scholarly journals Distributed Multi-Agent Learning is More Effectively than Single-Agent

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuya Ke ◽  
Wenqi Liu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Single Agent ◽  
Machine Intelligence ◽  
Cooperative Interaction ◽  
New Ideas ◽  
Multi Agent ◽  
Interaction Approach ◽  
Number Of Individuals ◽  
Better Than

Abstract Interpretable distributed group intelligence techniques have emerged as an essential topic in artificial intelligence. The mathematical interpretability of prediction outcomes is critical for improving the reliability of machine learning, especially in random scenes. Although some experimental results published so far show that the prediction of group intelligence is better than individual intelligence, establishing a mathematical foundation for the superiority of distributed group intelligence is still a challenging problem for enhancing the interpretability of learning systems. Through the Radermacher complexity principle, we proved mathematically that the learning quality of group machine intelligence is better than its subset machine intelligence with a high probability, significantly better than any individual among them if the number of individuals in the group is large enough. We proposed a multi-agent distributed learning method for time series forecasting by incorporating multi-agent cooperation in cognitive processes into machine learning. In addition, since the way of cooperative interaction between multi-agent affects the training effect of the model, we provide a generalized interaction approach and prove its convergence. We conduct sufficient experiments on predicting time series for classically chaotic systems, and the results indicate that distributed group intelligence significantly improves the prediction accuracy of individual intelligence. The experiments result shows that the prediction error reduces substantially as the number of agents increases, confirming the theoretical accuracy and the model's validity. This work provides new ideas for theoretically exploring how group intelligence emerges.

scholarly journals Multiparty Dynamics and Failure Modes for Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 21 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Manheim
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Single Agent ◽  
Multi Agent Systems ◽  
Coordination Failures ◽  
Agent Systems ◽  
Important Challenge ◽  
Multi Agent ◽  
Distributional Shifts

An important challenge for safety in machine learning and artificial intelligence systems is a set of related failures involving specification gaming, reward hacking, fragility to distributional shifts, and Goodhart’s or Campbell’s law. This paper presents additional failure modes for interactions within multi-agent systems that are closely related. These multi-agent failure modes are more complex, more problematic, and less well understood than the single-agent case, and are also already occurring, largely unnoticed. After motivating the discussion with examples from poker-playing artificial intelligence (AI), the paper explains why these failure modes are in some senses unavoidable. Following this, the paper categorizes failure modes, provides definitions, and cites examples for each of the modes: accidental steering, coordination failures, adversarial misalignment, input spoofing and filtering, and goal co-option or direct hacking. The paper then discusses how extant literature on multi-agent AI fails to address these failure modes, and identifies work which may be useful for the mitigation of these failure modes.

scholarly journals Forecasting admissions in psychiatric hospitals before and during Covid-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Wolff ◽  
Ansgar Klimke ◽  
Michael Marschollek ◽  
Tim Kacprowski
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Hospital Admissions ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Psychiatric Hospitals ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
One Step ◽  
Machine Learning Models ◽  
Better Than

Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic has strong effects on most health care systems and individual services providers. Forecasting of admissions can help for the efficient organisation of hospital care. We aimed to forecast the number of admissions to psychiatric hospitals before and during the COVID-19 pandemic and we compared the performance of machine learning models and time series models. This would eventually allow to support timely resource allocation for optimal treatment of patients. Methods We used admission data from 9 psychiatric hospitals in Germany between 2017 and 2020. We compared machine learning models with time series models in weekly, monthly and yearly forecasting before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our models were trained and validated with data from the first two years and tested in prospectively sliding time-windows in the last two years. Results A total of 90,686 admissions were analysed. The models explained up to 90% of variance in hospital admissions in 2019 and 75% in 2020 with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. The best models substantially outperformed a one-step seasonal naive forecast (seasonal mean absolute scaled error (sMASE) 2019: 0.59, 2020: 0.76). The best model in 2019 was a machine learning model (elastic net, mean absolute error (MAE): 7.25). The best model in 2020 was a time series model (exponential smoothing state space model with Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors and trend and seasonal components, MAE: 10.44), which adjusted more quickly to the shock effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Models forecasting admissions one week in advance did not perform better than monthly and yearly models in 2019 but they did in 2020. The most important features for the machine learning models were calendrical variables. Conclusion Model performance did not vary much between different modelling approaches before the COVID-19 pandemic and established forecasts were substantially better than one-step seasonal naive forecasts. However, weekly time series models adjusted quicker to the COVID-19 related shock effects. In practice, different forecast horizons could be used simultaneously to allow both early planning and quick adjustments to external effects.

Learning Systems Engineering

2005 ◽  
pp. 1820-1826
Author(s):  
Valentina Plekhanova
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Systems Engineering ◽  
Autonomous Agents ◽  
Single Agent ◽  
Learning System ◽  
Multi Agent Systems ◽  
Agent Systems ◽  
Agent Learning ◽  
Multi Agent ◽  
Conventional Machine

Traditionally multi-agent learning is considered as the intersection of two subfields of artificial intelligence: multi-agent systems and machine learning. Conventional machine learning involves a single agent that is trying to maximise some utility function without any awareness of existence of other agents in the environment (Mitchell, 1997). Meanwhile, multi-agent systems consider mechanisms for the interaction of autonomous agents. Learning system is defined as a system where an agent learns to interact with other agents (e.g., Clouse, 1996; Crites & Barto, 1998; Parsons, Wooldridge & Amgoud, 2003). There are two problems that agents need to overcome in order to interact with each other to reach their individual or shared goals: since agents can be available/unavailable (i.e., they might appear and/or disappear at any time), they must be able to find each other, and they must be able to interact (Jennings, Sycara & Wooldridge, 1998).

