scholarly journals ROLE OF ICT AS A CONTINGENCY FACTOR IN FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT, REMITTANCES, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH NEXUS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 365-388
Author(s):  
Keshmeer Kanewar Makun ◽  
T.K. Jayaraman

This study examines the role of ICT as a factor in Indonesia’s financial sector development, remittances, and economic growth nexus using annual data from 1984-2017. We use the bounds testing procedure based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag framework and the neoclassical growth model. The findings of the study reveal that ICT has indeed emerged as a significant factor in the remittance-growth nexus by playing a complementary role in financial sector development. The policy implication is that ICT needs to be supported at all levels and the financial inclusion process should be carried forward as it has all the potential to speed up economic growth and development.

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (54) ◽  
pp. 205-217
Author(s):  
Mnaku Honest Maganya

AbstractTanzania, like most other developing countries, faces numerous economic challenges in striving to achieve sustainable economic growth and development through taxation. In the literature, the debate on how effective taxes are as a tool for promoting economic growth and economic development remains inconclusive, as various research have reported mixed effects of tax on economic growth. This article investigates the effect of taxation on economic growth in Tanzania using the recently developed technique of autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) bounds testing procedure for the period from 1996 to 2019. Various preliminary tests were conducted including stationary tests as well as the pair-wise Granger causality test. According to the results obtained, domestic goods and services (TGS) taxes are positively related to GDP growth and are statistically significant at 1% level. Income taxes, on the other hand, were found to be negatively related to GDP growth and to be statistically significant at 5% level. The pair-wise Granger causality results indicated that there is bidirectional Granger causality between TGS and GDP growth at 1 % significance level. The government should aim at growing, nurturing and sustaining tax base to positively drive economic growth even further.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiru K. Jayaraman ◽  
Lin Sea Lau ◽  
Cheong Fatt Ng

Except for emergencies and for technical assistance for raising skills and institution building, foreign aid to Pacific island countries (PICs) for budgetary support has been phased out since the late 1990s. Because of the small sized domestic markets, foreign direct investment (FDI) is small and is confined to development of tourism infrastructure. On the other hand, inward remittances received from the rising number of islanders migrating overseas for work are increasing, far exceeding aid and FDI. However, influence of remittances on economic growth depends on financial sector development (FSD) for mobilizing the savings from the remittance receipts for domestic investment. This paper assesses the role of FSD in the nexus between remittances and economic growth through a panel study of five major PICs, namely Fiji, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga and Vanuatu.  The study findings show that the ongoing efforts for strengthening FSD have to be stepped up by focusing on financial inclusion through spread of branchless banking and promotion of  information and communication technology.


This book started with a brief review of different outlooks on the role of financial sector development in the process of economic growth. Then it highlighted the fact that recent studies, particularly those originating from modern growth theory, suggest that financial intermediation affects growth through various channels. To test this proposition, an empirical model was built, data were obtained, empirical tests were carried out, and results were discussed. The final chapter in this book, therefore, summarises key research findings and discusses the potential channels through which financial sector development affects the economic growth process. The chapter further highlights contributions of this research to growth studies, discusses policy implications arising from the findings of this research, and provides directions for future research and analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 306-326
Author(s):  
T. K. Jayaraman ◽  
Keshmeer Makun

Financial sector development (FSD) has been recognised as a supportive factor, acting as a shift variable in the growth function, besides the fundamental variables of capital stock and labour. Since the beginning of the new millennium, rapid strides in the spread of information and communication technology (ICT) have enabled the hitherto reluctant, urban-based banking institutions to reach the rural masses for mobilising savings. Digitisation through various innovations has made it possible that ‘brick and mortar less’ bank branches now increasingly provide financial services to rural India. This study examines the role of digitisation as a contingent factor in India’s FSD and growth nexus during the last 13 years (2003–2015). The findings of the empirical study through employment of ARDL methodology and application of bounds testing procedure by utilising 52 quarterly observations of the data series of relevant variables reveal that digitisation has indeed emerged a significant factor in the FSD and growth nexus, by playing a complementary role to FSD. There are two policy implications: (a) as ICT has emerged a major tool, it has to be supported at all levels, and (b) the financial inclusion process should be carried forward as it has all the potential to speed up economic growth and development. JEL: G21, O16, O33


