Development and Validation of a Novel Glycolysis-Related Risk Signature for Predicting Survival in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma
Abstract Background Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) is one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide. Through data mining, an increasing number of biomarkers have been identified for predicting survival of PAAD. However, the ability of single gene biomarkers to predict patient survival is still insufficient. This study aimed to develop a novel risk signature for predicting survival of PAAD. Methods mRNA expression profiling was performed in a large PAAD cohort (N = 177) from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was analyzed to detect whether the gene sets showed statistically differences between PAAD and adjacent normal tissues. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to analyze and identify genes related to overall survival (OS), then subjected to multivariable Cox regression to further confirm the prognostic genes and obtain the coefficients. The expression level of selected genes weighted by their coefficients through linearly combining, we constructed a risk score formula for prognostic prediction. The three-mRNA signature for survival prediction is validated by Kaplan–Meier curve analysis. Results We demonstrated that a set of three genes (KIF20A, CHST2, and MET) were significantly associated with OS. Based on this three-gene signature, 177 PAAD patients were classified into high-risk groups and low-risk groups using the median risk score as cut off value. Additionally, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the three-gene signature had independent prognostic value. Conclusions To our best knowledge, we first develop a glycolysis-related risk signature for predicting survival of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The findings provide insight into identification of patients with poor prognosis in PAAD and improve novel therapy targets for this disease.