scholarly journals Deep learning of stochastic contagion dynamics on complex networks

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Murphy ◽  
Edward Laurence ◽  
Antoine Allard
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Neural Network Architecture ◽  
Complementary Approach ◽  
Quantitative Accuracy ◽  
Simplifying Assumptions ◽  
Effective Models

Abstract Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically and/or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions, thereby limiting the quantitative accuracy of their predictions and the complexity of the dynamics they can model. Here, we propose a complementary approach based on deep learning where the effective local mechanisms governing a dynamic are learned automatically from time series data. Our graph neural network architecture makes very few assumptions about the dynamics, and we demonstrate its accuracy using stochastic contagion dynamics of increasing complexity on static and temporal networks. By allowing simulations on arbitrary network structures, our approach makes it possible to explore the properties of the learned dynamics beyond the training data. Our results demonstrate how deep learning offers a new and complementary perspective to build effective models of contagion dynamics on networks.

scholarly journals Deep learning of contagion dynamics on complex networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Murphy ◽  
Edward Laurence ◽  
Antoine Allard
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Complementary Approach ◽  
Quantitative Accuracy ◽  
Simplifying Assumptions ◽  
Effective Models

AbstractForecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions, thereby limiting the quantitative accuracy of their predictions and the complexity of the dynamics they can model. Here, we propose a complementary approach based on deep learning where effective local mechanisms governing a dynamic on a network are learned from time series data. Our graph neural network architecture makes very few assumptions about the dynamics, and we demonstrate its accuracy using different contagion dynamics of increasing complexity. By allowing simulations on arbitrary network structures, our approach makes it possible to explore the properties of the learned dynamics beyond the training data. Finally, we illustrate the applicability of our approach using real data of the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain. Our results demonstrate how deep learning offers a new and complementary perspective to build effective models of contagion dynamics on networks.

scholarly journals CORN: An Alternative Way to Utilize Time-Series Data of SAR Images in Newly Built Construction Detection

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 990
Author(s):  
Raveerat Jaturapitpornchai ◽  
Poompat Rattanasuwan ◽  
Masashi Matsuoka ◽  
Ryosuke Nakamura
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Source Code ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Learning Networks ◽  
Chronological Order ◽  
Alos Palsar ◽  
Sar Images

The limitations in obtaining sufficient datasets for training deep learning networks is preventing many applications from achieving accurate results, especially when detecting new constructions using time-series satellite imagery, since this requires at least two images of the same scene and it must contain new constructions in it. To tackle this problem, we introduce Chronological Order Reverse Network (CORN)—an architecture for detecting newly built constructions in time-series SAR images that does not require a large quantity of training data. The network uses two U-net adaptations to learn the changes between images from both Time 1–Time 2 and Time 2–Time 1 formats, which allows it to learn double the amount of changes in different perspectives. We trained the network with 2028 pairs of 256 × 256 pixel SAR images from ALOS-PALSAR, totaling 4056 pairs for the network to learn from, since it learns from both Time 1–Time 2 and Time 2–Time 1. As a result, the network can detect new constructions more accurately, especially at the building boundary, compared to the original U-net trained by the same amount of training data. The experiment also shows that the model trained with CORN can be used with images from Sentinel-1. The source code is available at https://github.com/Raveerat-titech/CORN.

scholarly journals Time Series Data Augmentation for Deep Learning: A Survey

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingsong Wen ◽  
Liang Sun ◽  
Fan Yang ◽  
Xiaomin Song ◽  
Jingkun Gao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Future Directions

Deep learning performs remarkably well on many time series analysis tasks recently. The superior performance of deep neural networks relies heavily on a large number of training data to avoid overfitting. However, the labeled data of many real-world time series applications may be limited such as classification in medical time series and anomaly detection in AIOps. As an effective way to enhance the size and quality of the training data, data augmentation is crucial to the successful application of deep learning models on time series data. In this paper, we systematically review different data augmentation methods for time series. We propose a taxonomy for the reviewed methods, and then provide a structured review for these methods by highlighting their strengths and limitations. We also empirically compare different data augmentation methods for different tasks including time series classification, anomaly detection, and forecasting. Finally, we discuss and highlight five future directions to provide useful research guidance.

scholarly journals Load forecasting of refrigerated display cabinet based on CEEMD–IPSO–LSTM combined model

