Prediction Mortality Rate Due to the Road-Traffic Accidents in Kazakhstan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nurbek IGISSINOV ◽  
Alma AUBAKIROVA ◽  
Galiya ORAZOVA ◽  
Gulnur Akpolatova ◽  
Saltanat URAZOVA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
The Road ◽  
Age Related ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Population Mortality

Background: As a result of the road traffic accidents 1.25 mln. of working-age people die each year on the roads. Frequency of the RTA is 11 times higher in our country than in Europe, that influence on demographic and economic situation in the republic. Creation of the math modeling and prediction of traffic mortality rate in Kazakhstan will allow to develop measure on its decrease. Methods: Short-term dotted prediction of population mortality level of Kazakhstan was used, in particular – methods of regressive analysis. General prognosis throughout the country up to 2021 was made on the basis of data for 1999-2018. The more relevant method for prediction is exponential function taking into account the features of mortality rate level trend. Results: Prediction of traffic fatalities without division into the age-related groups for 2019 is 2132±181 case with a probability 2/3. Expected levels for 2020-2027 cases, for 2021-1927 cases. Annual mortality decrease rate according to the 0-19 age-related at an average is 6.4% among men and 5.8% among women, according to age group as a whole – by 6.2%; from 20 up to 64 age related group – 5.1 % on all population category; older 65 age –group is by 2.2 %, 3.7 % among men, 2.9% among women as a whole. Conclusion: In the foreseeable future the number of traffic deaths in Kazakhstan will tend to decrease at a slower pace. Mortality rates due to road traffic accidents among working-age men will be 3 times higher than women in this age group.

scholarly journals A Study on the Socio-Demographic Profiles of Road Traffic Accident Cases Attending a Peripheral Tertiary Care Medical College Hospital of West Bengal

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (15) ◽  
pp. 945-949
Author(s):  
Sirshak Dutta ◽  
Debasis Sarkar ◽  
Nazrul Mallick
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Road Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accident ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Tertiary Care ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
The Road ◽  
Safety Rules

BACKGROUND A road traffic accident (RTA) is any injury due to crashes originating from, terminating with or involving a vehicle partially or fully on a public road. Increased mechanisation and improved socio-economic condition of the people in developing countries like India leads to increased use of motor vehicles, disproportionate to the increase in the number of roads. We wanted to assess the socio-demographic profile of road traffic accident victims and study the antecedent factors influencing the road traffic accidents. METHODS This is an institution based descriptive, cross-sectional study, conducted among 114 patients. RESULTS Maximum numbers of the victims, 33.32 % (N = 38) were in the age group of 21-30 years followed by 26.31 % (N =30) in the age group of up to 20 years, mean age of the victims was 29.53 ± 13.85. Majority of the victims, 70.05 % (N = 80) were on motorcycles, and 26.32 % (N =30) of the victims were alcoholic at the time of accident. Majority of the victims, 92.86 % (78 out of 84), among the motor-cycle riders, four-wheeler drivers, and front seat passengers had not used any safety measures at the time of accident. CONCLUSIONS Road traffic accidents emerged as the major epidemic of non-communicable disease, holding a major share of mortality and morbidity data all over the world, majorly among the young productive portion of the population. It was evident from the study that the majority of victims were young adults, from lower socioeconomic background, and rural residents. So, lack of proper information and consciousness regarding road safety rules and measures are definitely the important aetiology behind this epidemic. Almost two third of the cases were among the bikers in the present study, which is pointing out the need of focusing on the road safety rules related to bikers by the road traffic authority. KEYWORDS Alcoholic Intoxication, Motor Vehicle, Road Traffic Accidents, Tertiary Care Centre

scholarly journals An overview on pedestrians involved in traffic accidents in Latvia: Years 2010-2014

2018 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 01004 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Bukova-Zideluna ◽  
A. Villerusa ◽  
A. Lama
Keyword(s):  
Injury Risk ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Capital City ◽  
Winter Period ◽  
Fatality Rate ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
The Road ◽  
Adverse Weather

Latvian national road accident statistics shows that for the vulnerable road users’ situation is critical, since pedestrians are involved in more than a quarter of road traffic accidents. This paper gives an analysis on pedestrians involved in road traffic accidents based on the road safety accident database in Latvia for the years 2010–2014. The total number of cases does not change significantly, however there has been an increase in pedestrian fatality rates over the period. From the total number of traffic accidents with pedestrians involved 92.4% had injuries, 6.8% were lethal cases and others didn't suffer from injuries. Out of 342 fatalities 37.7% occurred during the winter period, 56.1% in adverse weather (overcast, fog, rain or snow), 69.9% during twilight or darkness and 26.9% on weekends. Out of all accidents 55.3% occurred in the capital city Riga, but fatality rate was higher on main state roads. 8.1% of the total number of pedestrians involved in road traffic accidents was found to have alcohol in their blood right after the road traffic accident. Fatality rate was higher for those with exceeded BAC. Pedestrian injury risk analysis was associated with demographical and traffic-related factors, urbanization, visibility and seasonal patterns.

