Variations and Sensitivity Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration During 2010-2019 in the Zhangye Farmland Oasis, Northwest China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miao Fang
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Meteorological Factor ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Hargreaves Equation ◽  
Increasing Trends

Abstract Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is an important parameter for agricultural water management in the arid Zhangye farmland oasis. However, the ET0 variations in this oasis over the last decade and meteorological forcings of these variations are unknown. This study investigated the ET0 variations during 2010-2019 in this oasis using the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith (PM) and Hargreaves equations. Results showed that the ET0 features daily and monthly variations with peak values in mid-July and an annual cycle. Although the estimated ET0 series based on the two equations have high correlations in the time domain, the Hargreaves equation always underestimates the ET0 compared to the PM equation. The yearly ET0 showed statistically significant increasing trends (90% significance level) during 2010-2019, while statistically significant increasing trends in monthly ET0 are found only in March and November. Increasing trends reflected in monthly and yearly ET0 are mainly attributed to the increasing maximum temperature and sunshine duration and decreasing relative humidity. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the meteorological factor to which the ET0 is most sensitive varies with time scale and equation. Moreover, regression equations used to correct the underestimation associated with the Hargreaves equation for estimating ET0 in the Zhangye farmland oasis also were constructed.

scholarly journals Analysis of Changes in Precipitation and Drought in Aksu River Basin, Northwest China

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhu Zhang ◽  
Wanyuan Cai ◽  
Qiuhua Chen ◽  
Yunjun Yao ◽  
Kaili Liu
Keyword(s):  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Precipitation Series ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Spatiotemporal Trends ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
Aksu River Basin

The analysis of the spatiotemporal trends of precipitation and drought is relevant for the future development and sustainable management of water resources in a given region. In this study, precipitation and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) trends were analyzed through applying linear regression, Mann–Kendall, and Spearman’s Rho tests at the 5% significance level. For this goal, meteorological data from 9 meteorological stations in and around Aksu Basin during the period 1960–2010 was used, and two main annual drought periods were detected (1978-1979 and 1983–1986), while the extremely dry years were recorded in 1975 and 1985 at almost all of the stations. The monthly analysis of precipitation series indicates that all stations had increasing trend in July, October, and December, while both increasing and decreasing trends were found in other months. For the seasonal scale, precipitation series had increasing trends in summer and winter. 33% of the stations had the decreasing trend on precipitation in the spring series, and it was 11% in the autumn. At the same time, the SPI-12 values of all stations had the increasing trend. The significant trends were detected at Aheqi, Baicheng, Keping, and Kuche stations.

scholarly journals Changes of Reference Evapotranspiration and Its Relationships to Dry/Wet Conditions Based on Aridity Index in Songnen Grassland, Northeast China

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiyun Ma ◽  
Jiquan Zhang ◽  
Caiyun Sun ◽  
Enliang Guo ◽  
Feng Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Northeast China ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Aridity Index ◽  
Kendall Test ◽  
Positive Contribution ◽  
Different Time Scales

Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) plays an irreplaceable role in regional dry/wet conditions under the background of climate change. Based on the FAO Penman-Monteith method and daily climate variables, ET0 was calculated for 22 stations in and around Songnen Grassland, northeast China, during 1960-2014. The temporal and spatial variations of ET0 and precipitation (P) were comprehensively analyzed at different time scales by using the Mann-Kendall test, Sen’s slope estimator, and linear regression coupling with break trend analysis. Sensitivity analysis was used to detect the key climate parameter attributed to ET0 change. Then, the role of ET0 in regional dry/wet conditions was discussed by analyzing the relationship between ET0, P and aridity index (AI). Results shown a higher ET0 in the southwest and a lower in the northeast, but P was opposite to that of ET0. Evidently decreasing trend of ET0 at different time scales was detected in almost the entire region, and the significant trend mainly distributed in the eastern, northeastern and central. For the whole region, sensitivity analysis indicated decreasing trend of ET0 was primarily attributed to relative humidity and maximum air temperature. The positive contribution of increasing temperature rising to ET0 was offset by the effect of significantly decreasing relative humidity, wind speed and sunshine duration. In addition, the value of ET0 shown higher in drought years and lower in wet years.

scholarly journals Spatial and temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration under climate change: a case study in the Sanjiang Plain, Northeast China

2017 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 251-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinyi Song ◽  
Kui Zhu ◽  
Fan Lu ◽  
Weihua Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Sanjiang Plain ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variation ◽  
The Sanjiang Plain ◽  
Mountainous Regions

