Difficult Airway Prediction Score for Intubation in Emergency Departments: A Retrospective Cohort Study
Abstract Objective: Difficult intubation is associated with an increasing number of endotracheal intubation attempts. Repeated endotracheal intubation attempts are in turn associated with an increased risk of adverse events. Clinical prediction tools to predict difficult airway have limited application in emergency airway situations. This study was performed to develop a new model for predicting difficult intubation in the emergency department.Methods: This retrospective study was conducted using an exploratory model at the Emergency Medicine of Ramathibodi Hospital, a university-affiliated super-tertiary care hospital in Bangkok, Thailand. The study was conducted from June 2018 to July 2020. The inclusion criteria were an age of ≥15 years and treatment by emergency intubation in the emergency department. Difficult intubation was defined as a Cormack–Lehane grade III or IV laryngoscopic view. The predictive model and prediction score for detecting difficult intubation were developed by multivariable regression analysis.Results: During the study period, 617 patients met the inclusion criteria; of these, 83 (13.45%) had difficult intubation. Five independent factors were predictive of difficult intubation. The difficult airway assessment score that we developed to predict difficult airway intubation had an accuracy of 89%. A score of >4 increased the likelihood ratio of difficult intubation by 7.62 times.Conclusion: A difficult airway assessment score of >4 was associated with difficult intubation.