scholarly journals A new approach to solving the problem of road traffic injuries in agricultural areas

2001 ◽  
Vol 82 (5) ◽  
pp. 369-397
Author(s):  
I. G. Faizullin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Severity Index ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Accident Severity ◽  
Depth Study ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Agricultural Areas

In the Republic of Tatarstan from 1995 to the first half of 1999, there were 18,376 road traffic accidents (RTAs). They affected 23558 people, killed 3525 and injured 20033. The accident severity index averaged 14.8 during that period. Downward trends in the severity of accidents in 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998 were rather telling: 26.9; 17.6; 16.9; 13.7; 11.8. In spite of that, Tatarstan looks unfavorable against the background of other territories of the Russian Federation. In order to identify the cause-and-effect relations of the severity of traffic accidents, we conducted an in-depth study of them in the territory of cities and agricultural districts during this period.

scholarly journals Analysis of Traffic Accidents in the Area of Small Towns in the Republic of Croatia

2012 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-140
Author(s):  
Vinko Višnjić ◽  
Marko Pušić
Keyword(s):  
Key Words ◽  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Safety Assessment ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Small Towns ◽  
The Road ◽  
Road Traffic Safety ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Town

The safety of road traffic in small towns in the Republic of Croatia is not at a satisfactory level. As proof, the safety of road traffic participants in the area of the town of Nova Gradiška and its wider environment has been studied and analyzed. The paper includes the available data in the period from 2000 to 2007. The analysis and the assessment of road traffic safety can be applied also to other towns and counties of the Republic of Croatia. Having in mind that there are 531 settlements in the Republic of Croatia (119 towns and 412 districts), out of which only 78 are larger than 10,000 inhabitants or 14.69% of the total number, which means that the analysis could be made for any settlement in the Republic of Croatia. The road traffic safety assessment was conceived according to the modified Smeed model which may be applied for any settlement or town. The road traffic safety analysis has led to the conclusion that safety of all the traffic participants is endangered. This paper provides solutions about what has to be done in order to reduce the danger to all the road traffic factors. KEY WORDS: drivers, traffic, traffic accidents, safety and small towns

Evaluation and Analysis of Factors Affecting Road Traffic Accidents in Tripoli-Libya

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. 124-132
Author(s):  
Faris Ahmed Abdulfatah Elturki ◽  
Shaban Ismael Albrka Ali
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Human Factors ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Influential Factor ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
Permanent Disability ◽  
High Exposure ◽  
Transportation Demand ◽  
The Road

Incessant of transportation demand growth in developing countries in latest years has led to several traffic issues in city areas, among the most challenging ones are vehicular emission, traffic congestion, and accidents. The growth of transportation demand has great influences, and very unfortunate impact on the society regarding crashes, death, and injuries from road accidents have reached epidemic proportions worldwide. The variation increased in speeds and vehicle density resulted in high exposure to accidents which lead loss of life and permanent disability, injury, and damage to property. This paper classified and investigate the most critical factors affect road traffic accidents (RTAs) in Tripoli the capital city of Libya. Four main categories were chosen to build the questionnaire, namely; human factors, road factors, vehicle factors and environmental factors. Moreover, a quantitative method was used to collect the data from the field, 400 respondents include; drivers, pedestrian and passengers were the sample size of the questionnaire and relative importance index (RII) were used for classification of one group and among all groups. The results show that more than 84%of respondents considered the over speeding as the most significant factor cusses of RTAs among all groups, while 81% considered the disobedience to driving code such as children who are playing with the car on the road as the most influential factor in human factors group. Also, nearly 74% of respondents seeing that poor brakes or brake failure factor has a high and considerable impact on the RTAs among the vehicle factors. Regarding the road factors group, 79% of the respondents ranked poor or no street lighting factor as one of the most effective factors on RTAs in road factors and third effecting factor concerning all factors, on the other hand, the environmental factors have the slights impacts compared with other factors.

