scholarly journals EU Geography of Non-Performing Loans (NPL)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Avetisyan
Keyword(s):  
Geographical Distribution ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Spatial Organization ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Business Climate ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Past ◽  
Asset Quality

Over the past decade, the credit quality of loan portfolios across most countries in the world remained relatively stable until the financial crises hit the global economy in 2007–2008. In this paper I discuss, the relationship between non-performing loans and economic landscape. Since 2008, nonperforming loans have been an increasingly hot topic in the international scene, due to their important and rising volume and their impact on the economy as a whole, on the banking system and on its credit supply. Since then, average bank asset quality deteriorated sharply due to the global economic recession. Yet the deterioration of loan performance was very uneven across countries. I am interested in explaining these differences in bank asset quality across countries and over time. In this paper, I therefore study the empirical determinants of non-performing loan (NPL) ratios using a data set for EU countries covering the past decade. The paper assumes that the spatial organization of banking systems and the geographical distribution of comercial banks branches, ATMs and GDP growth are major factors influencing the effectiveness in credit system. The aim of this paper is to construct a continuous and quantifiable model, which will demonstrate a role of economic condition, technology, competition, policy, business climate in Financial Stability. Main hypotheses suggests, that GDP growth, interest rate, new business, FDI, ATMs and geographical distribution of branches have an influences on NPL (non-performing loans).

NPLs — The Solution Recipe for Albania

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
Elona Shehu ◽  
Elona Meka
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
System A ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Asset Quality ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

The quality of the loan portfolio in Albanian banking system is facing many obstacles during the last decade. In this paper we look at possible determinants of assets quality. During the recent financial crisis commercial banks were confronted with deteriorating asset quality that threatened not only the banking industry, but also the stability of the entire financial system. This study aims to examine the correlation between non-performing loans and the macroeconomic determinants in Albania during the last decade. NPLs are considered to be of a high importance as they represent the high risk exposure of banking system. A solid bank with healthy assets increases the market efficiency. Our approach is based on a panel data regression analysis technique from 2005-2015. Within this methodology this study finds robust evidence on the existing relationship between lending interest rate, real GDP growth and NPLs. We expect to find a negative relationship between lending interest rate and asset quality. Further we assume an inverse relationship between GDP growth and non-performing loans, suggesting that NPLs decrease if the economy is growing. Furthermore this study proposes a solution platform, which looks deeper into the possibility of creating a secondary active market for troubled loans, restructuring the banking system or implementing the Podgorica model. This research paper opens a new lieu of discussion in terms of academic debates and decision-making policies.

scholarly journals Investigating the Economic and Financial Damage around Currency Peg Failures

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin Ellis ◽  
Emilia Gyoerk
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Banking Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Economic Damage ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
The Past ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate

The choice and structure of a country’s exchange rate regime has wide implications for the effectiveness and flexibility of monetary policy tools, as well as for economic and financial stability. We examine 21 instances where exchange rate pegs have been abandoned in the past, to gauge the potential economic damage associated with pegs failing. The sample includes major exchange rate shifts over the past thirty years, spanning from the Latin America currency crises of the 1990s to the peg abandonment in Egypt in 2016. Given the close interconnection of banks to the sovereign and the real economy, risks often flow through to, and can also be magnified by, the banking system. We therefore examine the interaction of currency peg abandonment with the occurrence of a banking crisis to investigate the different circumstances and impacts of exchange rate pegs failing. We have found that countries that simultaneously suffered a systemic banking crisis during the period of exchange rate regime shift also experienced significantly greater economic and financial damage following the adoption of a freely floating exchange rate. Nevertheless, regardless of whether there was a banking crisis, countries start showing signs of recovery after the same amount of time once the currency floated.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Cost Efficiency in the Banking Sector of Kyrgyzstan

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dastan Aseinov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Efficiency ◽  
Cost Efficiency ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Domestic Banks ◽  
The Impact

Instabilities in the banking sector have had an adverse effect on the economy as a whole, since the largest share in the financial system and financial intermediation in Kyrgyzstan have been captured by banking sector. Economic efficiency in banking can be viewed as a source of financial stability of banking system. Economic efficiency of the banking is more important challenge not only for shareholders and managers of banks, and also for regulation and supervision authorities, and public and potential investors. The aim of this study is to examine factors affecting the banking cost efficiency for Kyrgyz banks. It is also important to choose the appropriate approach in measurement of banking cost efficiency, since there are many different methods. In this study preferred stochastic frontier approach which assumes random error term which captures sampling, measurement and specification errors. We adopted stochastic cost frontier model proposed by Battese ve Coelli (1995) which also allow to examine investigate the impact of variables on efficiency. We used unbalanced panel data set captured 17-23 Kyrgyz commercial banks for period of 2000-2013. Obtained results suggest that capitalization, foreign ownership, credit risk, liquidity risk and currency risk have most influence on cost efficiency scores of banks calculated averagely at level of 0,766. Overall results indicate that domestic banks more cost efficient than domestic private and foreign banks. Average cost efficiency scores of domestic banks, foreign and separately public banks are 0,848; 0,649 and 0,875, respectively.

