scholarly journals Prognosis of Epidemiologic Situation of West Nile Fever in the Territory of the Russian Federation for 2010

Author(s):  
E. V. Putintseva ◽  
V. P. Smelyanskiy ◽  
V. A. Antonov ◽  
A. V. Lipnitskiy ◽  
V. V. Alekseev

Results of retrospective epidemiologic analysis of population morbidity in different regions of the Russian Federation and epidemic situation of West Nile fever in the territory of Russia are presented. Analysis was based on the reports of Rospotrebnadzor Administrations in the subjects of the Russian Federation and general publications of research institutes which carried out investigations of West Nile fever. Epidemic manifestations of this infection are identified in the Astrakhan, Volgograd, Rostov and Ulyanovsk regions. Circulation of West Nile virus is registered in 22 territories of Russia. The average seroprevalence of West Nile virus antibodies in population of different regions varies (1% in the West Siberia, 3% in the Rostov region and 10% in the Astrakhan, Volgograd regions and the Republic of Adygeya). The prognosis of epidemic development in near future demonstrated that spread of West Nile fever to the North territories of Russia would continue. The outbreaks of infection are possible in the territories where epidemic manifestations have not been noticed previously but virus circulation is identified in nature. The necessity of monitoring of West Nile virus in all territories of Russia is proved.

Author(s):  
E. V. Putintseva ◽  
S. K. Udovichenko ◽  
N. V. Boroday ◽  
D. N. Nikitin ◽  
A. А. Baturin ◽  
...  

The paper presents an analysis of West Nile Fever incidence in the Russian Federation in 2020, summarizes the results and identifies problematic issues of the pathogen monitoring. Manifestations of West Nile Fever in 2020 were characterized by a low incidence rate (10 times lower than the average long-term value) with sporadic cases registration in the endemic areas of the Southern (9 cases) and Central (1 case) Federal Districts. A discrepancy between the morbidity structure (distribution by age, sex, social status) and the trends that have developed in Russia in recent years is shown. The analysis of officially recorded cases doesn’t characterize the epidemic process of West Nile fever in Russia during 2020-season as a whole. The generalized results of monitoring of the West Nile virus circulation in environmental objects in 2020 indicate a decrease in the effectiveness of its implementation and a low detectability of pathogen markers. A decrease in the volume of diagnostic studies for the active detection of patients with West Nile fever in the epidemic season (5.7 times lower compared to 2019), as well as serological screening of healthy population samples (1.6 times) has been established. The results of a molecular-genetic study of the pathogen showed that lineage 2 of the pathogen was circulating in the European part of Russia. The circulation of the lineage 4 of the virus in the enzootic cycle in the Republic of Kalmykia was found out. The genome sequences of 11 West Nile virus isolates allocated in 2019 and 2020 were obtained. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that all isolates allocated in the Volgograd Region and isolates from the Rostov and Astrakhan regions belong to the Volgograd clade of the lineage 2 of the West Nile virus. Based on the assessment of abiotic and biotic factors, possible local increases in the incidence of West Nile fever in 2021 in the regions of the Southern and North Caucasian Federal Districts and in the south of Western Siberia have been substantiated.


Author(s):  
O. V. Maletskaya ◽  
D. A. Prislegina ◽  
T. V. Taran ◽  
A. E. Platonov ◽  
V. M. Dubyansky ◽  
...  

