scholarly journals Services Export Diversification and Economic Growth

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
SENA KIMM GNANGNON
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Export Diversification ◽  
Generalized Methods Of Moments ◽  
Methods Of Moments ◽  
Export Specialization ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Trade Market

Abstract The present article investigates the effect of services export diversification on economic growth by relying on a sample of 131 countries over the period 1985-2014. The empirical results, based on the two-step system Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM), has suggested that services export diversification enhances economic growth in developing countries, whereas in High Income Countries (HICs), services export specialization promotes economic growth. Furthermore, services export diversification enhances economic growth as countries experience a rise in their services exports growth, with the magnitude of this positive effect increasing as the growth rate of services exports rises. Finally, services export diversification tends to be positively associated with economic growth, but as countries enjoy greater trade openness, they tend to enhance their services export specialization so as to enjoy higher economic growth. Interestingly, it is services export specialization that promotes economic growth as countries better integrate into the international trade market. One key message conveyed by the analysis is the importance of services export diversification (or concentration) for economic growth, including when countries further open up to international trade.

scholarly journals Tourism Specialization, Absorptive Capacity, and Economic Growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 56 (4) ◽  
pp. 423-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Glauco De Vita ◽  
Khine S. Kyaw
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Absorptive Capacity ◽  
System Development ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Level Of Economic Development ◽  
Generalized Methods Of Moments ◽  
Methods Of Moments ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

This article investigates the relationship between tourism specialization and economic growth while accounting for the absorptive capacity of host (tourism destination) countries, defined in terms of financial system development. We use the system generalized methods-of-moments (SYS-GMM) estimation methodology to investigate this relationship for 129 countries over the period 1995–2011. The results support the hypothesis that the positive effect of tourism specialization on growth is contingent on the level of economic development as well as the financial system absorptive capacity of recipient economies. Consistent with the law of diminishing returns, we also find that for countries with a developed financial system, at exponential levels of tourism specialization, its effect on growth turns negative. Significant policy implications flow from these findings.

scholarly journals PENGARUH FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDO

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 75
Author(s):  
Nia Putri Kunanti ◽  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Private Credit ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to determine how the influence of financial development on economic growth in Indonesia. Financial development indicators are M2 money supply, bank assets, private credit and trade openness. Where inflation and trade openness as a control variable and economic growth as the dependent variable. The data used in this study are secondary data from 2005 quarter 1 to 2018 quarter 4 which were collected through documentation and related agencies. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis and error correction models. The results of this study indicate that: (1) the money supply M2 has a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (2) Bank assets have a negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (3) Private credit has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia; (4)) trade openness has a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Openness of the economy as a determinant of economic growth: The panel analysis of the Western Balkans region countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Filip Bugarčić ◽  
Petar Veselinović
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Applied Research ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Panel Regression ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Western Balkans ◽  
Economic Growth And Development ◽  
Positive Effect

The openness of the economy and its intensive involvement in international trade and economic flows has an important role in stimulating economic growth and development of a national economy. The aim of the research is to determine the degree of impact and effects of exports, imports and foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth. The applied research methodology is a panel regression analysis on the example of six countries in the Western Balkans region in the period from 2000 to 2018. Three hypotheses were tested in this paper. H1: Exports have a positive effect on economic growth; H2: Imports contribute to GDP growth; H3: FDI has a positive impact on economic growth. The results show that all three variables have a positive, statistically significant impact on GDP. The greatest effect on economic growth in the analyzed sample has exports, which implies the conclusion of the inevitability of more intensive participation of these economies in international trade flows.

The nexus of economic growth, priority sector lending and non-performing assets: case of Indian banking sector

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dolly Gaur ◽  
Dipti Ranjan Mohapatra
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Generalized Methods Of Moments ◽  
Major Increase ◽  
Dynamic Panel Regression ◽  
Methods Of Moments ◽  
The Impact

PurposeIn recent years, the Indian banking sector is facing a major cause of concern in the form of Nonperforming Assets (NPA), and the priority sector lending (PSL) is generally recognized as the major factor contributing to it. Thus, the present study has been carried out with the objective of examining the relationship between priority sector lending and GDP growth. Thereafter, the role of PSL and certain other bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic variables in determining NPA has been studied.Design/methodology/approachTaking a sample of 45 scheduled commercial banks, the study has been carried out for 14 years (2004–2018). Granger causality between PSL and GDP has been examined by applying the Dumitrescu-Hurlin test. For the purpose of investigating the impact of PSL and other determinants on NPA, both static and dynamic panel regression have been performed. Under the dynamic panel, system generalized methods of moments (S-GMM) approach has been followed.FindingsThe findings show that there exists a positive correlation and bidirectional causal relationship between PSL and GDP, which implies that PSL brings additional growth for the whole economy. In addition to it, PSL is found to be insignificant for the NPA ratio, and thus, it can be inferred that credit extended to government-specified sectors does not bring any major increase in the bad loan portfolio of banks.Practical implicationsThe policymakers and bank management can take a cue from the findings of this study to decrease the exposure to loan nonrepayment issue. The priority sectors are in need of formal credit for their growth, and since the rising population of the country can find employment in these sectors, banks should meet their credit needs while securing their position with regard to the NPA problem.Originality/valueThe issue of NPA determinants, and in particular, the contribution of priority sector lending in it has not been much explored for Indian banking sector. Also, the present study adds to the literature by using the causality approach for examining the importance of directed credit schemes for economic growth.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Malaysia

2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keshmeer Makun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Human Capital Development ◽  
Full Benefit ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Econometric Technique

