scholarly journals Weibull accelerated life testing analysis with several variables using multiple linear regression

DYNA ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 82 (191) ◽  
pp. 156-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel R. Piña-Monarrez ◽  
Carlos A. Ávila-Chávez ◽  
Carlos D. Márquez-Luévano

In Weibull accelerated life test analysis (ALT) with two or more variables (<em>X<sub>2</sub>, X<sub>3</sub>, ... X<sub>k</sub></em>), we estimated, in joint form, the parameters of the life stress model r{X(t)} and one shape parameter β. These were then used to extrapolate the conclusions to the operational level. However, these conclusions are biased because in the experiment design (DOE) used, each combination of the variables presents its own Weibull family (β<sub>i</sub>, η<sub>i</sub>). Thus the estimated β is not representative. On the other hand, since (β<sub>i</sub>, η<sub>i</sub>) is determined by the variance of the logarithm of the lifetime data σ<sub>t</sub><sup>2</sup> , the response variance σ<sub>y</sub><sup>2</sup> and the correlation coefficient R<sup>2</sup>, which increases when variables are added to the analysis, β is always overestimated. In this paper, the problem is statistically addressed and based on the Weibull families (β<sub>i</sub>, η<sub>i</sub>) a vector Y<sub>η</sub> is estimated and used to determine the parameters of r{X(t)}. Finally, based on the variance σ<sub>y</sub><sup>2</sup> of each level, the variance of the operational level σ<sub>op</sub><sup>2</sup> is estimated and used to determine the operational shape parameter β<sub>op</sub>. The efficiency of the proposed method is shown by numerical applications and by comparing its results with those of the maximum likelihood method (ML).

2003 ◽  
Vol 17 (08n09) ◽  
pp. 1318-1323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seok Jun Yang ◽  
Jin Woo Kim ◽  
Dong Su Ryu ◽  
Myung Soo Kim ◽  
Joong Soon Jang

This paper presents the failure analysis and the reliability estimation of a multilayer ceramic chip capacitor. For the failed samples used in an automobile engine control unit, failure analysis was made to identify the root cause of failure and it was shown that the migration and the avalanche breakdown were the dominant failure mechanisms. Next, an accelerated life testing was designed to estimate the life of the MLCC. It is assumed that Weibull lifetime distribution and the life-stress relationship proposed Prokopowicz and Vaskas. The life-stress relationship and the acceleration factor are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guodong Wang ◽  
Zhanwen Niu ◽  
Zhen He

Accelerated life test is commonly used for the estimation of high-reliability product. In this paper, we present a simple and efficient approach to estimate the coefficients of acceleration models. Assuming that both scale and shape parameters of Weibull lifetime distribution vary with stress factors, we estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution using maximum likelihood method and reduce the bias of shape parameter estimator. Considering the heteroscedasticity, we compute the estimates of the coefficients of acceleration models through weighted least square method. Additionally, we obtain the confidence interval of low percentile via bootstrapping. We compare the proposed method with other methods using a real lifetime example. Finally, we study the performance of the proposed method by simulation. The simulation results show that our proposed method is effective.


2011 ◽  
Vol 211-212 ◽  
pp. 1002-1006 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Jiang

This paper presents an approach to analyze accelerated life testing (ALT) data involving two failure modes. The approach first transforms the ALT dataset into two new datasets that correspond to individual failure modes. Each transformed dataset is modeled using a two-step procedure, and the resulted models associated with individual failure modes are combined into a competing risk model. The approach is illustrated using the ALT data of industrial heaters from the literature. The analysis shows that the shape parameter of the life distribution can change with stress level.


Author(s):  
Ahmadur Rahman ◽  
Tabassum Naz Sindhu ◽  
Showkat Ahmad Lone ◽  
Mustafa Kamal

In accelerated life testing researcher generally use a life stress relationship between life characteristic and stress to estimate the parameters of failure time distributions at use condition which is just a re-parameterization of original parameters but from statistical point of view it is easy and reasonable to deal with original parameters of the distribution directly instead of developing inference for the parameters of the life stress relationship. So, an attempt is made here to estimate the parameters of Burr Type X life distribution directly in accelerated life testing by assuming that the lifetimes at increasing stress levels forms a geometric process. A mathematical model for the analysis of constant stress accelerated life testing for type-I censored data is developed and the estimates of parameters are obtained by using the maximum likelihood method. Also a Fisher information matrix is constructed in order to get the asymptotic variance and interval estimates of the parameters. Lastly, a simulation study is performed to illustrate the statistical properties of the parameters and the confidence intervals.