Aim. Investigation of modern epizootic and epidemic situation on West Nile fever (WNF) in the south of the European part of the Russian Federation. Materials and methods. Data from statistical documentation (epidemiological survey of the infectious disease focus, annual summary reports over the period of 2009–2018) and epizootic monitoring data presented by the Rospotrebnadzor Administrations and the Centers of Hygiene and Epidemiology in the constituent entities of the Southern and the North Caucasian Federal Districts were used. Descriptive, analytical methods and retrospective epidemiological analysis were applied. Results and discusson. The activity of natural WNF focus in the south of the European part of the Russian Federation was confirmed by the results of the annual epizootiological monitoring and the annual epidemic manifestations of the disease. 74.15 per cent of the cases and all major WNF outbreaks in the country between 2009 and 2018 were noted in the territory of the southern region. Most of the patients (97.8 per cent) are registered in the Volgograd, Astrakhan and Rostov Regions. In other southern entities sporadic incidence (this represents 2.2 per cent of all WNF cases in the south of the Russian Federation) was noted. Less serious clinical forms of the disease without the damage of central nervous system were observed in most of WNF patients. Fatal outcomes were registered in 7 WNF patients (this represents 0.58 per cent of all cases) over the past 10 years. The significant expanding of the West Nile virus geographic area and activation of the natural foci of this infection in the south of the Russian Federation in 2009- 2018 has been established. The epizootic and epidemic WNF center is located in the Volgograd, Astrakhan and Rostov Regions. It was confirmed by persistent epizootic and epidemic instability in this territory. The modern epidemic WNF feature in the south of the European part of the Russian Federation during the 10-year survey period is the relatively low mortality (0.58 per cent).


Author(s):  
E. V. Putintseva ◽  
I. O. Alekseychik ◽  
S. N. Chesnokova ◽  
S. K. Udovichenko ◽  
N. V. Boroday ◽  
...  

The trend towards an increase in the West Nile fever incidence among the population in the Russian Federation, recorded in the season of 2018, continued and led to a significant increase in the incidence in 2019 (the indicator was 2 times higher than the long-term average). The features of manifestations of the epidemiological process of WNF in 2019 were identified: early registration of cases of the disease, activation of natural and natural-anthropourgic foci in the Southern Federal District (90 % of the total incidence in the Russian Federation), an increase in the share of neuro-invasive forms, dominance of patients aged 50 and older in the structure of the incidence, late epidemic season ending. It was established that in the season of 2019, the lineage 2 of WNV circulated in the European part of Russia. In the Volgograd Region, simultaneous presence of the West Nile virus and Sindbis virus in mosquitoes Culex pipiens and Culex modestus was identified. It was shown that the most significant factors for predicting the epidemiological situation on West Nile fever in the Volgograd Region are the average seasonal summer air temperature and monthly average indicators of relative humidity in the spring and summer periods, and the average monthly air temperatures in the spring and summer in the Rostov Region. In the Astrakhan Region, a significant correlation dependence of the influence of the considered factors on the incidence of the population has not been established. The forecast of the development of epidemic situation in 2020 does not exclude a possible increase in the incidence in the territories of the European part of Russia, endemic for West Nile fever, and the occurrence of local outbreaks in individual constituent entities, if the complex of climatic conditions and social factors favorable for West Nile virus coincide.


Author(s):  
V. A. Antonov ◽  
V. Yu. Smolensky ◽  
E. V. Putintseva ◽  
A. V. Lipnitsky ◽  
V. P. Smelyansky ◽  
...  

Presented is characteristic of West Nile Fever (WNF) epidemiologic situation in the Russian Federation in 2011. Expansion of the territories involved in the epidemic process and formation of the new WNF foci are observed. Data on WNF morbidity in June-October 2011 in ten regions of Russia are presented. Described are clinical and epidemiologic peculiarities of WNF morbidity in 2011. WNF agent markers are detected in the territory of 38 regions of Russia, suggesting its circulation on the vast areas of the country. Prognosis on WNF epidemic situation in the Russian Federation is considered to be dependent on many factors, climate warming being the most global one. Natural foci emergence and WNF cases registration are expected in the near future in the central regions of European part of Russia and forest-steppe area of Southern Siberia. WNF diagnostics improvement is thought to confer for better registration of the cases and detection of further enlargement of endemic territories.