Abstract It is essential to understand the changing patterns in reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and its relation to climate variables. In this study, meteorological data obtained from the Sanjiang Plain (SJP) between 1959 and 2013 are used to calculate ET0 via the Penman–Monteith method. This study analyses the spatial and temporal changes of ET0 and determines which meteorological variables have an impact on this. The Mann–Kendall test, moving t-test, sensitivity analysis and simulated results have been used to conduct these analyses. The results demonstrate the following. (1) Spatially, there is an increasing trend in the annual ET0 values in agricultural areas. However, significant decreasing trends (P < 0.05) can be found in mountainous regions. (2) Temporally, two abrupt changes can be detected in the early 1980s and the late 1990s for the entire SJP, leading to large inter-annual differences. (3) Sensitivity analysis shows that relative humidity (RH) is the most sensitive climate variable and has a negative influence on ET0, followed by temperature, sunshine duration and wind speed, all of which exert positive impacts. (4) The simulated result shows that ET0 is most sensitive to RH. However, significant reductions in wind speed can exert large influences on the ET0 values.

scholarly journals Trend and Sensitivity Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration in the Senegal River Basin Using NASA Meteorological Data

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1957
Author(s):  
Papa Malick Ndiaye ◽  
Ansoumana Bodian ◽  
Lamine Diop ◽  
Abdoulaye Deme ◽  
Alain Dezetter ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Climatic Variables ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Senegal River ◽  
Senegal River Basin ◽  
Basin Area

Understanding evapotranspiration and its long-term trends is essential for water cycle studies, modeling and for water uses. Spatial and temporal analysis of evapotranspiration is therefore important for the management of water resources, particularly in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is to analyze the trend of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) as well as its sensitivity to climatic variables in the Senegal River basin. Mann-Kendall’s test and Sen’s slope were used to detect trends and amplitude changes in ET0 and climatic variables that most influence ET0. Results show a significant increase in annual ET0 for 32% of the watershed area over the 1984–2017 period. A significant decrease in annual ET0 is observed for less than 1% of the basin area, mainly in the Sahelian zone. On a seasonal scale, ET0 increases significantly for 32% of the basin area during the dry season and decreases significantly for 4% of the basin during the rainy season. Annual maximum, minimum temperatures and relative humidity increase significantly for 68%, 81% and 37% of the basin, respectively. However, a significant decrease in wind speed is noted in the Sahelian part of the basin. The wind speed decrease and relative humidity increase lead to the decrease in ET0 and highlight a “paradox of evaporation” in the Sahelian part of the Senegal River basin. Sensitivity analysis reveals that, in the Senegal River basin, ET0 is more sensitive to relative humidity, maximum temperature and solar radiation.

Trends in major climatic parameters and sensitivity of evapotranspiration to climatic parameters in the eastern Himalayan region of Sikkim, India

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 491-502
Author(s):  
G. T. Patle ◽  
D. Sengdo ◽  
M. Tapak
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Minimum Temperature ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Himalayan Region ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Climatic Parameters ◽  
Eastern Himalayan Region

Abstract In this study, temporal trends in daily time series data of key climatic parameters were analyzed using Mann–Kendall and Sen's slope estimator. Sensitivity analysis of each climatic parameter on reference evapotranspiration (ETo) was performed to estimate the sensitivity coefficients and to evaluate the impact of global warming on ETo in the eastern Himalayan region of Sikkim, India. Results of trend analysis showed a significant increasing trend for minimum temperature and mean temperature. Mean relative humidity and sunshine duration showed decreasing trends. Reference evapotranspiration also showed a significant decreasing trend by 0.008 mm year–1 in Sikkim state of India. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the seasonal and annual ETo were most sensitive to maximum temperature followed by sunshine hours whereas wind speed, minimum temperature and relative humidity had a fluctuating effect on mean ETo. The sensitivity coefficient indicated that ETo changes positively with maximum and minimum temperature, sunshine hour, and wind speed, while it changes negatively with relative humidity. Analysis indicated that increase in relative humidity would decrease the ETo in the study area. The findings of this study would be useful for sustainable water resources planning and management of agriculture in hilly regions of the state and for development of adaptation strategies in adverse climatic conditions.

scholarly journals Effect of Elevation on Variation in Reference Evapotranspiration under Climate Change in Northwest China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 10151
Author(s):  
Wei Liu ◽  
Linshan Yang ◽  
Meng Zhu ◽  
Jan F. Adamowski ◽  
Rahim Barzegar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Dominant Factor ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Meteorological Observations

Through its effects on water and energy cycles, elevation plays an important role in modulating the spatial distribution of climatic changes in mountainous regions. A key hydrological indicator, reference evapotranspiration (ET0) reflects the maximum amount of water transferred to the atmosphere from the land surface. The current scarcity of information regarding elevation’s impact on variation in ET0 under climate change limits our understanding of the extent to which elevation modulates interactions between ET0 and climate change and of the attendant processes involved. Drawing upon long-term (1960–2017) meteorological observations from 84 stations in Northwest China (NWC), we examined (i) spatial and temporal variations in ET0; (ii) the sensitivity and contribution of air temperature (T), sunshine duration (SD), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed (WS) to ET0; (iii) the existence of a relationship between elevation and ET0 trends; and (iv) the major factor in controlling this relationship by using attribution analysis. Overall, annual ET0 in NWC showed a declining trend between 1960 and 2017, though at a change point in 1993, the trend shifted from a decline to a rise. A significant correlation between temporal change in ET0 and elevation confirmed the existence of a relationship between elevation and ET0 variation. The effect of elevation on changes in ET0 depended mainly on the elevation-based tradeoff between the contributions of T and WS: WS was the primary factor contributing to the decrease in ET0 below 2000 m, and T was the dominant factor contributing to the increase of ET0 above 2000 m. The rate of reduction in WS declined as elevation increased, thereby diminishing its contribution to variation in ET0. The present study’s results can serve to guide agricultural irrigation in different elevation zones under NWC’s evolving climatic conditions.

