scholarly journals Analyzing the Impact of Derivatives on the Emerging Markets Financial Stability

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (28) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lela Scholer-Iordanashvili

In recent decade, volatility of stocks and interest rates, together with the globalization of capital markets, increased the demand on financial instruments with the purpose of distribution of risks. The estimation of the role of financial derivatives instruments is very important for the stability of international financial system. The impact of derivatives upon International Financial Crises is an issue that is still dividing academics and practitioners. This paper focuses on analyzing the roles of derivatives in the financial crises. Within the framework of this research, three (3) emerging countries were studied for 1997-2010 quarterly. OLS regressive equation was used for empirical tests. The model includes the following variables: crisis index (dependent variable) and independent variables which include: the Ratio of the Current Account to GDP, the Ratio of the Domestic Credits on Private Sector to GDP, and the Ratio of the total notional amounts outstanding of the exchange traded derivatives to Foreign Exchange Reserves. Empirical analysis shows that the influence of derivatives over financial stability is not unilateral, and it depends on the characteristics of the financial system of the country. The study conducted on example of emerging markets, particularly Argentina, Russia and Brazil, revealed negative influence of derivatives on the financial system.

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 130-135
Author(s):  
Lela Scholer-Iordanashvili

Globalization offers new challenges to the world economy, which becomes more depended on unprecedented in- crease of financial activity worldwide. Availability of information and development of technologies significantly increased capital flow in the world and role of capital and monetary markets in economy. Second half of 2007 and first half of 2008 faced import- ant events in the world economy. Among them especially no- table are US real estate crisis and global limitation of credits, devaluation of USD and strengthening of inflation processes. These global events have significant influence over financial stability. In the recent decade variability of stocks and interest rates, together with globalization of capital markets, in- creased demand on financial instruments with the purpose of distribution of risks. From this perspective, interest rate derivatives are most frequently marketed among OCT derivatives. Therefore, estimation of the role of financial derivatives instruments is very important in stability of international financial system. Purpose of research is to analyze influence of derivatives over financial crisis. Within frameworks of re- search 5 countries are studied for 1997-2010 quarterly. OLS regressive equation is used in research for empirical tests. Model includes following variables: crisis index (dependent variable), independent variables are: correlation rate of cur- rent account and GDP, correlation rate of domestic credit on private sector with GDP, correlation rate between foreign currency reserves and conditional amounts of market derivatives on the stock exchange. Empirical analysis shows us that influence of derivatives over financial stability is not unilateral and depends on characteristics of financial system of the country. Particularly, in Singapore and USA, where financial system is strong, influence of derivatives is positively reflected on financial stability, and empirical study conduct- ed on example of emerging markets, particularly, Argentina, Russia and Brazil revealed negative influence of derivatives on financial system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 133-136
Author(s):  
R. N. Ibragimov

The article examines the impact of internal and external risks on the stability of the financial system of the Altai Territory. Classification of internal and external risks of decline, affecting the sustainable development of the financial system, is presented. A risk management strategy is proposed that will allow monitoring of risks, thereby these measures will help reduce the loss of financial stability and ensure the long-term development of the economy of the region.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-66
Author(s):  
Eva Lorenčič ◽  
◽  
Mejra Festić ◽  

After the global financial crisis of 2007, macroprudential policy instruments have gained in recognition as a crucial tool for enhancing financial stability. Monetary policy, fiscal policy, and microprudential policy operate with a different toolkit and focus on achieving goals other than the stability of the financial system as a whole. In ligh of this, a fourth policy – namely macroprudential policy – is required to mitigate and prevent shocks that could destabilize the financial system as a whole and compromise financial stability. The aim of this paper is to contrast macroprudential policy with other economic policies and explain why other economic policies are unable to attain financial stability, which in turn justifies the need for a separate macroprudential policy, the ultimate goal whereof is precisely financial stability of the financial system as a whole. Our research results based on the descriptive research method indicate that, in order to prevent future financial crises, it is indispensable to combine both the microprudential and the macroprudential approach to financial stability. This is because the causes of the crises are often such that they cannot be prevented or mitigated by relying only on microprudential or only on macroprudential policy instruments.


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-220
Author(s):  
Bashir T. Mande ◽  
Afees Salisu ◽  
Adeola N. Jimoh ◽  
Fola Dosumu ◽  
Girei H. Adamu

In this paper, we examine the extent to which financial stability matters for income growth in emerging markets. Using dynamic panel estimation techniques, we explore both the stock market and banking sector dimensions of the financial system to show that both stock market volatility and non-performing loans are detrimental to income growth in these markets. We, however, find the magnitude of the impact to be relatively more pronounced when the underlying source of instability in the financial system is stock market volatility. Overall, we find the impact of financial stability on income growth to be more statistically relevant when measured using the individual indicators of financial instability as compared to their composite indicator.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2150009
Author(s):  
JOÃO JUNGO ◽  
MARA MADALENO ◽  
ANABELA BOTELHO

Financial inclusion has allowed financial products with very high-interest rates and complex conditions to become increasingly affordable. Financial inclusion programs, which aim to reach all social strata, strongly expose financial institutions to risk and particularly credit risk. That said, additional interventions such as financial education of those included are needed. We aim to examine the impact of financial literacy and financial inclusion of households on bank performance. Specifically, we want to examine the impact of financial literacy on credit risk, competitiveness among banks and financial stability. The FGLS estimation results suggest that financial literacy and financial inclusion reduce credit risk and enhance the stability of banks, and regarding competitiveness, our results were inconclusive as they show different effects for each competitiveness indicator, although they point to improved competitiveness in some cases. This research allows policymakers to understand that individual financial attitudes can be reflected in the general welfare of financial institutions and encourages the intensification of programs aimed at improving household financial literacy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 133-149
Author(s):  
D. M. Sakharov