This study is an attempt to examine the effects of trade openness along with two other conditioning variables on economic growth in Malaysia by applying time-series econometric technique. LSE-Henry’s general to specific approach results show significant positive effect of trade openness on growth. Human capital and good economic policies tested with an interaction term increases the growth effects of trade openness. The addition of these variables and findings are significant statistically and robust to different specifications. On the basis of the findings, it is concluded that while trade openness enhance growth, decision makers should also focus on human capital development. In addition, decision makers should ensure good economic policies to take full benefit of trade openness.

scholarly journals Domestic Debt and Economic Growth in Tanzania

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. p207
Author(s):  
Josephat Lotto ◽  
Catherine T. Mmari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

The main objective of this paper was to examine the impact of domestic debt on economic growth in Tanzania for the period 1990 to 2015 using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method to estimate the effects. The study finds that there is an inverse but insignificant relationship between domestic debt and the economic growth of Tanzania as measured by GDP annual growth. The inverse relationship between domestic debt and GDP may be caused by different factors such as; increased trend in domestic borrowing, government lenders’ profile dominated by commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions which promotes the “crowding out” effect; the nature of the instruments used by the government ; the improper use of the domestic borrowed funds which may include funding budgetary deficits, paying up principal and matured obligations on debt, developing financial markets as well as fund other government operations. Other control variables relate with the GDP as predicted. For example, Inflation (INF) has a negative effect on the GDP growth rate, but the relationship is not statistically significant, while gross capital formation (GCF) has a positive statistically significant effect on GDP growth rate. Furthermore, foreign direct investment (FDI) showed a positive effect on the GDP growth rate and export (X) has a positive effect on GDP growth rate, and the relationship is statistically significant explaining that if a country applied an export-led growth economic strategy it enjoys the gains of participating in the world market. This means that an increase in export stimulates demand for goods which leads to increase in output, and as a country’s output increases, the economic performance also takes a similar trend. Finally, government expenditure (GE) had a negative effect on the GDP growth rate which may be explained by the increased government expenditures which are funded by either tax or borrowing. Therefore, what is required for countries like Tanzania is to have better debt management strategies as well as prudential financial management while maintaining to remain within the internationally acceptable debt level of 45% of GDP and maintain a GDP growth rate of not less than 5%. It is important for the country to realize from where to borrow from, the tenure, the risks involved and limitations to borrowing and thus set the right balance of combination of both kinds of debt. Another requirement is to properly utilize the borrowed funds. The central government’s objective should be to use the funds in more development-oriented projects that bring positive returns to the economic development.  The government should not only create a right environment and policies for investment to attract investment from domestic and foreign sources but also be cautious about the kind of investments that the foreign investors make.

scholarly journals THE FACTORS INFLUENCING ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dian Citra Amelia
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

This research is based on the fact that the state of economic growth in Indonesia tends to fluctuate, even more often decrease. This is because the government policy is not appropriate to improve the economic growth of Indonesia. This study aims to determine and analyze the factors of foreign direct investment, inflation, international trade, and government expenditure that affect economic growth in Indonesia. The problem in this research is due to the limited fund in economic development both structure and infrastructure so that economic growth tends to decrease. Therefore, appropriate strategies must be taken to overcome the limitations in promoting economic growth. From this problem, this research aims to see how big influence of foreign direct investment (FDI), inflation (INF), international trade (NX) and government expenditure (GE) variable to economic growth. The data used in this study is secondary data (periodical data) in the period of observation 1996-2014 obtained from the World Bank and Statistics of Indonesia. To identify the influence of the variables used in this study used the VAR (Vector Autoregression) method. The results of this study show that equation regression shows that FDI (-1) has a negative influence on economic growth and FDI (-2) has a positive effect on economic growth, INF (-1) and INF (-2) have positive effects on economic growth , Variable NX (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth but NX (-2) has a negative effect on economic growth, and GE variable (-1) has a positive effect on economic growth while GE (-2) has a negative effect on growth Economy.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 163-170
Author(s):  
Khoirul Ifa ◽  
Moh. Yahdi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
The Impact

Economic growth and international trade are related to one another. International trade stimulates long-term economic growth. The more trade activities in a country, the more rapid economic growth; this trade is a key component of development in a country, its contribution is felt with the increasing economic growth in several countries. The purpose of this study looks at the impact of trade openness on economic growth in Indonesia in 1986-2017. This research is a quantitative study using time series data from 1986-2017, research data obtained from the world bank, data analysis techniques using the GMM method to see the impact of trade openness on economic growth. The test results using the Generalized Method of Moments analysis method show that all variables significantly influence the dynamics of economic growth in Indonesia. This result is proven by the t-statistic probability value, which shows a smaller value compared to the t-table value. Then the value also has a probability of less than α. It can be concluded that the variables of trade, FDI, inflation, and the number of workers have a significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Economic Growth Creation Or Diversion? The Record of Trade Agreements In Latin America

1970 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-122
Author(s):  
Gustavo Barboza ◽  
Sandra Trejos
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Preferential Trade Agreements ◽  
Preferential Trade ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Capita Output

This paper examines the effects of Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) andGATT/WTO membership on economic growth using a sample of seventeen LatinAmerican countries for the period 1950-2004. In general, the evidence indicatesthat the proliferation of bilateral and multi country regional and extra regional tradeagreements has not resulted in faster economic growth. On the contrary, we find thatPTAs and WTO only have a weak positive effect on increasing trade openness; butthis relationship does not translate into faster economic growth when controlling forcapital, labor force and trade openness. These results are robust to both static anddynamic model specifications, indicating that trade openness has a positive effect onper capita output growth, but PTA and WTO membership do not. Integration via defacto increases output growth while integration via de jure does not. Based on theresults, PTAs create a net diversion effect on economic growth.

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