2000 ◽  
Vol 122 (4) ◽  
pp. 482-487 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Zuo ◽  
S. Chiovelli ◽  
Y. Nonaka

This paper comments on using the Larson-Miller parameter to fit the creep-rupture life distribution as a function of temperature and stress. The commonly used least-squares linear regression method assumes that the creep-rupture life follows the lognormal distribution. Most engineering literature does not discuss the validity of this assumption. In this paper, we outline the procedure for validating two critical assumptions when the least-squares method is used. The maximum likelihood method is suggested as an alternative and more powerful method for fitting creep-rupture life distributions. Examples are given to demonstrate the use of these two methods using Microsoft Excel and the LIFEREG procedure in SAS. [S0094-9930(00)00504-7]


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 2509-2516 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Cui ◽  
Xiu-Yun Peng ◽  
Zai-Zai Yan

This paper discusses the parameter estimation by Bayesian method when the thermal aging lifetime follows the log-normal distribution and the sample is a general progressive type-II censoring from a constant-stress accelerated life test. The Bayes estimates cannot be obtained in an inexplicit form, and an approximate one is solved by the hybrid Markov chain Monte-Carlo method. The thermal aging life data are presented to illustrate proposed method.


2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Froylan M. E. Escalante ◽  
Daniel A. Pérez-Rico ◽  
Jorge Luis Alarcón-Jiménez ◽  
Escarlett González-Morales ◽  
Luis Felipe Guerra-Álvarez ◽  
...  

Abstract. Phycocyanin is a natural blue colorant with antioxidant activity which can be safely used in food, however its rapid degradation is still a concern for food manufacturing. Phycocyanin is easily degraded when exposed to mid-temperatures and/or light. Several studies have been stablished the degradation kinetics of aqueous solutions evaluating temperature or light as accelerating factors using a first order kinetic model and, both factors have been studied by separate or fixing one of them to evaluate the combined effect. The aim of this work was to develop an empirical model able to predict the effect of temperature and light combined in the degradation ratio of this pigment at selected storage conditions. We have tested five correlation models to fit temperature, light and time data to the degradation ratio of the phycocyanin; these were statistically tested to select the more appropriate. This is a novelty in the study of accelerated life-test analysis of phycocyanin, since most of the models are based on one accelerating variable at the time and the relationship between accelerating variables has not been explored before. We were able to develop a methodology to evaluate the effect of two accelerating life factors at once using CPC as model which is highly precise and easy to apply. Resumen. La ficocianina es un pigmento natural color azul con actividad antioxidante que puede utilizarse de manera segura en alimentos, sin embargo, su rápida degradación sigue siendo un problema para su uso en alimentos. La ficocianina se degrada fácilmente cuando se expone a temperaturas medias o a la luz. Algunos estudios han establecido la cinética de degradación de las soluciones evaluando la temperatura o la luz como factores de aceleración usando modelos cinéticos de primer orden. Además, ambos factores han sido estudiados por separado o fijando uno de ellos para evaluar el efecto combinado. El objetivo de este trabajo fue desarrollar un modelo empírico capaz de predecir el efecto de la temperatura y la iluminación en forma combinada sobre la velocidad de degradación de la ficocianina a las condiciones de almacenamiento seleccionadas. Se probaron cinco modelos de correlación para ajustar los datos de temperatura, luz y tiempo a la velocidad de degradación de la ficocianina; dichos modelos fueron probados estadísticamente para determinar el más adecuado. Esta es una novedad en el estudio de los análisis de pruebas de vida acelerada de la ficocianina, dado que la mayoría de los modelos se basan en una sola variable acelerante a la vez y, no se han explorado las relaciones entre las variables de aceleración. Fuimos capaces de desarrollar una metodología altamente precisa y sencilla para evaluar el efecto de dos factores simultáneos de aceleración de la vida de la ficocianina C como modelo.


Author(s):  
D. A. Belfiore ◽  
B. J. Gilmore ◽  
J. C. Wambold

Abstract Accelerated life testing analysis for transit buses requires a dynamic simulation model using road profiles as excitation inputs. This paper presents the modeling and parameter estimation required to conduct such a dynamic simulation of a small bus. The simulation preclude the necessity of measuring actual vehicle response traversing portions of selected roads. The results from the simulation correlate well with actual results in both magnitude and frequency distribution and thus, may be used for accelerated life test purposes.


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