scholarly journals Interdependence and Risk Comparison of Slovak, Hungarian and Polish Stock Markets: Policy and Managerial Implications

2019 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
pp. 273-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florin Aliu ◽  
Besnik Krasniqi ◽  
Adriana Knapkova ◽  
Fisnik Aliu

Risk captured through the volatility of stock markets stands as the essential concern for financial investors. The financial crisis of 2008 demonstrated that stock markets are highly integrated. Slovakia, Hungary and Poland went through identical centralist economic arrangement, but nowadays operate under diverse stock markets, monetary system and tax structure. The study aims to measure the risk level of the Slovak Stock Market (SAX index), Budapest Stock Exchange (BUX index) and Poland Stock Market (WIG20 index) based on the portfolio diversification model. Results of the study provide information on the diversification benefits generated when SAX, BUX and WIG20 join their stock markets. The study considers that each stock index represents an independent portfolio. Portfolios are built to stand on the available companies that are listed on each stock index from 2007 till 2017. The results of the study show that BUX generates the lowest risk and highest weighted average return. In contrast, SAX is the riskiest portfolio but generates the lowest weighted average return. The results find that the stock prices of BUX have larger positive correlation than the stock prices of SAX. Moreover, the highest diversification benefits are realized when Portfolio SAX joins Portfolio BUX and the lowest diversification benefits are achieved when SAX joins WIG20.

Author(s):  
İrfan Ersin

This chapter examines the relationship between stock market value of domestic firms traded in stock markets in OECD countries and stock index for 1990-2018 period. As a result of Pedroni Panel Cointegration and Dumitrescu-Hurlin Panel Causality Analysis, there is a relationship between the market values of domestic firms traded on the stock exchange and the stock index. In addition, a two-way causality relationship was found. This situation indicates that this relationship is very powerful. It can be understood that adding domestic companies to the stock market has a significant effect on the stock prices and this will attract foreign investors to enter the market.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 83-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Surya Bahadur G. C ◽  
Ranjana Kothari ◽  
Rajesh Kumar Thagurathi

The study aims to empirically examine the transmission of volatility from global stock markets to Indian stock market. The study is based on time series data comprising of daily closing stock market indices from National Stock Exchange (NSE), India and major foreign stock exchange of the three countries one each from America, Europe and Asia making the highest portfolio investment in Indian stock market. The study period covers 11 years from 1st January, 2005 to 31st December, 2015 comprising a total of 2731 observations. The Indian stock index used is CNX Nifty 50 and the foreign indices are S & P 500 from USA, FTSE 100 from UK, and Nikkei 225 from Japan. The results reveal that the Indian stock market return is co-integrated with market returns of US, UK and Japanese stock markets. Therefore, the return and hence volatility of Indian stock market is associated with global markets which depicts that it is getting integrated with global financial markets. The results provide empirical evidence for volatility transmission or volatility spillover in the Indian stock market from global markets. There exists inbound volatility transmission from US market to Indian stock market. The Indian and UK stock market have bi-directional volatility transmission. However, there exists presence of only outbound volatility transmission from Indian stock market to Japanese stock market. The volatility transmission from global markets to India is rapid with the spillover effect existing for up to three days only.Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Vol. 5 (December 2016), page: 83-101


It has observed from many stock markets around the world that index value used to vary due to fluctuation in stock prices. One of the most important factors of variation in the stock prices is the day of the week effect, which indicates calendar irregularities in stock markets. Investment in the stock market is the most uncertain; therefore investors get worried regarding the appropriate day to trade in the financial market. The main objective of the present study is to find out the appropriate day of the week effect of developing the stock market of an emergent nation like India from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2018. For fulfilling the objectives of the study, the daily closing value of four major indices of the Bombay Stock Exchange has been taken into consideration. To test the equality between average returns to different days and to examine the distribution pattern of daily returns series that measure the day of the week analysis, the parametric tools alike Mean and Standard deviation have employed. Apart from the parametric test, t-test has also applied to the daily returns in order to test the hypothesis. In this study, descriptive statistics and the GARCH model has also used with the purpose of measuring the day of the week effect analysis. Conferring to the results, the coefficients express that the return among different days of the week are statistically significant


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 41-51
Author(s):  
Florin Aliu ◽  
Artor Nuhiu ◽  
Besnik Krasniqi ◽  
Fisnik Aliu

Portfolio optimization is the main concern for portfolio managers. Financial securities are placed within the portfolio based on the investor’s risk tolerance. The study measures the risk-reward relationship when the number of stocks in the portfolio increases. Six diverse portfolios have been created with a different number of stocks, such as portfolios with 47 stocks, 95 stocks, 142 stocks, 190 stocks, 239 stocks, and 287 stocks. Stock prices and trading volume were collected on a weekly basis from the six largest European stock exchanges (FTSE100, CAC40, FTSE MIB, IBEX35, DAX, and MDAX). Markowitz’s (1952) diversification formula has been used to measure the risk level of the individual portfolios. The results of the study show that the diversification risk constantly decreases when we move from the portfolios with 47 stocks to the portfolios with 287 stocks. The weighted average returns increase on the portfolios with a higher number of stocks, which is contrary to the standard portfolio theories. The results of the study indicate managerial implications for financial investors that are focused exclusively on the largest European stock exchanges.


