scholarly journals Effect of Seasonal Variation on Clinical Outcome in Patients with Chronic Conditions: Analysis of the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) National Telehealth Trial (Preprint)

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmadreza Argha ◽  
Andrey Savkin ◽  
Siaw-Teng Liaw ◽  
Branko George Celler

BACKGROUND Seasonal variation has an impact on the hospitalization rate of patients with a range of cardiovascular diseases, including myocardial infarction and angina. This paper presents findings on the influence of seasonal variation on the results of a recently completed national trial of home telemonitoring of patients with chronic conditions, carried out at five locations along the east coast of Australia. OBJECTIVE The aim is to evaluate the effect of the seasonal timing of hospital admission and length of stay on clinical outcome of a home telemonitoring trial involving patients (age: mean 72.2, SD 9.4 years) with chronic conditions (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease coronary artery disease, hypertensive diseases, congestive heart failure, diabetes, or asthma) and to explore methods of minimizing the influence of seasonal variations in the analysis of the effect of at-home telemonitoring on the number of hospital admissions and length of stay (LOS). METHODS Patients were selected from a hospital list of eligible patients living with a range of chronic conditions. Each test patient was case matched with at least one control patient. A total of 114 test patients and 173 control patients were available in this trial. However, of the 287 patients, we only considered patients who had one or more admissions in the years from 2010 to 2012. Three different groups were analyzed separately because of substantially different climates: (1) Queensland, (2) Australian Capital Territory and Victoria, and (3) Tasmania. Time series data were analyzed using linear regression for a period of 3 years before the intervention to obtain an average seasonal variation pattern. A novel method that can reduce the impact of seasonal variation on the rate of hospitalization and LOS was used in the analysis of the outcome variables of the at-home telemonitoring trial. RESULTS Test patients were monitored for a mean 481 (SD 77) days with 87% (53/61) of patients monitored for more than 12 months. Trends in seasonal variations were obtained from 3 years’ of hospitalization data before intervention for the Queensland, Tasmania, and Australian Capital Territory and Victoria subgroups, respectively. The maximum deviation from baseline trends for LOS was 101.7% (SD 42.2%), 60.6% (SD 36.4%), and 158.3% (SD 68.1%). However, by synchronizing outcomes to the start date of intervention, the impact of seasonal variations was minimized to a maximum of 9.5% (SD 7.7%), thus improving the accuracy of the clinical outcomes reported. CONCLUSIONS Seasonal variations have a significant effect on the rate of hospital admission and LOS in patients with chronic conditions. However, the impact of seasonal variation on clinical outcomes (rate of admissions, number of hospital admissions, and LOS) of at-home telemonitoring can be attenuated by synchronizing the analysis of outcomes to the commencement dates for the telemonitoring of vital signs. CLINICALTRIAL Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry ACTRN12613000635763; https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=364030&isReview=true (Archived by WebCite at http://www.webcitation.org/ 6xLPv9QDb)

2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (5) ◽  
pp. 542 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharon Lawn ◽  
Sara Zabeen ◽  
David Smith ◽  
Ellen Wilson ◽  
Cathie Miller ◽  
...  