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sovia Dewi ◽  
M. Shabri Abd. Majid ◽  
Salina Kassim ◽  

Abstract Although the poverty rate in Indonesia has been declining in the last several years, the rate of poverty decline is slowing down. In order to achieve its poverty reduction target within the stipulated time period, the government has stepped up efforts to enhance the contribution of the financial sector towards poverty reduction. This study aims to empirically explore the interlinkages between financial sector development and poverty reduction in Indonesia. Focusing on annual data covering the period from 1980 to 2015, the study adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration approach to examine the long-run relationship between the variables. The study found that there is a long-run relationship between financial development, economic growth, and poverty reduction in Indonesia. It also documented a unidirectional causality running from the financial sector to poverty reduction and a bidirectional causality between economic growth and poverty reduction. Therefore, policies to ensure the conducive growth of the financial sector would go a long way in promoting the economy, creating employment opportunities, and consequently accelerating poverty eradication


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-112
Author(s):  
Radhia Amairia ◽  
Bouzid Amaira

The achievement of an effective infrastructure, reliable and fair, is essential for economic growth. Indeed, the transport infrastructure is essential to the prosperity of regions. To investigate the relationship between transport infrastructure and economic growth, we use the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL), we find that transport infrastructure is cointegrated with economic performance, indicating the affirmed presence of long-run equilibrium relationships among them. We use annual data for the period from 1980 to 2013. The study found that the transport infrastructure and investment in transport infrastructure in Tunisia have a significant positive contribution to growth, which shows that each impact is strong and statistically significant. The Tunisian experience suggests that it is necessary to design an economic policy that will improve the transport infrastructure and to increase investment made to the sector for sustainable economic growth in Tunisia. It is necessary to improve the existing road and rail networks. JEL Classification: F63, L91, R41


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirajul Haq ◽  

To boost economic growth, SAARC countries resorted to trade liberalization policies since mid-1980s, therefore, now it is high time to evaluate the outcomes of this outward-oriented trade regime. Available literature confined the potential gain with the trading country’s status of the financial sector development. This study therefore empirically investigates the complementarity between domestic financial sector and trade openness for its growth effectiveness in the case of SAARC region. The empirical analysis basis upon the panel of six SAARC countries, using panel co-integration technique for the period 1980-2014. The empirical estimates of FMOLS and DOLS indicate that countries holding relatively developed domestic financial sectors enjoy larger gains from trade openness, which finally translates into economic progress. To be exact, the country’s domestic financial sector plays a complementary role between openness and growth in SAARC countries. Results hence suggest that SAARC countries need to lay higher emphasis on the development of the domestic financial sector.


2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Gómez-Puig ◽  
Simón Sosvilla-Rivero

This paper empirically investigates the short and the long run impact of public debt on economic growth. We use annual data from both the central and the peripheral countries of the euro area (EA) for the 1961–2013 period and estimate a production function augmented with a debt stock term by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Our results suggest different patterns across the EA countries and tend to support the view that public debt always has a negative impact on the long-run performance of EA member states, whilst its short-run effect may be positive depending on the country.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 186-203
Author(s):  
Abi Fadillah

Poverty is still a problem in Indonesia's economy. From the colonial period to 75 years of independence, around 27.55 million people still live below the poverty line. This paper tries to examine the impact of Indonesia's macroeconomic variables as proxied by Economic Growth (GDPG), Inward FDI (FDI), Unemployment (UNM), Inflation (IN), Exports (EXP), Imports (IMP) on Indonesia's absolute poverty (POVY) with using annual data from 1979-2020. This study emphasizes economic growth as the primary variable. At the same time, other independent variables are used as control variables. The method in this study uses Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and applies bounds testing approach to measuring the long-term relationship between the independent and dependent variables. The cointegration limit test shows that there is long-term cointegration between macroeconomic impacts on poverty in Indonesia. The short-term and long-term ARDL models show that all independent variables have a significant relationship with poverty in Indonesia.


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