scholarly journals MODELLING THE CONDITIONAL CO-MOVEMENTS OF PAKISTAN AND INTERNATIONAL STOCK MARKETS

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-307
Author(s):  
Ali Akbar Pirzado ◽  
Naeem Ahmed Qureshi ◽  
Imran Khan Jaoti ◽  
Komal Arain ◽  
Riaz Ali Buriro
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Forecast Evaluation ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
International Stock Markets ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
The Government ◽  
New Policies

Purpose of the study: This study assesses and evaluates the conditional co-movements and dynamic conditional correlation of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) with other Stock Market. Methodology: DCC-GARCH model has been applied due to its feasibility to model the covariance as a function of correlation and variance together. Main findings: The findings of the research suggest that the Pakistani Stock Exchange (PSX) is highly volatile compared to two other selected stock markets. In-sample fitting, the study has selected the DCC-GARCH (1, 1) model based on information criterion, conversely, the criterion used for out-of-sample forecast evaluation such as MSFE, RMSFE, MAPE, selected the DCC (2,1)-GARCH (1,1). Application of the study: This study is very useful for the Pakistan stock market and other international selected stocks markets until and unless the government of Pakistan and other governments will devise new policies which may open new opportunities to investors. Novelty/ Originality of the study: This study has a great potential in the Pakistani stock market to offer investors to several foreign and domestic investors, allowing them to hold Pakistan as well as foreign and local stocks all major benefits.

ARE STOCK MARKETS AND CRYPTOCURRENCIES CONNECTED?

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD UMAR ◽  
NGO THAI HUNG ◽  
SHIHUA CHEN ◽  
AMJAD IQBAL ◽  
KHALIL JEBRAN
Keyword(s):  
Operating System ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Wavelet Coherence ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Dynamic Conditional Correlation ◽  
Nasdaq Composite Index

This study explores the connectedness between cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Bitcoin cash and Ethereum Operating System) and major stock markets (NYSE composite index, NASDAQ composite index, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Nikkei 225 and Euronext NV). Using the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC) and wavelet coherence approaches, we document a significant time-varying conditional correlation between the majority of the cryptocurrencies and stock market indices and that the negative shocks play a more prominent role than the positive shocks of the same magnitude. Overall, our findings explore potential avenues for diversification for investors across cryptocurrencies and major stock markets.

Pemodelan Data Time Series Garch(1,1) Untuk Pasar Saham Indonesia

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Elfa Rafulta ◽  
Roni Tri Putra
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
International Stock Markets

This paper introduced a method pengklusteran for financial data. By using the model Heteroskidastity Generalized autoregressive conditional (GARCH), will be estimated distance between the stock market using GARCH-based distance. The purpose of this method is mengkluster international stock markets with different amounts of data.

Momentum Effect in Stock Market: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahid Rasheed ◽  
Umar Saood ◽  
Waqar Alam
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Using Data

This study aims to examine the momentum effect presence in selected stocks of Pakistan stock market using data from Jan 2007 to Dec 2016. This study constructed the strategies includes docile, equal weighted and full rebalancing techniques. Data was extracted from the PSX – 100 index ranging from 2007 to 2016. STATA coding ASM software was used for calculating momentum portfolios, finally top 25 stocks were considered as a winner stocks and bottom 25 stocks were taken as a loser stocks. In conclusion, the results of the study found a strong momentum effect in Pakistan stock exchange PSX 100- index. As by results it has been observed that a substantial profit can earn by the investors or brokers in constructing a portfolio with a short formation period of three months and hold for 3, 6 and 12 months. There is hardly a study is present on the same topic on Pakistan Stock Exchange as preceding studies were only conducted on individual stock markets before merger of stock markets in Pakistan while this study leads the explanation of momentum phenomenon in new dimension i.e. Pakistan Stock Exchange. Keywords: Momentum, Portfolio, Winner Stocks, Loser Stocks

scholarly journals Could Mergers Become More Sustainable? A Study of the Stock Exchange Mergers of NASDAQ and OMX

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 8581
Author(s):  
Wenjing Xie ◽  
João Paulo Vieito ◽  
Ephraim Clark ◽  
Wing-Keung Wong
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
International Treaties ◽  
National Policies ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Investors

This study investigates whether the merger of NASDAQ and OMX could reduce the portfolio diversification possibilities for stock market investors and whether it is necessary to implement national policies and international treaties for the sustainable development of financial markets. Our study is very important because some players in the stock markets have not yet realized that stock exchanges, during the last decades, have moved from government-owned or mutually-owned organizations to private companies, and, with several mergers having occurred, the market is tending gradually to behave like a monopoly. From our analysis, we conclude that increased volatility and reduced diversification opportunities are the results of an increase in the long-run comovement between each pair of indices in Nordic and Baltic stock markets (Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania) and NASDAQ after the merger. We also find that the merger tends to improve the error-correction mechanism for NASDAQ so that it Granger-causes OMX, but OMX loses predictive power on NASDAQ after the merger. We conclude that the merger of NASDAQ and OMX reduces the diversification possibilities for stock market investors and our findings provide evidence to support the argument that it is important to implement national policies and international treaties for the sustainable development of financial markets.