2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 85-104
Author(s):  
Florin Aliu ◽  
Fisnik Aliu ◽  
Artor Nuhiu ◽  
Naim Preniqi

The study addresses the benefits of a unified stock market in terms of diversification risk for the eight CEE stock markets. For this purpose, each stock market was treated as a separate portfolio based on the companies listed during 2018–2019. Portfolio diversification techniques were used to identify risk linked with the eight Central Eastern European stock markets. The results show that the stock market with the lowest diversification risk was the Bulgarian Stock Exchange, followed by the Prague Stock Exchange, the Ljubljana Stock Exchange, and at the end stands the Zagreb Stock Exchange. The portfolio constructed from the Zagreb Stock Exchange carries the highest portfolio risk, but it also offers the highest weekly weighted average returns. Stock markets that benefit in terms of portfolio risk from unification are the Bratislava Stock Exchange, the Budapest Stock Exchange, the Bucharest Stock Exchange, the Warsaw Stock Exchange, and the Zagreb Stock Exchange. The indexes where the portfolio risk increases at the time of unification are the Bulgarian Stock Exchange, the Ljubljana Stock Exchange, and the Prague Stock Exchange. From a managerial perspective, financial investors get a novel outlook on the diversification possibilities offered within a hypothetical unified CEE stock market.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 18-24
Author(s):  
Anjum Shezad ◽  
Farzand Ali Jan ◽  
Saqib Gulzar ◽  
M. Akram Ansari

Pakistani Equity Market has seen many ups and downs since the last two decades. The local investors are feeling themselves much insecure in indigenous investment. The reasons behind are political instability, severe power crises and terrorism which compelled the local investors to go across boarder and need to explore the multiple option of investment in international securities to minimize the investment risk. The main purpose and scope of this study is to explore causal and dynamic linkages of Karachi Stock Exchange, KSE-100 index (Pakistan) with emerging stock markets of Nikkei-225 (Japan), Shanghai Stock Exchange, SSE (China), Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, KLSE (Malaysia) and Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation, TSEC Taiwan. The most recent data is taken from January, 2001 to December, 2013. Monthly stock index observations are taken. Descriptive statistics, Correlation Analysis, Unit Root Test, VAR, Co-integration Test, VECM Test are used to identify the presence of short-term as well as long-term associations. Empirical results indicate that KSE-100 is a volatile market and have suitable level of returns. Moreover, KSE-100 index has not long-term relationship with Japan, Malaysia, Taiwan and China but Taiwan, China and Japan has short run relationships to KSE. The findings conclude that there is a further need of future study to explore the factors of economic integration amongst these equity markets. The study overall exhibits awareness not only for economic and financial decision makers but also for international as well as regional investors about the benefit opportunities of portfolio diversification in these equity markets, funds management and trends of the stock market.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Farhan Ahmed ◽  
Salman Bahoo ◽  
Sohail Aslam ◽  
Muhammad Asif Qureshi

This paper aims to analyze the efficient stock market hypothesis as responsive to American Presidential Election, 2016. The meta-analysis has been done combining content analysis and event study methodology. The all major newspapers, news channels, public polls, literature and five important indices as Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), NASDAQ Stock Market Composit Indexe (NASDAQ-COMP), Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX-500), New York Stock Exchange Composite Index (NYSE-COMP) and Other U.S Indexes-Russell 2000 (RUT-2000) are critically examined and empirically analyzed. The findings from content analysis reflect that stunned winning of Mr Trump from Republican Party worked as shock for American stock market. From event study, findings confirmed that all the major indices reflected a decline on winning of Trump and losing of Ms. Clinton from Democratic. The results are supported empirically and practically through the political event like BREXIT that resulted in shock to Global stock index and loss of $2 Trillion.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahid Rasheed ◽  
Umar Saood ◽  
Waqar Alam

This study aims to examine the momentum effect presence in selected stocks of Pakistan stock market using data from Jan 2007 to Dec 2016. This study constructed the strategies includes docile, equal weighted and full rebalancing techniques. Data was extracted from the PSX – 100 index ranging from 2007 to 2016. STATA coding ASM software was used for calculating momentum portfolios, finally top 25 stocks were considered as a winner stocks and bottom 25 stocks were taken as a loser stocks. In conclusion, the results of the study found a strong momentum effect in Pakistan stock exchange PSX 100- index. As by results it has been observed that a substantial profit can earn by the investors or brokers in constructing a portfolio with a short formation period of three months and hold for 3, 6 and 12 months. There is hardly a study is present on the same topic on Pakistan Stock Exchange as preceding studies were only conducted on individual stock markets before merger of stock markets in Pakistan while this study leads the explanation of momentum phenomenon in new dimension i.e. Pakistan Stock Exchange. Keywords: Momentum, Portfolio, Winner Stocks, Loser Stocks


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.


IQTISHODUNA ◽  
2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sri Yati

This study aims to analyze rate of return and risk as the tools to form the portfolio analysis on 15 the most actives stocks listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange. Descriptive analytical method is used to describe the correlation between three variables: stock returns, expected returns of stock market, and beta in order to measure the risk of stocks to help the investors in making the investment decisions. The research materials are 15 the most actives stocks listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange during 2008-2009. The results show that PT. Astra International Tbk. has the highest average expected return of individual stock (Ri) of 308,3355685, while PT. Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk. has the lowest of -477,0827847. The average expected return of stock market (Rm) is 0,00247163. PT. Astra International Tbk. has the highest systematic risk level of 20229,14205, while the lowest of -147,5793279 is PT. Kalbe Farma Tbk. Furthermore, the results also indicate that there are 9 stocks can be combined to form optimal portfolio because they have positive expected returns.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document