scholarly journals Development of a predictive model of rock fragmentation for Nui Phao open-pit mine in Vietnam using multiple-output Neural Networks and Monte Carlo Dropout technique

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trong Vu ◽  
Tran Bao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Predictive Model ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Open Pit Mine ◽  
Open Pit ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Mining Operations ◽  
Single Output ◽  
Blast Fragmentation

Abstract Precise and reliable prediction of blast fragmentation is essential for the success of mining operations. Over the years, various machine learning models using artificial neural network have developed and proven to be efficient in predicting the blast fragmentation. In this research, we design multiple-output neural networks to forecast the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of blast fragmentation to improve this prediction. The model architecture contains multiple response variables in the output layer that correspond to the CDF curve’s percentiles. We apply Monte Carlo dropout procedure to estimate the uncertainty of the predictions. Data collected from a Nui Phao open-pit mine in Vietnam are used to train and validate the performance of the model. Results suggest that multiple-output neural network models provide better accuracy than single-output neural network models that predict each percentile on a CDF independently. Whereas, Monte Carlo dropout technique can give valuable and relative reliable information during decision making. Article highlights: • Precise and reliable prediction of blast fragmentation is essential for the success of mining operations. • A predictive model based on the multi-output neural network and Monte Carlo dropout technique was designed to predict the fragmentation CDF curve in the blasting operation of an open-pit mine. • The predictive model was proven reliable and provided better accuracy than models based on a single-output neural network.

Issues in Bayesian Analysis of Neural Network Models

1998 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 749-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Müller ◽  
David Rios Insua
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chain Monte Carlo ◽  
Bayesian Analysis ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Feedforward Neural Networks ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Neural Network Models

Stemming from work by Buntine and Weigend (1991) and MacKay (1992), there is a growing interest in Bayesian analysis of neural network models. Although conceptually simple, this problem is computationally involved. We suggest a very efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme for inference and prediction with fixed-architecture feedforward neural networks. The scheme is then extended to the variable architecture case, providing a data-driven procedure to identify sensible architectures.

Neural Network Models for Conditional Distribution Under Bayesian Analysis

2008 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 504-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatiana Miazhynskaia ◽  
Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter ◽  
Georg Dorffner
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Conditional Distribution ◽  
Strong Support ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Conditional Density ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Model Evidence

We use neural networks (NN) as a tool for a nonlinear autoregression to predict the second moment of the conditional density of return series. The NN models are compared to the popular econometric GARCH(1,1) model. We estimate the models in a Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo posterior simulations. The interlinked aspects of the proposed Bayesian methodology are identification of NN hidden units and treatment of NN complexity based on model evidence. The empirical study includes the application of the designed strategy to market data, where we found a strong support for a nonlinear multilayer perceptron model with two hidden units.

scholarly journals The dual of the space of interactions in neural network models

2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (06) ◽  
pp. 1650067 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. De Martino
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Linear System ◽  
Local Stability ◽  
Solution Space ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Dual Perspective ◽  
Ensemble Calculation

In this work, the Gardner problem of inferring interactions and fields for an Ising neural network from given patterns under a local stability hypothesis is addressed under a dual perspective. By means of duality arguments, an integer linear system is defined whose solution space is the dual of the Gardner space and whose solutions represent mutually unstable patterns. We propose and discuss Monte Carlo methods in order to find and remove unstable patterns and uniformly sample the space of interactions thereafter. We illustrate the problem on a set of real data and perform ensemble calculation that shows how the emergence of phase dominated by unstable patterns can be triggered in a nonlinear discontinuous way.

Method of complex copper-zinc ore typification using neural network models

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 140-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.N. Aleksandrova ◽  
◽  
E.K. Ushakov ◽  
A.V. Orlova ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Copper Zinc ◽  
Complex Copper

Digital twin of equipment as a basis for the consumer in digital production

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Tool Wear ◽  
Chip Formation ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Machining Accuracy ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Digital Twin ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Digital Production ◽  
Cyberphysical System

The neural network models series used in the development of an aggregated digital twin of equipment as a cyber-physical system are presented. The twins of machining accuracy, chip formation and tool wear are examined in detail. On their basis, systems for stabilization of the chip formation process during cutting and diagnose of the cutting too wear are developed. Keywords cyberphysical system; neural network model of equipment; big data, digital twin of the chip formation; digital twin of the tool wear; digital twin of nanostructured coating choice

scholarly journals Prediction of Stress in Power Transformer Winding Conductors Using Artificial Neural Networks: Hyperparameter Analysis

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (14) ◽  
pp. 4242
Author(s):  
Fausto Valencia ◽  
Hugo Arcos ◽  
Franklin Quilumba
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Finite Element ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Activation Function ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Transformer Winding ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Femm Software

The purpose of this research is the evaluation of artificial neural network models in the prediction of stresses in a 400 MVA power transformer winding conductor caused by the circulation of fault currents. The models were compared considering the training, validation, and test data errors’ behavior. Different combinations of hyperparameters were analyzed based on the variation of architectures, optimizers, and activation functions. The data for the process was created from finite element simulations performed in the FEMM software. The design of the Artificial Neural Network was performed using the Keras framework. As a result, a model with one hidden layer was the best suited architecture for the problem at hand, with the optimizer Adam and the activation function ReLU. The final Artificial Neural Network model predictions were compared with the Finite Element Method results, showing good agreement but with a much shorter solution time.

scholarly journals The Effectiveness of Ensemble-Neural Network Techniques to Predict Peak Uplift Resistance of Buried Pipes in Reinforced Sand

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 908
Author(s):  
Jie Zeng ◽  
Panagiotis G. Asteris ◽  
Anna P. Mamou ◽  
Ahmed Salih Mohammed ◽  
Emmanuil A. Golias ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Offshore Platforms ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Buried Pipes ◽  
Ensemble Techniques ◽  
Uplift Resistance

Buried pipes are extensively used for oil transportation from offshore platforms. Under unfavorable loading combinations, the pipe’s uplift resistance may be exceeded, which may result in excessive deformations and significant disruptions. This paper presents findings from a series of small-scale tests performed on pipes buried in geogrid-reinforced sands, with the measured peak uplift resistance being used to calibrate advanced numerical models employing neural networks. Multilayer perceptron (MLP) and Radial Basis Function (RBF) primary structure types have been used to train two neural network models, which were then further developed using bagging and boosting ensemble techniques. Correlation coefficients in excess of 0.954 between the measured and predicted peak uplift resistance have been achieved. The results show that the design of pipelines can be significantly improved using the proposed novel, reliable and robust soft computing models.

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