(Modeling the Effects of Economic Policy and Changes in the Behavior of Economic Agents)

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Viktorovna Bozhechkova ◽  
Natalya Vashelyuk ◽  
P. A. Nazarov ◽  
Yuri Perevyshin ◽  
Elena Alekseevna Tumanova ◽  
...  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (9) ◽  
pp. 37-49
Author(s):  
Iurii UMANTSIV ◽  
◽  
Oleksandr MINIAILO ◽  

The effective functioning of the national economy is determined by its ability to respond adequately and flexibly to the challenges that arise at every stage of its development. Under current conditions, the challenges caused by the following factors are especially acute: (i) dynamic advancement of technological development; (ii) strengthening competition in the world markets; (iii) the need to meet constantly growing social needs; (iv) search for new approaches to ensure the effective complementarity of the sustainable development components; (v) strengthening the requirements for balancing the national interests with global development; (vi) the need for a weighted balancing between the permanent emergence of new opportunities and threats in the context of the rapid spread of crisis phenomena. Globalization transforms the forms and functions of the state. The lessons of global development of the last decades make it possible to identify two interrelated, but at the same time, different directions of transformation directly focusing on this issue. At the beginning of the XXI century the global economy has entered a new era of development, as the contradictions are rapidly intensifying between transnational corporations and the state sovereignty as a form of organization and functioning of society. The deep-seated consequence of globalization is the restriction of regulatory functions of the states. At the same time, the states can no longer adequately protect national economies from imbalances and asymmetric shocks. As a result of liberalization, national governments are losing the opportunity to effectively use a range of macroeconomic instruments. The place and role of the state under conditions of modern transformations are conditioned primarily, by the fact that the state is considered as a subject ensuring the organization and functioning of all elements of the socio-economic system. Speaking as a representative of society as a whole, the state itself establishes rules of functioning and market interaction of economic agents within the limits of certain economic order and supervises their observance. The basis for implementing a well-balanced economic policy should be the scientific identification of strategic priorities of economic development and the definition of conceptual approaches and tools on this basis in order to harmonize the interests of society.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (10) ◽  
pp. 9-12
Author(s):  
Olena BORZENKO ◽  
◽  

The article reveals the development of the hypothesis of rational expectations according to the theory of rational expectations (TRO), where economic entities in their forecasts make optimal use of all available information, including the assessment of government policy, to form an opinion on future developments. It turns out that expectations in the economy are very important. Rational expectations are those that can be systematically erroneous. They do not necessarily have to be performed exactly, but this is only because economic processes are subject to random fluctuations that do not depend on the actions of the state, or because the actions of the state in economic policy are unpredictable for economic agents.


2008 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 367-401
Author(s):  
A. Bíró ◽  
P. Elek ◽  
J. Vincze

In this paper we analyse the most important mechanisms of the Hungarian economy with the help of a medium-sized quarterly macroeconomic model developed jointly by the Economic Policy Department of the Ministry of Finance and the Institute of Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. After introducing the building blocks of the model we investigate, within a scenario analysis, the effects of the main factors behind the macroeconomic and budgetary processes. The sources of uncertainty — defined in a broad sense — are categorised into three groups: changes in the external environment (e.g. an adverse external business cycle shock or an exchange rate shock), uncertainties in the estimated behaviour of economic agents (e.g. in the speed of wage adjustment or in the extent of consumption smoothing), and economic policy decisions (such as the increase of public sector wages). Taking into account the complex relationships between the various areas of the economy, we analyse the short and medium term consequences of such shocks and uncertainties on GDP, its components, the general government deficit and the public debt. We also show that the macroeconomic consequences of the uncertainties are not independent of each other: for instance, the effects of an exchange rate shock are influenced by the speed of wage adjustment.


2004 ◽  
pp. 16-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Golichenko

The main modern problems of Russian NIS development are considered in the article. They concern manufacturing of goods and services, processes of knowledge production and knowledge transfer. Measures of economic policy directed at solution of these problems are offered. The basic point is made on creation of significant motivation of economic agents and the institutional environment that provides their interaction. The motivation must be directed at innovations in industry and scientific and applied activity oriented at creating innovation potential for industry in science engineering.


2021 ◽  
pp. 85-101
Author(s):  
A. V. Kavaliou

The aim of the article is to compare the theories of demand for money by C. Menger and J. M. Keynes. The history of economic thought states Keynes’s priority in developing a system of motives for demand for money within the framework of his theory of liquidity preference. Despite the prevailing opinion, in this article it is shown that Menger distinguished the same elements. The basic method is content analysis of Menger’s little-known works of the 1880—1890s, in which he examined the motives of demand for money for transactions, precautionary motive, and the initial outline of a speculative motive. It is important that for both authors the key factor of the precautionary motive is the equally understood uncertainty of the future, and it is this factor that determines the limited impact of increasing the supply of money on economic processes, since economic agents begin to prefer money as a durable asset compared to the investments in productive assets. In the analysis of the current macroeconomic situation, the legacy of such different authors opens up additional prospects for the formation of rethinking economic policy.


2005 ◽  
pp. 63-81
Author(s):  
Ya. Kouzminov ◽  
K. Bendoukidze ◽  
M. Yudkevich

The article examines the main concepts of modern institutional theory and the ways its tools and concepts could be applied in the real policy-making. In particular, the authors focus on behavioral assumptions of the theory that allow them to explain the imperfection of economic agents’ behavior as a reason for rules and institutions to emerge. Problems of institutional design are also discussed.


2004 ◽  
pp. 114-128
Author(s):  
V. Nimushin

In the framework of broad philosophic and historical context the author conducts comparative analysis of the conditions for assimilating liberal values in leading countries of the modern world and in Russia. He defends the idea of inevitable forward movement of Russia on the way of rationalization and cultivation of all aspects of life, but, to his opinion, it will occur not so fast as the "first wave" reformers thought and in other ideological and sociocultural forms than in Europe and America. The author sees the main task of the reformist forces in Russia in consolidation of the society and inplementation of socially responsible economic policy.


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