scholarly journals Financial Sustainability Assessment of the Largest Systemically Important Credit Institutions in the Context of the Global Instability

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Oksana V. Savchina ◽  
Ekaterina A. Sidorina ◽  
Olga V. Savchina ◽  
Petr S. Shcherbachenko
Keyword(s):  
National Economy ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Sustainability Assessment ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Business Strategies ◽  
Financial Sustainability ◽  
Management Efficiency ◽  
Asset Quality

The national banking system is the driver for the national economy that unites various types of credit organizations that operate within a single monetary mechanism. The banking system is a part of the economic “organism”, whose condition determines the stable development of society. The problems that currently exist in the banking sector reflect instability of the entire economic situation in the country. The reasons are a reduction in budget support for organizations and the inability of some of them to adapt to changing external conditions. In crisis conditions, it is of particular interest to assess the financial sustainability of the activity of the largest systemically important banks in the country, which are the “circulatory system” of the national economy. This article assesses the financial stability of PJSC “Sberbank of Russia” based on an analysis of the main groups of its performance indicators for 2007-2019: capital adequacy, asset quality, management efficiency, profitability and liquidity. According to the research results, it is revealed that during the period under review, the activity of Sberbank is stable with respect to such indicators as capital adequacy, profitability, management efficiency and liquidity. Bank activity is unstable relative to asset quality indicators. The high value of the asset quality ratio characterizes the increased degree of riskiness of operations conducted. The ratio of overdue debt is above the norm, which adversely affects the financial stability of the bank. The most important achievement of Sberbank of Russia in 2019 - the launch of a new digital platform of the bank. The use of artificial intelligence technologies has already become an important driver of Sberbank business. Due to the pandemic of COVID-19, the Russian banking sector may face a number of problems. By 2021-2022, the growth is expected only by those banks that will build an effective risk management system and will be able to adapt their business strategies to the new economic realities and tougher requirements of the regulator.

Testing the interrelatedness of banking stability measures

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vighneswara Swamy
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Banking Stability ◽  
Asset Quality

Purpose – This study aims to investigate the inter-relatedness and the dynamics of banking stability measures and offers answers for some of the related issues such as does financial stability require the soundness of banking institutions, the stability of markets, the absence of turbulence and low volatility? and to what extent the soundness of banking sector in the case of emerging economies can help financial system stability. Design/methodology/approach – This study investigates banking stability by structuring a recursive micro panel vector auto regressive (VAR) model and corroborates the significance of the interrelatedness of the bank-specific variables such as liquidity, asset quality, capital adequacy and profitability by employing a robust panel data drawn from 56 leading banks for a period of 12 years. Findings – A significant contribution of this study is in establishing that liquidity in the banking-dominated financial system is reciprocally related with asset quality, capital adequacy, and profitability of the banking system and in effectively forecasting banking stability employing micro panel recursive VAR model. Research limitations/implications – The study could be further broadened by employing a macro and structural VAR modelling to forecast banking stability. Practical implications – This paper is one among the evolving body of literature that underscores the significant relationship between banking system resilience and financial stability in the context of emerging economies dominated with banking systems. Further, the forecast model is able to capture the dynamics of banking stability with greater and appreciable accuracy. Originality/value – The uniqueness of the study is in modelling banking stability measures in the context of banking-dominated emerging economy financial systems by employing micro panel recursive VAR model by deriving data from 58 leading banks for the period of 12 years from 1996 to 2009 and in offering insights in understanding financial stability with comprehensive literature review.

scholarly journals Evaluating the changes in the European Banking Regulation – MiFID and its possible effects on the Global Economy: A Theoretical Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 24-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.T. Islam ◽  
M.Y.H. Khan
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Banking Regulation ◽  
Regulatory Framework ◽  
Financial Investment ◽  
European Banking ◽  
The Impact

