scholarly journals IDENTIFIKASI FAKTOR DAN PENILAIAN RISIKO PADA USAHA PERIKANAN TANGKAP DI KABUPATEN SAMBAS

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 99
Author(s):  
Lindawati Lindawati ◽  
Rikrik Rahadian
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Operating Cost ◽  
Rent Seeking ◽  
Loss Probability ◽  
Primary Sources ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Data Survey

Usaha penangkapan ikan akan selalu dihadapkan pada risiko kerugian yang tinggi, akibat daritingginya tingkat ketidakpastian. Dengan mengambil kasus usaha penangkapan ikan pelagis kecil dandemersal di Kabupaten Sambas, makalah ini bertujuan untuk menilai besaran kemungkinan terjadinyarisiko kerugian pada usaha perikanan tangkap dan mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor penyebab risiko kerugiantersebut. Data yang digunakan terdiri dari data primer dan data sekunder. Data primer diperoleh darihasil survey pada tahun 2014 dan 2015 terhadap sampel responden yang diambil secara purposive.Data sekunder yang dikumpulkan berupa data potensi perikanan dan laporan tahunan yang diperolehdari Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Kabupaten Sambas. Analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian iniadalah analisis statistik deskriptif dan simulasi Monte Carlo untuk menilai peluang risiko kerugian. Hasilsimulasi Monte Carlo menunjukkan bahwa peluang terjadinya risiko kerugian dari usaha penangkapanikan di Kabupaten Sambas adalah 30%. Berdasarkan persepsi responden, faktor-faktor penyebab risikoyang dominan antara lain: 1) peningkatan biaya operasional (93%); 2) kesulitan permodalan (76%);dan 3) gangguan kesehatan (69%). Sehingga, untuk mengurangi beban risiko yang dihadapi olehpara nelayan, maka diperlukan kebijakan penguatan permodalan usaha dalam bentuk pembentukanlembaga penyedia modal usaha bagi nelayan kecil, yang dapat menggantikan peran agen/toke dalammenyediakan modal usaha.Title:  An Assessment of Contributing Risk Factor and its Measurement on Capture Fisheries in Sambas District Captured fisheries business is daily faced with high risk due to many uncertainties that it has to deal with. This research is mainly aimed at measuring the probability of loss from the captured fisheries business conducted within the Sambas Region. The data used for the measurement done were acquired from both primary sources – a 2014-2015 panel data survey to a sample of purposively chosen 30 fishers – as well as secondary sources – regional fishery statistics and publications. The monte carlo simulation was applied to produce the measurement of loss probability intended. The simulation showed that there is a 30% chance where a captured fisheries business in Sambas Region may result in a loss. According to fishers’ perception, the probable causes of such risks may be due to a few factors, such as: 1) operating cost push (92%); 2) financing difficulties (76%); and 3) health problems (69%). Thus, alleviating the burden of risks of fishers will require a capital strengthening policy through creating a capital provision institution which could substitute the role of rent-seeking Agents/ Tokes as capital providers.

نماذج المحاكاة- محاكاة مونتي كارلو- كأسلوب كمي من أساليب النمذجة واتخاذ القرارات - مقاربة نظرية وتطبيقية

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
محمد الأمين ◽  
بن حامد عبد الغني ◽  
مراس محمد
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Practical Importance ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Period Analysis ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Our research aims to try to present the modeling mechanisms in the field of simulation and quantitative methods. The research is a presentation of the role of quantitative methods in making investment project evaluation decisions, more than that and is the use of the Monte Carlo simulation model in evaluation and multi-period analysis of investment projects under conditions Risk and uncertainty. And highlighting the theoretical, scientific and practical importance of the Monte Carlo simulation method in particular, and the importance of using quantitative methods in helping to make decisions in general

scholarly journals China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Analytical overview on Socio-Cultural Romance between China and Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 492-508
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asif ◽  
Majid Ali ◽  
Abdoulaye M’Begniga ◽  
Zhou Guoqing ◽  
Liu Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Cultural Exchange ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Primary Sources ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Online Databases ◽  
Belt And Road ◽  
Bilateral Cooperation ◽  
The Relationship

China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is an important Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) project that integrates many countries. The CPEC project will play a vital role to make more strong relationship between China and Pakistan. CPEC project will enhance cooperation between Pakistan and China in field of socio-cultural and regional Bilateral Cooperation and exchange. Despite growth between two countries in the economic and trade field, there is a vital area to explore the cultural exchange, cooperation, and communication needed to improve from both sides. In this theoretical study method, the data has been obtained from primary and secondary sources. The primary sources consisted of books, official databases of China and Pakistan, MoU signed b/w both countries, etc., as the secondary sources consisted of research papers, newspapers, journals, online databases, etc. This paper has an analytical overview of the time value and general cultural and artistic exchanges between China and Pakistan. Further, the paper discussed the relationship between literature, art, and economics. In this paper, researchers have also examined the significant role of people-to-people contact for socio-cultural exchange and cooperation between China and Pakistan.

scholarly journals ROLE OF ISLAM AND ITS TOLERANCE IN CONSTRAINING TERROR

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Omar Moftah Medon ◽  
Ali Mohamed Aneba
Keyword(s):  
Political Thought ◽  
Primary Sources ◽  
Side Group ◽  
Secondary Sources

<p>The tolerance in Islam springs from Sharia in both its primary and secondary sources.  There are abundance evidences found in the Qur'an and Sunnah which order people to tolerate and avoid terror. Qur'an and Sunnah as a  primary sources of Sharia do not accept terror, but invite people to have a sense of tolerance and kindness and non-extremism in Islamic dealings. Islam unrecognized a differentiation among people, except the quality of their <em>taqwa</em>. That is why  there is no different between Arabs and non-Arabs. Therefore, the primary sources of Islam have no any relation with terror and killing of the innocent. Such an example, killing the innocent is done toward a certain direction, side, group, doctrine, political thought, or sect that are the reasons of terror and enmity which increase force within communities.</p><strong><em></em></strong><strong><em></em></strong>

A Parametric Unit Commitment Method for Revenue Adequacy Assessment

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gianpietro Granelli ◽  
Mario Montagna ◽  
Paolo Marannino ◽  
Fabio Zanellini
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Unit Commitment ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Multivariate Normal ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Strategic Role ◽  
Adequacy Assessment ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Program

Unit commitment (UC), originally employed to minimize the generating cost of a vertically integrated utility, has become a basic tool for revenue adequacy evaluation by GENeration COmpanies (GENCOs). The strategic role of UC is apparent in those market environments where GENCOs are asked to internalize all costs and the relevant UC decisions within their day–ahead market bids. In this paper, a parametric UC method is presented to assess the convenience of making energy bids for marginal or nearly marginal generation units. The convenience is gauged by the basis of revenue adequacy that is on each unit's ability to cover all expenses and generate profits. Beside UC choices, the parametric UC procedure provides a market price behavior that would make it profitable to commit a certain unit for generation. A Monte Carlo simulation program is employed to find the probability that actual market prices will fulfill the revenue adequacy requirements. Market prices are handled as random variables with multivariate normal distribution, taking into account the correlation between prices at successive time periods. The parametric UC procedure and the Monte Carlo simulation are carried out by using reasonable data of generation units available to some Italian GENCOs.

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