Clustering analysis of regional reference evapotranspiration and its components based on climatic variables across northeast China, 1961–2010

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 128-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Liu ◽  
Buchun Liu ◽  
Xiaojuan Yang ◽  
Wei Bai
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Northeast China ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Climatic Variables ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Sunshine Hours

Evapotranspiration integrates atmospheric demand and surface conditions. The Penman-Monteith equation was used to calculate annual and seasonal reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and thermodynamic and aerodynamic components (ETrad and ETaero) at 77 stations across northeast China, 1961–2010. The results were: (1) annual ETrad and ETaero had different regional distribution, annual ETrad values decreased from south to north, whereas the highest ETaero values were recorded in the eastern and western regions, the lowest in the central region; (2) seasonal ETaero distributions were similar to seasonal ET0, with a south–north longitudinal pattern, while seasonal ETrad distributions had a latitudinal east-west pattern; and (3) in the group for ET0 containing 69 sampling stations, effects of climatic variables on ET0 followed sunshine hours > relative humidity > maximum temperature > wind speed. Changes in sunshine hours had the greatest effect on ETrad, but wind speed and relative humidity were the most important variables to ETaero. The decline in sunshine duration, wind speed, or both over the study period appeared to be the major cause of reduced potential evapotranspiration in most of NEC. Wind speed had opposite effects on ETrad and ETaero, and therefore the effect of wind speed on ET0 was not significant.

Temporal variations of reference evapotranspiration in Heihe River basin of China

2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (5) ◽  
pp. 904-916 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanling Li ◽  
Zhanjie Li ◽  
Zongxue Xu ◽  
Xun Zhou
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Influence Factor ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Heihe River Basin ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Heihe River ◽  
Agricultural Crop ◽  
Different Seasons ◽  
Increasing Trends

Temporal variations in reference evapotranspiration (ETo) have profound implications for hydrological processes as well as for agricultural crop performance. The main aim of this study was to analyze the annual, seasonal trends in ETo in the Heihe River basin. The likely causative meteorological variables for such temporal changes in ETo were also identified. Results showed that, on a seasonal and annual scale, ETo for the upper reach showed increasing trends from 1960 to 2010; both increasing and decreasing trends were observed for the middle and lower reaches. In spring, wind speed (WS) and relative humidity (RH) were the most likely causative variables for changes of ETo for the whole basin; in summer and autumn, maximum temperature (Tmax) and RH contributed more to the trends in ETo for the upper reach, and WS contributed more for the middle and lower reaches; in winter, Tmax, WS and RH contributed more in different locations and in different seasons. From the spatial perspective, WS, RH and Tmax contributed more to the changes of ETo in the upper reach; WS was the main likely influence factor in the middle reach, and WS and RH were the probable main factors in the lower reach.

scholarly journals Change in mean and extreme temperature at Yingkou station in Northeast China from 1904 to 2017

2021 ◽  
Vol 164 (3-4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoying Xue ◽  
Guoyu Ren ◽  
Xiubao Sun ◽  
Panfeng Zhang ◽  
Yuyu Ren ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Northeast China ◽  
Extreme Temperature ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Past ◽  
Significant Downward Trend ◽  
Cold Events ◽  
Temperature Indices ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
Change In Mean

AbstractThe understanding of centennial trends of extreme temperature has been impeded due to the lack of early-year observations. In this paper, we collect and digitize the daily temperature data set of Northeast China Yingkou meteorological station since 1904. After quality control and homogenization, we analyze the changes of mean and extreme temperature in the past 114 years. The results show that mean temperature (Tmean), maximum temperature (Tmax), and minimum temperature (Tmin) all have increasing trends during 1904–2017. The increase of Tmin is the most obvious with the rate of 0.34 °C/decade. The most significant warming occurs in spring and winter with the rate of Tmean reaching 0.32 °C/decade and 0.31 °C/decade, respectively. Most of the extreme temperature indices as defined using absolute and relative thresholds of Tmax and Tmin also show significant changes, with cold events witnessing a more significant downward trend. The change is similar to that reported for global land and China for the past six decades. It is also found that the extreme highest temperature (1958) and lowest temperature (1920) records all occurred in the first half of the whole period, and the change of extreme temperature indices before 1950 is different from that of the recent decades, in particular for diurnal temperature range (DTR), which shows an opposite trend in the two time periods.

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