need for improved identification of high-risk groups that may benefit from postoperative adjuvant therapy. We therefore studied the prognostic impact of markers for cell proliferation, cell-cycle regulation, and angiogenesis among endometrial carcinoma patients in a population-based setting. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients diagnosed with endometrial carcinoma between 1981 and 1985 in Hordaland County, Norway, were studied. The median follow-up for the survivors was 11.5 years (range, 8 to 15 years), with no patient lost because of insufficient follow-up information. Paraffin-embedded tumor tissue, available in 96% of the cases (n = 142), was studied immunohistochemically for microvessel density (MVD) and expression of Ki-67, p53, and p21 proteins. We used the hot spot method for calculation of MVD, and expression of Ki-67 and p21 protein, because this approach may increase the probability of detecting small aggressive clones of possible prognostic relevance. The importance of these tumor markers was investigated in univariate survival analyses and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The majority of traditional clinicopathologic variables was significantly associated with the tumor biomarkers. Age, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, histologic type, histologic grade, MVD, as well as Ki-67, p53, and p21 protein expression, all significantly influenced survival in univariate analyses (P ≤ .05). In the Cox regression analysis, age, FIGO stage, MVD, Ki-67 expression, and p53 expression were the only variables with independent prognostic impact (P ≤ .05), whereas histologic type, histologic grade, and p21 expression had no independent influence. A group of high-risk patients with more than one unfavorable marker was identified. CONCLUSION: In addition to age and FIGO stage, MVD, Ki-67, and p53 protein expression showed an independent prognostic impact. Thus, information derived from routine histologic specimens identified a subgroup of high-risk endometrial carcinoma patients in this population-based study.

scholarly journals P616 Sustainability of thiopurines monotherapy in ulcerative colitis: a nationwide analysis from the epi-IIRN cohort

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S559-S559
Author(s):  
O Atia ◽  
C Friss ◽  
A Mendelovici ◽  
E Shteyer ◽  
E Orlanski-Meyer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Treatment Duration ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Health Maintenance Organizations ◽  
Disease Course ◽  
Aminosalicylic Acid ◽  
Health Maintenance ◽  
Israeli Population ◽  
Pediatric Onset

Abstract Background Thiopurines have been long used to maintain remission in ulcerative colitis (UC) but are also associated with toxicity and therapeutic failure. We aimed to assess the sustainability rate of thiopurines commenced as monotherapy in UC, and to explore predictors of sustainability. Methods This study was performed on data from four Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs), covering 98% of the Israeli population. We included all biologic-naïve UC patients diagnosed after 2005 and treated with thiopurines monotherapy for at least three months. Treatment with 5- aminosalicylic acid (ASA) was allowed if initiated prior to or during the first three months from initiation of thiopurines. Sustainability was defined as continued thiopurines treatment without switching therapy, adding biologics or requiring surgery. At most one short steroid course was allowed. Cox regression model was used to explore estimated predictors to sustainability. Results A total of 1,897 (370 [20%] pediatric-onset and 1,527 [80%] adults) thiopurines-treated patients were included with a 15,033 person-years of follow-up. The median time from UC diagnosis to initiation of thiopurines was 12.7 months (IQR 4.6–30.9), and the median treatment duration was 13.0 months (6.3–28.4). Sustainability rate was evident in 92% of patients after 6 months from initiation of thiopurines and 83%, 65% and 42% at one, three and five years, thereafter. Sustainability was associated with early initiation of thiopurines during disease course (HR 0.99 [95%CI 0.985–0.995]) and lack of 5-ASA at initiation of thiopurines (HR 0.7 [95%CI 0.6–0.8]). Conclusion As many as two thirds of biologic-naïve UC patients treated with thiopurines monotherapy sustain this treatment after five years, especially when initiated early and without 5-ASA.

scholarly journals Donepezil Adherence, Persistence and Time to First Discontinuation in a Three-Year Follow-Up of Older People

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 482-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henry C. Ndukwe ◽  
Prasad S. Nishtala
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cumulative Probability ◽  
Inception Cohort ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Adjusted Risk ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Moderate Dementia ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Minimum Dataset

Background: Donepezil is indicated for the management of mild to moderate dementia, particularly in Alzheimer's disease. Several studies have described low adherence rates with donepezil. Aim: To examine and measure donepezil adherence, persistence and time to first discontinuation in older New Zealanders. Methods: An inception cohort of 1,999 new users of donepezil, aged 65 years or older, were identified from the Pharmaceutical Collections and National Minimum Dataset from 1 November 2010 to 31 December 2013. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis were used to estimate the cumulative probability and risk of time to first discontinuation of donepezil therapy. Results: The mean age of the cohort was 79.5 ± 6.4 years and included 42.7% females. Adherence was high (89.0%), while the proportion of donepezil dispensings (81.0-32.5%) declined between 6 and 36 months. Persistence between the 1st and 6th dispensing visit decreased by 19.0%, and 11.0% of the total cohort had a gap of 31 days or more. The adjusted risk of time to first discontinuation in the non-adherent group was 2.2 times (95% CI 1.9-2.6) that of the adherent group. Conclusions: The non-adherent new donepezil users, on average, discontinued faster than the adherent group. Time to first discontinuation in this study was higher compared to discontinuation rates observed in clinical trials.

scholarly journals A population-based longitudinal study of Clostridium difficile infection-related hospitalization in mid-age and older Australians

2016 ◽  
Vol 145 (3) ◽  
pp. 575-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. CHEN ◽  
K. GLASS ◽  
B. LIU ◽  
T.V. RILEY ◽  
R. KORDA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clostridium Difficile ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
New South ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Crude Incidence ◽  
Median Hospital Stay ◽  
Hospitalization Rates ◽  
South Wales ◽  
Hazard Ratios

SUMMARYClostridium difficile is the principal cause of infectious diarrhoea in hospitalized patients. We investigated the incidence and risk factors for hospitalization due to C. difficile infection (CDI) in older Australians. We linked data from a population-based prospective cohort study (the 45 and Up Study) of 266 922 adults aged ⩾45 years recruited in New South Wales, Australia to hospitalization and death records for 2006–2012. We estimated the incidence of CDI hospitalization and calculated days in hospital and costs per hospitalization. We also estimated hazard ratios (HR) for CDI hospitalization using Cox regression with age as the underlying time variable. Over a total follow-up of 1 126 708 person-years, 187 adults had an incident CDI hospitalization. The crude incidence of CDI hospitalization was 16·6/100 000 person-years, with a median hospital stay of 6 days, and a median cost of AUD 6102 per admission. Incidence increased with age and year of follow-up, with a threefold increase for 2009–2012. After adjustment, CDI hospitalization rates were significantly lower in males than females (adjusted HR 0·6, 95% confidence interval 0·4–0·7). CDI hospitalization rates increased significantly over 2009–2012. There is a need to better understand the increasing risk of CDI hospitalization in women.

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