Pattern of unnatural deaths among children: An autopsy study

2016 ◽  
Vol 85 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Athani ◽  
Basappa S Hugar ◽  
S Harish ◽  
YP Girishchandra
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Sexually Abused ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Academic Failure ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
Sex Distribution ◽  
Autopsy Study ◽  
Manner Of Death ◽  
Medical College

This study was conducted at the M. S. Ramaiah Medical College, Bangalore, between October 2007 and September 2009 to analyse the age and sex distribution of unnatural deaths in children, patterns and manner of death. Detailed information regarding the circumstances of death was sought from the relatives, friends and police. The scene of occurrence was visited, and photographs of the scene of occurrence were examined in relevant cases. Unnatural deaths in children constituted 6.62% of the total autopsies conducted. The majority of childhood deaths were in the age group of 15–18 years of both sexes constituting 46.88%. Males constituted 55.22% of cases. Suicide accounted for 40.63% of the cases. Most children committed suicide by hanging (82.05%). The main reason was academic failure and some of the cases were accidental (48.96%). Road traffic accidents accounted for 26.04% of the cases, where most children were pedestrians (56%). Drowning accounted for 15.63% of the cases. Most of the children drowned while playing near ponds (83.33%). Homicide accounted for 9.36% of the cases – either killed by their mother as part of a pedicide–suicide event or by the father, and in two cases the children were sexually abused before being killed.

scholarly journals Analysis of Limb Injury Patterns in Victims of Two Wheeler Accidents

2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-15
Author(s):  
Anish Sam George ◽  
Murali Poduval
Keyword(s):  
Upper Limb ◽  
Lower Limb ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
Lower Limb Injuries ◽  
The Road ◽  
Limb Injury ◽  
Limb Injuries ◽  
Two Wheeler

Objectives: A retrospective study was carried out to analyse the two wheeler accidents that presented over a one year period to a single institution and to study the pattern of limb injuries according to zones assigned to the limb. The mode of injury in the two wheeler accidents and the differences in limb injuries between the driver and the pillion riding passenger were also studied.Methods: All the road traffic accidents that could be attributed to two wheelers were obtained with the help of trauma records and the nominal registers and ward records. Limb injuries were then assigned to various anatomical zones that were created for the purpose of the study. The upper limb and lower limb injuries were separately analysed for differences between the driver and the pillion rider.Results: There were 242 two wheeler accidents seen between 1st jan 2008 to 31st dec 2008, of these 110 had limb injuries. 96 cases were eventually included and of these 67 were drivers. The most common mode of injury was a skid and fall of the vehicle ( 42%). Pillion riders were injured more often in collisions between two and four wheelers. The commonest injury in drivers was in wrist and hand regions of the upper limb and the tibia and ankle regions of the lower limb. In the pillion rider, lower limb injuries were commonest in the tibia and ankle whereas in the upper limb shoulder and wrist injuries predominated.Conclusion: Two wheeler accidents cause significant morbidity in both the driver and pillion rider, the tibia and ankle are commonly injured in both the populations whereas minor differences in upper limb injury are seen between the two groups.Keywords: Road traffic accidents; epidemiology; pattern of injuries.DOI: 10.3126/ajms.v1i1.2794Asian Journal of Medical Sciences Vol.1(1) 2010 p.14-15

scholarly journals A study to assess the knowledge and practice of road safety measures among undergraduate medical students of M. R. Medical College, Kalaburagi

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 1596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lakshmi R. Kalbandkeri ◽  
Boramma G. ◽  
Shreeshail Ghooli
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
World Health ◽  
Road Traffic Accidents ◽  
Undergraduate Medical Students ◽  
Safety Measures ◽  
The Road ◽  
Medical College ◽  
Knowledge And Practice

Background: Road traffic injuries claim more than 1.25 million lives each year and have a huge impact on health and development. They are the leading cause of death among young people aged between 15 and 29 years globally. In the South East Asian region of the World Health Organization, India alone accounted for 73 percent of these Road traffic accidents (RTA) burden. The importance of road safety measures needs to be emphasized in the prevention of the road traffic accidents. The objectives of the study were to assess the knowledge and practice of road safety measures among undergraduate medical students.Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted among 310 medical undergraduates of M.R. Medical College from 1st September to 1st October 2016. Data was collected using pre-tested, semi-structured, self-administered questionnaire. The data collected was analyzed using SPSS version 16. Statistical analysis was done using relevant statistical tests.Results: Out of the 310 students 54.19% were males and 45.81% were females. 90.9% of the participants had driving licence, 32.1% of the students had taken training for driving the car and 66% of the students did not wear helmet. Female students had high knowledge of the road safety measures when compared to male students.Conclusions: The overall knowledge of road safety measures was high among the study participants. Regarding practice behaviours they were not desirable like practice of wearing helmet and exceeding speed limit. Undertaking proper road safety measures are the best available interventions to curb the epidemic of RTA.

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