Open Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 360-374
Author(s):  
Yuan Pei ◽  
Lei Zhenglin ◽  
Zeng Qinghui ◽  
Wu Yixiao ◽  
Lu Yanli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Combined Model ◽  
Forecasting Accuracy ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Consumption Reduction

Abstract The load of the showcase is a nonlinear and unstable time series data, and the traditional forecasting method is not applicable. Deep learning algorithms are introduced to predict the load of the showcase. Based on the CEEMD–IPSO–LSTM combination algorithm, this paper builds a refrigerated display cabinet load forecasting model. Compared with the forecast results of other models, it finally proves that the CEEMD–IPSO–LSTM model has the highest load forecasting accuracy, and the model’s determination coefficient is 0.9105, which is obviously excellent. Compared with other models, the model constructed in this paper can predict the load of showcases, which can provide a reference for energy saving and consumption reduction of display cabinet.

scholarly journals Time–frequency time–space LSTM for robust classification of physiological signals

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuan D. Pham
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Physiological Signals ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Time Space ◽  
Deep Recurrent Neural Network

AbstractAutomated analysis of physiological time series is utilized for many clinical applications in medicine and life sciences. Long short-term memory (LSTM) is a deep recurrent neural network architecture used for classification of time-series data. Here time–frequency and time–space properties of time series are introduced as a robust tool for LSTM processing of long sequential data in physiology. Based on classification results obtained from two databases of sensor-induced physiological signals, the proposed approach has the potential for (1) achieving very high classification accuracy, (2) saving tremendous time for data learning, and (3) being cost-effective and user-comfortable for clinical trials by reducing multiple wearable sensors for data recording.

scholarly journals Robust Approach to Supervised Deep Neural Network Training for Real-Time Object Classification in Cluttered Indoor Environment

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 7148
Author(s):  
Bedada Endale ◽  
Abera Tullu ◽  
Hayoung Shi ◽  
Beom-Soo Kang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Object Classification ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Gradient Descent Algorithm

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are being widely utilized for various missions: in both civilian and military sectors. Many of these missions demand UAVs to acquire artificial intelligence about the environments they are navigating in. This perception can be realized by training a computing machine to classify objects in the environment. One of the well known machine training approaches is supervised deep learning, which enables a machine to classify objects. However, supervised deep learning comes with huge sacrifice in terms of time and computational resources. Collecting big input data, pre-training processes, such as labeling training data, and the need for a high performance computer for training are some of the challenges that supervised deep learning poses. To address these setbacks, this study proposes mission specific input data augmentation techniques and the design of light-weight deep neural network architecture that is capable of real-time object classification. Semi-direct visual odometry (SVO) data of augmented images are used to train the network for object classification. Ten classes of 10,000 different images in each class were used as input data where 80% were for training the network and the remaining 20% were used for network validation. For the optimization of the designed deep neural network, a sequential gradient descent algorithm was implemented. This algorithm has the advantage of handling redundancy in the data more efficiently than other algorithms.

scholarly journals Deep Learning for Anomaly Detection in Time-Series Data: Review, Analysis, and Guidelines

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 120043-120065
Author(s):  
Kukjin Choi ◽  
Jihun Yi ◽  
Changhwa Park ◽  
Sungroh Yoon
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Review Analysis

scholarly journals Implementation of IoT Framework with Data Analysis Using Deep Learning Methods for Occupancy Prediction in a Building

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Eric Hitimana ◽  
Gaurav Bajpai ◽  
Richard Musabe ◽  
Louis Sibomana ◽  
Jayavel Kayalvizhi
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Human Beings ◽  
Feed Forward Network

Many countries worldwide face challenges in controlling building incidence prevention measures for fire disasters. The most critical issues are the localization, identification, detection of the room occupant. Internet of Things (IoT) along with machine learning proved the increase of the smartness of the building by providing real-time data acquisition using sensors and actuators for prediction mechanisms. This paper proposes the implementation of an IoT framework to capture indoor environmental parameters for occupancy multivariate time-series data. The application of the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Deep Learning algorithm is used to infer the knowledge of the presence of human beings. An experiment is conducted in an office room using multivariate time-series as predictors in the regression forecasting problem. The results obtained demonstrate that with the developed system it is possible to obtain, process, and store environmental information. The information collected was applied to the LSTM algorithm and compared with other machine learning algorithms. The compared algorithms are Support Vector Machine, Naïve Bayes Network, and Multilayer Perceptron Feed-Forward Network. The outcomes based on the parametric calibrations demonstrate that LSTM performs better in the context of the proposed application.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document