Integrated Assessment of Urban Land Carrying Capacity (ULCC) for Reducing Earthquake Risk Risaster in Palu City
Abstract The land is a natural resource that has limitations to accommodate human activities. Rapid urban population growth, continuous expansion of urban scale, rapid socioeconomic development, and increased pressure on land resources between residents and urban land are monumental contradictions when urban planning does not match land carrying capacity. Assessing urban land carrying capacity is very important to evaluate and obtain an overview of the land capability level by classifying its capacity to be designed according to the area function; to get an overview of the potential and constraints of each land capability class, and to serve as a basis for future regional development. This research was conducted in Palu City, a national urban area in Indonesia. It has limited regional development because it is an area prone to high earthquake disasters. Developing the area requires assessing the land's carrying capacity, especially to minimize the risk of earthquake hazards. The assessment involves three stages of analysis, namely Mapping Earthquake-Prone Areas with Mapping of Earthquake-Prone Areas with seismic micro-zonation; Land Capability Assessment; and Comparative Analysis of Land Capability and City Planning of Palu 2030. This study's results indicate that 74.56% of Palu City is an earthquake-prone area, dominated by land capability classes type A to B, namely low to very low land capability classes (55.42%). Thus, there are physical limitations in urban development. However, suppose it is integrated with the spatial plan of Palu City until 2030. In that case, most (56.07%) are already in accordance with the carrying capacity of their land, especially in protected areas. However, land development still does not comply with their carrying capacity (35%) in cultivation areas with earthquakes. High and covering an area of 24% of the total area of Palu City requires special attention in the development of its area going forward. The requirement that land use plans that do not comply with their carrying capacity must be strictly controlled, especially in high disaster-prone areas.