scholarly journals Interdependence and Risk Comparison of Slovak, Hungarian and Polish Stock Markets: Policy and Managerial Implications

2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
pp. 273-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florin Aliu ◽  
Besnik Krasniqi ◽  
Adriana Knapkova ◽  
Fisnik Aliu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Average Return ◽  
Monetary System ◽  
Managerial Implications

Risk captured through the volatility of stock markets stands as the essential concern for financial investors. The financial crisis of 2008 demonstrated that stock markets are highly integrated. Slovakia, Hungary and Poland went through identical centralist economic arrangement, but nowadays operate under diverse stock markets, monetary system and tax structure. The study aims to measure the risk level of the Slovak Stock Market (SAX index), Budapest Stock Exchange (BUX index) and Poland Stock Market (WIG20 index) based on the portfolio diversification model. Results of the study provide information on the diversification benefits generated when SAX, BUX and WIG20 join their stock markets. The study considers that each stock index represents an independent portfolio. Portfolios are built to stand on the available companies that are listed on each stock index from 2007 till 2017. The results of the study show that BUX generates the lowest risk and highest weighted average return. In contrast, SAX is the riskiest portfolio but generates the lowest weighted average return. The results find that the stock prices of BUX have larger positive correlation than the stock prices of SAX. Moreover, the highest diversification benefits are realized when Portfolio SAX joins Portfolio BUX and the lowest diversification benefits are achieved when SAX joins WIG20.

DCC Analysis of the Two Stock Market Returns by a Threshold Model: Empirical Study of the Stock Markets in Japan and Canada

2012 ◽  
Vol 468-471 ◽  
pp. 181-185
Author(s):  
Wann Jyi Horng ◽  
Tien Chung Hu ◽  
Ming Chi Huang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Empirical Result ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Threshold Model ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Asymmetrical Effect ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

The empirical results show that the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) and the bivariate asymmetric-IGARCH (1, 2) model is appropriate in evaluating the relationship of the Japan’s and the Canada’s stock markets. The empirical result also indicates that the Japan and the Canada’s stock markets is a positive relation. The average estimation value of correlation coefficient equals to 0.2514, which implies that the two stock markets is synchronized influence. Besides, the empirical result also shows that the Japan’s and the Canada’s stock markets have an asymmetrical effect, and the variation risks of the Japan’s and the Canada’s stock market returns also receives the influence of the good and bad news, respectively.

Iran’s ebullient stock market is heading for a crash

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Social Consequences ◽  
Stock Market Crash ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Online Trading ◽  
The Government ◽  
Media Channels

Significance This was despite a sharp economic contraction, high inflation and currency devaluation. The government has played a significant role in promoting equities growth, with state or quasi-state organisations dominating the market. Impacts A stock market crash would have devastating economic and social consequences. With many reluctant to leave their houses because of COVID-19, the growth in online trading technology will accelerate. There will be a boom in firms providing stock market advice through social media channels for a small one-off or monthly fee. Diversion of funds from the forex market to the stock exchange will temporarily help ward off a new currency crisis. With richer Iranians seeking to transfer additional assets abroad, there could be a new boost for the Turkish real estate market.

scholarly journals Diffusion Entropy Analysis: Stability of Indian Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 9358-9362
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Significant Drop ◽  
Bear Market ◽  
Diffusion Entropy ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Indian Stock Market

The large amount of available data of stock markets becomes very beneficial when it is transformed to valuable information. The analysis of this huge data is essential to extract out the useful information. In the present work, we employ the method of diffusion entropy to study time series of different indexes of Indian stock market. We analyze the stability of Nifty50 index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) India and SENSEX index of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), India in the vicinity of global financial crisis of 2008. We also apply the technique of diffusion entropy to analyze the stability of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index of USA. We compare the results of Indian Stock market with the USA stock market (DJIA index). We conduct an empirical analysis of the stability of Nifty50, Sensex and DJIA indexes. We find significant drop in the value of diffusion entropy of Nifty50, Sensex and DJIA during the period of crisis. Both Indian and USA stock markets show bull market effects in the pre-crisis and post-crisis periods and bear market effect during the period of crisis. Our findings reveal that diffusion entropy technique can replicate the price fluctuations as well as critical events of the stock market.

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