Learning Systems Engineering

2011 ◽  
pp. 1429-1438
Author(s):  
Valentina Plekhanova
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Systems Engineering ◽  
Autonomous Agents ◽  
Single Agent ◽  
Learning System ◽  
Multi Agent Systems ◽  
Agent Systems ◽  
Agent Learning ◽  
Multi Agent ◽  
Conventional Machine

Traditionally multi-agent learning is considered as the intersection of two subfields of artificial intelligence: multi-agent systems and machine learning. Conventional machine learning involves a single agent that is trying to maximise some utility function without any awareness of existence of other agents in the environment (Mitchell, 1997). Meanwhile, multi-agent systems consider mechanisms for the interaction of autonomous agents. Learning system is defined as a system where an agent learns to interact with other agents (e.g., Clouse, 1996; Crites & Barto, 1998; Parsons, Wooldridge & Amgoud, 2003). There are two problems that agents need to overcome in order to interact with each other to reach their individual or shared goals: since agents can be available/unavailable (i.e., they might appear and/or disappear at any time), they must be able to find each other, and they must be able to interact (Jennings, Sycara & Wooldridge, 1998).

Exploring the Use of Machine Learning to Automate the Qualitative Coding of Church-related Tweets

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-159
Author(s):  
Anthony-Paul Cooper ◽  
Emmanuel Awuni Kolog ◽  
Erkki Sutinen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Online Community ◽  
High Volume ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media Data ◽  
Twitter Data ◽  
Resource Intensity ◽  
Media Data ◽  
Better Than

This article builds on previous research around the exploration of the content of church-related tweets. It does so by exploring whether the qualitative thematic coding of such tweets can, in part, be automated by the use of machine learning. It compares three supervised machine learning algorithms to understand how useful each algorithm is at a classification task, based on a dataset of human-coded church-related tweets. The study finds that one such algorithm, Naïve-Bayes, performs better than the other algorithms considered, returning Precision, Recall and F-measure values which each exceed an acceptable threshold of 70%. This has far-reaching consequences at a time where the high volume of social media data, in this case, Twitter data, means that the resource-intensity of manual coding approaches can act as a barrier to understanding how the online community interacts with, and talks about, church. The findings presented in this article offer a way forward for scholars of digital theology to better understand the content of online church discourse.

Deep Learning for text in limted data settings

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pathikkumar Patel ◽  
Bhargav Lad ◽  
Jinan Fiaidhi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Transfer Learning ◽  
Text Classification ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Time Series Forecasting ◽  
Text Data ◽  
Performance Levels

During the last few years, RNN models have been extensively used and they have proven to be better for sequence and text data. RNNs have achieved state-of-the-art performance levels in several applications such as text classification, sequence to sequence modelling and time series forecasting. In this article we will review different Machine Learning and Deep Learning based approaches for text data and look at the results obtained from these methods. This work also explores the use of transfer learning in NLP and how it affects the performance of models on a specific application of sentiment analysis.

Identification of Anti-cancer Peptides Based on Multi-classifier System

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 694-704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanben Zhong ◽  
Bineng Zhong ◽  
Hongbo Zhang ◽  
Ziyi Chen ◽  
Yan Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Side Effect ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Normal Cells ◽  
Classifier System ◽  
Prediction Rate ◽  
Anti Cancer ◽  
Feature Information ◽  
Machine Learning Models ◽  
Better Than

Aim and Objective: Cancer is one of the deadliest diseases, taking the lives of millions every year. Traditional methods of treating cancer are expensive and toxic to normal cells. Fortunately, anti-cancer peptides (ACPs) can eliminate this side effect. However, the identification and development of new anti Materials and Methods: In our study, a multi-classifier system was used, combined with multiple machine learning models, to predict anti-cancer peptides. These individual learners are composed of different feature information and algorithms, and form a multi-classifier system by voting. Results and Conclusion: The experiments show that the overall prediction rate of each individual learner is above 80% and the overall accuracy of multi-classifier system for anti-cancer peptides prediction can reach 95.93%, which is better than the existing prediction model.

Exploring the Applications of Machine Learning in Healthcare

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 458-472
Author(s):  
Tausifa Jan Saleem ◽  
Mohammad Ahsan Chishti
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Disease Diagnosis ◽  
Machine Intelligence ◽  
Healthcare Applications ◽  
Comprehensive Overview ◽  
Machine Learning Applications ◽  
Remote Healthcare ◽  
Healthcare Monitoring ◽  
Applications Of Machine Learning

The rapid progress in domains like machine learning, and big data has created plenty of opportunities in data-driven applications particularly healthcare. Incorporating machine intelligence in healthcare can result in breakthroughs like precise disease diagnosis, novel methods of treatment, remote healthcare monitoring, drug discovery, and curtailment in healthcare costs. The implementation of machine intelligence algorithms on the massive healthcare datasets is computationally expensive. However, consequential progress in computational power during recent years has facilitated the deployment of machine intelligence algorithms in healthcare applications. Motivated to explore these applications, this paper presents a review of research works dedicated to the implementation of machine learning on healthcare datasets. The studies that were conducted have been categorized into following groups (a) disease diagnosis and detection, (b) disease risk prediction, (c) health monitoring, (d) healthcare related discoveries, and (e) epidemic outbreak prediction. The objective of the research is to help the researchers in this field to get a comprehensive overview of the machine learning applications in healthcare. Apart from revealing the potential of machine learning in healthcare, this paper will serve as a motivation to foster advanced research in the domain of machine intelligence-driven healthcare.

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