Author(s):  
A. A. Baturin ◽  
V. A. Antonov ◽  
V. P. Smelyansky ◽  
K. V. Zhukov ◽  
V. F. Chernobay ◽  
...  

Submitted are the materials on epizootiology of West Nile Fever in birds, taking into account their migration. Described are the characteristics of WNF in wild and synanthropic birds. Ecological relationships between birds, mosquitoes, ticks and West Nile virus are analyzed. Main autumn bird migratory directions are characterized and the data on WNF monitoring in birds in different geographical regions of Russia are presented.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-39
Author(s):  
Vitaly N. Naydenko

The article examines the problems of open and latent ethnonational tension in Russian society, which in the conditions of aggravation of the social situation, may lead to the use of spontaneous methods of solving ethnonational conflicts, including those of a violent nature. A survey of 20 experts, who are qualified specialists in the sphere of ethno-extremism counteraction and ethno-national conflict localization, conducted by the author of the article, has shown that the majority of them have assessed both the current and forecasted situation in the sphere of ethnonational relations as “tense” for the next five to seven years. In their opinion, “ethnonational tension” is conditioned by a number of long-term factors that will influence the content and dynamics of ethnonational conflict in the Russian Federation: the desire of the USA for global dominance and the confrontational policy of NATO member states towards Russia; the antiRussian policy of the Ukrainian leadership, which is attempting to accuse Russia of “unleashing and waging a hybrid war against Ukraine” and actively pushing Western countries to strengthen confrontation with the Russian Federation; attempts by some states to bring territorial claims against Russia; intensification of the fight against embezzlement of budgetary funds, systemic corruption and ethno-extremist manifestations in the North Caucasus region; the ethnopolitical situation in the Republic of Crimea, characterized by manifestations of Ukrainian nationalism and militant Islamism. According to expert estimates, the highest degree of ethnonational tension is currently maintained in the Republic of Dagestan, the Republic of Ingushetia, the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic, the Karachayevo-Circassian Republic, the Republic of Crimea, the Republic of Bashkortostan and the Republic of Tatarstan. The results of research in the article testify to the necessity of constant study of the problem of ethnonational conflicts, research into the factors influencing the maintenance and dynamics of conflict potential, definition of Russian regions with an increased level of tension, development of recommendations to authorities on prevention and localization of ethnonational conflicts.


Author(s):  
I. O. Alekseychik ◽  
E. V. Putintseva ◽  
V. P. Smelyansky ◽  
N. V. Boroday ◽  
A. K. Alieva ◽  
...  

The epidemic rise in the incidence of West Nile fever (WNF) in the season of 2018 was observed in the countries of the European Union (EU) and bordering states and exceeded the values of all previously recorded epidemic rises of 2010–2012. An increase in the incidence rate was registered in the USA and Canada, however, it did not exceed the indicators of epidemic rises of 2007–2012. In the territory of the Russian Federation, the WNF epidemiological process became more intense mainly in the territory of the Southern and North Caucasian Federal Districts. In general, in Russia, the incidence rates were 2 times lower than the average annual rates, but significantly exceeded those of 2017. The epidemic process had a number of peculiarities in the seasonality, the structure of morbidity and the clinical manifestation of WNF. Genotyping of the isolated WNV RNA fragments from clinical and biological material showed that I, II and IV West Nile virus genotypes were circulating in the European part of Russia. Forecast of epidemic situation development in 2019 reveals further increase in the incidence and does not exclude the possibility of a significant localincrease of WNF incidence in certain regions of Russia. 


2014 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 58-61
Author(s):  
A. M Butenko

In the article there is presented a brief overview concerning proceedings of RAMS Problem Commission "Arboviruses and other zoonoses viruses" on the theme: "Actual issues of studying of West Nile fever, dengue fever and other tropical imported arboviral infections in the Russian Federation", which was held in Federal State Budgetary Institution "D. I. Ivanovsky Institute of Virology (Russian Federation, Moscow) on 16th of March, 2014.


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