scholarly journals Optimal Portfolio Selection in Ex Ante Stock Price Bubble and Furthermore Bubble Burst Scenario from Dhaka Stock Exchange with Relevance to Sharpe’s Single Index Model

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
javed bin kamal
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Price Bubble ◽  
Ex Ante ◽  
Optimal Portfolio Selection ◽  
Bubble Burst

scholarly journals Optimal Portfolio Selection in Ex Ante Stock Price Bubble and Furthermore Bubble Burst Scenario from Dhaka Stock Exchange with Relevance to Sharpe’s Single Index Model

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 29-42
Author(s):  
Javed Bin Kamal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Price Bubble ◽  
Ex Ante ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Free Rate

The paper aims at constructing an optimal portfolio by applying Sharpe’s single index model of capital asset pricing in different scenarios, one is ex ante stock price bubble scenario and stock price bubble and bubble burst is second scenario. Here we considered beginning of year 2010 as rise of stock price bubble in Dhaka Stock Exchange. Hence period from 2005 -2009 is considered as ex ante stock price bubble period. Using DSI (All share price index in Dhaka Stock Exchange) as market index and considering daily indices for the March 2005 to December 2009 period, the proposed method formulates a unique cut off point (cut off rate of return) and selects stocks having excess of their expected return over risk-free rate of return surpassing this cut-off point. Here, risk free rate considered to be 8.5% per annum (Treasury bill rate in 2009). Percentage of an investment in each of the selected stocks is then decided on the basis of respective weights assigned to each stock depending on respective ‘β’ value, stock movement variance representing unsystematic risk, return on stock and risk free return vis-à-vis the cut off rate of return. Interestingly, most of the stocks selected turned out to be bank stocks. Again we went for single index model applied to same stocks those made to the optimum portfolio in ex ante stock price bubble scenario considering data for the period of January 2010 to June 2012. We found that all stocks failed to make the pass Single Index Model criteria i.e. excess return over beta must be higher than the risk free rate. Here for the period of 2010 to 2012, the risk free rate considered to be 11.5 % per annum (Treasury bill rate during 2012).

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN RISK&RETURN PORTOFOLIO SAHAM FIRST LINER& SECOND LINER DENGAN METODE INDEKS TUNGGAL (Studi Kasus Pada Saham-Saham Perusahaan Makanan dan Minuman yang Terdaftar di BEI Periode 2012-2014)

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Erwin dyah Astawinetu ◽  
Ni wayan Soebrati
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
T Test ◽  
Minimal Risk ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Significant Return

ABSTRACTInvestors generally will invest their fund in stocks that have high return with minimal risk in the capital market. In order to reduce level of risk then the stocks should be formed into portfolio. The purpose of this research is to analyze the risks & return of stocks of the first & the second liner of food & beverages companies that are listed in Indonesia stock exchange (IDX) from 2012 to 2014. A single index model is used for research method. The data observed based on historical data of the closing stock-price of food & beverages companies listed. Technique of taking sample uses purposive sampling. The sample used in this research is 12 (twelve) stocks of the food & beverages companies from 2012 to 2014 which are listed in Indonesia stock exchange (IDX).Data analysis using T-test (independent sample t-test) with significance level of 5%. The first hypothesis using Independent t-test shows that there is no significant return between first liner and second liner stocks. The second hypothesis using Independent t-test shows that there is no significant risk between the two as well.This research shows that investing in the second liner stocks are more profitable than investing in the first liner stocks because the return of the second liner stocks are higher than the first liners’ while the risks of the second liner stocks are lower than the first liners’.  Keywords : Single Index Model, First Liner Stock, Second Liner Stock   

scholarly journals Return and Risk Comparative Analysis in the Formation of Optimal Share Portfolio with Random Model, Markowitz Model, and Single Index Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 184-203
Author(s):  
Abdul Muslim
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Random Model ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Markowitz Model ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Portfolio Composition ◽  
Stock Portfolio

This research was conducted to determine the composition of the stock portfolio formed by the Random model, the Markowitz model, and the Single Index model and which portfolio composition was optimal from the results of calculations using the Random model, the Markowitz model, and the Single Index model. The method used is a quantitative analysis using stock price data in the LQ45 Index group listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). In the first random process the results of calculating the expected return value for each share and obtained portfolio candidates can produce a total expected return of 0.2726 or 27.26%. The Markowitz method produces 14 shares that have a positive value, which means it enters into portfolio-forming shares, while the Single Index Model obtains diversified investments in the form of a portfolio of 6 shares 

ANALISIS PORTOFOLIO OPTIMAL DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL INDEKS TUNGGAL PADA SAHAM IDX BUMN20 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA JANUARI 2018-JANUARI 2019

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mochamad Andik Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Portfolio Risk ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Single Index Model

