OPTIMIZATION OF GAS SUPPLY UNDER CONDITIONS OF THE GLOBAL EXPANSION OF LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS
The issue of diversification and optimization of gas supply to Ukraine is extremely relevant in the process of achieving energy independence. Today there is still no global market for natural gas, but the analysis made suggests that there is a process of the price divergence of regional markets for natural gas. The optimization models of gas supply in Ukraine are considered taking into account the availability of powerful gas storage facilities, developed natural gas transportation network, own sources of gas extraction and the possibility of purchasing natural gas in the EU countries. It is shown that diversification of gas supply leads to a significant reduction of transportation costs. In this case, the value of the target function was found provided the same gas supply price from all available sources compared with the option of gas supply from one source on the border with the Russian Federation. The availability of gas storage facilities allows taking into account the seasonal fluctuation of prices in the optimization model. Thus, gas storages act as consumers in the summer and as a source of gas supply during the heating season. The presence of gas storage facilities in the optimization model significantly reduces the integral target function, which includes the cost of acquisition, storage and transportation of natural gas. The capacity of gas storage facilities is not fully used; therefore, they can be used to optimize gas supply to Eastern European countries. The methods of econometric analysis are used to study the effect of rising natural gas prices on volumes of its consumption. An estimation of the coefficient of elasticity of linear and logarithmic models is carried out. On the basis of this indicator, gas consumption is estimated in case of further increase of its prices for the population. The possibilities of use of gas storage facilities for stabilization of gas supply to the countries of Eastern Europe are analyzed.