Stromal Score-based Gene Signature: A Prognostic Prediction Model for Colon Cancer
Abstract BackgroundGrowing evidence has revealed the crucial roles of stromal cells in the microenvironment of various malignant tumors. However, efficient prognostic signatures based on stromal characteristics in colon cancer have not been well-established yet. The present study aimed to construct a stromal score-based multigene prognostic prediction model for colon cancer.MethodStromal scores were calculated based on the expression profiles of a colon cancer cohort from TCGA database applying the ESTIMATE algorithm. Linear models were used to identify differentially expressed genes between low-score and high-score groups by limma R package. Univariate and multivariate CoxPH regression analyses were used successively to select prognostic gene signature. An independent dataset from GEO was used as a validation cohort.ResultsLow stromal score was demonstrated to be a favorable factor to overall survival of colon cancer patients in TCGA cohort (log-rank test p = 0.0046). Three hundred and seven stromal score-related differentially expressed genes were identified. Through univariate and multivariate CoxPH regression analyses, a gene signature consisting of LEP, SYT3, NOG and IGSF11 was recognized to build a prognostic prediction model. Based on the predictive values estimated by the established integrated model, patients were divided into two groups with significantly different overall survival outcomes (log-rank test p < 0.0001). Time-dependent Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses suggested the satisfactory predictive efficacy for 5-year overall survival of the model (AUC value = 0.736). A nomogram with great predictive performance combining the multigene prediction model and clinicopathological factors was developed. The established model was verified to be of significant prognostic value for different subgroups in an independent colon cancer cohort from GEO database, which was demonstrated to be especially accurate for young patients (AUC value = 0.752). ConclusionThe well-established model based on stromal score-related gene signature might serve as a promising tool for the prognostic prediction of colon cancer.