scholarly journals Does inflation targeting work well? Evidence from CEE countries

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-392
Author(s):  
Chen Wang

This article examines the effects of inflation targeting (IT) policy on inflation and output performance. I employ the propensity score matching method for the sample of CEE countries from 1990 to 2010. The evidence suggests that the IT regime does not have a significant effect on the inflation level or the inflation volatility; however, the IT framework can help to increase GDP per capita. The effects on inflation indicators are inconsistent with previous studies. The results are robust to different methodologies.

2017 ◽  
Vol 126 (5B) ◽  
pp. 17
Author(s):  
Trần Huỳnh Bảo Châu

<p><strong>Abstract:</strong></p><p>This study estimates the impact value of the VietGAP program when applied to vegetable production on the health of farmers in Thua Thien Hue province. By employing the propensity score matching (PSM) method, our findings show that the VietGAP program has a significant impact on farmers’ health. In particular, the program reduces farmers’ health problems due to pesticide exposure by 15.6 %, 22.9 %, 25.5 %, and 23.6 %, respectively, from four types of matching. This study provides evidence of the positive impacts of the VietGAP program on the health status of farmers in Thua Thien Hue province. It is therefore hoped that the production, consumption, and management solutions provided by the VietGAP program can encourage farmers to use environment-friendly agricultural practices.</p><p><strong>Keywords: </strong>propensity score matching (PSM) method, VietGAP program, farmers’ health</p>


JEJAK ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 207-223
Author(s):  
Endiarjati Dewandaru Sadono

Beras untuk Keluarga Miskin (RASKIN) program has been applied since 1998 and has been renamed as Beras Sejahtera (RASTRA) in early 2017, but their effectiveness is still debatable. This study tries to evaluate the impact of RASKIN program on household income. Using data from 3,745 households in Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS) 5 that has been estimated using propensity score matching, this study has identified precisely that RASKIN program has a negative and significant effect on household income. This happens because the benefits that reveived by Rumah Tangga Sasaran (RTS) are very small. The small benefit is affected by the amount of rice received, frequency and price that have been paid to get RASKIN is not in accordance with the guidelines. The result of this study is along with previous studies, where the amount and price of rice that distributed through RASKIN program is not exactly correct. Therefore, there must be a change in program format, not just renaming from RASKIN to RASTRA only.


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 68-83
Author(s):  
Alfredo Pelayo Calatayud Mendoza ◽  
Edson Apaza Mamani

El objetivo del presente estudio es estimar el impacto del programa Juntos sobre el gasto per cápita en alimentos en los hogares rurales, como fuente de información se utiliza la base de datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Hogares – 2015, la metodología es la técnica de diseño cuasi-experimental Propensity Score Matching – PSM con la técnica de emparejamiento de vecino más cercano (Nearest Neighbor Matching), este método consiste en comparar el gasto per cápita en alimentos que obtiene cada beneficiario tratado con el grupo de control que tenga el propensity score más cercano, luego se calcula la diferencia entre cada par de hogares emparejadas en el gasto per cápita en alimentos y luego se promedian todas las diferencias para calcular el ATT. La unidad de análisis son los hogares rurales de la sierra y selva del Perú en condición de pobreza y extrema pobreza. Los resultados reportan que la probabilidad de participar en el programa Juntos depende de las características del hogar, de la vivienda y del jefe de hogar. Asimismo, los resultados sugieren que el programa Juntos si tiene un impacto positivo sobre el gasto per cápita en alimentos, para aquellos hogares rurales en pobreza y extrema pobreza el programa Juntos ha incrementado el gasto per cápita en 8.9% (ATT=0.089) a un nivel de significancia de 10%.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 551
Author(s):  
Henrique Dantas Neder ◽  
Tiago Camarinha Lopes

