scholarly journals Lake Surface Area Forecasting Using Integrated Satellite-SARIMA-Long-Short-Term Memory Model

Author(s):  
Keyvan Soltani ◽  
Arash Azari ◽  
Mohammad Zeynoddin ◽  
Afshin Amiri ◽  
Isa Ebtehaj ◽  
...  

Abstract Lake Water Surface Area (WSA) plays a vital role in environmental preservation and future water resource planning and management. Accurately mapping, monitoring and forecasting Lake WSA changes are of great importance to regulatory agencies. This study used the MODIS satellite images to extract a monthly time series of WSA of two lakes located in Iran from 2001 to 2019. Following a consequence of image and time series preprocessing to obtain the preprocessed lake surface area time series, the outcomes were modeled by the Long-Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning (DL) method, the stochastic Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) method and hybridization of these two techniques with the objective of developing WSA forecasts. After separate standardization and normalization of AL TS and reevaluation of the preprocessed data, the SARIMA (1, 0, 0) (0, 1, 1)12 model outperformed sole LSTM models with correlation index of (R) 0.819, mean absolute error (MAE) of 49.425 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.106. On the other hand, the hybridization (stochastic-DL) enhanced the reproduction of the primal statistical properties of WSA data and caused better mediation. However, the other accuracy indices did not change markedly (R 0.819, MAE 49.310, MAPE 0.105). The multi-step preprocessing and reevaluation also caused all LSTM models to produce their best results by less than 12 inputs.

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 3678
Author(s):  
Dongwon Lee ◽  
Minji Choi ◽  
Joohyun Lee

In this paper, we propose a prediction algorithm, the combination of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and attention model, based on machine learning models to predict the vision coordinates when watching 360-degree videos in a Virtual Reality (VR) or Augmented Reality (AR) system. Predicting the vision coordinates while video streaming is important when the network condition is degraded. However, the traditional prediction models such as Moving Average (MA) and Autoregression Moving Average (ARMA) are linear so they cannot consider the nonlinear relationship. Therefore, machine learning models based on deep learning are recently used for nonlinear predictions. We use the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network methods, originated in Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), and predict the head position in the 360-degree videos. Therefore, we adopt the attention model to LSTM to make more accurate results. We also compare the performance of the proposed model with the other machine learning models such as Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and RNN using the root mean squared error (RMSE) of predicted and real coordinates. We demonstrate that our model can predict the vision coordinates more accurately than the other models in various videos.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (18) ◽  
pp. 6921-6944
Author(s):  
Yi Chen ◽  
Yi He ◽  
Lifeng Zhang ◽  
Youdong Chen ◽  
Hongyu Pu ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Josua Manullang ◽  
Albertus Joko Santoso ◽  
Andi Wahju Rahardjo Emanuel

Abstract. Prediction of tourist visits of Mount Merbabu National Park (TNGMb) needs to be done to control the number of visitors and to preserve the national park. The combination of time series forecasting (TSF) and deep learning methods has become a new alternative for prediction. This case study was conducted to implement several methods combination of TSF and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) to predict the visits. In this case study, there are 18 modelling scenarios as research objects to determine the best model by utilizing tourist visits data from 2013 to 2018. The results show that the model applying the lag time method can improve the model's ability to capture patterns on time series data. The error value is measured using the root mean square error (RMSE), with the smallest value of 3.7 in the LSTM architecture, using seven lags as a feature and one lag as a label.Keywords: Tourist Visit, Taman Nasional Gunung Merbabu, Prediction, Recurrent Neural Network, Long-Short Term MemoryAbstrak. Prediksi kunjungan wisatawan Taman Nasional Gunung Merbabu (TNGMb) perlu dilakukan untul pengendalian jumlah pengunjung dan menjaga kelestarian taman nasional. Gabungan metode antara time series forecasting (TSF) dan deep learning telah menjadi alternatif baru untuk melakukan prediksi. Studi kasus ini dilakukan untuk mengimplementasi gabungan dari beberapa macam metode antara TSF dan Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) untuk memprediksi kunjungan pada TNGMb. Pada studi kasus ini, terdapat 18 skenario pemodelan sebagai objek penelitian untuk menentukan model terbaik, dengan memanfaatkan data jumlah kunjungan wisatawan di TNGMb mulai dari tahun 2013 sampai dengan tahun 2018. Hasil prediksi menunjukkan pemodelan dengan menerapkan metode lag time dapat meningkatakan kemampuan model untuk menangkap pola pada data deret waktu. Besar nilai kesalahan diukur menggunakan root mean square error (RMSE), dengan nilai terkecil sebesar 3,7 pada arsitektur LSTM, menggunakan tujuh lag sebagai feature dan satu lag sebagai label. Kata Kunci: Kunjungan Wisatawan, Taman Nasional Gunung Merbabu, Prediksi, Recurrent Neural Network, Long-Short Term Memory


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 155014772110612
Author(s):  
Zhengqiang Ge ◽  
Xinyu Liu ◽  
Qiang Li ◽  
Yu Li ◽  
Dong Guo

To significantly protect the user’s privacy and prevent the user’s preference disclosure from leading to malicious entrapment, we present a combination of the recommendation algorithm and the privacy protection mechanism. In this article, we present a privacy recommendation algorithm, PrivItem2Vec, and the concept of the recommended-internet of things, which is a privacy recommendation algorithm, consisting of user’s information, devices, and items. Recommended-internet of things uses bidirectional long short-term memory, based on item2vec, which improves algorithm time series and the recommended accuracy. In addition, we reconstructed the data set in conjunction with the Paillier algorithm. The data on the server are encrypted and embedded, which reduces the readability of the data and ensures the data’s security to a certain extent. Experiments show that our algorithm is superior to other works in terms of recommended accuracy and efficiency.


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