scholarly journals Predictive capacity of prognostic scores for kidney injury, dialysis, and death in intensive care units

Author(s):  
Geferson Messias Teles Vasconcelos ◽  
Marcia Cristina da Silva Magro ◽  
Cassiane Dezoti da Fonseca ◽  
Jussiely Cunha Oliveira ◽  
Eduesley Santana-Santos

ABSTRACT Objective: To assess the capacity of Charlson, SAPS 3 and SOFA scores to predict acute kidney injury, need for dialysis, and death in intensive care unit patients. Method: Prospective cohort, with 432 individuals admitted to four intensive care units. Clinical characteristics at admission, severity profile, and intensity of care were analyzed using association and correlation tests. The scores sensitivity and specificity were assessed using the ROC curve. Results: The results show that patients with acute kidney injury were older (65[27] years vs. 60[25] years, p = 0.019) and mostly are from the emergency department (57.9% vs. 38.0 %, p < 0.001), when compared to those in the group without acute kidney injury. For dialysis prediction, the results of SAPS 3 and SOFA were AUC: 0.590; 95%CI: 0.507–0.674; p-value: 0.032 and AUC: 0.667; 95%CI: 0.591–0.743; p-value: 0.000, respectively. All scores performed well for death. Conclusion: The prognostic scores showed good capacity to predict acute kidney injury, dialysis, and death. Charlson Comorbidity Index showed good predictive capacity for acute kidney injury and death; however, it did not perform well for the need for dialysis.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Konlawij Trongtrakul ◽  
Sujaree Poopipatpab ◽  
Ploynapas Limphunudom ◽  
Chawika Pisitsak ◽  
Kaweesak chittawatanarat ◽  
...  


2019 ◽  
Vol 59 (2) ◽  
pp. 92-7
Author(s):  
Umi Rakhmawati ◽  
Indah K. Murni ◽  
Desy Rusmawatiningtyas

Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) can increase the morbidity and mortality in children admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Previous published studies have mostly been conducted in high-income countries. Evaluations of possible predictors of mortality in children with AKI in low- and middle-income countries have been limited, particularly in Indonesia. Objective To assess possible predictors of mortality in children with AKI in the PICU. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study at Dr. Sardjito Hospital, Yogyakarta, Indonesia. All children with AKI admitted to PICU for more than 24 hours from 2010 to 2016 were eligible and consecutively recruited into the study. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors. Results Of the 152 children with AKI recruited, 119 died. In order to get a P value of <0.25, multivariate analysis is run to degree AKI, ventilator utilization, primary infection disease, MOF and age.Multivariate analysis showed that ventilator use, severe AKI, and infection were independently associated with mortality in children with AKI, with odds ratios (OR) of 19.2 (95%CI 6.2 to 59.7; P<0.001), 8.6 (95%CI 2.7 to 27.6; P<0.001), and 0.2 (95%CI 0.1 to 0.8; P=0.02), respectively. Conclusion The use of mechanical ventilation and the presence of severe AKI are associated with mortality in children with AKI admitted to the PICU. Interestingly, the presence of infection might be a protective factor from mortality in such patients. 





2020 ◽  
Vol 52 (12) ◽  
pp. 2367-2377
Author(s):  
Silvia González Sanchidrián ◽  
Javier L. Deira Lorenzo ◽  
M. Jimena Muciño Bermejo ◽  
Pedro J. Labrador Gómez ◽  
Juan R. Gómez-Martino Arroyo ◽  
...  


Author(s):  
Renata Eloah de Lucena Ferretti-Rebustini ◽  
Nilmar da Silva Bispo ◽  
Winnie da Silva Alves ◽  
Thiago Negreiro Dias ◽  
Cristiane Moretto Santoro ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Objective: To characterize the level of acuity, severity and intensity of care of adults and older adults admitted to Intensive Care Units and to identify the predictors of severity with their respective predictive capacity according to the age group. Method: A retrospective cohort based on the analysis of medical records of individuals admitted to eight adult intensive care units in the city of São Paulo. The clinical characteristics at admission in relation to severity profile and intensity of care were analyzed through association and correlation tests. The predictors were identified by linear regression and the predictive capacity through the ROC curve. Results: Of the 781 cases (41.1% from older adults), 56.2% were males with a mean age of 54.1 ± 17.3 years. The burden of the disease, the organic dysfunction and the number of devices were the predictors associated with greater severity among adults and older adults, in which the organic dysfunction had the highest predictive capacity (80%) in both groups. Conclusion: Adults and older adults presented a similar profile of severity and intensity of care in admission to the Intensive Care Unit. Organic dysfunction was the factor with the best ability to predict severity in adults and older adults.



2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Samar Abd ElHafeez ◽  
Yasmine Naga ◽  
Graziella D'arrigo ◽  
Giovanni Tripepi ◽  
Carmine Zoccali

Abstract Background and Aims Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most serious complications of patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). It is associated with high short- and long-term mortality and resource utilization. The definition of AKI has been established by the KDIGO guidelines based on changes in serum creatinine, urine output or both. However, in clinical practice physicians may ignore the standard criteria and rely on clinical judgement. We therefore aimed to assess the degree of physicians’ compliance with the KDIGO guidelines in diagnosis of AKI. Method We collected data (demographic, clinical, and biochemical) in a multicenter prospective cohort study from all adults admitted to ICUs (10 surgical and 8 medical) units at Alexandria University Teaching Hospitals from February 1st, 2016 till August 1st, 2016. Alexandria Teaching Hospitals cover four governorates of Northern Egypt and serve approximately 14 million people. Doctors were preliminarily instructed to apply KDIGO criteria for the diagnosis of AKI. Personal and clinical experience data were collected from the treating physicians. We followed patients for thirty days from study entry until discharge, death or study end. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. AKI was defined and classified based on KDIGO 2012 criteria. In parallel, we registered the actual clinical diagnosis made by the treating physicians. We used frequencies and means for qualitative and quantitative variables as appropriate. Results The study included 532 patients who were on average 46 year old (±18), 41.7% were males, 23.5% with smoking, 23.1% had diabetes, 34.8%, were hypertensive, 11.3 % with pre-existing chronic kidney disease, and 30.1% had cardiovascular diseases. There were 140 physicians responsible for treating the enrolled subjects, with mean age 30 ±3 years, 57% were males, 20% were nephrologists, and the median years of experience was 3 years (inter-quartile range: 2-4years). The AKI incidence was 62.2% according to KDIGO criteria versus 49.9% based on the clinical diagnosis of treating physicians. Among those not reported to have AKI by the treating physicians; 19.1% were in stage 1, 26.4% in stage 2, and 12.9% in stage 3 AKI based on KDIGO. About 24% of patients who had AKI at ICU admission and 15% of those who developed AKI after ICU admission were not appropriately identified as AKI patients according to the physicians. There was a significant association between the physician speciality (nephrology vs other specialties) and the correct AKI diagnosis based on KDIGO criteria (X2=47.06, p&lt;0.001). Conclusion To streamline a correct and timely identification of AKI, treating physicians in ICUs at a large hospital in North Africa, like the Alexandria University Teaching Hospitals in Egypt, need well focused training and knowledge verification post training on KDIGO guidelines for identifying AKI patients. Implementation of electronic alerts could help in proper diagnosis and management.



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