Resumo: O artigo tem o objetivo de medir o efeito do Programa Territórios da Cidadania no Estado de Minas Gerais, com um modelo de estimação com base no método Propensity Score Matching (PSM). Assim, analisa os problemas de medição de impacto do programa, de forma didática, com o propósito de apresentar a metodologia de avaliação de programas governamentais baseada no pareamento de indivíduos com características semelhantes. Conclui que existem evidências de que no período de vigência do programa, os indicadores de aumento do produto da agropecuária foram afetados positivamente, em termos causais, pelo programa Territórios da Cidadania.Palavras-chave: Desenvolvimento territorial, avaliação de políticas públicas, métodos de pareamento, avaliação de impactos. TERRITORIAL PROGRAMS EFFECTS OF CITIZENSHIP ON SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF MG CITIES: an measuring approach with pairing methods Abstract: The paper has the objective of measuring the impact of the Brazilian governmental with a program called Territórios da Cidadania in the state of Minas Gerais. An estimation model was constructed on the basis of the Propensity Score Matching method (PSM). Thus, analyzes the program's impact measurement problems in a didactic way, in order to present the methodology for evaluating government programs based on the pairing of individuals with similar characteristics. Concludes there are evidences that for the period analyzed, the indicators of rural product were positively affected by the program.Key words: Territorial development, public policies evaluation, pairing methods, impact evaluation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 999-1008
Author(s):  
Lili Sheng ◽  
Hui Peng ◽  
Yang Pan ◽  
Chengci Wang ◽  
Yiping Zhu

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Priscilla Twumasi Baffour ◽  
Wassiuw Abdul Rahaman ◽  
Ibrahim Mohammed

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the impact of mobile money access on internal remittances received, per capita consumption expenditure and welfare of household in Ghana.Design/methodology/approachThe study used data from the latest round of the Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS 7) and employed the propensity score matching technique to estimate average treatment effect between users and non-users of mobile money transfer services.FindingsThe study finds that using mobile money is welfare enhancing, particularly for poor households and the channel by which it impacts on welfare is through higher internal remittances received and per capita expenditure. The results from the average treatment effect indicate that mobile money users receive significantly higher remittances and consequently spend averagely higher on consumption than non-users.Research limitations/implicationsAlthough the data employed in this study is limited to one country, the findings support the financial inclusion role and developmental impact of mobile money transfer services. Hence, mobile money transfer services should be promoted and facilitated by the telecommunication and financial sector regulators.Originality/valueIn addition to making original contribution to the literature on the welfare impact of mobile money, the study's use of the propensity score matching is unique.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e23029-e23029
Author(s):  
Mingyu Tan ◽  
Mei Feng ◽  
Yecai Huang ◽  
Peng Xu ◽  
Ke Xu ◽  
...  

e23029 Background: With the aging society was coming, more elderly nasopharyngeal carcinoma NPC patients should be pay attention. However, no guideline is proposed for them due to lack of prospective clinical trials. We aimed to use propensity score matching method to evaluate the survival outcome and toxicity of the different treatment modalities for them. Methods: II-IV(UICC 8th) elderly NPC patients (≥65 years) were retrospectively enrolled between 2004 to 2016 in our center. All the patients received definitive IMRT, and were allocated into radiotherapy only (RT), concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed with CCRT (NACT). Cisplatin-based chemotherapy was used. Survival outcomes and toxicity were analyzed using propensity score-matching method. Results: There were 142 patients included, and the median age was 68 years. The median follow-up time was 47 months. 23 patients received RT only, 61 patients received CCRT and 58 patients received NACT. After matching for gender, age, T and N stage, chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy patients (22 pairs) were analyzed and shown the chemotherapy group had a better OS (86% vs 68%, p= 0.031). The 3-years LRFS, DMFS and DFS of chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy was 95% and 85% ( p= 0.251), 95% and 86% ( p= 0.307), 86% and 73% ( p= 0.309). Furthermore, 41 pairs who underwent chemotherapy were sub-analyzed according to different modalities. CCRT group showed a comparable 3-years LRFS (100% vs 94%, p= 0.143), DMFS (87% vs 89%, p= 0.608), DFS (81% vs 84%, p= 0.892) and OS (79% vs 66%, p= 0.080) with NACT. For acute toxicity, the incidence of G3-5 bone marrow suppression in non-chemotherapy was significantly lower than chemotherapy group (8.7% vs 36.4%, p= 0.31), and the incidence of G3-5 mucositis was similar ( p= 0.517). Besides that, there was no significant difference in the incidence of G3-5 bone marrow suppression and mucositis between CCRT and NACT group ( p= 0.824, p= 0.618). Conclusions: Chemoradiotherapy could improve the survival rate of the elderly NPC patients compared with radiotherapy only. The acute toxicity of CCRT and NACT was similar and acceptable. CCRT was still the standard treatment modality for them. As for the elderly NPC patients who are in good performance status and comorbidity conditions, NACT might be also worthy of recommendation.


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