A neural computing-based cash price prediction using multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and feature selection for health economics

Current Signal Transduction Therapy ◽

10.2174/1574362414666191127111916 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 14 ◽

Author(s):

Zinat Ansari

Keyword(s):

Feature Selection ◽

Health Economics ◽

Cash Flow ◽

Multi Layer Perceptron ◽

Asset Sales ◽

Fixed Asset ◽

Academic Fields ◽

Investment Returns ◽

Short And Long Term

Background: The present study proceeds to incorporate feature selection as a means for selecting the most relevant features affecting the prediction of cash prices in Iran in terms of health economics. Health economics are between academic fields that can aid in ameliorating conditions so as to perform better decisions in regards to the economy such as determining cash prices. Methods: Accordingly, a series of search algorithms, namely the Best-First, Greedy-Stepwise, and Ranker methods, are deployed in order to extract the most relevant features from among a 500 data samples. The validity of the methods was evaluated via the LMT procedure. The corresponding dataset used for this study constitutes a variety of features including net cash flow, dividends, revenue from short and long-term deposits, cash flow from investment returns, income tax, fixed asset purchases, fixed asset sales, long-term investment purchases, long-term investment sales, total cash flow from investment activities, financial facilities, and repayment of financial facilities. Results: The results were indicative of the superiority of the Ranker model using the RelieF-Attribute-Eval tool in Weka over the remaining classification methods. Ergo, the LMT approach could be employed to remove data redundancies and thereby accelerate the estimation process, while saving time and money. The results of the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) further confirmed the high accuracy of the proposed method in estimating cash prices. Conclusions: The present research attempted to reduce the volume of data required for predicting end cash by means of employing a feature selection so as to save both precious money and time.

Download Full-text

Health economics using feature selection algorithm and regression method for prediction of ending cash

Current Signal Transduction Therapy ◽

10.2174/1574362414666191022162244 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 14 ◽

Author(s):

Zinat Ansari

Keyword(s):

Feature Selection ◽

Health Economics ◽

Feature Selection Method ◽

Selection Algorithm ◽

Feature Selection Algorithm ◽

Significance Level ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

Attribute Evaluation ◽

Interest Payments

Background: Health economics are amongst academic fields which can aid in ameliorating conditions so as to perform better decisions in regards to the economy such as determining cash prices. The prediction of ending cash is fundamental for internal and external users and can come quite handy in terms of health economics. The most important purpose of financial reporting is the presentation of information to predict ending cash. Ergo, the aim of the research is to predict ending cash value using feature selection and MLR method from 2010-2012. Methods: A feature selection algorithm (Best-First, Greedy-Stepwise and Ranker) was employed in this research to nominate relevant data that affect ending cash. Results: Based on the results of the deployed feature selection method, the following features were indicated as the most relevant in terms of determine ending cash: interest payments for loans, dividends received from short and long term deposits, total net flow of investment activities, net increase (decrease) in cash and beginning cash based on best-first (CFS-Subset-Evaluation) and Greedy-Stepwise (CFS-Subset-Evaluation). Net out flow, dividends, dividends paid, interest payments for loans and dividends received deposits for short and long term were the most important data as indicated by the Ranker (Info-Gain-Attribute-Evaluation, Gain-Ratio-Attribute-Evaluation and Symmetricer-Attribute-Evaluation). According to Ranker (Principal-Components and Relifef-FAttribute-Evaluation) the best data for determining ending cash include beginning cash, interest payments for loans, dividends, net increase (decrease) in cash and dividends received from short and long term deposits. The findings were also indicative of a positive and highly significant correlation between dividends received from short and long term deposits and beginning cash (1.00**), with a significance level of 0.01, whereas the observed correlation between interest payments for loans and ending cash (0.999**), at a significance level of 0.01 was negatively significant. Conclusions: The present research attempted to reduce the volume of data required for predicting end cash by means of employing a feature selection so as to save both precious money and time.