This research discusses various issues associated with central bank digital currency that is identified as a new form of money. This paper aims to identify the key prerequisites for the issuance of central bank digital currencies, to discuss the key characteristics of central bank digital currencies and analyze the possible impact of central bank digital currencies on the financial system. The author uses the methods of synthesis, analysis, logical method, comparison, induction, deduction. The research highlights the key principles that should be considered when making decisions on the issuance of central bank digital currency. The paper emphasizes that the issuance of central bank digital currency can be successful if it has competitive advantages over existing forms of fiat money. The research identifies the main characteristics of central bank digital currencies. The paper discusses whether central banks should pay interest on fiat digital currencies. The author notes that the impact of central bank digital currencies on the financial system is expected to vary in different periods of time depending on the phase of the economic cycle and the level of interest rates in the economy. The research shows that central bank digital currency will stimulate the digitalization of the financial system while at the same time it will not create additional risks to financial stability. Introducing central bank digital currency is primarily aimed at promoting the efficient payment system. Further research is needed into mechanisms for the technical implementation of digital currency issuance, taking into account the possible risks associated with introducing fiat digital money.


ETIKONOMI ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Trisiladi Supriyanto

The Rate of Profit Concept and Economic Stability in Islamic BanksThis study aims to find the concept of rate of profit on Islamic banking that can create economic justice. Rate of profit that creates economic justice can be achieved through its role in maintaining the stability of the financial system in which there is an equitable distribution of income and wealth. To determine the role of the rate of profit as the basis of the sharing system implemented in the Islamic financial system, we can see the connection of rate of profit in creating financial stability, especially in the asset-liability management of financial institutions that generate a stable net income or the rate of profit that is not affected by the ups and downs of the market risk factors including indirect effect on interest rates. Futhermore, Islamic financial stability can be seen from the role of the rate of profit on the stability of the Islamic financial assets that are measured from the Islamic financial asset price volatilityDOI: 10.15408/etk.v14i2.2270


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska ◽  
Łukasz Kurowski

Abstract The global financial crisis (GFC) has shown that monetary policy focused on a stable price level may negatively affect the stability of the financial system. Therefore, achieving price and financial stability using interest rates as the main tool is difficult. In this paper, we analyse how often monetary policy strengthened imbalances in the financial system in 20 countries from 1999Q1 to 2020Q2. To this end, we compare monetary policy stance with a novel financial imbalance index (FII). We find that monetary policy is material in aggravating financial imbalances mostly in Eurozone countries. We attribute this finding to the ECB’s “too loose, too long” monetary policy and to difficulties with applying single monetary policies in countries with different economic conditions and in different phases of credit and financial cycles. Our results point to a need for a proactive macroprudential policy in the environment of low interest rates.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Ita Rakhmawati ◽  
Suhadi Suhadi

The crisis in 1997 is the image of the high rise in inflation in Indonesia. The phenomenon of inflation when it reached 82.40% (Anas, 2006). The early mid-1998 also experienced a weakening of the rupiah against the dollar. Condition stable economy is the desire of each country in comparison with the state of the economy has always fluctuated. Economic stability will create an atmosphere conducive economy. stable climatic conditions in the expected level of welfare is the purpose in each country. One of the efforts to maintain economic stability is through monetary policy. For example, with economic growth, maintain price stability (inflation), the achievement of the balance of payments and the reduction of unemployment (Natsir, 2008). The stability of the financial system of a country of which reflected their price stability, in the sense that there are a great price that can be harmful to society, both consumers and manufacturers that will damage the joints of the economy. However, the implementation of the policy, Bank Indonesia as the monetary authority uses monetary variables such as interest rates and the money supply to cope with economic shocks such as inflation. Besides the need for the government’s role in maintaining the rupiah to avoid turmoil in the economy. The importance of inflation control based on the consideration that the high inflation and unstable negative impact on socio-economic conditions of society. Among the high inflation will cause a decline in the real income of the community so that the standard of living of the people down and eventually make everyone, especially the poor get poorer. From one of the effects of inflation are so wide will impact people’s demands to meet the needs of more and more difficult. Their continuousprice increases being offset by rising income of the communities, it can make sure the Indonesian state would worsen. As a result many people’s needs can not be met, so many things that must be met by way of credit. The number of community needs that must be met will cause world of opportunities for banks to offer credit readily available to meet the needs. The third object of research above (inflation, poverty, and credit) does affect the stability of the financial system? In this study using secondary data from the Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI) with time series data from the years 2007-2015. The process of data analysis was performed using OLS regression with Eviews 8.0. Based on research, if only partial test of the poverty variable significantly affect the stability of the financial system amounted to 2,023 with α = 10%. Meanwhile, two other variables (inflation and poverty) is not significant to the stability of the financial systemMeanwhile, two other variables (inflation and poverty) is not significant to the stability of the financial system. While the value of R-Square (0.629900), indicating that the three independent variables / free consisting of inflation, poverty and credit simultaneously have the effect that make the stabilization of the financial system increases or decreases. That is jointly independent variables (inflation, poverty and loans) contributed / effect of 62.9% against the stability of the financial system. The rest is the influence of other factors beyond the three independent variables studied.


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