Objective The study aimed to determine the impact of the Flinders Chronic Condition Management Program for chronic condition self-management care planning and how to improve its use with Bendigo Health’s Hospital Admission Risk Program (HARP). Methods A retrospective analysis of hospital admission data collected by Bendigo Health from July 2012 to September 2013 was undertaken. Length of stay during admission and total contacts post-discharge by hospital staff for 253 patients with 644 admissions were considered as outcome variables. For statistical modelling we used the generalised linear model. Results The combination of the HARP and Flinders Program was able to achieve significant reductions in hospital admissions and non-significant reduction in emergency department presentations and length of stay. The generalised linear model predicted that vulnerable patient groups such as those with heart disease (P = 0.037) and complex needs (P < 0.001) received more post-discharge contacts by HARP staff than those suffering from diabetes, renal conditions and psychosocial needs when they lived alone. Similarly, respiratory (P < 0.001), heart disease (P = 0.015) and complex needs (P = 0.050) patients had more contacts, with an increased number of episodes than those suffering from diabetes, renal conditions and psychosocial needs. Conclusion The Flinders Program appeared to have significant positive impacts on HARP patients that could be more effective if high-risk groups, such as respiratory patients with no carers and respiratory and heart disease patients aged 0–65, had received more targeted care. What is known about the topic? Chronic conditions are common causes of premature death and disability in Australia. Besides mental and physical impacts at the individual level, chronic conditions are strongly linked to high costs and health service utilisation. Hospital avoidance programs such as HARP can better manage chronic conditions through a greater focus on coordination and integration of care across primary care and hospital systems. In support of HARP, self-management interventions such as the Flinders Program aim to help individuals better manage their medical treatment and cope with the impact of the condition on their physical and mental wellbeing and thus reduce health services utilisation. What does this paper add? This paper sheds light on which patients might be more or less likely to benefit from the combination of the HARP and Flinders Program, with regard to their impact on reductions in hospital admissions, emergency department presentations and length of stay. This study also sheds light on how the Flinders Program could be better targeted towards and implemented among high-need and high-cost patients to lessen chronic disease burden on Australia’s health system. What are the implications for practitioners? Programs targeting vulnerable populations and applying evidence-based chronic condition management and self-management support achieve significant reductions in potentially avoidable hospitalisation and emergency department presentation rates, though sex, type of chronic condition and living situation appear to matter. Benefits might also accrue from the combination of contextual factors (such as the Flinders Program, supportive service management, clinical champions in the team) that work synergistically.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Merilyn S Varghese ◽  
Jordan B Strom ◽  
Sarah Fostello ◽  
Warren J Manning

Introduction: COVID-19 has significantly impacted hospital systems worldwide. The impact of statewide stay-at-home mandates on echocardiography volumes is unclear. Methods: We queried our institutional echocardiography database from 6/1/2018 to 6/13/2020 to examine rates of transthoracic (TTE), stress (SE), and transesophageal echocardiograms (TEE) prior to and following the COVID-19 Massachusetts stay-at-home order on March 15, 2020. Results: Among 36,377 total studies performed during the study period, mean weekly study volume dropped from 332 + 3 TTEs/week, 30 + 1 SEs/week, and 21 + 1 TEEs/week prior to the stay-at-home order (6/1/2018-3/15/2020) to 158 + 13 TTEs/week, 8 + 2 SEs/week, and 8 + 1 TEEs/week after (% change, -52%, -73%, and -62% respectively, all p < 0.001 when comparing volume prior to March 15 versus after). Weekly TTEs correlated strongly with hospital admissions throughout the study period (r = 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.95, p < 0.001) ( Figure ). Outpatient TTEs declined more than inpatient TTEs (% change, -74% vs. -39%, p <0.001). As of 3 weeks following the cessation of the stay-at-home order, TTE, SE, and TEE weekly volumes have increased to 73%, 66%, and 81% of pre-pandemic levels, respectively. Conclusions: Echocardiography volumes fell precipitously following the Massachusetts stay-at-home order, strongly paralleling declines in overall hospitalizations. Outpatient TTEs declined more than inpatient TTEs. Despite lifting of the order, echocardiography volumes remain substantially below pre-pandemic levels. The impact of the decreased use of echocardiographic services on patient outcomes remains to be determined.


Animals ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica Pockett ◽  
Bronwyn Orr ◽  
Evelyn Hall ◽  
Wye Li Chong ◽  
Mark Westman

Due to resource limitations, animal shelters in Australia historically have focused on rehoming animals considered ‘highly adoptable’. Increasingly, animal shelters in Australia are rehoming animals with pre-existing medical and/or behavioural issues. These animals are often rehomed with an ‘indemnity waiver’ to transfer the responsibility of ongoing financial costs associated with these conditions from the shelter to the new owner. However, it is unknown what effect these indemnity waivers have on the length of stay (LOS) of animals prior to adoption. The current study used data collected from the Royal Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals (RSPCA) Weston shelter located in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT), Australia in 2017 to investigate the effect of indemnity waivers on the LOS of cats. A restricted maximum likelihood model (REML) was used to determine the effect of breed, age, coat colour, presence of a waiver, waiver type (categorised into seven groups) and waiver number (no waiver, single waiver or multiple waivers) on LOS. In the final multivariate model, age, breed and waiver number were found to influence LOS. Young cats, purebred cats and cats adopted without a waiver were adopted fastest. This study is the first to report the effect of indemnity waivers on the adoptability of cats from shelters.