Download Full-text

Where Did All the Dollars Go? The Effect of Cash Flows on Capital and Asset Structure

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis ◽

10.1017/s0022109011000512 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 46 (5) ◽

pp. 1259-1294 ◽

Cited By ~ 40

Author(s):

Sudipto Dasgupta ◽

Thomas H. Noe ◽

Zhen Wang

Keyword(s):

Cash Flow ◽

Economic Effect ◽

Balance Sheet ◽

Cash Flows ◽

Long Run ◽

Goods Market ◽

Short Run ◽

Debt Market ◽

Short And Long Term

AbstractThis paper documents the short- and long-term balance sheet effect of cash flows. We show that cash savings in the short run and debt reduction in both the short and the long run account for a substantial fraction of cash flow use. Although, in the long run, investment exhibits substantial sensitivity to cash flows, investment does not absorb the entire cash flow shock. In fact, the tighter the financial constraints, the smaller the fraction of cash flow absorbed by investment and the more by leverage reduction. Firms stage their response to increases in cash flow, delaying investment while building up cash stocks and reducing leverage. These results suggest that much of the short-run economic effect of cash flow shocks to the corporate sector may be channeled into the corporate debt market rather than the capital goods market, especially when financing constraints tighten.

Download Full-text

KENDALA KEUANGAN DAN SALING KETERGANTUNGAN DALAM KEPUTUSAN KEUANGAN PADA SEKTOR CONSUMER GOODS DI INDONESIA

Jurnal Muara Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis ◽

10.24912/jmieb.v4i2.7797 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 4 (2) ◽

pp. 216

Author(s):

Maya Novethesia ◽

Ricky Sanjaya ◽

Farah Margaretha

Keyword(s):

Cash Flow ◽

Consumer Goods ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Least Square ◽

Short Term ◽

Purposive Sampling ◽

Financial Decisions ◽

Independent Variables ◽

Short And Long Term

Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menguji kendala keuangan dan saling ketergantungan dalam keputusan keuangan. Sampel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan pada sektor consumer goods yang go public dan terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) periode 2014-2018. Terdapat 24 perusahaan swasta yang dapat diteliti setelah dilakukan purposive sampling. Arus kas sebagai variabel dependen yang diukur dengan pengeluaran modal, perubahan kas, dividen, perubahan hutang jangka pendek dan panjang dan total aset. Investasi, kas, dan hutang sebagai variabel independen yang diukur menggunakan aktiva tetap bersih, kas, hutang jangka pendek dan panjang, perubahan dalam modal kerja, dividen, nilai pasar dan total aset. Sedangkan arus kas perusahaan dan resiko operasional perusahaan sebagai variabel moderasi. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode least square dan uji individu (uji-t). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa investasi, kas, dan hutang berpengaruh positif terhadap arus kas perusahaan. Implikasi dari penelitian ini bagi manajer keuangan agar perlu memperhatikan jumlah hutang perusahaan karena sangat berpengaruh terhadap arus kas perusahaan. Bagi peneliti selanjutnya sebaiknya menggunakan perusahaan pada sektor lain. This research was conducted to support finance and interdependence in financial decisions. The sample used in this study was companies in the consumer goods sector that went public and were listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2014-2018 period. There are 24 companies that can be issued after purposive sampling. Cash flow as the dependent variable needed with capital, cash changes, dividends, short-term loans and total assets. Investment, cash, and debt as independent variables using fixed bonds, cash, short and long term loans, changes in working capital, dividends, market value and total assets. While the company's cash flow and company operational risk as a moderating variable. This research uses the quadratic method and individual test (t-test). The results of this study prove that investment, cash, and loans are positive towards the company's cash flow. The implications of this study for financial managers need to be considered by the number of companies because they need to be considered for the company's cash flow. For further researchers need to use companies in other sectors.

Download Full-text

Financial Crises: Sources, Manifestations, Consequences

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2012-4-46-66 ◽

2012 ◽

pp. 46-66

Author(s):

E. Rustamov

Keyword(s):

Financial Crises ◽

Empirical Studies ◽

Economic Policies ◽

Real Economy ◽

Asset Sales ◽

Economic Agents ◽

Price Bubbles ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

Long Term Impact

Building on the empirical studies and financial crises theories, a general framework describing the mechanisms of crisis formation and transmission is developed. Factors of crisis formation include external and internal imbalances, shocks, deficiencies of economic policies and changes in the economic agents behavior (in particular, as concerns price bubbles formation and burst). Channels of crisis transmission include direct links between financial organizations; "negative loss spirals" arising from massive asset sales; increase in uncertainty. The framework is employed to the analysis of several crisis episodes in 1990s and 2000s (Mexican, Asian, Russian and Argentine crises). The channels of crisis transmission to the real economy are also considered. The approaches to measuring both short- and long-term impact of crises on fiscal stability and economic growth are discussed.