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan level of expected return dan the best risk of optimal portfolio  formation dengan menggunakan Single Index Model pada saham IDX BUMN 20 yang tercatat di Indonesia Stock Exchange dari bulan Januari 2018 sampai January 2019. Saham IDX BUMN 20 yang tercatat di Indonesia Stock Exchange dengan populasi sebanyak 20 perusahaan. Dengan menggunakan populasi sebesar 20 perusahaan maka peneliti menggunakan purposive sampling, dan ternyata hanya 18 perusahaan saja yang ditemukan memenuhi kriteria penelitian ini. Penelitian ini juga menggunakan metode Kuantitatif Deskriptif. Analisa data pada penelitian ini untuk menentukan saham-saham mana saja yang termasuk the optimal portfolio, dan juga the level of proportion of 1 funds yang termasuk juga dalam kategori the optimal portfolio dan the level of expected return serta the best risk of the optimal portfolio yang terbentuk dengan menggunakan Single Index Model. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa terdapat 5 perusahaan dengan kategori the optimal portfolio dari 18 sampel perusahaan pada saham IDX BUMN 20 dengan tingkat tertinggi dari level of proportion of 1 funds ditemukan pada PTBA share sat 1.89333 or 189,333%, di lain pihak dengan tingkat terendah adalah pada TLKM shares at -2.13488 or -213.488% yang berarti bahwa saham TLKM adalah negatif dan harus dijual dalam jangka waktu pendek sebesar 213,488% dari dana yang dimiliki oleh para inventor dan menghasilkan rate of return yang diharapkan dari formasi optimal portfolio sebesar 0.17583 or 17.583% lebih tinggi dari yang diharapkan oleh market return sebesar 0.00264 or 0.264% dan memiliki tingkat portfolio risk borne sebesar 0.10384 or 10,384%, lebih kecil dari the risk of market sebesar 0.03367 or 3,367% dan beta market sebesar 1.Kata Kunci : Portfolio, Optimal Portfolio, Single Index Model.

An extension of Sharpe's single-index model: portfolio selection with expert betas

2006 ◽  
Vol 57 (12) ◽  
pp. 1442-1451 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Bilbao ◽  
M Arenas ◽  
M Jiménez ◽  
B Perez Gladish ◽  
M V Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model

scholarly journals ANALISIS VARIANS MULTIVARIAT TERHADAP RETURN DAN RISIKO PORTOFOLIO YANG DITENTUKAN DENGAN ELTON GRUEBER PADBERG MODEL PADA EMPAT KELOMPOK INDEKS (LQ 45, SRI-KEHATI, JII, DAN ISSI)

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-52
Author(s):  
Baiq Nurul Suryawati
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Risk And Return ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Individual Index

AbstractThis research emphasizes the difference between risk and return on four group of index, which are LQ 45, SRI KEHATI, JII and ISSI. Test of significance conduct by doing Analysis of Varians Multivariate. The Analysis of Varians Multivariate results more accurate than repeatedly t-test among group. EGP Model mostly explained as Single Index Model in various textbook. Thus, Single Index Model only clarified influence of a Single Market Index for Individual Index, EGP Model use Reward to Volatility (RVOL) for measuring excess return to systematic risk.  The results shows that after 15 years from sharia index introduce in Indonesian Stock Exchange, it shows significant difference between sharia index and conventional stock market. However, LQ 45 shows it persistence as high return high risk index consistently. The Analysis VariansMultivariate also shows SRI KEHATI, as an ethic businesses representative in Indonesian Stock Exchange as a weaker index. SRI KEHATI shows that various group portfolio form by EGP Model could not exceed JII performance. Therefore, it concludes that indexes provide by capital market to facilitise the preference of investor whereas,it is tremendously various. To invest in stock market, investor need to clarify their wants and needs. Whether their wants is to gain more return or to accommodate their risk, and their preferrence to invest in various kind of business or  certain business such as business based on ethic or faith.Keywords: Analysis of Varians Multivariate; Risk and Return; EGP Model; Indexes; LQ 45; Sri-Kehati; Jakarta Islamic Index (JII); and Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI)

scholarly journals PENGARUH PEMILIHAN INDEKS PASAR DALAM PEMBENTUKAN PORTOFOLIO MODEL INDEKS TUNGGAL

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ezra Putranda Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Study ◽  
Standard Error ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Index Value

Portfolio is a type of investment consists of several assets, such as stocks. Single index model is a portfolio optimization method that uses the market index value to calculate beta as a measure of asset’s performance. However, there are several market index available in Indonesia Stock Exchange. In this study, we examine and compare the performance of several market index to the portfolio’s performance that calculated using Single-Index Model. We choose several stocks that used in several market index, obtain the return data, and obtain the beta using several market index. The calculation of the optimal portfolio were repeated using 15 sets of data to obtain consistency. Based on the empirical study, we obtain that the way to choose the market index could affect the estimated beta as well as its standard error. However, it has a very small effect on the weight and the performance of the optimal portfolio.

scholarly journals Analisis Pembentukan Portofolio Optimal dan Penentuan Nilai Risiko pada Saham Syariah

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 487-498
Author(s):  
Ajeng Defi Aprilia ◽  
Ade Ali Nurdin ◽  
Muhamad Umar Mai
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Single Model ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Weighted Moving Average

The purpose of this research is to determine the optimal portfolio formation in Islamic stocks on the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) which is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with a single model. Then measure the risk value that may occur and be accepted by investors using the Value at Risk (VaR) method with the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) approach. By using the Single Index Model, 5 stocks are selected and form an optimal portfolio, namely ASII, ICBP, TLKM, UNTR and UNVR.

Evaluasi Kinerja Portofolio Dengan Indeks Treynor Pada Portofolio Optimal Dan Portofolio Acak Di Bursa Efek Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 116-124
Author(s):  
Jourdan Septiansyah Efflan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Portfolio Performance ◽  
Single Index ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Model Method ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Closing Price ◽  
Naïve Diversification ◽  
Research Period

This study aims to determine the composition of the optimal portfolio using a single index model, determine the composition of the random portfolio using naive diversification, then evaluate the performance of the portfolio formed using the Treynor index. This study uses monthly stock closing price data listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the research period of August 2016 to July 2018. The optimal portfolio formed using a single index model consists of 40 shares, while a random portfolio consists of 10 shares. The results of the Treynor portfolio performance evaluation show that the optimal portfolio formed by the single index model method has better portfolio performance than the random portfolio.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document