Banking regulation plays an important role in the process of ensuring financial stability, the national economy, equitable distribution of wealth and the most efficient use of financial resources. As a key regulatory tool, Banking Regulation monitors and monitors financial transactions to improve their profitability and efficiency. The author points out that the main areas of banking regulation and supervision are to control the processes of formation, operation and liquidation of commercial banks. The article focuses on the fact that the 2008 financial crisis has become a motivating driver for reforms in the banking system of Europe and America. The main purpose of the article is to assess the impact of changes in the European Banking System, in particular in the context of the study of the features of the Financial Markets Directive, on the functioning of the global economy. This paper provides a critical review of the literature from the point of view of analyzing the specificity of MiFID II in the context of its impact on the economic aspects of the country’s development. The implementation of the Directive requires significant financial investment, but these costs will pay off given the fact that MiFID II is well-designed and aimed at providing more secure protection and greater customer base stability. However, the author points out the underdevelopment and inconsistency of the regulatory framework, which is of greater concern than the cost of implementing MiFID II. Thus, the idea of the likelihood of financial and economic problems in the process of influence of banking regulation on the development of the global economy is substantiated. Notwithstanding these shortcomings, the regulatory framework for the formulation and implementation of the Directive is a significant contribution to the regulation of the financial sector. The results of the study represent scientific and practical value for academics, politicians, banking financial management of economic entities, stakeholders to better prepare and evaluate future changes as a result of reforming banking regulation. Keywords: Directives, Economic growth, Financial crisis, MiFID, Regulation.

Wege aus der Covid-19-Krise: Chinesische Banken und die Hoffnung auf globales Wirtschaftswachstum

2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-213
Author(s):  
Victoria Böhnke
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Chinese Banks ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
Chinese Banking

Abstract In crisis times a stable financial system is the basis to stimulate economic growth. In the bank-centered Chinese financial system mainly banks provide additional capital to the economy. According to the International Monetary Fund, the Chinese banking system represents one of the key weak spots of global financial stability. Do Chinese banks mitigate the negative consequences of the Covid-19 crisis or do they increase the risks? Based on the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese banking system, I discuss the relevance of China for global economic growth. In summary, Chinese banks secure China’s short-term growth and lead the global economy back on the growth track. In the long run, the stability of the financial system depends on China’s ability to shape a sustainable financial system based on even more extensive reforms.

Factors of economic development and structural reforms in Russia

2013 ◽  
pp. 56-72
Author(s):  
V. Zuev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Institutional Environment ◽  
International Investment ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Structural Reforms ◽  
Business Climate ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Development Institutions

The article describes issues of structural reforms implementation in Russia directed at forming favorable institutional environment and business climate, as well as macroeconomic financial stability. The author analyzes the derivatives market, compared with the world’s GDP and considers regularities for the global market of mergers and acquisitions as modern crisis indicators in the global economy. The state of the Russian economy, the balance of payments of RF, international investment position and other macroeconomic parameters are analyzed, as well as the influence of cross-border capital flows and the demographic factor on sustainable development of the Russian economy. A model of the system of managing sustainable socio-economic development together with participation of development institutions is presented.

Prospects for the Uk Economy

2009 ◽  
Vol 207 ◽  
pp. 51-70
Author(s):  
Simon Kirby ◽  
Ray Barrell ◽  
Vladimir Pillonca
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Securities Markets ◽  
Access To Credit ◽  
The Past ◽  
Global Banking ◽  
The Us ◽  
Bank Of England ◽  
The Uk

Since our October forecast events have conspired to worsen the outlook for the UK and global economy. Concerns about the solvency of banks across the globe have continued, and in some cases intensified. The inter-linkages of the global economy continue to be highlighted as the list of economies slipping into recession grows, even for those who have not suffered the direct shock of a crisis in their domestic banking system. Indeed what started as a problem in securities markets related to sub-prime lending in the US mortgage market has evolved into the near collapse of the global banking system. The UK has enjoyed the fruits of the rapid growth of financial intermediation over the past decade. However, such gains are being sharply reversed, as discussed on pp. 4–8 of this Review. The problem of access to credit for households and non-financial corporations still persists and, if anything, the situation seems to have deteriorated. As discussed on pp. 71–2 of this Review, Bank of England data suggest that lending by banks to households and businesses contracted in the final quarter of last year, even though £37 billion (2.6 per cent of money GDP) of new capital was injected into two major UK banking groups, effectively nationalising one of them (Royal Bank of Scotland).

scholarly journals Stability Analysis Of Islamic Banking: Indonesia, Malaysia And Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-143
Author(s):  
Luqmanulhakim Luqmanulhakim ◽  
Ronald Rulindo ◽  
Saiful Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
Stability Measurement ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

Following the 2008 financial crisis, the global economy will continue to experience shock in the years to come. Therefore, it is vital to conduct research that can anticipate the impact of fluctuations in financial stability. This research examines the stability of the Islamic banking system in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan, using Z-Score as a proxy variable for stability measurement and Markov Switching VAR for the method. The objectives are to identify which Islamic banking has better resilience in facing crisis and identify the economic variables that have a significant effect on the stability of Islamic banking. The results showed that the stability of Indonesian Islamic banking was more stable compared to Malaysia and Pakistan. The crisis periods determined from the method show that in 2019 all countries studied entered the beginning of the crisis period, which means the world conditions tend to re-enter the crisis, repeating the 2008 financial crisis.

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