Download Full-text

ADOPTION OF OPERATIONAL ADMINISTRATIVE DECISIONS ON BASIS OF APPLICATION OF MS EXCEL SPREADSHEETS

Issues of radio electronics ◽

10.21778/2218-5453-2018-12-127-130 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 127-130

Author(s):

V. A. Yelshin ◽

T. A. Yelshina

Keyword(s):

Cash Flow ◽

Defense Industry ◽

Cash Flows ◽

Financial Activity ◽

Specialized Software ◽

Short And Long Term ◽

Logical Process

Process of planning of cash flows on defense industry enterprises by means of MS Excel spreadsheets is considered. The mechanism of scheduling of income, the plan of expenses and the budget of cash flow is described. It is revealed that for the solution of a number of economic and financial tasks it is expedient to use numerous opportunities of spreadsheets. It is shown that specialized software can not always consider all subtleties of financial activity of the enterprises therefore automation needs to be carried out taking into account specifics of the enterprises. The instrument of increase in efficiency of adoption of the operational administrative decisions based on existence of the qualitative administrative reporting is considered. Minimum necessary forms for drawing up the budget of cash flow which can be realized by means of MS Excel spreadsheets are given. Logical process of efficiency of control of cash flows for adoption of short and long-term administrative decisions is constructed.

Download Full-text

Risk Premia with Short- and Long-Term Cash-Flow Shocks

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.2829680 ◽

2016 ◽

Author(s):

Mamdouh Medhat

Keyword(s):

Cash Flow ◽

Risk Premia ◽

Short And Long Term

Download Full-text

Experience with Short and Long Term Courses of Local Adrenal Steroid Therapy For Ulcerative Colitis

Gastroenterology ◽

10.1016/s0016-5085(62)80117-6 ◽

1962 ◽

Vol 42 (6) ◽

pp. 669-677 ◽

Cited By ~ 18

Author(s):

Jean A. Spencer ◽

Joseph B. Kirsner

Keyword(s):

Ulcerative Colitis ◽

Steroid Therapy ◽

Adrenal Steroid ◽

Short And Long Term

Download Full-text

Short- and Long-Term Results of Total vs Subtotal Thyroid- ectomies in the Surgical Treatment of Graves' Disease

Swiss Surgery ◽

10.1024/1023-9332.7.1.20 ◽

2001 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

pp. 20-24 ◽

Cited By ~ 14

Author(s):

Robert ◽

Mariéthoz ◽

Pache ◽

Bertin ◽

Caulfield ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Recurrent Laryngeal Nerve ◽

Nerve Palsy ◽

Recurrent Laryngeal Nerve Palsy ◽

Laryngeal Nerve ◽

Long Term Results ◽

Graves Disease ◽

Laryngeal Nerve Palsy ◽

Short And Long Term

Objective: Approximately one out of five patients with Graves' disease (GD) undergoes a thyroidectomy after a mean period of 18 months of medical treatment. This retrospective and non-randomized study from a teaching hospital compares short- and long-term results of total (TT) and subtotal thyroidectomies (ST) for this disease. Methods: From 1987 to 1997, 94 patients were operated for GD. Thirty-three patients underwent a TT (mostly since 1993) and 61 a ST (keeping 4 to 8 grams of thyroid tissue - mean 6 g). All patients had received propylthiouracil and/or neo-mercazole and were in a euthyroid state at the time of surgery; they also took potassium iodide (lugol) for ten days before surgery. Results: There were no deaths. Transient hypocalcemia (< 3 months) occurred in 32 patients (15 TT and 17 ST) and persistent hypocalcemia in 8 having had TT. Two patients developed transient recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy after ST (< 3 months). After a median follow-up period of seven years (1-15) with five patients lost to follow-up, 41 patients having had a ST are in a hypothyroid state (73%), thirteen are euthyroid (23%), and two suffered recurrent hyperthyroidism, requiring completion of thyroidectomy. All 33 patients having had TT - with follow-ups averaging two years (0.5-8) - are receiving thyroxin substitution. Conclusions: There were no instances of persistent recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy in either group, but persistent hypoparathyroidism occurred more frequently after TT. Long after ST, hypothyroidism developed in nearly three of four cases, whereas euthyroidy was maintained in only one-fourth; recurrent hyperthyroidy was rare.

Download Full-text