2020 ◽  
pp. 174498712094679
Author(s):  
Dean A Anderson ◽  
Victoria Clemett

Background The inclusion of specialist nurses in multi-disciplinary teams is the current gold standard for care of people with heart failure (HF) in the UK; however, they remain underutilised in practice. Though existing systematic reviews favourably compare advanced nursing roles to physician-led care, none has focused solely on HF. Aim To investigate the impact of specialist and advanced nurse-led care on the clinical outcomes, quality of life and satisfaction of people with HF compared to physician-led care. Methods Literature review and narrative synthesis. Results This review included 12 studies and categorised their measured outcomes into five domains: mortality; hospital admissions and length of stay; HF diagnosis and management; quality of life and patient satisfaction; and finally, self-assessment and self-care. Five studies appraised as medium or low risk of bias suggest the impact of specialist and advanced-level nurses on people with HF to be broadly equivalent to physicians regarding mortality, hospital admissions and length of stay, while superior in terms of self-assessment and self-care behaviours. Conclusions There were too few studies of sufficient methodological quality to draw definitive conclusions. However, no evidence was found to suggest that nurse-led services are any less effective or safe than physician-led services.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Keller ◽  
L Hobohm ◽  
T Munzel ◽  
M A Ostad

Abstract Background Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is the most common cause of death with an increasing frequency worldwide. It accounts for approximately 20% of all deaths in Europe and the United States of America. Approximately 1/3 of the IHD patients present with sudden cardiac death. The acute presentation of IHD myocardial infarction (MI) is a life-threatening, serious health problem, which causes substantially morbidity and mortality. It is well established that the onset of MI follows a circadian and seasonal periodicity. Seasonal variation regarding the incidence and the short-term mortality of acute MI was frequently reported, but data about sex-specific differences are sparse. Purpose Thus, our objectives were to investigate seasonal variations of myocardial infarction. Methods We analyzed the impact of seasons on incidence and in-hospital mortality of patients with acute MI in Germany from 2005 to 2015. We included all MI patients (ICD code I21) with an acute MI (, but not those MI patients with a recurrent event in the first 28 days after a previous MI (ICD code I22)), who were hospitalized in Germany between 2005 and 2015, in this analysis (source: RDC of the Federal Statistical Office and the Statistical Offices of the federal states, DRG Statistics 2005–2015, own calculations). Results The nationwide sample comprised 3,008,188 hospitalizations of patients with MI (2005–2015). The annual incidence was 334.7 per 100.000 population. Incidence inclined from 316.3 to 341.6 per 100.000 population per year (β 0.17 [0.10 to 0.24], P<0.001), while in-hospital mortality rate decreased from 14.1% to 11.3% (β −0.29 [−0.30 to −0.28, P<0.001). Overall, 377,028 (12.5%) patients died in-hospital. Seasonal variation of both incidence and in-hospital mortality were of substantial magnitude. Seasonal incidence (86.1 vs. 79.0 per 100.000 population per year, P<0.001) and in-hospital mortality (13.2% vs. 12.1%, P<0.001) were higher in the winter than in the summer saeson. Risk to die in winter was elevated (OR 1.080 (95% CI 1.069–1.091), P<0.001) compared to summer season independently of sex, age and comorbidities. Reperfusion treatment with drug eluting stents and coronary artery bypass graft were more often used in summer. We observed sex-specific differences regarding the seasonal variation of in-hospital mortality: males showed lowest mortality in summer, while females during fall. Low temperature dependency of mortality seems more pronounced in males. Conclusions Incidence of acute MI increased 2005–2015, while in-hospital mortality rate decreased. Seasonal variations of incidence and in-hospital mortality were of substantial magnitude with lowest incidence and lowest mortality in the summer season. Additionally, we observed sex-specific differences regarding the seasonal variation of the in-hospital mortality. Acknowledgement/Funding This study was supported by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF 01EO1503)


2007 ◽  
Vol 43 (5) ◽  
pp. 359-365 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rennie M D?Souza ◽  
Hilary J Bambrick ◽  
Tord E Kjellstrom ◽  
Liza M Kelsall ◽  
Charles S Guest ◽  
...  

CJEM ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (S1) ◽  
pp. S56-S57
Author(s):  
H. Novak Lauscher ◽  
K. Ho ◽  
J. L. Cordeiro ◽  
A. Bhullar ◽  
R. Abu Laban ◽  
...  

Introduction: Patients with Heart failure (HF) experience frequent decompensation necessitating multiple emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations. If patients are able to receive timely interventions and optimize self-management, recurrent ED visits may be reduced. In this feasibility study, we piloted the application of home telemonitoring to support the discharge of HF patients from hospital to home. We hypothesized that TEC4Home would decrease ED revisits and hospital admissions and improve patient health outcomes. Methods: Upon discharge from the ED or hospital, patients with HF received a blood pressure cuff, weight scale, pulse oximeter, and a touchscreen tablet. Participants submitted measurements and answered questions on the tablet about their HF symptoms daily for 60 days. Data were reviewed by a monitoring nurse. From November 2016 to July 2017, 69 participants were recruited from Vancouver General Hospital (VGH), St. Pauls Hospital (SPH) and Kelowna General Hospital (KGH). Participants completed pre-surveys at enrollement and post-surveys 30 days after monitoring finished. Administrative data related to ED visits and hospital admissions were reviewed. Interviews were conducted with the monitoring nurses to assess the impact of monitoring on patient health outcomes. Results: A preliminary analysis was conducted on a subsample of participants (n=22) enrolled across all 3 sites by March 31, 2017. At VGH and SPH (n=14), 25% fewer patients required an ED visit in the post-survey reporting compared to pre-survey. During the monitoring period, the monitoring nurse observed seven likely avoided ED admissions due to early intervention. In total, admissions were reduced by 20% and total hospital length of stay reduced by 69%. At KGH (n=8), 43% fewer patients required an ED visit in the post-survey reporting compared to the pre-survey. Hospital admissions were reduced by 20% and total hospital length of stay reduced by 50%. Overall, TEC4Home participants from all sites showed a significant improvement in health-related quality of life and in self-care behaviour pre- to 90 days post-monitoring. A full analysis of the 69 patients will be complete in February 2018. Conclusion: Preliminary findings indicate that home telemonitoring for HF patients can decrease ED revisits and improve patient experience. The length of stay data may also suggest the potential for early discharge of ED patients with home telemonitoring to avoid or reduce hospitalization. A stepped-wedge randomized controlled trial of TEC4Home in 22 BC communities will be conducted in 2018 to generate evidence and scale up the service in urban, regional and rural communities. This work is submitted on behalf of the TEC4Home Healthcare Innovation Community.


Author(s):  
Maria Elena Iriarte Moncho ◽  
Vicente Palomar-Abril ◽  
Teresa Soria-Comes

Introduction: Advanced cancer is accompanied by a substantial burden of symptoms, and palliative care (PC) plays an essential role, especially at the end of life (EOL). In fact, a comprehensive PC through Home Palliative Care Units (HPCU) has been associated with reducing potentially aggressive care at the EOL. We aim to study the impact of HPCU on the quality of assistance of cancer patients at Alcoy Health Department. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted including patients diagnosed with terminal cancer at the Medical Department of Hospital Virgen de los Lirios who died between January 2017 and December 2018. The Multivariate Cox regression model was used to assess the impact of HPCU assistance on the quality of life indicators. Results: 388 patients were included. The median age was 71 years; 65% patients were male, and 68% presented with a 0-2 score on the ECOG scale. On the multivariate analysis, a lack of assistance by HPCU was associated with a higher risk of consulting in the emergency department (OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.02-1.67), of hospital admissions (OR = 4.72, 95% CI: 2.45-9.09), a higher probability of continuing active treatment (OR = 2.59, 95% CI: 1.44-4.67), and a greater probability of dying in hospital (OR = 6.52, 95% CI: 3.78-11.27). Conclusions: Patients receiving HPCU assistance have a lower number of emergency room visits and hospital admissions, and are more likely to die at home. Taken together, these results support the relevance of HPCU providing a high quality attention of cancer patients.


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